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Stockman's Prescient Prediction

Tim Knight from Slope of Hope's picture




 

This weekend, I was thumbing through my highlighted copy of David Stockman's The Great Deformation (about which I wrote a lengthy and over-the-top laudatory review last September here) when this passage caught my eye:

0209-stockman

In case you've been helping Elon Musk establish the new Martian Colony over the past nine months, you might have missed what's been going on with black tea:

0209-crude

(Incidentally, I wouldn't get too excited about the bounce we've seen over the past couple of weeks; unlike Cramer, I don't think this "smells like a bottom" - - but that's probably a field of study about which he's better acquainted than me. But I digress..........).

On the one hand, oil has indeed fallen to $50 (and well below it) as Stockman anticipated; on the other, if there's a worldwide recession going on (and perhaps there is, the very beginnings of one), it sure isn't yet apparent from the mass media.

Perhaps, as in 2008, commodities are a very large canary in a very crowded coalmine. I am highly confident Mr. Stockman's prediction about North Dakota is going to come all too true. And, as a parting shot, I must suggest (nay, insist) to those who haven't bought and read the book - please do so. It is excellent, from beginning to end. There are many other predictions in the book which will probably unfold much as the one regarding crude oil has.

 

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Mon, 02/09/2015 - 17:55 | 5763784 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

If the Federal Government were thinking strategically it would hire all thos roughnecks and rigs and put them to work building up our strategic petroleum reserve with $45 oil.

Tue, 02/10/2015 - 12:22 | 5766568 BraveSirRobin
BraveSirRobin's picture

Yes, and using Chinese and Russin money to do it.

Tue, 02/10/2015 - 12:21 | 5766561 BraveSirRobin
BraveSirRobin's picture

Yes, and using Chinese and Russin money to do it.

Tue, 02/10/2015 - 09:19 | 5765746 NoPension
NoPension's picture

With Uncle Sam in charge, it would " only " cost about $250.00 a bbl to get that $45 oil. And all the "new" .gov employees will get gold, eh, PLATINUM plated benefits and pensions.
The real costs will probably approach $4-500 a bbl.
Great plan.

Mon, 02/09/2015 - 20:17 | 5764198 Grouchy Marx
Grouchy Marx's picture

If the Federal Government was thinking strategically, then hell just froze over. 

Mon, 02/09/2015 - 19:52 | 5764116 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

I'd prefer that they work building the fence between the U.S. and Mexico...

Tue, 02/10/2015 - 00:43 | 5765091 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

A double fence, with land mines.

Tue, 02/10/2015 - 08:09 | 5765550 waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

ISIS might could get through it. Just ask SA.

Mon, 02/09/2015 - 18:33 | 5763901 TeethVillage88s
TeethVillage88s's picture

Yes. We let monopolies form all the time. But we need national buffers, national stock piles, and to recognize some things like food, water, energy, Credit as utilities we all need. Maybe Credit needs some exposure in this light along with banking.

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