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Chinese Corruption Probe Pivots To Bankers As Manufacturing Contracts At Fastest Pace Since August 2012

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With all eyes on China as the great Eastern hope for putting a floor under crude oil prices, last night's dismally disappointing Manufacturing PMI print looks set to remove that last pillar of 'demand' - artificial or not. Having fallen 6 months in a row and printing 49.8, missing expectations of 50.2 (3rd of last 4 months) and down from the prior 50.1, this is the first official contractionary signal for Chinese manufacturing since September 2012. With Industrial Enterprises in China seeing profits collapse at 8% YoY along with the slowest GDP growth (7.3% of magic unicorns and credit expansion) since Q1 2009, the PMI components' broad-based weakness show significant signs of a cyclical slowdown. What is perhaps most worrisome though is that with cries for more RRR cuts or government-sponsored largesse, the banking system has, it appears, become the new focus of the nation's corruption probes as the President of China Minsheng Bank was taken away by the Communist Party’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.

Triple Whammy of Chinese ugliness...

  • Industrial Profits -8% YoY - worst on record
  • GDP growth weakest since Q1 2009

And now, Chinese Manufacturing PMI prints contractionary 49.8...

 

As Goldman Sachs notes,

January official PMI data was weak. Most sub-components showed signs of cyclical slowdown. The most important sub-indexes (production and new orders) both clearly softened (production decreased to 51.7 from 52.2 in December, and new orders moderated to 50.2 from 50.4). The only exception was backlog of orders which inched up to 44.0 from 43.8. These signals are inconsistent with the flash reading of the HSBC manufacturing PMI which rebounded in January (its final reading is to be released tomorrow 9:45 AM).

 

 

 

The fall in the official PMI is consistent with our expectations that 1Q growth will likely be weak. As the official PMI is viewed as more important by the government, the likelihood of further loosening measures has increased further.

*  *  *

And while the calls for rate cuts and broad-based government bailoyts will grow stronger from this - despite the governnment's insistence that they will not embark on a broad-based credit expansion program - it appears the transmission mechanism for any such release of money is coming under signficant scrutiny... (as Bloomberg reports)

China Minsheng Banking Corp. said its President Mao Xiaofeng resigned for personal reasons after Caixin magazine reported that authorities had taken him to assist with an investigation.

 

Mao, who was appointed president last August, didn’t have any disagreement with the board, the Beijing-based bank said in a statement to the Shanghai Stock Exchange Saturday. The board accepted Mao’s resignation and appointed Chairman Hong Qi as acting president, it said in the statement.

 

Minsheng has taken note of reports on Mao, whose situation has nothing to do with Minsheng’s operations, the lender said in a statement earlier today. Mao’s mobile was turned off when called by Bloomberg News today. He was taken away by the Communist Party’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and removed as party secretary by the banking regulator, according to Caixin.

 

Minsheng’s comment and the Caixin report come amid President Xi Jinping’s crackdown on graft, described by state media as the harshest since the republic’s founding in October 1949. The campaign has spanned businesses, the military, and officials such as Zhou Yongkang, a former member of the Politburo Standing Committee, and Ling Jihua, who was a top aide of retired president Hu Jintao.

 

 

Turning 43 this year, Mao is the youngest president of a listed Chinese bank, according to Caixin. The president of a Chinese lender is the equivalent of a chief executive officer at a U.S. bank.

 

Mao is a graduate of Harvard University, where he completed a masters degree in public administration in 2000, according to a company profile.

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Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:35 | 5731704 Renfield
Renfield's picture

<<What is perhaps most worrisome though is that with cries for more RRR cuts or government-sponsored largesse, the banking system has, it appears, become the new focus of the nation's corruption probes as the President of China Minsheng Bank was taken away by the Communist Party’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.>>

Tyler, how is this worrisome?

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:42 | 5731719 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

If the Chinese are successful at cracking down on corruption, the luxury housing market is dead.

It was corrupt Chinese and Russian oligarch buying all the $10,000,000+ apartments and homes

for cash that was keeping housing bubble inflated. 

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:53 | 5731756 Renfield
Renfield's picture

Y'know? I don't find that too worrisome either!

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 16:08 | 5732153 Oracle 911
Oracle 911's picture

Harvard graduate, it says all we need to know.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:52 | 5731753 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

President of China Minsheng Bank was taken away by the Communist Party’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.>>

Tyler, how is this worrisome?

