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Schauble And Varoufakis Meeting Ends: "We Didn't Even Agreed To Disagree"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Less than 24 hours after the ECB showed it would only play hardball from now on, there were some hopes that either the Greek position would soften or that Germany would indicate it may agree to at least a modest compromise to avoid the worst possible outcome.

Alas, as the following photo from the ongoing press conference between the finance ministers of Greece and Germany shows...

... it was not meant to be.

  • SCHAEUBLE SAYS HAD INTENSIVE TALKS WITH VAROUFAKIS
  • SCHAEUBLE SAYS NO AGREEMENT YET WITH VAROUFAKIS ON WAY AHEAD
  • SCHAEUBLE: GERMANY MUST HAVE UNDERSTANDING FOR GREEK WOES
  • SCHAEUBLE: GREECE MUST WORK WITH TROIKA AS PER PRIOR AGREEMENTS
  • SCHAEUBLE: SAYS SOME GREEK POLICY MEASURES GO IN WRONG DIRECTION
  • SCHAEUBLE: DEBT CUT FOR GREECE IS NOT ON THE TABLE
  • SCHAEUBLE: HAVE GONE TO THE LEGAL LIMITS IN PROVIDING AID

The punchline:

  • SCHAEUBLE: MY PRESS SPOKESMAN ADVISED ME TO SAY "WE AGREED TO DISAGREE"

And the other side:

  • VAROUFAKIS SAYS HAS NOT REACHED AGREEMENT WITH SCHAEUBLE
  • VAROUFAKIS SAYS OUTLINED GREEK GOVT PRIORITIES TO SCHAEUBLE
  • VAROUFAKIS SAYS AGREED WITH SCHAEUBLE TO ENTER A CONSULTATION
  • VAROUFAKIS SAYS IT IS TIME TO PUT AN END TO GREECE'S ECONOMIC WOES, SURE PEOPLE OF GERMANY WANT TO GET OVER GREEK SAGA
  • VAROUFAKIS SAYS WE DIDN'T DISCUSS GREECE'S DEBT REPAYMENT SCHEDULE OR DEBT HAIRCUT

Yanis' punchline:

  • VAROUFAKIS SAYS "WE DIDN'T EVEN AGREE TO DISAGREE"

Said otherwise, if the ECB had hoped that by escalating the political fight by yanking the proverbial financial rug from under Greece it would lead to a quick submission of Greece, it has so far failed.

All of this happens after ECB member Peter Praet had some choice comments of his own as well:

  • PRAET SAYS DECISION ON GREEK WAIVER WAS 'NOT AN EASY DECISION'
  • PRAET SAYS DECISION ON GREEK WAIVER 'SHOULDN'T BE A SURPRISE'

It wasn't a surprise: as we noted on January 31, Vitor Constancio was kind enough to warn Greece this was coming several days ago. But the bigger question is why wasn't this an "easy decision" - after all isn't the ECB just following its rules? Because if it wasn't "easy" it implies there was much discretion in the choice, discretion which makes it very clear this latest escalation is nothing but a move by a central bank which is anything but, and is now clearly a political power broker to an increasingly troubled continent, which as some are starting to whisper, is starting to lose control.

Watch the press conference here:

 

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Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:44 | 5746514 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

This is gonna be fun...in a macabre sort of way.

Something needs to be the trigger to begin the process of wringing out the insanity in the socioeconomic system. It might as well be this.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:47 | 5746520 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Screw you guys.....so can we have the money?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:52 | 5746536 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

The problem here is that Greece wants to default and if Greece defaults then Portugal, Spain and Italy may want relief on their debts too.

Also Syriza are NOT part of the political establishment, they don't give a shit about institutions or lobbyists.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:54 | 5746545 negative rates
negative rates's picture

We settled WW1 the same way, with a hundred year timer, now times up and it's game on.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:01 | 5746571 aPlayer
aPlayer's picture

This Yanis guy is really a rock star. The 1st politician I see in my life who actually talks sense.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:07 | 5746604 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

I have an old Milli Vanilli tape that my girlfried left in my bedroom back in Jr. High that may be of interest to you. 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:13 | 5746634 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Screw Milli Vanilli, now about that girl friends bedroom...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:26 | 5746685 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

This is all Kabuki Theater, for domestic political consumption (for respective nations' citizens, whether Germans or Greeks).

Greece will be bailed out, as will Spain, Italy, France, Portugal, etc.

The costs to the net-balance positive EU nations (the few that exist) will be MASSIVE; so much so that it WILL ultimately & inevitably & necessarily break the core, as a simple matter of basic math & necessary horrid monetary policy...

...but not before they extend the illusion & pretend that this is fixable for as long as possible.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:27 | 5746699 IronLead
IronLead's picture

Greece is bancrupt because it spend like a drunken sailor and just voted another round of communists into power.

 

How would anyone be tempted to give them more money?

 

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:32 | 5746720 Arius
Arius's picture

It looka like Schwaube puts a lot of weight on his advisor ... who is that guy btw?

