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Biggest Short Squeeze Since 2011 Sends Stocks Surging, USDollar Purging

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With "Most Shorted" stocks squeezed by their most since 2011 (up over 6% in the last 4 days), back at 2-month highs...

 

We thought this an appropriate analogy...

Who could have seen this coming??!! When Gartment flipped bearish on Monday, we said...

Translation: The Biggest Short Squeeze Of 2015 May Be Imminent

At the end of the day... Stocks like European uncertainty, higher oil prices, weaker macro data, and disappointing earnings - BTFD!!!

 

Futures markets show the realk action started when Europe opened and the SNB started buying EURs... so thank the Swiss for saving the day.. notice The Nasdaq only just managed to get back the Draghi cliff gains...

 

3 of the 4 days this week have been dramatic short squeezes... weith yesterday's moves smaller and saved by Draghi

 

Oh The Magic of The 100-Day Moving Average...

 

From Draghi's cliff yesterday, Materials and Healthcare (Biotechs) are #winning, Hombeuilders are not #winning, Energy is up small...

 

US Stocks are very comfortable with all this Greek risk... but Greece isn't...

 

The Dow is the outperformer on the week...

 

Which at the moment will be the best week since Dec 2011!! Of course we have payrolls tomorrow so that will change things we suspect

 

and it appears from VIX that more than a few were hedging ahead of it...

 

and credit did not like it either into the close..

 

Perfect timing ahead of the Payrolls print, US equities have been managed back into the green for the year...Notice what happened after the last payrolls data!

 

Treasuries reversed the post-Draghi gains also - ending up 4-7bps on the day and 15-20bps on the week... this is the biggest 4-day percentage gain in 30Y yields since Sept 2012

 

As an FYI - 10Y Bund yields are now back above 10Y JGB yields (however briefly)

Gold and Silver slipped lower despite USD weakness, as copper and crude bounced...

 

Copper and Gold are unchanged from the Draghi ledge, silver lower, crude notably higher...

 

Crude surged to take out stops at $52 and faded -

 

not helped by Saudi Aramco slashing prices to Europe and US...

 

The US Dollar dropped notably today with only Swissy and JPY weaker against the Dollar on the week...

 

As The SNB intervened and saved the world back to 1.1500 in EURUSD...

 

It wasn't just bonds that were sold. The USDollar has had its worse 4 day drop since Sept 2013

 

as the battle between The BoJ and The SNB continues...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Charts: Because... fun-durr-mentals

 

 

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Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:08 | 5749104 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

UP, up and away...

in my beautiful, my beautiful baaaaaaaaaaalloon....

 

what a fucking joke.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:11 | 5749118 Tao 4 the Show
Tao 4 the Show's picture

You know, those green purges are the worst.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:30 | 5749209 power steering
power steering's picture

I'm a Putin and European

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:57 | 5749599 MillionDollarBonus_
MillionDollarBonus_'s picture

New artcicle over at the Accredited Times: 

CONSUMERS CREATE JOBS, NOT BUSINESSES
Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:13 | 5749650 Advoc8tr
Advoc8tr's picture

Makes sense ... in a world where free thinking individuals make rational and informed decisions. When every schmuck simply wants what all the other schmucks want then successful advertising / brainwashing programs create the "aggregate demand".

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:28 | 5749701 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Jobs report tomorrow. I expect it'll be terrible. Gotta ramp the market up today and float it all weekend. Gotta kick the can a little longer.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:56 | 5749773 scrappy
scrappy's picture

Get your real jobs report from http://www.shadowstats.com/

Re: Farts, My real bro lit one up in the old days. - By the maple tree. It was an explosive event.

Reminds me of comic books, like what passes as news today.

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:48 | 5749770 stocktivity
stocktivity's picture

It's all Bullshit!!!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:13 | 5749134 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

Told you Niggas! CLEANEST DIRTY SHIRT FOREVER!  USA is #1 get used to it

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:39 | 5749249 Wait What
Wait What's picture

is that you Obama?

shouldn't you be out golfing, or smoking some weed, or both?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:50 | 5749297 power steering
power steering's picture

Late night at Probe nightclub

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:34 | 5749501 Bro of the Sorr...
Bro of the Sorrowful Figure's picture

dont you mean sucking dick and smoking crack?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:40 | 5749540 Bro of the Sorr...
Bro of the Sorrowful Figure's picture

i sucked off some folks

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:03 | 5749620 troubledasset
troubledasset's picture

"There were some folks who... needed some suckin'. Michelle and I helped a lot of folks."

