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Bond Market Not Seeing Any Upcoming Rate Hikes After A Blistering 2 Year Auction

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Last month, with the entire world absolutely certain that the Fed would hike rates, it seemed it was easier to pull teeth than to find buyers for the December 2 Year acution. Not so much this time: moments ago the US Treasury sold $26 billion in 2 Year paper in an auction delayed from yesterday's snow day, in a whopper of an auction which saw 3.739 dollars in demand for every dollar, a Bid to Cover that was the highest since December 2013 and far above the 3.38x TTM average.

And it wasn't the rising yield that drove interest: quite the contrary - the High Yield of 0.54% not only plunged from last month's 0.703%, but also priced through the 0.544% When Issued.

Finally, while Directs took down only 8.75% as a result most likely of Pimco moving away from the short-end, and the lowest since June 2013, it was the Indirects that soared to 48.7%, the highest since February of 2010 when it was 54%. 

Overall, if anyone is seeing a rate hike announcement on the imminent horizon, it sure isn't the exuberant buyers of today's 2 Year auction.

 

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Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:16 | 5716566 Madcow
Madcow's picture

looks like were headed to double-digit - if not triple-digit negative rates - sounds exciting !!

 

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:17 | 5716571 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

A greek default will do that.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:21 | 5716588 Arius
Arius's picture

the greek default is already priced in (look at the article earlier this morning) ... time to move on to spanish, italian defaults....

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:42 | 5716680 max2205
max2205's picture

Hey Mickey Brussels will buy anything 

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:56 | 5716757 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

a greek bail out is priced in.  a greek default is not even remotely considered.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 15:02 | 5716783 new game
new game's picture

rotation from one ponzi to another.

stawks to treas.

fry pan to black ass kettle

ooohhhh dose rates loooook awefull atractive

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 17:32 | 5717482 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

But, Hilsenrath promised us a rate hike!

 

I WANT MY RATE HIKE!!!!

[Oh,... and my MTV, too...]



Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:17 | 5716579 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Rut Ruh Raggy - - -   Currency Monsters  - - -  Yikes

Ah Scoob - that's nothing to worry about.  Let's go find some Scooby Snacks, ok buddy?

 

yea - I watched too much TV as a kid.

NoVa

 

 

 

 

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:19 | 5716586 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Zoinks!

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:20 | 5716592 LostPolarBear
LostPolarBear's picture

Treasury yields are heading lower not higher

 

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:28 | 5716630 NoVa
NoVa's picture

duh

just look to other Western nations

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:21 | 5716595 SoDamnMad
SoDamnMad's picture

Russian spies buying it all up.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:24 | 5716601 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

We auctioned off some folks.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:26 | 5716605 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I just shake my head when I see these Marketcowmilkers trying to squeeze the last drop, out of the last teet of Fed. speak.

 Look at what 10's are pricing. US 10Y Yield    1.779    -0.047    -2.55%   

 1) The U.S. is decoupling from planet Earth.

 2) The bond market has it all wrong.

 3) Everyone has a good paying job.

 4) Everyone is buying a new house.

   JFC, I could go on and on, but I'd probably blow out Tylers servers.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:30 | 5716633 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Go back to 2004-2005, the same decoupling is being repeated.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:40 | 5716676 BlowsAgainstthe...
BlowsAgainsttheEmpire's picture

Interest rates will not be "normalized" until a new US dollar is issued.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 14:43 | 5716692 max2205
max2205's picture

Don't  fool yourself 

The higher bond prices go up the moar room stocks can go up when bonds reverse 

 

It's all in the  plan

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 15:32 | 5716948 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Apparently Apple's earnings weren't good enough.

 

How's that war with Russia going?

Gonna need another 250 billion in issuance? No problem..

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 15:05 | 5716795 Dien Bien Poo
Dien Bien Poo's picture

There is NO RATE CUT coming. Period. I dont care what Yellen says. OR Goldman. No chance this year at all. Maybe by 2020/21. 

US T Bond curve is telling you all you need to know about the ongoing recession. Buy the long end while you are still in positive rate zipcodes. it wont last.

Wed, 01/28/2015 - 15:08 | 5716812 new game
new game's picture

swiss with a yen twist is the model to model. eeeeeks, what a fucked up mess.

soooooooo contorted  even hodini would ask howd ya do that?

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