 

or even better WHO ARE THOSE GUYS beyond the curtain?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:59 | 5746868 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

man, ole swabbeled makes dick chenney look like a sweetheart.....

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 11:00 | 5747207 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

Soooo?... What Were The Parting Words???

""Fuck You... /// Yes, Fuck You Too..."" ?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:06 | 5746762 DavidC
DavidC's picture

IronLead,
Quite, and why the ECB is as much at fault as Greece.

Would YOU lend to a drunken spendthrift sailor in the first place? I wouldn't.

DavidC

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 12:05 | 5747519 Againstthelie
Againstthelie's picture

Well, you are the pivileged witness of the reality of MULTICULTURALISM and INTERNATIONALISM - the NWO.

Force different nations and cultures together - and that is the result. Always has. Always will be.

But human arrogance to believe to be the crown of all living things and even stupid enough to believe standing above nature and it's eternal laws that do not know equality, instead of accepting being only one part of nature, will always lead to desaster.

If it is the stupidity to create a debt based monetary system based on exponential growth on a limited planet, or cultural Marxism that denies the differences between nations, cultures and races among the human species.

Be it the EUSSR, USSR, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia - or Detroit...

Mankind can ignore the differences, ignore biology for so long. Nature has time and it's laws react slowly. Sometimes they need hundreds of years to unfold. But one day the laws of nature will correct human stupidity.

 

Germans are not Greeks, Blacks different from Whites, men are different to women.

Politics follows biology.

 

Grab some popcorn and watch how the mentally ill, infected by cultural Marxism, do everything to keep living in their fata morgana of equality while the drama of the EUSSR unfolds and deepens with every measure they do, to rape the laws of nature.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:29 | 5746711 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

We need something somewhere to break -- suddenly in the night.

I would love to see capital outflows from Greek banks tight about now.

My bet -- if this rhetoric keeps up -- we have a Greek bank failure by the end of the month.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:43 | 5746767 Arius
Arius's picture

how about breaking you?

 

would you take one for the team ???

 

... sucker ... typical german,

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:46 | 5746784 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Breaking me?

Well stacking + cash -- that's gonna be difficult to do.

So if being prudent and fiscally conservative makes me a sucker, I'll thank you for the compliment Dr. Krugman.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:53 | 5746817 Arius
Arius's picture

i did not mean it literally ... i am not sure, if what you are doing is the best avenue forward ... my two cents

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:56 | 5746842 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

You are incoherent.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:11 | 5746934 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

"Dr. Krugman."

 

No need to go all potty mouth on him.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:32 | 5746709 philipat
philipat's picture

When you owe the Bank $100K, you have a problem. When you owe the Bank $350 Billion, the Bank has a problem?

Greece has two choices. Either a very difficult future in servitude to Berlin and Brusels, or a very difficult future with its own currency and sovereignty and with new trading partners in the East.

Perhaps the EU needs to re-assess its position somewhat?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 11:29 | 5747365 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

“To be born again,' sang Gibreal Farishta tumbling from the heaveans, 'first you have to die. Ho ji! Ho ji! To land upon the bosomy earth, first one needs to fly Tat-taa! Takatun! How to ever smile again, if first you won't cry? How to win the darling's love mister, without a sigh?”        -   S. Rushdie, "Satanic Verses"

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:23 | 5746666 Lea
Lea's picture

Philo Beddoe

"I have an old Milli Vanilli tape that my girlfried left"

You have a girlfiend who listens to Milli Vanilli? *cough, shudder* I wonder if you understand this says a lot about you?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:24 | 5746681 Unix
Unix's picture

He said tape, no one listens to tapes anymore, I bet it has a half inch of dust on it, LOL

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:40 | 5746754 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

In this era any girl who would enter my bedroom was allowed to bring whatever she wanted. I was always hoping for another girl. 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 14:55 | 5748396 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Hmm, so long as Clyde didn't get jealous! :>D

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:10 | 5746619 Unix
Unix's picture

aplayer, you are kidding right?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:19 | 5746644 spellbound
spellbound's picture

Could Varoufakis be just the other part of the dialectic???...There's no business like showbusiness.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:00 | 5746581 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

There's no way out of this mess now.

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:31 | 5746721 NoVa
NoVa's picture

The guy without the tie can NOT be serious because he does not have a tie...

 

Germany will continue to play hardball - as will Greece.  This will not end quietly and debt/equitiy volatility will continue to rise.

 

Nova

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:02 | 5746588 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Right I think it is important to compare Post WWI Germany with Greece today. And the US 2005 - Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005 (BAPCPA), and 1978 - Bankruptcy Reform Act of 1978,

- WORLD AWASH WITH MORE DEBT THAN BEFORE FINANCIAL CRISIS...
- Number of billionaires surges to record high...
- World's superrich own $3 trillion in homes...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:10 | 5746614 negative rates
negative rates's picture

You are right, lets take the default all the way back to 1913, across the board, the Fed failed and now everyone pays, unless you got the money to do otherwise.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:14 | 5746627 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

back to 1913

 

Everyone in the DeLorean.

