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Shake Shack Fried - Nears Bear Market

Tyler Durden's picture




 

From the post "home run" IPO highs of $52.50, SHAK is now trading $42.50 for a drop of 19% and nearing the dreaded "bear market" 20% drop... Unless you owned it at the IPO, you are a loser for now...

 

 

 

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Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:30 | 5734729 oudinot
oudinot's picture

Crazy

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:35 | 5734747 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

this shows you how fake the market is

THE IS NO MARKET ANYMORE, THE FED IS THE MARKET

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:38 | 5734762 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

The mention of 20% being some threshold to a bear market is just as stupid as the preposterous pricing to begin with.

THERE IS NO MARKET!

 

Pets.com

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:55 | 5734866 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

They could always change course and sell mobile phones, remote control cars and old stereo wires. Could work.....

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:05 | 5734904 pods
pods's picture

I'm old enough to remember when they sold resistors, oddball parts, switches, and those Tandy products.

pods

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:59 | 5735400 fx
fx's picture

burgers that fly on their own straight into any couchpotatoe's mouth will be the coolest thing in town next year. AMZN and GOOG are in a neck by neck race to bring them to market first. However, apple will once again eat their lunch (pun intended). After all, they have been producing the iBurger (better knwon as  iMac) for years already. Oh wait, I may have mixed something up here...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 14:00 | 5735404 BuddyEffed
BuddyEffed's picture

Just like I commented on to the earlier Shake Shak article, it's a restaurant, and with a weak middle class, all restaurants suffer from the weak business model for eating out.

McDonalds has been struggling for years, haven't they?  And it's not SS fault.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:25 | 5735269 quasimodo
quasimodo's picture

Sounds like the biz model for Skymall

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:37 | 5734766 pods
pods's picture

Goldman to "investors:"

I drink your milkshake.  

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:04 | 5734907 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

Goldman banker to the Aryan Brotherhood leader in the yard. "I drink your milkshake."

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:08 | 5734917 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

My Milkshake - Peter Griffin

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=amviwNuN1jM

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:39 | 5734777 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Year 2015.

Technologically & revolutionary hamburger & French fry purveyor IPOs for 108x EBITDA.

PURE STAWK BUBBLE v3.0 in last 15 years.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:44 | 5734804 dearth vader
dearth vader's picture

Still, there is a market, but I think it's Fed up...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:51 | 5735127 glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

Who falls for this crap? Come on, Shake Shak?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:31 | 5734731 ABG LINE
ABG LINE's picture

"BOOOO-YAHHHH" !!!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:30 | 5734732 Salah
Salah's picture

I KNEW IT....DEAD-GIVEAWAY TO A MKT TOP ORCHESTRATED BY THE 'GANGS OF NEW YORK'.

[J. MCCAIN'S "IRON TRIANGLE": WALL ST--K ST--HOLLYWOOD]

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:31 | 5734738 youngman
youngman's picture

This is how the New York Boys are going to make money this year...hyping IPOs....its all they got now...lets bring back pro forma revenues...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:31 | 5734741 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

This is a tremendous buying opportunity.

You'll never get this tech-company so cheap anymore.

They have patented a truly game changing burger.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:53 | 5734857 L_Conquistador
L_Conquistador's picture

The first thing I thought o here was Boston Market, and my college finance professor.  Upon hearing of it's IPO success he remarked "Yah, when I cooked a chicken on a spit in the boy scouts, I never realized the gold mine I was sitting on."

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:31 | 5734742 Sisyphus
Sisyphus's picture

Buy in the low 20s and then wait for it to jump to 70s. Just like Fuckerbook.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:18 | 5734964 spekulatn
spekulatn's picture

 Ill take it after it falls to 20... or 15 ... or 10.

Then ride it to the moon, bitchez.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:20 | 5734981 Sisyphus
Sisyphus's picture

"Yeah, 220, 221. Whatever it takes..."

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 15:18 | 5735704 Dig Deeper1
Dig Deeper1's picture

+ 100 for truly obscure movie quotes - Mr mom much?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:34 | 5734743 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Had to listen to more of the "fresh fast food" trending bullshit on "financial radio" last week. How McD and the rest are caught flat footed as a result of their supply chain model being locked into selling frozen crappy food. Versus what is hawked as fresh crappy food?

Market cap of Chipolte should be mind boggling enough to see where this end.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:34 | 5734751 youngman
youngman's picture

Yes I am sick of all the ....we love our chickens before we cut their throats...its like green food is better food....but its all a hype...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:41 | 5734775 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

The one I love is when you see a sign that says "All of our chicken is vegetarian fed chicken!"  I see that, and it makes me go "DERP!"  Chickens are not herbivorous animals for fuck's sake.  They eat damn near anything, given their choice. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:47 | 5734815 JRobby
JRobby's picture

They are very relaxing to watch though. They shit on their food and then walk around on it to mix it up real good before they continue eating it.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:52 | 5734844 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

When my sister first got chickens, one of the things that she got excited about was that they ate black widows.  She was just as comical as the chickens about that.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:26 | 5735275 Hulk
Hulk's picture

They put that on the egg cartoons too (vegetarian chickens). Our food is very disconnected from reality...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 14:09 | 5735447 SmedleyButlersGhost
SmedleyButlersGhost's picture

It's hilarious that 'range free' chickens seem to lay uniformly perfect size and colour eggs.  bet most people have never seen what a real farm chicken egg looks like

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:41 | 5734780 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

+100

CMG is just outrageous. The fast-food bubble makes the dotcom, the housing and the biotech bubble all look totally rational.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:35 | 5734746 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

That's not right. How can the price be going down? [/Mortimer]

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:36 | 5734753 JRobby
JRobby's picture

"Unless that crop report?.........God help us!"

