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Difference Between US Manufacturing Workers And Waiters Drops To A Record Low

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While one of the much trumpeted highlights of today's jobs report was the 0.5% jump in average hourly earnings, the reality as even Goldman's Jan Hatzius is quick to note, is that on an annual basis, wage growth is still stuck near the lowest levels recorded since the Great Financial Crisis.

 

So once again, for all those who scratch their heads trying to explain why this wage erosion continues despite the "best efforts" of the Fed (to make billionaires into trillioinaires), here is a simple explanation: in January the number of waiter and bartenders rose by 35K to 10.946 million. On the other hands, that one job category that once made America a great country and the dollar the global reserve, manufacturing, rose by just 22K to 12,330K, the lowest monthly increase since November.

And in context, as the chart below shows, the difference between America's manufacturing workers and waiters has dropped to a record low of just 1.387 million. The same difference was 11.3 million on January 31, 1990.

 

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Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:29 | 5752054 Lady Jessica
Lady Jessica's picture

The "service economy" working its magic.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:34 | 5752086 Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

As in those without the ability to counterfeit money will "service" those who do have the ability to counterfeit money.

 

We have gone full-retard, you quite literally have a country with two classes now "The Counterfeiters" and the "Slaves".

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:37 | 5752097 Shocker
Shocker's picture

Who needs to produce anything, that is so 1990's

 

Layoff List: http://www.dailyjobcuts.com

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Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:45 | 5752129 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

We should all get our insurance licenses and just sell annuities to eachother.  We'll all be rich.

(Alternate plan:  real estate licenses and just keep selling our houses to eachother).

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:16 | 5752245 rejected
rejected's picture

Kinda sad in my opinion we need a license from government to do just about anything these days. From selling lemonade to holding a CCL. I read posts daily about those proud CCL holders who has paid their government money to enjoy their constitutional right to bear arms.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:19 | 5752255 zaphod
zaphod's picture

Wait till the printing press loses its ability to manufacture false wealth. The entire "service" industry is going to find itself completely broke.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:56 | 5752392 rejected
rejected's picture

Why americans aren't out demanding the return of their production given away by their government in the name of globalism is a mystery to me. Why we spend trillions on national defense to supposedly defend our borders and everyone else's too but defending our economy and production is decried as protectionism and somehow bad. 

Instead they cry for more handouts, more printing and more debt and more lies.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:21 | 5752452 Ying-Yang
Ying-Yang's picture

A logical solution to this problem?

Why don't we manufacture robots to replace waiters and bartenders?

/s

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:50 | 5752365 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Easy to explain:

1)  Manufacturing jobs provide the first job.  Wages are being pressured there, so they slowly reduce.

2)  Service jobs provide the second job, required because the first job does not provide enough wage.

 

Just wait for the third jobs stats...  Then riots.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:54 | 5752383 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

It's the "Invisible Hand" right?

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:59 | 5752394 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

The "Invisible Hand" performing your proctology exam, trying to pull those "green shoots" out..

Doubles as a Healthcare benefit!!!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:48 | 5752140 813kml
813kml's picture

All is well, the restaurant industry is manufacturing arteriosclerosis, diabetes, and morbid obesity.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:49 | 5752144 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Thank goodness for all the healtcare worker jobs we created this month.  Just in time.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:54 | 5752157 new game
new game's picture

the beans came jumping over da fence. happy beans i'll say.  livg wage when six families/home. some to send to ma, ha...

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:16 | 5752244 Madcow
Madcow's picture

Right - a caste system - bailout receivers at the top, bailout payers at the bottom.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:39 | 5752096 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

It doesn't matter! Waiters are making 45k to 110k per year!

FFS, union dock workers w/out a diploma in Cali are making 150k per year!

The economy is in rapid expansion mode, with people lining up to buy everything & anything whether by cash, credit or or other dorms of debt - or government cheddar!

5% U.S. GDP growth this year easily. 3,000,000 new jobs w/in 11 months.