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:59 | 5749805 scrappy
scrappy's picture

All I know, I want school lunch food.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:14 | 5749409 CClarity
CClarity's picture

"American Exceptionalism" has been repurposed and the meaning has changed, but they spout it out all the same.  pathetic.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:17 | 5749151 saints51
saints51's picture

I can imagine you in a hot air ballon like the wizard of oz tossing silver eagles to all the muppets.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:07 | 5749169 noben
noben's picture

CASINO ROYALE AMERICANO.

Now only select, elite players win. While enjoying the Casino's Freebies-for-Winners: ZIRP, hookers & blo, and privacy.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:30 | 5749207 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

These surges don't even have a reason anymore, CNBC has to really stretch to make something up. But the employment report has already been front-run, so what happens tomorrow?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:40 | 5749255 Wait What
Wait What's picture

instead of "we are the 99%"

it's "we are the buyback bubble"

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:08 | 5749105 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

Beware of the Fartman

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:54 | 5749316 negative rates
negative rates's picture

For if you don't fart man, you just might spontainously combust one day.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:57 | 5749333 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Or just get really bad cramps.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:10 | 5749109 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

To infinty and beyond, bitchez!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:10 | 5749111 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

did anyone notice that from like noon- 3 the dow traded within a 10 fucking pt range?

 

very fucking strange, and boring.

 

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:12 | 5749127 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

and rigged.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:45 | 5749273 Wait What
Wait What's picture

you're not allowed to participate if you don't have a futures account and take a daily position a couple of hours before US markets open.

regular market hours trading is for stock buybacks, institutionals, HFs, and private investors who are selling to them.

"it's a small club, and you ain't in it"

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:27 | 5749697 honkadoo
honkadoo's picture

If it's rigged as you say, then why do you play?  Why comment on a financial site (or at least what was once a financial site before the freerepublic keyboard kommandos started to overtake it from their parent's basement)  Why bet against it if it's rigged or play at all?

 

Mom!  I wanted meatloaf!  I'm doing some... Important shit down here!  I'm saving the world!  Mom! Meatloaf!

 

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 20:04 | 5749815 Wait What
Wait What's picture

you don't have to be a 'player' to read ZH. you can just as easily use it to track macro-economic developments that affect your everyday life.

ex: i live in a region that produces about $900 million USD in oil revenues @ $85-90 a barrel WTI. When that revenue suddenly becomes $400-500 million, you can extrapolate where the fiscal impact is going to be hardest.

same applies to real estate growth rates.

Zh is more than a 'stock market' website, cuz TDs and the smarter folks around here understand that it's all interconnected. just like we understand that when 1 of the support pilars fails, the burden on the others becomes that much greater.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:12 | 5749129 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Mentioned the other day 2065ish and crude another crack at the 10 week potentially.  Above 2080ish appears unlikely and the next move should be a very sharp one down to below 1820.  We shall see you never know for sure.  

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:19 | 5749160 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

s&p != logic.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:28 | 5749199 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Technical analysis is soooo 2008. QE/ZIRP ended any rational ability to perform TA on these - um - *markets*.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:51 | 5749299 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Many people keep saying that yet I keep using it quite productively.  I concur that essentially everything is rigged but that in most cases you know the direction of the rigging.  One must also simply accept that intervention can change everything but you can also take actions or not act based on patterns of intervention.  I've never suggested I was risking a substantial portion of wealth on any given trade.  Certain things I would simply NEVER hold overnight either long or short.  

For example - with equities TA for me is still very effective when evaluating long entry and exit points.  Any short entry point is much more challenging given the black cloud of manipulation to the upside that is always present.  

