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WTI Squeezes Above $52 As Gasoline Prices Start 2015 With Biggest Surge In A Decade

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Great news!! Oil prices have "bottomed" and WTI is up over $52 now... from under $44 just last week. But... gasoline prices have surged almost 24% in the last 3 weeks... the biggest seasonal rise in over a decade

 

Oil prices are rising and saving stocks...

 

But gasoline prices are soaring...

 

Does the US consumer want rising or falling oil prices?

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:10 | 5739572 Pareto
Pareto's picture

It's a miracle!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:35 | 5739723 max2205
max2205's picture

Barry says No soup for you!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:47 | 5739783 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

everything is awesome.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:12 | 5739583 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Refinery strike.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:14 | 5739596 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

please explain your logic on that one

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:18 | 5739621 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

roughly 12% of US refinery capacity is offline due to a strike, hence gas price rise. why crude is rising is another matter.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:27 | 5739681 thexperience
thexperience's picture

Those refineries continue to run....though the gas prices could be reacting to the POTENTIAL for further disruptions

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 16:14 | 5740202 new game
new game's picture

or crude going higher.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:20 | 5739649 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

I've been heating my house with gasoline for years!

 

And when I have a party is the beverage of choice!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:39 | 5740019 Savvy
Savvy's picture

Refinery strike is only at the refineries that are having a schedualed maintenance shut down. Bring in the scabs and pay them min wage, corporate saves, unions look like they're doing something and poor joey sixpack is desperate to make any concession to save his job.

 

Does it make sense now?

 

eta link for ya

http://gcaptain.com/oil-workers-strike-seen-prolonging-u-s-refinery-repa...

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:15 | 5739590 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

i'm guesing it is midget trannies doing some of the buying

 

signed:

Unger Pantz

Gnome, AK

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:12 | 5739594 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

I am so sick and tired of hearing the US is the "least dirst shirt". That's a lie, it's the dirtiest shirt, we are the MOST idebted nation on the planet, we produce nothing, we print the most money out of thin air....stop with the lies....I can't fuckign take it 

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:17 | 5739615 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

US just has the best most influential criminals.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:20 | 5739633 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

35% of ALL americans have debt in collections, we are the most indebted people EVER, most live paycheck to pay check and have no savings,  some how how that makes us the cleanest dirty shirt??? please explain how that works agian!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:29 | 5739703 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

I'd really love to know

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 18:42 | 5740798 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

because the US is still the world's sole superpower

its sole reserve currency

and the world's (developed world) agenda setting master

 

consider it a privilege of the empire - you get more "benefit of doubt"

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:16 | 5739611 db51
db51's picture

Oh Fuck Yeah....Ameericans WANT HIGHER FUEL prices.  Nothing says WE'RE AWESOME  than the sheeple asking for higher prices.   Jeez...What a fricking joke....Wish those Goldman Assholes and the Fed would do a Corn and Soybean Ramp cause being a farmer right now SUCKS ASS.!   

I must be living in some personal Bizarro world, cause all of this shit is just mind numbing.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:18 | 5739630 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

There is no actual 'price' when it can just go from 110 to 43 and back to 110 in a few weeks, just all pure bullshit.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:50 | 5739786 Professorlocknload
Professorlocknload's picture

The Fed might like the consumer spending numbers generated by $110 oil better?

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:02 | 5739822 Automatic Choke
Automatic Choke's picture

correct sd1, but there is plenty opportunity for short term investment.

 

what really matters is that the spice///disregard///  oil must flow at a fixed rate (about 90-95 million barrels/day).

it will do so, regardless of price.  whoever is diddling around on the margins of supply or demand will set the price for that day.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 16:16 | 5740207 new game
new game's picture

mericans like higher prices to be macho when they fill up the hog.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:43 | 5740059 Savvy
Savvy's picture

Poor baby. I'm delighted to get diesel for $4/gallon, patting myself on the back for my superb timing. The US is a net importer and Canada a net exporter but you fill up with CDN fuel for half what I do.

Here's a quarter...