You have no disciprine!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 00:02 | 5733581 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

President of China Minsheng Bank was taken away by the Communist Party’s Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.

 

"Discipline Inspection,"  Is that doublespeak for waterboarding?

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:53 | 5731924 Yao
Yao's picture

If I were a Chinese communist I'd open my nation to foreign investment and sell trinkets to the natives in other nations in order to amass vast wealth, to buy up large swaths of the world's natural resources, to build within my borders most of the world's modern factories and to construct nearly unfathomable infrastructure for myself.  Then when, as inevitibly occurs, the world found itself teetering on the edge of a precipice I'd burn the whole fucking global economic order down.  In a plausibly deniable way of course; perhaps via a nice internal matter that I simply failed to contain.  After all, he who controls the means of production wins ... well, if one happens to be a communist anyway.  And who knows, perhaps some of the capitalist dogs will see the light and willingly submit to the yoke of their new Chinese overlords.  I'm sure I could deal with the rest in their extraordinarily weakened states.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:45 | 5731725 kowalli
kowalli's picture

Industrial Profits -8% YoY - worst on record

low oil prices are good?

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:49 | 5731738 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Any of you bitchez fancy going with the 'Central Commission of the Communist Party' for a touch of 'Discipline Inspection'?

Bet you could only imagine what that cunt is going through now??

I like the fucking sound of it though, find him guilty more than likely and hang for the dog he is no-doubt, being a banker and all that he blood all over his hands.

;-)

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:51 | 5731742 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Loom 101.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:54 | 5731760 kowalli
kowalli's picture

Good episode from Orwell 1984

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:55 | 5731765 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Mao is the youngest president of a listed Chinese bank

Still young enough to be seduced by hookers and bro...

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:22 | 5731824 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

Gee, if you can’t trust your banker, who can you trust ?

 

//sarc

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:30 | 5731853 suteibu
suteibu's picture

Another Ivy league educated banker.  Says a lot.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:03 | 5731792 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Oh Roe!!!

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:52 | 5731741 MasterOfTheMult...
MasterOfTheMultiverse's picture

As long as China's GDP per capita is less than Iraq's and Turkmenistan's it remains a backward 4th world country. Though 1+ billion slaves is an asset in some way.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 15:31 | 5732044 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

their gdp per capita is less mainly because of huge population . Imagine if US had population of 1.3 billion how much gdp per capita yanks would have ?

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:57 | 5731775 q99x2
q99x2's picture

You do the global bankster jumpty jump.

Honor thyself. Jump bankster jump.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 13:58 | 5731777 Boondocker
Boondocker's picture

What???thought the BRICS were awesome??!!??

 

 

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:44 | 5731894 BrocilyBeef
BrocilyBeef's picture

But has China learned from America's incarceration rates?

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 15:38 | 5732056 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

Oh please enough with your clickbaiting links .

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:24 | 5731832 Herdee
Herdee's picture

Discipline Inspection.I like that terminology.That should happen in the United States.March all the crooked banksters into Rikers Island.Next stop...a little facility on the tip of Cuba.The reasons are simple,they are the latest high degree of national security danger to the Government of The United States.It's not a military danger it's economic and it's from within.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:45 | 5731898 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Mao, who was appointed president last August...

damn, that's harsh. the dude barely had time to sharpen his pencil. round up the usual suspects. [/captain renault]

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:51 | 5731913 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

First contractionary number since September 2012. Why is that date familiar? Oh yeah, later in September 2012 the Fed started QE3!

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 14:51 | 5731917 RadioactiveRant
RadioactiveRant's picture

Regime in fighting, the show must go on!

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 15:37 | 5732057 assistedliving
assistedliving's picture

China acting more 'capitalist' than USSA.

now showing more 'discipline' than USSA.  so what if that Banker was an ally of the 'competition'.  any banker in jail is a good thing unlike

the Moziloo-Corzination of our banking regulator/enforcement agencies.

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 15:50 | 5732095 Lea
Lea's picture

So, what's wrong with investigating the doings of a banker again?

Sun, 02/01/2015 - 22:48 | 5733343 nector_collecter
nector_collecter's picture

China is the world's business buddy

 

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/technology/science/honey-laundering-the-s...

 

hang em all

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 04:23 | 5733998 not a yahoo
not a yahoo's picture

I thought it was clear the Chinese simply matched spending to get a GDP number of 7.5%. No rocket science needed for that, since GDP = spending, right? So why did they stop doing that? If only one could read their complex minds.

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