I would also offer this - anyone that thinks the Fed does NOT have trading soliders on the ground using vast TA resources to know exactly when and where to take a crack at things is out of their mind.  How do you think AMZN has done what it has over the last few years?  Why do we always seem to get a jawboning muscle flex at certain points on a chart? 

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 09:58 | 5751330 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

HFT liquidity 4 eva!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:17 | 5749153 venturen
venturen's picture

====> DOW 18000 Tomorrow

====> DOW 20000 Tomorrow

====> DOW 25000 Tomorrow

====> DOW 100000 Tomorrow

====> DOW 1000000 Tomorrow

====> DOW GOOGLE Tomorrow

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:27 | 5749196 HonkyShogun
HonkyShogun's picture

AAPL Shrugged.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:21 | 5749172 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Just all about pumping and dumping now to generate any return, pretty lame.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:06 | 5749179 Eastwood
Eastwood's picture

"Dogs. Dogs. I've got your head in a vise."

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:24 | 5749184 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

Hopefully...it's about time for gold and silver to do its things with all this printing and the imminent demise of the Euro via Greece.
Long metals is the only way to short this ponzi it seems...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:25 | 5749190 RealityCheque
RealityCheque's picture

Go go go, adult human traders. Chase that cursed reality away!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:27 | 5749193 HonkyShogun
HonkyShogun's picture

So this is what currency wars look like?

 

Interdasting.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:28 | 5749197 noben
noben's picture

I continue to be shocked and awed that Russia and China have not repudiated the USD, by backing their own currency with oil or gold.

WTF is China waiting for? Besides for 'moar' time to trade its US debt for hard assets around the globe.

I guess that this is China's version of playing the DOW: buying up Assets, Companies and Real Estate everywhere. Especially where there is a national crisis, to buy things dirt cheap.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:34 | 5749223 saints51
saints51's picture

China is waiting for the same owners of USA which happen to own China,Russia and the world to tell them what to do next. If you are relying on a communist regime to save the world then holy shit we have problems. When the right moment comes for the SDR , one of the world's owners will say go time.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:04 | 5749343 noben
noben's picture

I see your point, saints51. But if I look at the valuation of the SDR*, then I see a big problem: No BRIICS content. And the GBP is a joke in terms of the UK's GDP, relative to global GDP.

*https://www.imf.org/external/np/fin/data/rms_sdrv.aspx

What I do see as a possibility (maybe even a probability), is China and the other BRIICS trying to muscle they way to the SDR valuation table.

Who knows, perhaps when it's composed of the G20 nations, then and only then will it get global support. Until then, I see a lot of brinksmanship being played by countries and their CBs, when it comes to the USD and its switch to the SDR.

I suspect that the geo-political games that the US is playing has to do with managing membership at the SDR table, since the US and its globalist bosses want to have the final word in all matter of politics and finances.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:40 | 5749533 saints51
saints51's picture

You may be right. The Briics could tip the scale in their favor, muscling into a dominate force at the table. Like you said who knows. Maybe they go M.A.D. and say fuck it all.

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:23 | 5749684 American Dreams
American Dreams's picture

NOT the SDR gents, the www.wocu.com   Look it up, constructed by the same man that constructed the Euro, employees of the Rothschilds through Reuters and this little jewel DOES cover the BRICS and just about all the G-20.  Its already been argeed to in principal, it already trades and unlike the SDR is liquid to the second with real time pricing.

Know your enemy

AD

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:52 | 5749785 American Liberal
American Liberal's picture

I, for one, am glad there is a contingency plan in case other countries decide to derail the USD. Can you imagine the chaos that would ensue without an alternative waiting in the wings?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:45 | 5749556 new game
new game's picture

the dolla is the plan. simple. king shit dolla(for now).

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:24 | 5749687 American Dreams
American Dreams's picture

See above

Know your enemy

AD

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:05 | 5749372 noben
noben's picture

I see your point, saints51. But if I look at the valuation of the SDR*, then I see a big problem: No BRIICS content. And the GBP is a joke in terms of the UK's GDP, relative to global GDP.

*https://www.imf.org/external/np/fin/data/rms_sdrv.aspx

What I do see as a possibility (maybe even a probability), is China and the other BRIICS trying to muscle they way to the SDR valuation table.