Quit trying to rain on parade, Tylers.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:45 | 5752127 Burt Gummer
Burt Gummer's picture

Wait, are you serious? I need to get me one of them jobs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yloaBw80fV4

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:46 | 5752131 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

We are all MillionDollarBonus now...

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:10 | 5752227 rejected
rejected's picture

Those blue collar workers (heard that phrase lately?) throughout the 20th century put their little darlings through college and now those little loved ones despise anyone without a piece of paper making a decent wage.

The college degree and PhD has been debased much like the dollar. Too many pieces of paper chasing to little jobs. Those dock workers live in a state with a very high cost of living... not every state has a cost of living like Mississippi. If the Waiters are making 45 - 110 per year, more power to them.

America has sadly forgotten the value of skills and trades as they have been shipped out to foreign nations. Because of the production off shoring the country no longer requires those skills and trades, and it also no longer requires the 'educated' boys and girls either. What's the point in hiring a design engineer if your not going to manufacture anything?

Whether it be dollars or degrees,,, americans need to get away from glorifying useless paper.

I note your sarcasm but this hatefulness for the skills and trades just isn't right.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:19 | 5752253 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

Just don't use the word Union in your post.  Union busting costs Middle Class jobs just like NAFTA.  Non union workers will tell you the outcome of the individual bargaining with the Corporation.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:03 | 5752417 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

No need to union bust. They have busted themselves...down to single digits in the private sector. They are now limited to the only jobs that can't be replaced (I.e. Unloading shit from China). Give it a few more years and robots will do that.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:13 | 5752428 PirateOfBaltimore
PirateOfBaltimore's picture

Wierd.  No union here.  Gainfully employed AND negotiate my pay with my employer.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 17:43 | 5753338 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

I was never in a Union either but I see the need.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:24 | 5752277 CharlieMike
CharlieMike's picture

We have a winner!  Most sarcasm in one post award.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:42 | 5752124 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

This is the real deal! The FED has mangined to jump start this economy. And someone asked the if things are so good then why is the interest at zero? My Answer = who cares....the FED has convinved the world that we are great and they will accept our money printing and zero interest rates. Enjoy this ride, it's awesome. Fed is winning!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:55 | 5752160 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

yes, don't forget to ignore the velocity of dollars in circulation...

 

"winning" indeed!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:01 | 5752189 ClowardPiven2016
ClowardPiven2016's picture

Jump start the economy? That's funny! But you're right...the Fed is winning. Too bad it's at our expense.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:28 | 5752291 No Euros please...
No Euros please we're British's picture

Mangined? You mean Yellen has a mangina? Do you have proof......no, please don't share that it's teatime over here.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 15:05 | 5752614 venturen
venturen's picture

I "managed" to run up a credit cards with $200k too bad whne they find out I make nothing a year. Goodluck with the FED thing though....

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:20 | 5752451 stocker84
stocker84's picture

If you can't find a job, the service industry will hire you? OK..that's great...but here's the real problem...

"The main problem is that the headline rate of unemployment excludes other measures of underemployment — in effect, hidden labor-market slack. These worsened during the recession. At the end of last year, almost 9 million people were unemployed. Excluded from that number were 2.3 million more who wanted a job but hadn’t “actively” looked for one in the previous month; also excluded were 6.8 million part-time workers who would have preferred to be working full time."  -- http://bloombergview.tumblr.com/post/110251640080/the-fed-shouldnt-get-t...

 


Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:34 | 5752070 giovanni_f
giovanni_f's picture

Is every person buying an iphone declared a bartender? And if she buys an ipad a waiter?

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:33 | 5752073 agstacks
agstacks's picture

We're a "service enconomy" now, they say..

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:38 | 5752103 Mi Naem
Mi Naem's picture

"'service economy' now"

Which seems to be a polite way of saying "On yer knees and open up, bitches". 

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:33 | 5752074 Dubaibanker
Dubaibanker's picture

Nothing is made in US but .....Cheers!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:42 | 5752123 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

The US manufactures 90% of the world's bullshit.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:22 | 5752268 CharlieMike
CharlieMike's picture

Quality, high end bullshit.  Best in the world.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:55 | 5752390 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

Including 64.891% of statistics

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:44 | 5752126 rejected
rejected's picture

That very valuable dollar is made right here in the land of the free!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:34 | 5752084 Excursionist
Excursionist's picture

In case anyone is surprised by this trend, Google "globalization".