 

Hang on.....the could get bumpy.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:24 | 5746678 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It's interesting you go back to 1913.  I was thinking more along the lines of the Civil War.  North vs. South.  Serious disagreement over how things should be.  Destroyed the union to save the union, etc.  

Just in Europe and the Union is the EU instead of the US.

Not a perfect analogy, I admit, but the parallels are enough to draw my attention.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:01 | 5746840 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Yeah. Civil War over Economic Power issues? Maybe that makes sense.

- EU goes back to Treaty of Rome 1957, then the control & power was applied in 1999 over the Eurozone, initially it says the Dutch were making waves

- 1913 is the day the US Constitution was deregulated to shift power to private Banking Cartel

- 1861-1965 are the dates of Civil War (less than 100 years from the Union of the USA)
- Southern States, former Confederate states, are said to have been suppressed economically following the Civil War, Low Investment, Investment by Northern Yankees attempting to create monopolies or oligopolies...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:14 | 5746944 SumTing Wong
SumTing Wong's picture

And then there's that whole period from 1873-1896. It's called the Long Depression in the U.S., and it was probably the worst of economic times for this country. Remember this...they used ammunition as currency back then. But that was because a musket ball could arguably mean a meal for you. Today we have too many hunting/zoning laws for people to be able to provide for themselves unless they are growing it themselves. And then the ammunition will be for protection of those items and not for taking it down.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 11:54 | 5747473 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Yeah, I think the Bankers were very tight with money back then. Then after 1913 I see bankers tightening up again after the stock market crash (1929-1945) through the end of WWII. Funny how banks managed to find money to help Germany prior to WWII though...

Interesting point about ammo as currency.

I heard that farmers used silver certificates till the banks petitioned to remove them from circulation. Lots of stuff to shoot on a farm unless you have dust bowl conditions.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 16:24 | 5748858 jerry_theking_lawler
jerry_theking_lawler's picture

OK. In a EOTWAWKI situation, how much is $3T of homes actually worth?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:25 | 5746679 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

The cascade effect is the reason nothing will happen again. Greece will get more "loans", they will lessen the austerity and everyone declares victory once again. Should be good for a 10% boost in the "markets". Isn't digital money fun!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:29 | 5746697 Hannibal Barca
Hannibal Barca's picture

SYRIZA scum is the most established of all established parties. This son of a bitch Varoufakis is the son of the greatest Greek industrialist and his wife's father was the greatest during the 80's.......................... Don't bite the stupid leftist propaganda you recieve here and elsewhere....

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:53 | 5746541 Mike in GA
Mike in GA's picture

@Cognitive Dissonance - Yeah, this sliver of truth in an ocean of pretend is like ice cold water in the face. Bound to have unknowable effects.  It's like a modern-day "Emperor has no Clothes" story.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:57 | 5746561 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

cog - we all know greece is a small economic problem for the EU..all it's debt and debt swaps etc are not large enough to impact the west.

however varoufakis should be talking with other partners (putin)..if greece were to aline with russia offer naval bases - provide land for energy pipelines - that is what would shake the EU and US markets..I hope they do Putin has an opportunity to end run the Eu and USA lets hope he takes it.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:00 | 5746579 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I have no illusion Greece will take down the system. As I said above, something needs to be the trigger to begin the process.

And I suspect Greece has already had some secret high level discussions with Russia. It is just as clear to Greece as it is to us here on ZH and elsewhere there is a growing alignment against the west. If Greece wishes to free itself from debt slavery it is going to need help during the transition. Russia and China might just be that help.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:04 | 5746599 Unix
Unix's picture

Half a trillion, nah, drop in the bucket, for sure! However, there are other EU countries teetering too, with even bigger debt. This is so like watching grass grow.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:31 | 5746713 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

CD- the ECB and the EU technocrats are smart enough to know this.  That's why I think they'll stop at nothing on this.  If Greece leaves the EU must make it so painful on them that other countries wouldn't dare try it in the future.  Sanctions at least, possibly worse up to an including overthrowing the Greek government, and/or stationing UN "peace keeping" troops in Greece (for the safety of the citizens, of course).

If Greece goes, they must be utterly destroyed in the process.  It's not even a choice.  It must be done if they hope to preserve the EU and more importantly the Euro.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:23 | 5747009 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I suspect you are correct and something 'they' are telling Greece behind closed doors. Play or be destroyed because there is no retreat without utter defeat.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:05 | 5746597 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Your assumption that "Greece is too small to matter" is wrong.