Who knows, perhaps when it's composed of the G20 nations, then and only then will it get global support. Until then, I see a lot of brinksmanship being played by countries and their CBs, when it comes to the USD and its switch to the SDR.

I'd go so far as to postulate that the geo-political games that the US is playing has to do with managing who gets to sit at the SDR table, since the US wants to have the final word in all matter of politics and finances -- as do the globalist bosses who own the US Gov.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:42 | 5749263 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Arrrgh.  "Foiled again."

 

Everyone talking up yet another MONSTER 200,000 job print I imagine.

 

We know with the huge trade deficit number GDP was WAY overstated yet again.

 

ETR posted solid numbers so there is industrial growth inside at least a small section of the USA.  Still...I am on board the ZH thesis that Oil Annihilation is going to crush incomes, jobs, revenues, you name it.

 

My sources in North Dakota have all told me the same thing:  "none of the huge move higher in oil prices has meant a darn thing really."

 

Thanks for the bailout Uncle Sam!  You guys are real winners!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:43 | 5749266 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

The hundred day moving avg. literally made me naseous, "Roller coaster"  (the song) say what?

 

Holy shit...too fuggin funny

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:49 | 5749289 nakki
nakki's picture

No volume short squeeze just like every other PLUNGE of 5% is getting pretty ridiculous. Then again People still take Yen as payment.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:54 | 5749789 American Liberal
American Liberal's picture

I, for one, don't understand why people feel the need to short this market. Do they really believe the PPT will let this spiral out of control? The SPX is indicative of the strength of our country and is, literally, a foreign policy tool. To think otherwise is foolish.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:52 | 5749305 adr
adr's picture

Looks like it's time to pull Bullard out after the next drop, which based on the chart is about two days away. LOOK OUT FOR MONDAY!!!!

Then we'll get some central bank bullshit after the market closes on Tuesday, and then TO DOW MOON....

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 17:52 | 5749306 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

There is a stock in New York
They call UVXY
And it's been the ruin of many a poor trader
And God I know I'm one

My mother’s been short Priceline
Since it was at 13
My father favors an ‘IG9 Tranche’
But don’t ask him what that means

My brother gets things backwards
Since he stared into the sun
That’s why he keeps CCC munis
In his (k)401

Oh Jamie, tell your traders
Not to do what I have done
Kept in my desk, while all-short RUT
A freshly-loaded gun

Well, I got one hand on the trigger
The other on my mouse
I'm goin' back to Graham & Dodd
Before they take my house

Well, there is a stock in New York
They call TVIX
And it's been the ruin of many a poor trader
And God I know I'm one

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:04 | 5749622 Pareto
Pareto's picture

+100 brilliant.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:18 | 5749666 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Nice, FAZ me motherfucker....

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:16 | 5749416 wmbz
wmbz's picture

The DOW will stay on an upward trajectory. No significant downward move will be allowed. The un-fed will just step in and buy. They have the ulitimate control, until they don't!

When does this "thing" start to seriously unwind? I have no idea, been wrong for a long time.  The fraud is fully ingrained into the system, devoid of any and all honesty.

One day though a real "unexpected" will surface and kaboom!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:20 | 5749434 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

KING DOLLAR!!!!!!!!!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:30 | 5749483 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

The Federallies Plunging the excrement to the top of the charts, thats a neat trick.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 18:45 | 5749548 Spungo
Spungo's picture

I wonder how many accidental pregnancies Gartman would have if he were a woman.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:17 | 5749660 kristian01
kristian01's picture

.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:16 | 5749661 kristian01
kristian01's picture

I can't help but be continuously impressed with the brilliant use of chart scale at ZH...a 2 point move in S&P futures after-market looks like Lehman '08... get a grip dude

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 19:42 | 5749742 walküre
walküre's picture

Still no QE and Fed is on target to tighten this summer.

ECB hasn't dropped a single Euro into the market yet. Euro is down sharply since beginning of the year and Europeans are buying their indexes. Money is flooding from savings accounts with negative rates into the markets. Big whoopdie doo!

The view from the sidelines is the best view!

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