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:34 | 5734748 buzzy_the_pirate_dog
buzzy_the_pirate_dog's picture

Bullish!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:36 | 5734752 autofixer
autofixer's picture

What's a Shake Shack?  I don't live in NY. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:36 | 5734760 JRobby
JRobby's picture

The "trending" form of gas and diarrhea

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:44 | 5734802 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

If you've tried it, what other form of gas and diarrhea does it compare to?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:49 | 5734825 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Haven't had the pleasure. I stopped eating fast food a long time ago.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:55 | 5734862 L_Conquistador
L_Conquistador's picture

I get the impression it's like Steak 'N Shake (our Midwest hamburger and shake place).

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:07 | 5734911 JRobby
JRobby's picture

I'm sure that was the idea they stole. It's not like these filthy animals have ever had an original idea of their own ever.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:02 | 5734892 IANAE
IANAE's picture

trendy $4-$9 Burgers, $5 milkshakes, beer & wine.

https://www.shakeshack.com/location/grand-central-terminal-nyc/

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 14:03 | 5735413 tommylicious
tommylicious's picture

autofixer I believe DirkDiggler11 has the definitive answer on this, and I respectfully quote:

 

Shit Shack - Never heard of them before the IPO. Must be a Yankee kind of thing that only Wall Street traders like so they can go there and get a quick burger, then head to their spacious bathrooms to click their heels and play pitcher / catcher for the remainder of their "lunch" hour ...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 16:47 | 5736158 goldpercent
goldpercent's picture

Years ago, shake shack was a good place to go if you were in Madison Square Park in NYC.  You could have a beer in the park without being arrested!  That is a pretty good scam if you can swing it.  The burger was besides the point.  I'm not sure that business model scales.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:35 | 5734755 TweedleDeeDooDah
TweedleDeeDooDah's picture

I call this the "Krispy Kreme Effect".

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:53 | 5735377 IANAE
IANAE's picture

<= unsustainable

<= unremarkable

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:37 | 5734757 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Salmonela Shack

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:36 | 5734759 PoorMan429
PoorMan429's picture

IPOs are for insiders to dump their pumped up shit to the muppets. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:40 | 5734779 blown income
blown income's picture

A fucking hamburger joint.. really..there are only so many ways to cook ground beef...or as Chili Plamer said

"that's a $5 dollar shake?" ..a shake cost $5 dollars better be a good fuckng shake

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:22 | 5734994 Caleb Abell
Caleb Abell's picture

I went there ... once ... and ordered one of their fabulous shakes.  It came in a cup the size of a coffee cup.  Never saw a shake that small and overpriced.  Apparently they use gold as one of the ingredients.  They make McDonalds look upscale.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:45 | 5734809 starman
starman's picture

Hahaha hahahahahah...............

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:48 | 5734818 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Watched Wolf of Wall Street over the weekend, and fucking hilarious how being charged with fraud on the Steve Madden IPO, yet Jordan Belfort was merely doing the same fraud that MS/GS/JPM do on IPO's. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:47 | 5734823 45North1
45North1's picture

Shaken...  not stirred.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:48 | 5734824 czarangelus
czarangelus's picture

You gotta wonder who the losers on this deal are. You never seen them whining it up around here. Maybe if I clicked on the comments section on a CNBC article?

Note: I will not click on the comments section of a CNBC article.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:49 | 5734827 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

Looks kinda Flaccid...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:50 | 5734830 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

The only Shake Shack I want to see is a 20-something Olivia Newton-John in black leather pants... other than that, meh.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:17 | 5734960 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Let me guess, the tape in your VHS copy of Xanadu is nearly worn out.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:54 | 5735136 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

Grease, but yeah.  It's only worn out in one 3 minute spot.

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:01 | 5735163 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

.

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:50 | 5734833 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Shake Shack is another Wall Street darling. Like Facebook. Hype it up.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:51 | 5734838 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

But but but Potemkin's are up up up.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:52 | 5734845 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The only market is William Dudley at the NY Fed with all of infinite printed fiat.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 11:53 | 5734849 drivenZ
drivenZ's picture

uhh, they priced at $21. Thats $21. It's trading at 100% premium right now. If you got burnt on this trade, you deserved it. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:09 | 5734921 homebody
homebody's picture

you want flies with that

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:12 | 5734938 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

But all of the pageantry and free burgers out front!

 

"Shake Shak Suck" - Jack Ma

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:18 | 5734961 Intoxicologist
Intoxicologist's picture

Wood(pulp) Shed

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:28 | 5735021 Chad_the_short_...
Chad_the_short_seller's picture

No shares available to short. That's not fair. Can't get in at the "IPO" price unless you're an insider and you can't short unless you're an underwriter. Fuck me you filthy fucking JEW KIKE Kocksucker!!!!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:28 | 5735030 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand it's gone......poof!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:54 | 5735380 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Shake Shack sliding into the shitter....call the Waaaaaambulance.......

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:58 | 5735397 tommylicious
tommylicious's picture

maybe they can repurpose those shakes as enemas for GS partner MD's

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:56 | 5735399 Make_Mine_A_Double
Make_Mine_A_Double's picture

Krispy Kreme redux. Wasn't that the Pets.com moment in the last market flame out?

 

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