Greece will never be allowed to reach East because the minute they do the tanks roll in Athens and we get Junta version ii , so stop talking about it. Tsipras knows that too.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:10 | 5746613 taraxias
taraxias's picture

The only way Greece can get the EU and German attention is to immediately put in place strict capital controls and make a statement to the effect that if they don't have an agreement in 48 hours they are defaulting and leaving the euro. The markets then will clearly show how important or unimportant a Grexit really is. Unfortunately both Tsipras and Varoufakis discarded that ace in the hole before the game even begun.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:54 | 5747172 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

Just know...leaving the Euro would be incredibly disruptive to economic activity in Greece.   Given time, and a lot of planning, and extensive periods of dual currency transactions with businesses...the impact could be minimimized, but not minimal and it would test the patience of the Greek citizenry.  Patience that would need to last well beyond the typical political cycle.   In the end, it's probably what they should do, but the Greek people need to know they will have to go to a lot of coastal surf to get to calmer waters.....right now, they're still just trolling around in the marina.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:13 | 5746624 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

taraxias..good advice, but this time maybe it's the only action of sane men..Putin kicked the homo's out in the winter games..his country is trying to act with some moral standing vs the obvious deviate west..so greece has much in common with russia..but I get your fear..remember fear is the mind killer.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:01 | 5746582 Bloppy
Bloppy's picture

Of course this is a great reason for US futures to be screaming higher...

 

Is Brian Williams toast? Sure looks that way

http://tinyurl.com/qgf3lqb

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:11 | 5746620 CrimsonAvenger
CrimsonAvenger's picture

Brian Williams can go to hell with the rest of his fellow presstitutes. The Fourth Estate has been a profound disappointment.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:14 | 5746631 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

For you and I maybe, but most certainly not for the ruling class.

Presstitute Prozac.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:54 | 5746638 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Had Brian Williams warned us about Obama....I'd say let him go.

 

But it's strike 2....we can't just let him walk.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:36 | 5746745 CrimsonAvenger
CrimsonAvenger's picture

And I thought he could not lie, seeing how he likes big butts.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wpd2VaFt5iY

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:30 | 5746704 Arius
Arius's picture

he can start his own blog or website .. i am sure he will have plenty of followers ... he is such a news personality

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:02 | 5746592 Unix
Unix's picture

Paging Vincent Price to the white courtesy phone!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:09 | 5746616 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

The funk of forty thousand years
And grisly ghouls from every tomb
Are closing in to seal your doom

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:24 | 5746672 Unix
Unix's picture

It's a thriller, thriller...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:07 | 5746609 j0nx
j0nx's picture

Very similar to the late September 1938 meetings between the Czechs and the Germans where the Germans were making unrealistic demands of the Czechs to accept or be invaded. Germans it seems have a bad habit of this sort of thing and something tells me that the rest of Southern Europe has not forgotten those days now, particularly the Greeks.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:16 | 5746639 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Wasn't one of the first public functions by the new Greek PM to visit a memorial for hundreds of Greeks killed by Nazi's? You think he was trying to say something there?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:26 | 5746692 Paper CRUSHer
Paper CRUSHer's picture

Members of the Golden Dawn Party were arrested yesterday and trial is scheduled later which clearly shows the Greek PM got plenty of balls by taking preemptive action to limit any further escalation/destablization by the group.

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:36 | 5746742 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The first thing you do when taking the reins of power is to consolidate your power and suppress all others.

It doesn't matter if you are the 'good' guys or not, you always play out this script.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:53 | 5746815 Paper CRUSHer
Paper CRUSHer's picture

Exactly.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:01 | 5746873 samsara
samsara's picture

From Yesterday;

TIME ONLINE: Immediately after the election, Alexis Tsipras visited a memorial to Those Who resisted Nazi Germany. That has therefore been of understood as a provocation. Is that a misunderstanding, as well?

 

 

Varoufakis: The Golden Dawn party has risen to become the third-strongest force in our parliament. They are not neo-Nazis; They Are Nazis. We must fight them, always and everywhere. Laying down roses on the monument was a message to the Nazis in my country. It was not a signal directed toward Germany.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:26 | 5746693 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:35 | 5746728 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

You know, he might just be able to pass as (a) black (sheep).

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:45 | 5746768 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

You sir, have always been an optimist.  Yes, let's hope this it.  It would be nice to see bankers and financiers actually have to work for a living, like everyone else.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:55 | 5746831 sam i am
sam i am's picture

via https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=4046811478707691837&postID=1124396481163814455

Wayne Madsen warns of abundant signs that the new Greek Finance Minister Varoufakas is a Soros Trojan horse. Varoufakas has dual Australian/UK citizenship, ties to Brookings Institute, worked for a Bill Gates company.

He is a co-author w James Kenneth Galbraith, son of John K Galbraith who is linked to Brookings too.

Varoufakas was economic adviser to Papandreous, who initiated Greece's austerity. 

-more:

http://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2015/01/29/a-soros-trojan-horse-in...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:57 | 5746855 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

it didn't help matters when Yanis said relax, schnitzel face, it's all good.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:45 | 5746522 IronLead
IronLead's picture

What do the communists offer other than another failed communist utopia and spending money they don't have?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:53 | 5746547 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

They offer to implode the Mega Banks and Political Stupidity.  Hopefully after the carnage is cleaned up the worlds financial system will return to the basics.  A world where credit is extended based on merrit not CDS's, CDO's and all the other financial engineering bullshit created by WallStreet.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:58 | 5746563 IronLead
IronLead's picture

The Banks are not on the hook for greek debt but other european nations.

