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Shorts Beware: Dennis Gartman Just Flip-Flopped To Bearish

Tyler Durden's picture




 

If anyone needed a catalyst to know that last week was the time to short stocks, it came a little over a week ago when everyone favorite windsock, Dennis Gartman, went "all in" long of stocks, in paper money terms of course. The subsequent tumble has been duly noted here.

So just as it seemed safe to pile into shorts today, now that the US economy is not only about to lose countless high-paying, energy-related jobs and energy companies will stop buying back their stock at a torrid pace (incidentaly, they should be buying when their stocks are plunging, not at the all time highs), but deflation is soaring to levels last seen during Lehman, and the Fed - at least superficially - is still determined to hike rates, here comes Gartman with a note that makes a dead cat bounce virtually assured.

The S&P: This has the ominous look of what some of the Old Guard amongst the market technicians used to call “Three Peaks and a Domed House” pattern, which always gave way to substantive weakness. All we know is that Friday’s action was horrific and that the volume swells on the downside these days, and wanes on rallies!

Translation: the biggest short squeeze of 2015 may be imminent.

And sure enough, stocks have stormed higher in the 40 minutes since we first blasted this most bullish for the S&P update:

Best $29.95 ever spent:

 

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Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:19 | 5734971 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

When Gartmann flips, the market flops.  

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:30 | 5735031 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Aaaaaand... we're green,

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:39 | 5735074 Lets_Eat_Ben
Lets_Eat_Ben's picture

He is right for once

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:48 | 5735115 clooney_art
clooney_art's picture

He will go back to being bullish by the evening. Nothing new hear.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:58 | 5735153 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Just crucifying muppets, that's all.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:27 | 5735273 SumTing Wong
SumTing Wong's picture

That fucker Gartman is the best contrarian indicator. I had the fact that I had SDS and didn't catch this so soon...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:51 | 5735368 fx
fx's picture

Word is that they have fired the entire PPT last year since Gartman does the job way better, without using up a single $ and most of all without leaving any inconvenient traces behind.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:54 | 5735369 fx
fx's picture

.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 14:54 | 5735584 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

It is one of THE MOST PREDICTABLE MARKET ACTION EVER!!!

1. It happend  constantly ever since tarp 1

2. The FED is in it so deep, they’ve got no other option to keep the bubble to get bigger

3. The dow will be at 50.000 even when the real economy will be up in smoke.

4. Short squeezes always lead the markets up.

 

Look at oil drillers for example, up 25% in 2 weeks while every moron was calling for a complete crash.

Every long position I took is massively in the green!

And if you ever read zerohedge for more than 2 years, it would have been a easy call.

And it still is.

For over 8 years now, people have been crying with the media and the end of the world. 

Just look at history! 

1. After this crisis, everything will just continue and become a serie on history channel

2. The markets will still be there and maye the currency will change but so what?

If you only hold gold and silver for survival, you’ll only eat it when you don’t have a plan b and c and d and e. And ghat doesn’t include a bunker. That’s only for crazy americans.

The market now may look expensive but in 10 years from now it will have been  razy cheap When the inflation spikes will have settled.

I don’t believe in the end of the world and if it would happen, wh wold you want to survive that one if you’re sacrificing you’re youth for it preparing for it? 

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:33 | 5735049 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Gartmen, The Messiah of the Markets.  He has a bad case of penis envy as in O being the Messiah of Politics.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:39 | 5735064 HelicopterCoPilot
HelicopterCoPilot's picture

Guy flips bearish, as we test 200d sma.. Fine to be bearish, but not right here.. Btfd, here, unless 200d breaks on closing basis...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:20 | 5734973 Au_Ag_CuPbCu
Au_Ag_CuPbCu's picture

Why does anyone listen to this asshat?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:24 | 5734997 USisCorrupt
USisCorrupt's picture

Because he is usually under the table at every event getting it all straight to the mouth I mean ear.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:19 | 5734975 vmromk
vmromk's picture

Hello E-trade, place my order for 1000 S&P calls, ASAP.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:26 | 5735012 Jlasoon
Jlasoon's picture

I wouldn't, this market just topped out. Just look at a chart of the SPY or DIA. Everything is pointing south. 2008 Redux. 