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:19 | 5739623 RealistDuJour
RealistDuJour's picture

If you believed Zero's doom and gloom... you just missed out on perhaps the greatest buying opportunity we'll have all year.  If you weren't buying oil stocks in January because, "this time it's different", or TPTB, or whatever bear slogan used to make you actually believe the basic economics of oil pricing DON'T exist... Well, chances are you've also been sidelined since 2009 and just as broke and bitter.  I hear gold is a great "investment"!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:23 | 5739651 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

I am getting to the point where I have to agree with trolls like this guy - up arrow for this bitter, broke person

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:13 | 5739913 ukspreads
ukspreads's picture

Yep, BTFDAX New DOW.... Been saying it since Draghi' QE and it's made me a stack... FTD

Fuck the Dissenter's. I may not agree with any of this shit but I'm a trader and here to make money only

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:50 | 5740096 loonyleft
loonyleft's picture

realist du jour.

How about putting your money where your mouth is. I see you were a member a month ago. Where were you? 

If you are so smart, explain why the 'basic economics of oil pricing' had oil drop to the $40s. Or were you on another site bashing all the oil longs who kept trying to catch falling knives. 

It's easy to pick winners after the game. 

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 16:19 | 5740218 new game
new game's picture

fucktard made a couple hundred to help ma with the bills...

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:19 | 5739628 blown income
blown income's picture

yup 1.72 last night ....1.85 this morning ....over 2.00 tomorrow ...

 

glad people did their part and bought all those gas guzzlers SUV's from GM !

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:21 | 5739641 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Then next week oil will probably be back down to $40 again....whatevs.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:18 | 5739631 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

I found out the hard way in learning trade that, along with standard charts I always need on my screen (SPY, VIXs, etc.), there’s always a ‘topical’ item with the potential to foil all of your fancy indicators, and you need to have that annoying thing on your desktop each quarter.  

When I first started a few years ago it was the Euro and gold, then APPL was everything (with so many levered long AAPL/short S&P, AAPL downdrafts were a sign of unwinding and led to late-day SPY ramps), then the 10YR TSY, and now, of course, it’s oil.  

Thus, at noon many day traders may have been short equities, as technicals pointed to a potential halving of the highs or even a round-tripper, but when oil spiked like a sonofabitch just before 12:30, it was time to reluctantly cover.  Though JPY has been tanking (see Tyler’s ‘crowded trade’ article), it hasn’t mattered – stock gains, thus far, are preserved.  One would think oil would therefore be the driver through the close.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:24 | 5739977 chubbyjjfong
chubbyjjfong's picture

Congratulations!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:53 | 5740104 loonyleft
loonyleft's picture

tldr: BTFD

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:19 | 5739640 db51
db51's picture

Oh Fuck Yeah....Ameericans WANT HIGHER FUEL prices.  Nothing says WE'RE AWESOME  than the sheeple asking for higher prices.   Jeez...What a fricking joke....Wish those Goldman Assholes and the Fed would do a Corn and Soybean Ramp cause being a farmer right now SUCKS ASS.!   

I must be living in some personal Bizarro world, cause all of this shit is just mind numbing.

CNN Breaking....Saudi King says oil has hit bottom...may skyrocket to $ 200.00/bbl......What happened to Fucking Putin uip the Ass?   lmao

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:22 | 5739653 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

$110 to $40, next stop $200! Obviously fun-derp-mentals driven 100%.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:25 | 5739667 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Sounds like a Bull trap to me...

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:26 | 5739676 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Not a currency trader but maybe rubles are the way to go here....

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:25 | 5739672 sudzee
sudzee's picture

Would love to have been a fly on the wall during last Friday meeting between Norway, Saudi and Russia. Is Saudi switching sides in return for Syria which the US failed to deliver to the kingdom. 

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:27 | 5739683 ExploitedCitizen
ExploitedCitizen's picture

If I go long oil/drillers, the price will go to $20/barrel.

If I go short, it will go to $75/barrel.

Is this a dead-cat bounce?  Or just people unwinding their shorts?  Or has the bottom hit?

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:30 | 5739704 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

WELL, I DID SEE THIS COMMING! HAHAHAHAHAHA

In this world, nothing stays cheap for long. But now I just sold everything 5 minutes ago.