 

The only thing the comunists offer is imploding Greece.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:00 | 5746577 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Sorry, the banks underwrote the bonds and then sold insurance against those bonds.  Creating an illision that the bonds were safe when in fact they were only suited for ass wipe paper.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:05 | 5746603 IronLead
IronLead's picture

And now greeks expect anyone to give them money after that?

Their problem is: They want german money but not be thankful for it. So instead of being thankful they take the money and invent some bullshit around it, so that they can take the money and still hate Germany. It's quite a nonsensical childish attitude but it fits their mentality to the T.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:47 | 5746776 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

NO, I think that the greek people expect everyone else to fuck off.  Only the greeks can fix greece you stupid fuck.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:50 | 5746800 IronLead
IronLead's picture

Bullshit, if you want that you don't vote communists into power. And watch your language you liar.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:07 | 5746608 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

credit default swaps are worth nothing if the banks declare it not a credit event

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:42 | 5746758 Arius
Arius's picture

@escapeKey

 

i dont think this guy understand the concept of credit swaps and derivatives ... he seems to think all these "loans" that ballooned from 2.5 billion to 350 billion in a matter of few years is REAL MONEY ... it is not amigo ... and believe me, they have not done it only to Greece ... it will come to your neighboorhod soon ... they are careful with the frog, they dont raise the heat right away. ..

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:39 | 5746740 Captain Willard
Captain Willard's picture

Party's Over: Originally, yes.

But the banks have long since escaped. The Troika and the EU holds most of the Greek debt now. Tyler posted an article on it yesterday and so did Bloomberg.

And of course, the insurance or CDS is a zero-sum game anyway.

So please stop with the "stick it to the banks" meme with respect to this situation. No banks will be hurt, sadly. Dutch truck drivers will suffer more than Goldman Sachs, I assure you.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:01 | 5746584 Unix
Unix's picture

There are those pesky derivatives, and who cares where the debt is currently, it's still debt and someone is holding it.

BOOM, out go the lights.

A global reset would be nice though! If you can make it through the chaos, to the other side???

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:56 | 5746556 negative rates
negative rates's picture

They made you believe they were a failure and spent money they didn't have. They offer that.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:29 | 5746701 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

First they build drones and bailout their banksters

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:46 | 5746525 bjax
bjax's picture

Great let's see where this ends. You can't take what they haven't got. It's only bankers that are worried. Everyone I  meet these days can't wait for the collapse !!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:09 | 5746615 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

sheesh, it won't be a happy event. i can't help feeling that those who wish for it this badly not only will be massively disappointed when it DOES happen, but also that they have some sort of major gap in their lives of current

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:13 | 5746635 CrimsonAvenger
CrimsonAvenger's picture

Agree. My wife thinks I'm wishing for it to happen, but there's a difference between wishing for something and grimly acknowledging its inevitability. It's going to be harsh, with lots of suffering going around.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:19 | 5746650 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

Kinda like some trailer park whore wishing her husband would stop fucking other broads behind her back and start beating her instead. 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:45 | 5746769 samsara
samsara's picture

I think it's something like having had a nagging dull toothache for DAYS.....   and then you start looking at that pair of pliers on the table. 

The pliers are gonna hurt like a motherfcker,  but one more day of this dull consuming pain you will start looking at the gun instead.

No one is wishing for the pain the Pliers will bring,  they just can't stand another day of the dull low level pain....

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:48 | 5746526 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

So let's leave it alone, 'cause we can't see eye to eye.
There ain't no good guys, there ain't no bad guys.
There's only you and me and we just disagree.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:49 | 5746534 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Billy Mack is a detective down in Texas
You know he knows just exactly what the facts is
He ain't gonna let those two escape justice
He makes his livin' off of the people's taxes

Bobbie Sue, whoa, whoa, she slipped away
Billy Joe caught up to her the very next day

They got the money, hey
You know they got away
They headed down south and they're still running today
Singin' go on take the money and run

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:57 | 5746564 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

I play it when the ES Market gets slow.  It is motivating.  LOL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-WCFUGCOLLU

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:29 | 5746700 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

+100 Dave Mason

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:47 | 5746528 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

I feel bad for YV because he looks like he is trying to negotiate with zombies aliens.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:53 | 5746538 Rip van Wrinkle
Rip van Wrinkle's picture

Just looking at the picture of the two of them. If you know nothing about financial matters at all, who would you follow? The miserable fucker on the left who looks as if he's just come out of a concentration camp or the engaging bald guy on the right?