 

The firesale is coming. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:35 | 5735057 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Are you sure that would not be classified as "BTFD"?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:42 | 5735085 Jlasoon
Jlasoon's picture

Nope, volume isn't there. This market is slowly turning south. Some of you need to stop focusing on the day-to-day movements.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:21 | 5734980 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

Even Gartman would have ran the ball. Maybe his luck will change. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:23 | 5734989 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Gartman perfers misdirection plays...like the one where he tells people he will make them money and then doesn't.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:23 | 5734998 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

so we should blame Gartman for today's epic reversal

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:23 | 5735001 pan
pan's picture

Who's listen's to this guy anymore and why is ZH making this news?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:27 | 5735023 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It's meant as humor.  We don't have Tom Stolper to kick around any more, so we are constantly in search of the "most wrong person ever" to replace him.  Gartman may be it, though he's still got a long way to go to match Stolper.

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:24 | 5735006 Atlantis Consigliore
Atlantis Consigliore's picture

Giggle giggle giggle;  hes a pharting Algo, even the slow Chicago algos smell the shit and cover just in time behind the Central Bank front runners.

 

Lol,  oh its a fair game,  hickupping with laughter.   

go ahead apple sell another $ 5 B .....MOAR.... 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:27 | 5735016 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Gartmann is a mouthpiece for the shadow Fed--only in reverse.  

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:31 | 5735035 Sisyphus
Sisyphus's picture

So you mean Gartman is--deF wodahs eht rof eceiphtuom a si nnamtraG?

Wow! That's kinda cool!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:26 | 5735018 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

"Three Peaks and a Domed House"

WHOTTTTTTT???? THREE PEAKS AND A DOMED HOUSE? WTF?!?

Come on you've just GOT TO BE KIDDING ME!!!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:31 | 5735037 Jlasoon
Jlasoon's picture

Look at the damn chart. I might not like the guy, but he's right on this one. It's pretty obvious. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:38 | 5735068 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

So you are saying that Gartman is clearly seeing a pattern in the S&P 500 that paves the way to "substantive weakness"? Like it always did in the past? Maybe Bullard, Yellen and Draghi even "drew" this chart by carefully intervening in a coordinated way at the exact right moment? And now the markets will crash BECAUSE they intervened as the did?

Sure. Makes total sense. I just love chart technicians.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:48 | 5735106 Mr Pink
Mr Pink's picture

I used to think chart reading was like astrology but in a rigged market it is full retard

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:49 | 5735358 logicalman
logicalman's picture

Charts like these only tell you how you got here, not where things are headed.

Only the drivers of this vehicle know where it's going next - everyone else is bound and blindfolded in the trunk.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 15:16 | 5735611 fremannx
fremannx's picture

Never heard of that one. Some sort of modified Head and Shoulders? But the trend is still down, regardless. This should be another down week for the markets.

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/sp-500-indexelliott-wave-update-for-w...

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:27 | 5735022 Carl LaFong
Carl LaFong's picture

S&P 3000 here we go...

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:29 | 5735024 Father Lucifer
Father Lucifer's picture

Bounce is over, melt down time.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:46 | 5735097 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The market is clearly under the uptrend established since 1100.  I think it could do 2040 to retest it again, or test a secondary at 1900.  If this is a real market, in such a steep ascent, once you blow the primary nothing else matters.  The only thing that is holding this up is intervention.  It is a bet that it intervention go on forever if you are long.  It is reality of you are short.  I think that eventually bankers will get tired and make money on the way down.  They always do it in the end.  They already let the trend go. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 16:41 | 5736130 daveO
daveO's picture

Right. The fleecing is past due and will arrive by summer.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:30 | 5735029 doggis
doggis's picture

zh - so gartman is DUE for a correct call. [statistically speaking].  i put my bet on statistics!!!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:32 | 5735043 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

Give Stevie Wonder enough darts and time and he will hit a bullseye. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:30 | 5735040 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

This ought to make the markets bouncier:

U.S. companies face billions in Venezuela currency losses, Reuters analysis shows

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/02/us-venezuela-usa-corporations-...