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:27 | 5752462 Caleb Abell
Caleb Abell's picture

Thank god for globalization.  Now that we screwed the Chinese by giving them the manufacturing sector, and converted the country to a bartender economy, we will completely dominate the world's Mohito market.  As you know, when the Chinese workers finish a days work making cars, trains, airplanes, electronics, and all manner of other products, they will no doubt be thirsty.  So when they want a Mohito, they will have to come to us and pay our prices.  We will be kind of like OPEC, only with a hangover.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:34 | 5752085 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia is a documentary about the future.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:45 | 5752130 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

"Dayman! Fighter of the Nightman! Champion of the sun! You're a master of karate and friendship for everyone!"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzaVd6zl2bA

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:15 | 5752241 Midas
Midas's picture

Leave me out of this.

 

And if you bring up the rape scene, I swear I am going to smack you.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:22 | 5752266 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

I paid the toll, now I want the hole.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:29 | 5752475 Almost Solvent
Almost Solvent's picture

I'm a recovering crackhead. This is my retarded sister that I take care of.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:35 | 5752089 Mi Naem
Mi Naem's picture

Clearly, there is a future in slingin' hash. 

 

Califory is the place ya oughta be!  

So we loaded up the truck

and moved to the Olive Garden. 

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:39 | 5752113 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Endless bread that is! Baked ziti....tortellini.

Oh next thing ya know, oh Jed's a manager
With 60 hours a week, 27K a year
His degree is a useless paper piece!
And his student loans saw an interest rate increase!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:35 | 5752310 Farmer Joe in B...
Farmer Joe in Brooklyn's picture

Well-played..!!  I needed a good chuckle on another day of the market melting back up. 

I need another gramme of soma

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:51 | 5752375 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

It's one of those that just popped out. I'll take some soma too...

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:39 | 5752107 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Those numbers are easy to explain. Unemployed construction workers have obviously taken jobs as waiters. /s

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:40 | 5752119 Mi Naem
Mi Naem's picture

I don't think so.  Most of the waiters I encounter speak English. 

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:39 | 5752110 realmoney2015
realmoney2015's picture

We don’t produce anything but more dollars. The American need to drink and eat more to drown out their sorrows. Someone has to serve them I guess. An economy that doesn’t produce real tangible goods cannot thrive or last in the long haul. The dollar will be rejected at some point. Everyone will lose confidence it. It will then of course go back to its real value which is 0 (well almost zero, cotton and ink isn’t free).

We need to spread awareness of real money. Silver and gold will rise above the ashes of the collapse and hold their value over time. That’s why I started giving these candles to people: https://www.etsy.com/shop/ScentSavers?ref=hdr_shop_menu

They love the candle while it’s burning. And when it’s gone it leave them with a valuable lesson on real money. They will know what silver is worth!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:58 | 5752175 ClowardPiven2016
ClowardPiven2016's picture

Hi Kevin...sorry to see you haven't had any sales this week. The good news is with only three sold, you'll have plenty to "give to people".

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:40 | 5752115 replaceme
replaceme's picture

With all that drinking, we're lucky these people are not near manufacturing sites. How dangerous would THAT be?  This has to be a positive.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:41 | 5752120 henry chucho
henry chucho's picture

If you read the fine print,you would see that those 35k waiter jobs,are actually 35k people waiting for a job..

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:46 | 5752132 chris_wing@eart...
chris_wing@earthlink.net's picture

Something amiss ... bartenders and waiters make the vast majority of income from tips, bringing income (some, ahem, unreported) to the $50,00 - much more reange.  Of course, they won't tell you, if they even count what they spend at the bar after work, since much is in cash.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:51 | 5752149 JayKitsap
JayKitsap's picture

I have a big question.  The number of waitresses and bartenders keeps going up, but the sales of restaurants and bars is not rising concurrently.