 

The ECB has a persona problem.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:00 | 5746573 Unix
Unix's picture

The ECB has a debt problem, so does Greece, so tell me how they are different again?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:30 | 5746716 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Greece has a chance at fixing itself, albeit painfully. ECB, not so much

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:36 | 5746734 Unix
Unix's picture

Do you really think they can fix themselves? I think you will see cocktails on the streets before that happens, but that is just my humble opinion. Your right about the ECB though!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:44 | 5746771 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

Opportunity and action are two different things. I'm not optimistic, but I did point out a difference.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:36 | 5746743 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

 a headline we might see soon: russian navy vessels anchor at patraiis for good will visit. Greece welcomes the economic stimulus of visiting seamen. Schauble calls for war.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:59 | 5746574 youngman
youngman's picture

It looks like A WWF press conference before the match....there is no love there

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:05 | 5746596 brooklynlou
brooklynlou's picture

I wonder if Schnitzel face offered him a cup of coffee during the meeting or did Varoufakis have to pay for it.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:50 | 5746531 Anasteus
Anasteus's picture

Very good, Yanis!

Just hold on!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:49 | 5746535 litemine
litemine's picture

David and the Central Bankers.

All that story took was a small smooth stone correctly placed. That outcome changed the World.tGood Luck Greece, looks like you started The 2015 Euro Winter, lets hope they don't force it to go Nuclear.

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:53 | 5746542 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Waiting for Greece to announce the use of an internal currency. Gold? Silver? Bottle caps? I'm leaning towards caps...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:57 | 5746559 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

There's a precedence for salt....sea salt.....better!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:59 | 5746568 Unix
Unix's picture

What about goat milk?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:58 | 5746570 negative rates
negative rates's picture

They put an order in (London) to print the money 3 years ago in case this occurred. And they won't accept bottle caps so you'll have to keep trading those on your own.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:52 | 5746543 Ancientkarma
Ancientkarma's picture

Context;ancient philosophers... v...money madmen

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:53 | 5746544 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

If Greece defaults then the banksters will have Varoufakis killed.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:57 | 5746566 Unix
Unix's picture

If Greece defaults, there will be hell to pay in the EU, the dominoes will start to fall quickly after that happens.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:04 | 5746594 negative rates
negative rates's picture

The domino is dead, long live the domino's.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:23 | 5746676 if
if's picture

If Greece defaults they will be the least of his worries...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:54 | 5746546 cherry picker
cherry picker's picture

Has anyone ever seen SCHAEUBLE smile?

I have never seen a picture of him without a dour look on his face.  He must have a misreable existance.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:57 | 5746562 Brazen Heist
Brazen Heist's picture

He's in a wheelchair, so maybe that's why.

Fuck the whole lot of these Eurotwats.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:19 | 5746649 serotonindumptruck
serotonindumptruck's picture

Had to do an advanced search, but I found one.

Kinda creepy.

http://www.pi-news.net/2014/12/schaeuble-zuwanderung-verbessert-unseren-...

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:54 | 5746548 Unix
Unix's picture

There will be more talks, and talks and talks, but the reality is Greece is insolvent, by their own socialist doings. That is not to say the ECB is any better, just the reality!

I think eventually, they will find a way to kick the can a bit further.

Damn, those cans must be pretty worn out by now!?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:12 | 5746932 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Unix,
Agreed about the ECB. If I, as a regular newspaper reader at the time, could see that it was accounting shenanigans by GS to shoehorn Greece into the EU, surely the ECB, with all its PhD economists could see the same?

DavidC

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:55 | 5746549 samcontrol
samcontrol's picture

ok. , This should go down like this.

Greeks pay nothing from now on, because they can't.

One major " crowd event" on the new government and default is annouced the very next day.

Back to the drachma , back to growth , 50%+ haircut on idiots with bonds.

Euro goes one one on the dollar.US Markets only fall 15% on Bs. Europe down 30% on even bigger BS. Markets rebound somewhat by years end.

Gold$1500.

Wait a year , Portugal, and/or Spain follow.

Gold$2000

ect,..

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:06 | 5746600 negative rates
negative rates's picture

My head is spinning just thinking about it.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:55 | 5746551 Brazen Heist
Brazen Heist's picture

Germany somehow expects austerity will continue to "work" in a country that has contracted already by a quarter of its former size in the last 5 years?

Germans are stubborn as fuck.

Greece should just default and walk away. How much more could they lose?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:17 | 5746647 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

I don't know anything about the Lobbying in Deutschland.

But the Bankers make Bonus Money by convincing everyone that no Haircut is possible, haircuts are a bad idea, no one wants haircuts, banks can't afford haircuts, etc. So... the Leaders of the EU, ECB, & Germany say the same thing.

- Bonuses are tied to preventing haircuts, losses on Loans

Why would corporations ever agree to taking losses on Greek Loans or Greek Bonds????? It would be stupid business.

You are right. Greece should default, leave the EU, and go to Drachma... make deals with new people.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:23 | 5746671 IronLead
IronLead's picture

There has been a haircut by private investors. Just look it up.

 

The debt is now mostly held by other european nations.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:06 | 5746898 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

yeah, had that an hour ago. I don't call it a bailout if you charge interest on a new loan. I think people that buy these bonds and make loans to Greece are idiot executives that should lose their bonus money and golden parachutes.