 

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:31 | 5735042 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

The Fartman Curse!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:34 | 5735047 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

I always marvel at people who are wrong more than 50% of the time on a fifty-fifty call.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:37 | 5735061 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

aaaand it's green

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:36 | 5735062 nakki
nakki's picture

Wow, this guy's a genius! High volume market goes down, low volume market goes up. Thanks for pointing that out.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:39 | 5735070 aliki
aliki's picture

im sure he'll be on CNBC later saying how he still believes we are in a secular bull market, the short was just a "tactical" (ie. 15 minute) call, and how he's still long gold BUT IN YEN TERMS.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:41 | 5735080 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

Damn, and I was going to buy 1K shares of SPXU to triple dog dare the market, betting it would crash lower, but now I will have to cancel that strategy and just add to my stacks. Ducking Fartman, I should have know he would wreck my strategy.

It's always a good day to buy AG and AU !

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:53 | 5735124 nakki
nakki's picture

It must have taken him and his "crack" staff weeks, even months of painstaking research, to point out the volume thingy.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:51 | 5735134 sidiji
sidiji's picture

ZH can manipulate marekts with its posts, if you're not careful you're going to make him jump from a building if you keep hounding the poor man.  Why dont you pick on somebody else for a change?  ZH being a bully?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:13 | 5735213 Shitgum Suicide
Shitgum Suicide's picture

Jump motherfucker jump!

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 12:51 | 5735135 swass
swass's picture

A broken clock is right twice per day.  Who knows....?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:29 | 5735277 Boubou
Boubou's picture

Famous experts are right 50%  +/-  3%

I am right 50%

The blind monkey with a dart is right 50%

The half that get a call right on a particluar occasion are immediately hailed as supermen.

The rest get a pass and carry on making a fortune out of your fees.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:08 | 5735191 Shitgum Suicide
Shitgum Suicide's picture

Gartman can say whatever he wants, but who the hell can keep an accurate call on this insane market?

I woke about an hour ago and the market was down 72 pts. Now it's up almost 68 pts. Based on what the sales of chips, beer and salsa?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:19 | 5735239 shouldvekilledthem
shouldvekilledthem's picture

Long coloring books.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:25 | 5735263 Bryan
Bryan's picture

Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:24 | 5735265 PiratePiggy
PiratePiggy's picture

Don't trade with Gartman, Make Money with Maria.

 

Here are the coded signals:

 

Whenever Maria says "extradinory", that's a coded signal for you to buy some calls in Fox.

Whenever Liz MacDonald says "That's right, Maria", that's a coded signal for you to sell some puts in CNBC's parent, Comcast.

 

 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 13:32 | 5735295 Boubou
Boubou's picture

He came outstrong  for tankers last week.

I had a little dabble with three of the best

Got stopped out a week later.   The 'tip' was passed on to me by me trusted advisor. He made $900.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 14:12 | 5735457 Traderone
Traderone's picture

Long everything and then some, thanks Dennis. 

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 15:15 | 5735696 Rodders75
Rodders75's picture

To RT & Money Honey Erin Ade's discredit (however fit she is), Gartman is a regular commentator on Boom Bust. Where he made the "tanker" call.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 16:14 | 5735981 paint it red ca...
paint it red call it hell's picture

Screw gartman, what's cramer think?

Is it another bad short?????

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 17:20 | 5736332 Goldbugger
Goldbugger's picture

Tomorrow the DOW will go UP, then break the triangle and the 200DMA.

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/category/stocks/dow-jones-charts/

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a *critical juncture. There are always numerous possibilities for wave counts, but this coming week will be decisive in determining the direction the market wants to take.

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 17:23 | 5736361 Itchy and Scratchy
Itchy and Scratchy's picture

Why does he even bother trying?

Mon, 02/02/2015 - 23:27 | 5737632 LithiumWarsWAKEUP
LithiumWarsWAKEUP's picture

I can't believe that almost every one of you don't know what you are doing by now....oh well. Listen up; the /es at 2018 area is a short w/target of 1964 area. This is nullified by any price up over 2026.50. Check by tomorrrow nite and tell me how good I am. Or not. lol

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 00:31 | 5737803 Magooo
Magooo's picture

I don't understand how Gartman remains in business -  is it because people pay him for advice and do the totally opposite of what he recommends --- and clean up?

 

What I wonder is how can someone be so consistantly wrong?  Incredible track record

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