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The Mexican Peso & Brazilian Real Are Collapsing

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Back over 15 / USD for the first time since March 2009, the Mexican Peso is tumbling hard this morning... and the Brazilian Real is also tanking (back near 10-year lows) - no clear catalyst aside from further weakness in oil producer and EM FX sentiment.

 

Peso under pressure

 

Back to March 2009 lows..

 

And the Real is close behind (back near 10 year lows)

 

As Oil Producers FX rates push to new cycle (or record) lows...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:28 | 5724762 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

not that long ago the IMF proudly declared the Mexican Peso as one of the best managed currencies of the world

and what do the best central banks of the world? engage in currency war

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:30 | 5724771 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Ghordo - 

Should Mexico, the US and Canada share a currency for the sole reason of preventing the Mexican Peso from getting "shaken like a rat by a terrier"?  

 

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:02 | 5724955 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Time to be adding to our stack d'argent, as this could be the final fire sale.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:09 | 5724987 max2205
max2205's picture

Ah..back to cheap Mexican donkey shows......love dem tatttaers 

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:29 | 5725110 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

I am considering an Au purchase today.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:36 | 5724806 J S Bach
Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:40 | 5724812 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

why should I, as a foreigner, suggest such thing? in my eyes, it smacks of a certain kind of imperialism

the whole point of the eurozoners banding together was to somewhat insulate their currency zone's economies from the tides of the Mighty Dollar

a shared currency zone with the global reserve currency? wouldn't that be about the same as switching to the dollar without having it's advantages? the process called dollarization?

I have no clue why Mexicans or Canadians should ever come to such a conclusion. Nevertheless, it's their currencies, aren't they?

----------

you probably remember that I predicted it could become a bit rough, for small and medium sized currencies at a later stage of this currency war. the question is what is driving this move, and I don't look much at the Americas in general so can't say much about this, except that it fits my predicted pattern

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:24 | 5725088 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

NICE JOB!

 

Now pay for your own defense next time.

 

I mean negative rates in Denmark?

 

THAT my friend is serious cowbell!

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:06 | 5725408 Vylahkinnen
Vylahkinnen's picture

Ah come on! We can solve this easily. End the Dollar. End the Euro. It is time for the only reaaal currency - the "Ameuro"! See, problems solved. And who needs Gold again? Lunacy! You can question the existence of God, but thou shall never question the authority of the almighty Central Wankers.

Brought to you by:
http://www.answers.com/Q/What_is_the_ameuro

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:20 | 5725539 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

"Now pay for your own defense next time" - are you demobilizing? don't you worry, we pay. oh, boy, you don't seem to know how much we paid and still pay

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:28 | 5725581 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

"we paid"  

Expand upon this thought.  

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:42 | 5724832 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

Lower airfares. More buying power in Mexico. This gringo is considering a nice long luxury getaway. How do I politely ask if the resort is well guarded and surrounded by walls?

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:47 | 5724858 Latitude25
Latitude25's picture

Puedo cojer con su mama?

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:48 | 5724870 j0nx
j0nx's picture

Any gringo that steps one foot south of the border deserves what they get. Mexico and central America are lawless states run by narco-terrorists. I chuckle inside when I see expats saying that the water is warm come on in guys down in their villas south of the border. The water is fine alright. Right until it isn't and the natives are banging on the door.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:40 | 5725192 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Some areas I would agree. However some areas are not that way. Cheap land is an insurance policy if the ECB cards fail. Then the USSA will be no better and might even be worse.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:05 | 5725274 xavi1951
xavi1951's picture

Baja has marine check-points everywhere and the federale in between.  Some cartel people have been arrested there but I have never felt in danger and I go there every year.  La Paz is better than Cabo that has more tourists and more punk criminals.  The murder rate in Baja is lower than L.A., on a per capita basis.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 14:42 | 5726373 Big Brother
Big Brother's picture

I've never felt unsafe in Cabo.  There are military check points entering into San Jose from the airport and on the way to Torre de Santos (only highway in and out) and as gunships floating in the sea of cortez.  Albeit the Lucans need to rebuild from the last hurricane hit before I visit there again.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:53 | 5725291 joego1
joego1's picture

I've owned property in Mexico for 35 year with no serious problems. I think the bandidos are in the USA.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:53 | 5725293 joego1
joego1's picture

I've owned property in Mexico for 35 year with no serious problems. I think the bandidos are in the USA.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:09 | 5725441 Oldrepublic
Oldrepublic's picture

The above posters are correct, Mexico is much less dangerous than many people in the US imagine. I have driven extensively in all parts of Mexico and had no problems with violence

Fred Reed is an American living in Mexico.He has posted a lot of stuff on Lew Rockwell.com

He recently posted an article entitled: Realty Check Mexico

worth reading

http://tinyurl.com/laz7hev

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:10 | 5725465 MEFOBILLS
MEFOBILLS's picture

I've owned property in Mexico for 35 year with no serious problems. I think the bandidos are in the USA.