My seadrillers where all up 50% in 3 weeks so I’m happy :)

Now just another silver and gold spike and my stock account is empty

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:58 | 5739837 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Sold one of mine (up too much!) but holding some others.  Hard to dump something that is still down 30% and is in an industry that produces a finite supply of a necessary resource.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:31 | 5739706 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Some big dummy was in here several days ago saying a countertrend rally would likely emerge from the $40-$45 zone and break the 10 week and tease full throttle penetration to suck in a new bandwagon of Kool-Aid enthralled longs.  

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:39 | 5739740 FrankieGoesToHo...
FrankieGoesToHollywood's picture

Speculators!  Evil speculators!! What is the status on the Congressional hearings about speculators driving up prices!!!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:54 | 5739814 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

The status of the Congressional hearings is that the checks sent to Congress by the eveil speculators have been safely deposited. 

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:43 | 5739760 Professorlocknload
Professorlocknload's picture

OK, Vlad's been spanked. Back to business now.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:53 | 5739799 adr
adr's picture

Got to love a full one month protracted decline undone in two days. Can we go for two months of decline undone in 3 days?

The volume on the upticks is probably pathetic as usual.

If we get to $80 a barrel by friday people are going to go apeshit when gas jumps $1 a gallon in one night.

The solution as always is to kill every fucking banker on sight. The rise in oil prices is due to Goldman and the other commodity brokers manipulating the market higher using their spoofing algos so they can unload all the contracts they bought last month for a quick profit. Then they'll drop oil 10% and load back up on the contracts they just sold.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:52 | 5739805 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

The drop to $60 - $65 was probably real due to lower seasonal demand.  The rest of the drop was the TBTF and big hedge funds setting up their long oil positions.  I am happily sitting on oil services stocks I got near the lows, and that helps smooth out the 30 cent increase in gasoline prices over the last week.  There are a couple of oilies that haven't bounced with the rest of the sector, so I am looking at those now.  I see $80 oil and $3.00 gas by April.  Place your bets!

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 14:57 | 5739824 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

This is great news!

Higher gas means less driving.

Less driving means fewer miles on the old wagon.

Fewer miles means less wear and tear.

Less wear and tear, fewer repair bills.

Less wear, higher trade in value.

Higher trade-in value, the more cash in your pocket.

Unless of course they raise the price of cars, and insurance, and registration, and gas tax on miles driven, and repair costs, and the price of tires, and the tax per gallon and ……… but that could never happen in a central banking economy.

/sarc/

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:04 | 5739858 First There Is ...
First There Is A Mountain's picture

Keep buying all the way down was my advice a few weeks ago. About time to take some off the table....

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:10 | 5739892 Alex Lionson
Alex Lionson's picture

US consumer just wants to be left alone.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:17 | 5739938 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

Is it really over this quick?  It might be.

Or the Fed is mixing in commodities?????????????????

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:53 | 5740105 Yao
Yao's picture

Too soon.  The shale producers aren't dead yet.  If it runs back up this fast they'll survive with just a quick hibernation and we'll have a few more waves of crazy volatility of this magnitude over the next few years.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:17 | 5739940 The Shape
The Shape's picture

What did the president of OPEC say about 10 days ago? It was going back up soon.

Their minions may only take it to 55-60 for a while, but that's a little more cream for them and enough to still crater rig counts in the US and Canada.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:22 | 5739960 Duude
Duude's picture

How much you wanna bet that even if oil was to continue to surge another $20 a barrel, it will never affect either the CPI, or PPI?

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:45 | 5740068 OpTwoMistic
OpTwoMistic's picture

Does the US consumer want rising or falling oil prices?

Nope.  This is pump and dump by the banksters.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 15:45 | 5740069 sleepyd
sleepyd's picture

Did I miss the bottom? I was hoping to be able to pick up some UCO for $5. Please tell me this is just a head fake. 

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 16:13 | 5740194 ElixirMixer
ElixirMixer's picture

For a second there, I thought oil was tracking supply and demand. Good to know that's not the case.

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 16:26 | 5740250 erk
erk's picture

And the oil inventories, are they still in a state of total oversupply? If so then this recovery wont be going far.

 

Tue, 02/03/2015 - 17:18 | 5740485 Spankee
Spankee's picture

Aaa hahahahahah haha hhahahahahahahahahahahahahaha !

NOW i feel better. 

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