Is this still the shift of people being converted from 40 hour full time to 29 hour full time.  That would requre an increased 33% workers just to match the hours worked. 

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:53 | 5752152 Ex Cathedra
Ex Cathedra's picture

And meanwhile, the push to move to a truly territorial system of corporate income taxation proceeds apace.

We need to retrain our factory workers to make them more employable.  Teach them Mandarin Chinese.  Then they can follow their jobs. Maybe Bain Capital can spring for the airfare.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:54 | 5752154 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Soon, most A's will be work'n for the man from the Orient.

Learn some Mandarin and you may get a raise in pay.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:55 | 5752162 dogfish
Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:57 | 5752174 besnook
besnook's picture

this list should be adjusted by the designation of hamburger flippers in the manufacturing sector instead of the service sector.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 12:58 | 5752179 homebody
homebody's picture

I guess they are counting that very successful open air hamburger chain with the outstanding market gains - you want flies with that

 

Seasonaly adjusted ofcourse

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:10 | 5752228 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

I can't wait to be a waiter...The American creed....

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:03 | 5752414 kw2012
kw2012's picture

Go from dishwasher to waiter. Sí su puedo!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:30 | 5752294 mijev
mijev's picture

If you have to wait for the waiter then you are the waiter.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:40 | 5752327 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

I think we're looking at the numbers all wrong. If you're manufacturing a cheeseburger that is both a manufacturing job and a service job.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:46 | 5752348 Duc888
Duc888's picture

 

 

 

We obviously need to bring in another 20 million beaners and also ramp up these H1B visa applcants.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 13:46 | 5752352 mijev
mijev's picture

The difference between BLS and BS is pretty small too.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:03 | 5752416 IndianaJohn
IndianaJohn's picture

I just can't eat and drink enough to keep that many waitresses busy.

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:16 | 5752436 all-priced-in
all-priced-in's picture

Has the quantity of manufactured goods gone up - even though total employment is down?

Yes --

 

If you are able to produce the same or more with less labor that use to be considered INCREASING PRODUCTIVITY.

 

Increases in productivity was required to increase standard of living.

 

Go ahead and make my day by slamming me with down arrows - but how can so many people think increasing productivity is a bad thing?

 

 

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:21 | 5752453 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

you are right, the quantity of manufactured goods has gone up...in china, vietnam, roumania, brazil etc.

we are all global citizens, so where's the beef? i bet the number of barman and waiters has gone down in those countries...oh wait....maybe not :)

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:56 | 5752587 Tursas
Tursas's picture

LOL!

Fri, 02/06/2015 - 14:25 | 5752464 yogibear
yogibear's picture

"Who needs to produce anything, that is so 1990's"

Exactly!

The Federal Reserve can print the money we need to buy US treasuries (debt). Americans can collect disability, welare, food stamps and/or trade stocks to buy Chinese, Korean, German and Japanese goods.

Manufacturing is so yesterday.


Fri, 02/06/2015 - 15:07 | 5752618 venturen
venturen's picture

anyone talking about the dollar increasing by 2% today? I am sure all those exporters love that

Sat, 02/07/2015 - 08:28 | 5755236 Midnight Hour
Midnight Hour's picture

If the number of Barman and Waiters has gone up it means that most of Americans have more Money in their Pockets to spend by going out to eat and drink. Why is that good news bad?  It tells me that you have a recovery, People going out, spending Money. The only thing that they will need to work on is to get them all going back to Shops and to buy useless crap. Why have only one of an item, when you could have 2 or 3 more of the same, just in case and those helping a poor worker in China make a few extra cents.

Sun, 02/08/2015 - 00:09 | 5757537 Digmen1
Digmen1's picture

Finally!

As an amatuer, failed entrepeneur, I have alway said that you cannot have a "service" economy.

You have to have something to service!

This is now being recognised by all of us on here and by other commentators.

This is why China and Germany do so well. They actually make stuff the world wants. Weather its cheap stuff or high quality.

 

 

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