------------------

The exception doesn't make the rule.  Statistics are averages over large populations. 

The Mexinvasion is real.  Bandidos are on both sides of border.  The worst bandits are those who hide behind the money and pervert law to their rent seeking ends.   This then creates a subordinated Mexico. 

Consider, Mexico has fisheries, productive land, natural resources.  It should be one of the richest countries in the world.

By not extracting wealth via efficient labor and use of natural resources, then a people will become poor.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:02 | 5725379 xavi1951
xavi1951's picture

.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 15:48 | 5726670 Livermore Legend
Livermore Legend's picture

The Difference between IGNORANCE and STUPIDITY is that the former is Curable upon Application and Effort; while the Latter is a STATE OF BEING, rarely cured.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:42 | 5724840 jose.six.pack
jose.six.pack's picture

Like the US would like to protect the MXN. Why would they?

The US somewhat controls the inflow of illegal immigrants, for which earing in USD allows to support their families in MXN.

Equality is not where the profits of the relationship between Mexico and the US come from.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:32 | 5724776 Clueless Economist
Clueless Economist's picture

I had a horrible nightmare last night.  An ISIS sleeper cell had kidnapped Greenspan, Bernancke, and Yellen and had them kneeling in the California desert wearing orange jumpsuits.  They demanded the US raise interest rates or they would decapitate one each day.

Thank God it was not real.  Imagine the three architecs of American prosperity and exceptionalism being beheaded by savages.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:23 | 5725083 nuubee
nuubee's picture

That is a nightmare, I wouldn't want the sacred ground of Burning Man to be polluted.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:41 | 5725201 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

WTF, a Burner on ZH. lol

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:29 | 5724778 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

everything is collapsing

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:50 | 5724892 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Except bonds.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:56 | 5724932 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Just wait....

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:30 | 5724781 Eastwood
Eastwood's picture

alriiiiight, my flautas imports just got cheaper, mayne.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:55 | 5724925 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

+1 for "mayne".

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:32 | 5724786 Polymarkos
Polymarkos's picture

Great. This will just drive more Mexitrash onto our welfare rolls.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:04 | 5724964 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

moar wetbacks

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:36 | 5725156 Jonas Parker
Jonas Parker's picture

BTFW?

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:31 | 5724787 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

There goes my tequila and cheap pussy.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:57 | 5724937 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

No, its getting cheaper.....just saying. The tequila I am not sure about. 

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:37 | 5724790 Romney Wordsworth
Romney Wordsworth's picture

<== Yo Gubbmint cheese

<== NACHO cheese!

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:34 | 5724797 IPURDOM75
IPURDOM75's picture

Jim Willie predictions seems to come true...

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:33 | 5724798 OneTinTrooper
OneTinTrooper's picture

marijuana exports from Mexico are in decline

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:07 | 5725418 rwe2late
rwe2late's picture

 more likely,

oil producing revenues down

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 13:17 | 5725899 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

US west coast high quality MJ production way way up.

"Brickweed? We doan need no steeking brickweed."

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:34 | 5724805 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

With the amount of grief that the Brazilians give me in BF4, I applaud this.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:37 | 5724810 franzpick
franzpick's picture

The Danse Macabre of the currencies continues.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:36 | 5725157 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Yeah this is pretty ugly.

 

Starting to look like 1983 more than 1984 actually.

 

Lotta silver in Mexico.

 

Lotta military on that border too.

 

Long Walmex.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:41 | 5724830 Latitude25
Latitude25's picture

Hugo Salinas Price has been wanting to put Mexico on a silver standard.  Maybe he'll soon get his way.

http://www.plata.com.mx/mplata/articulos/articlesFilt.asp?fiidarticulo=257

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:25 | 5725529 Oldrepublic
Oldrepublic's picture

regarding Hugh Salinas Price:

a very interesting man, he flew out to Greece a year or  so back with Max Keiser on his own private jet to talk to the Greeks about a new silver standard. This is his latest piece on the Global central bankers and money printing called

Folly Triumphant

http://tinyurl.com/o4qu95k

 

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:48 | 5724875 Bumbu Sauce
Bumbu Sauce's picture

Just come on over to mehico norte!  A quick wade across the Rio and you too can work for cash, suck up free benefits, and modify your very own 20 year old Honda Civic with primer, wings, and such.  You can even operate it burracho muchacho!