- Greece owes EUR 315bn(or $322 B Eur?)
- Entire Eurozone exposed to Athens for €195 billion
- Germany €60 billion, France €46 billion, Italy €40 billion
- In May 2010, leaders unveiled €110bn (£93bn) bailout from EU, ECB, and IMF
- In July 2010 leaders agreed another €109bn bailout, private bondholders took €50bn hit by accepting losses on their bonds without triggering CDS
- In 2012 the next bailout was $130 Billion Euros.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:30 | 5746710 negative rates
negative rates's picture

For the past 20 years, In Argentina the 10 year has only returned 70% of its principle. Instead of advertizing it, we hide the facts and move to a new country, where if they agree to the haircut, we publish the dealeo, if they don't, we move on and agree to disagree. The fork in the road has lead to Europe, the denial of it all has played out, and fat lady has sung and piper has lead Mr. Bond to the river. At the river their is noose and tree limb, you can take the easy way out, or swim across the river and begin life anew. It's your choice but the choice must be made now and published later, so which you choose? Burbon, whiskey or beer??

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:15 | 5746960 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Well not sure how to describe all of this. I get what you are saying and seems true.

But where are the Responsible parties in the Banks or other instututions that made these loans and bought these bonds?

It really looks like a game played by both sides. Maybe the equal of US State Department giving money to leaders of countries to wage terror war, establish relationships with their military & train them in our schools, and ...provide bribe money for weapons, buildings, someone's bank account, maybe tuition for someone's sons in American Schools. A Game. Money is given to someone for an expected payoff.

Who signed these loan and Bonds deals? How much money did they make from the deals and from salary & compensation? It there an incentive to make poor deals?

- Big Three Auto Makers in the USA are on the Decline, and GM has had multiple bailouts. Who sined their union agreements, who ran those budgets and spend too much on Executive Bonuses and Compenation? Lee Iacoca? yes, and he is probably rich from it.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 12:20 | 5747592 gallistic
gallistic's picture

NAZI

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:35 | 5747069 samcontrol
samcontrol's picture

teeth...

there is always a winner in every trade...

Greece will default... it is normal modern economics.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:56 | 5746552 brooklynlou
brooklynlou's picture

So ...

Varoufakis: "We must address the systemic issues in the Eurozone or risk..."
Schaeuble: "Just shut the f**k up and pay me."

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:07 | 5746605 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Don't make us send Paulie.....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ydqjqZ_3oc

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:56 | 5746553 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

SCHAEUBLE: GREECE MUST WORK WITH TROIKA AS PER PRIOR AGREEMENTS...

... based on which agreement exactly? Which contract? What does Troika even mean?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troika

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:17 | 5746964 neuronius
Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:56 | 5746555 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

Varoufakis will not be finance minister for long.

The knives have already been drawn for his demise.

Let's see if he an cause any mayhem before the first knife strikes his back.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:58 | 5746557 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture
Schauble And Varoufakis Meeting Ends: "We Didn't Even Agreed To Disagree"

We want your property that includes oil and natural gas under it for the "fake interst" that we know you can never "repay" the Troika...

And our manager Uncle Sam that has had military bases on you for the last 65 years has no intention of leaving even when you tell him he has to leave!  After all... He has another World War to start and your Country like the rest of Europe is the "spring board" into that pool!!!

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:59 | 5746567 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

....and seemingly unnoticed in US news. Challenger jobs cuts was rather ugly. Good for a green ramp in futures. Guess its a bad is good day. i can never tell.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 08:58 | 5746569 Catullus
Catullus's picture

The lack of ties and unbuttoned shirts tells me who's in charge in the lender-debtor government bond thing.

When other people owe you money and can't pay, they don't call you out as an asshole and show up looking like they just fell out of bed.

Government bonds are SUCKERS' BETS.

I can't wait for the Italians to do the same. I want to see better suits if you're going to go tieless.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:07 | 5746606 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Three Greek banks tap two billion euros in emergency funding: sources

 

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/02/03/uk-eurozone-greece-banks-exclusive-idUKKBN0L70VT20150203

 

Three of Greece's four major banks have started to tap emergency funding from the Greek central bank as some depositors have withdrawn their money due to political uncertainty, two sources familiar with the situation told Reuters on Tuesday.''

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:12 | 5746610 tok1
tok1's picture

Its pretty clear that.

1) the Greek finance minister knows what hes talking about and seems to have some real ideas on 

creative resolution .

2) Merkel ect.. who tried to push him seem to have much less of an idea..  for all the crap about how well ECB Draghi has done.. 1/2 the EU has over 10-20% unemployment ro his policy is a complete failure.

Negative rates have been a complete disaster (prob German idea they seem to be into punishment.. everyone must be punished,,they should have gone for QE or left it a zero...

no focus on resolution unless its Germany that has issue (WW!/WW2/ German reunification)  

So if Greece starts a war kills 20 mill plus then they get restructure right..

 

Just like with QE where Germany insisted for months it should not happen (but were out voted by ITaly/Spain/France/Irland/Portregal ect..

So too here they will be out voted and this smart Greek Finance minister will get a deal because hes the only one that makes any sense and the rest (Merkel / German finance minister) are just yabbering a party line..

 

Or maybe the WW2 debt forgivness to Germany should be re looked at.. indexed for inflation and the paid back to the relevent parties (ahh right guess thats not up for discussion)..

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:12 | 5746621 Cannon Fodder
Cannon Fodder's picture

Can someone explain the basics of how this all began? Did Greece already have a lot of debt due to social programs and then the EU loaned them even more?Did this all start with the 2008/09 crisis?

Is the "austerity" an impact on the banks of Greece or the individual citizens (if so how).

My apologies for the elementary questions here. I've been trying to follow this but didn't know the underlying history.

Thanks.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:22 | 5746659 Unix
Unix's picture

IT all started at the beginning...WW1

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:35 | 5746736 negative rates
negative rates's picture

When a financial advisor dupped a client.......

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:45 | 5746733 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Everyone says Greek budget & debt looked bad prior to them joining the EU, they say JPM or GS dressed up the Debt to make it look good. Wikipedia states Greece joined the EU on 1 January 1981. Eurozone, Monetary Union, is dated 1 January 1999, Greece's Debt is more of an issue for Eurozone, so JPM or GS probably worked it around 1999.

Then I got this from the Telegraph:

- George Papandreou followed in the footsteps of his father and grandfather in 2009, becoming the third member of his family to serve as Greek Prime Minister. But he soon discovered that the country had been understating its public debts for years, and two months into his new job Greece's credit rating - the assessment of the country's ability to pay its bills - was downgraded from A- to BBB+ by Fitch.

I assume corrupt governments (all of them) spin and lie about their Debts, GDP, Inflation, and Employment Levels... but when you think of the PIIGS you don't think of growth in Development either. Like today in the USA after 1979 top employment in Manufacturing... followed by decapitalization and decline... PIIGS didn't see Investment at high levels.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:47 | 5746775 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

The squid helped them get into the EU by lying about Greek debt levels. The Eurozone spice flowed for a while, enriching politicians and the usual back hander gang. Mr Papandreou became the most highly paid leader in the world. Then, suddenly and with great surprise to all, Greece starting having debt problems. The Greek people were asked to pay up, many of them went to Syntagma square to throw things. Lots of the people who were throwing things came together to form a socialist dream team and oust the EU glove puppets. So here we are.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 12:53 | 5747751 gallistic
gallistic's picture

That was an awesomely succint description of the situation.

Now that the spice flow will certainly be disrupted, the Greeks must not fear, for fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-death that will bring total obliteration. The Greeks must face their fear. They must permit it to pass over them and through them, and when it has gone past, they can turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing, only Greece will remain.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:47 | 5746791 IronLead
IronLead's picture

1) Greece received billions every year from the EU. This was NOT debt, but part of an EU wide program to help poorer regions. Directly paid for by richer european nations.

2) On top of that the greek state took on 300 billion of debt, which grew more and more and in 2010 led to their bancruptcy. This debt was mostly from banks.

3) They spend their money on nonsensical stuff. For example they had more state employees than even Germany.

4) The "austerity" is an attempt to get the spending in Greece under control. It came after Greece was bancrupt.

 

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:13 | 5746633 alrightee_then
alrightee_then's picture

Schauble a true globalist wants a global tax

Germany’s Wolfgang Schäuble Promotes Globalist Tax Collection

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:18 | 5746636 GC
GC's picture

I'm sympathetic to Greece and I've to say to commentators saying "Greece cannot do it because then Italy and Spain will" that that is a false problem.

 

The big difference is that Greek debt (at least, the part Greece wants to default on) is held mostly by other EU Member States, the ECB and the IMF: a default is possible because the immediate pain would be felt by states and international insitutions, not (not right away, at least) by the Greek citizens or EU citizens, nor by Greek banks, since that's the part the Greek government wouldn't default on.

Italy and Spain have their debt held largely by the public and their own public at that, so the default would immediately hurt their citizens and their banks. It would be suicidal for their economies and the governments' political life. 

Now, the much more real case is that if Greece gained some ease on the primary surplus/GDP ratio, that would be something Italy, Spain and others (France, for instance) would want to have as well... which is why Germany is adamant not only about haircuts, but also general easing of the greek budget conditions.

I wonder if the old Dracmas I still have as souvenirs will be legal tender soon again, that'd be neat.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:21 | 5746654 Unix
Unix's picture

...then there is reality!  Who cares who holds it, it has to be paid to the vultures. Where is this money coming from?

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:20 | 5746655 Cojones
Cojones's picture

The sad part is that me and my family will be forced to cough up €3000 and we didn't even order Greek.

The Dutch, German and Finnish middle class will take the hit.  Good job indeed.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 10:19 | 5746987 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

You didn't really think you could sleep with the EU and not catch something, did you?

Time to take your Wasserman test. Hold still, this is gonna hurt.

Thu, 02/05/2015 - 09:24 | 5746667 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

Stand tall Varoufakis. The longer they struggle to make you bend over, the more they shit bricks.

This has yet to get started, see the DAX for this.

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