America, land of the free if you aren't el citizen.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:49 | 5724894 jose.six.pack
jose.six.pack's picture

We Peña-Nieto'ed some folks.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:52 | 5724920 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The fucking asinine central bankers are going to fuck the whole damn world over before this is done, and people are too stupid to grasp this fact. Maybe they'll figure out when they have to start digging mass graves. Well, I guess there won't be any graves if everybody is vaporized.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:58 | 5724934 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Bankers wont have any more debt once they unleash nuclear fire....problem is how long can they hide.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:55 | 5724923 Cangaroo.TNT
Cangaroo.TNT's picture

Under Pressure?!?!  I love Vanilla Ice!!!

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:35 | 5725596 TalkToLind
TalkToLind's picture

He didn't compose that!  ;)

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 10:55 | 5724930 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Canada has recently monitized silver coin with the decision to force banks to accept silver coin at face value. $20 for $20 program values silver at $80 per ounce.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:12 | 5724997 Salzburg1756
Salzburg1756's picture

So...now I can afford a Gisele Bündchen?

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:23 | 5725068 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Banks no longer need deposits, governments no longer need taxes. Sum ting won.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:35 | 5725153 nidaar
nidaar's picture

"The Mexican Peso & Brazilian Real Are Collapsing"

Or divergence from USD is accelerating...

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:44 | 5725208 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Specualtive blow off top.

 

Same thing happened in the 90's.  Huge move higher in all asset classes followed by even the worthless gringo buck.

 

Perfect set up for what  is called an, ahem.."bull market correction."

 

I think equities dropped 40% in 1998 before they would rise another 125% in 1999.

 

"Free money" for lack of a better term.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 11:48 | 5725241 MEFOBILLS
MEFOBILLS's picture

Oligarchy leads to Mexinvasion:

The mechanism:

1)     

Make dollar the reserve currency of the world.

2)     

Petrodollar standard 1973,  Kissinger (J) agreement with Saudi forces all petrodollars into western markets and western dollar banks.  Saudis agree and hence their "coup" salafi government is given sanction.

3)     

Dollar loans are given to Mexican leaders.

      

Said Mexican glorious leaders spend dollars on overseas goods or use it for bribes.  Note: these are credit dollars created at private banks affiliated with wall -street and private money powers.

4)     

Dollars leave the economy, yet the debt hook is hung on the entire Mexican population.

5)     

Debt instrument grows with usury and wants to be satisfied with dollars, as it was a dollar loan.

6)     

The future comes and former dollars are not available in supply.  They were spent on non-production and left the local economy.

7)     

Debt instruments demand to be paid and Mexico is coerced to lower the exchange rate.

     

Lowered peso exchange rate is a desperate attempt to grab dollars out of world money supply to then pay dollar debts.

8)     

Insiders get a scoop on future exchange rate moves, and get ready with shorts.  The action of shorting actually causes the currency to break downward with self-reinforcing feedback.

9)     

Insiders become oligarchs and the country becomes owned by foreign creditors.  Those who have dollars or can create dollars buy up the country cheap.

10)  

Mexico then becomes a feudal oligarchy, where land and means of production are owned by a few.

11)  

Mexican labor is forced to leave the country, and head to El Norte.  This causes a Mexinvasion in the U.S. 

12)  

Mexinvasion gets sanction due to U.S.  1965 immigration act.  Said act was written by, funded by, and passed into law by the same private money powers of previous steps.  These same money powers are strongly Zionist, and before that World Government (Kaballah/ Jewish), along with their shabbas goy and disinfo agents e.g. sayanim.

 

 

Money should not trade for money.  Keynes was right with his Bancor.  Debts should not point outside of your law.  Debts denominated in a foreign currency -, by definition – are outside of law.  Of course, or international friends will never admit to this reality – they win by taking rents on populations via debt and usury mechanisms, which in turn creates a landless peasant class.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:09 | 5725446 billsbest
billsbest's picture
Positioning the NAU and its Amero for an entrance from stage left you thunk? Did You Know the CFR Spawned a European Satan Child - the ECFR in 2007?
Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:18 | 5725514 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

The ruble is getting ass-raped again today: far worse then the Peso. I can get 70 rubles for one U.S. dollar? Fuck the oil part, remember that Russians like mining as well and carry low amounts of debt.

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 12:24 | 5725562 TalkToLind
TalkToLind's picture

¡Oro, putas!

(Gold, bitchez!)

Fri, 01/30/2015 - 13:38 | 5726029 artytom
artytom's picture

It's probably punishment for allowing Max Kaiser and RT into Mexico :)

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