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VIXnado Sends Stocks Near Record Highs; Crude Jumps, Dollar Dumps

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Worst back-to-back retail sales since the financial crisis explodes the narrative that low gas prices are a stimulus, a truce in Ukraine (which we already had and by the way the Hyrvnia imploded to fresh record lows today - not exactly signaling exuberance), some chatter of compromise in Europe (though we've heard that before)... which leaves VIX... which was monkey-hammered to ensure record highs prove (despite a total collapse in macro and earnings fundamentals) everything is awesome and confidence is maintained...

 

Stocks went up... a lot...

 

VIX went down... a lot... lowest close since 12/26/14... at 15.3

 

AAPL went up... again...

 

From the "CNBC Greek Deal" rumor highs last night, we dumped on the denials then soared all day... after Ukraine news (with a slight pause for the shittiest retail sales datas in 6 years)

 

On the week - everything is awesome...

 

Away from that tom-foolery - FX and credit markets turmoiled quite significantly...

Treasury yields spiked higher on "truce" news, the collapsed on the dismal retail sales data only to bounce higher after a tiny tail in the 30Y auction... before yields fell (bonds rallied) into the close - Treasuries rallied

 

Umm yeah!

 

The USDollar lost significantly today as JPY strengthened (BoJ sounding a little hawkish) and EUR strength (Ukraine? and maybe Greece) - but everything rallied against the USD.

 

Despite the USD weakness, gold and silver flatlined as copper and crude surged...

 

With another epic pump-and-dump early on in WTI...

 

About that oil and stocks are not correlated bullshit...

 

Energy stocks rose to valuation levels not seen since the peak of the dot-com bubble...

 

If the rally was predicated on a Ukraine "truce" deal, why did the Hyrvnia collapse even further?

 

So let's take a look at Stocks, Bonds, USDJPY, Crude and VIX over the day's events...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:09 | 5777574 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

guess when the ES 52 week low was?  then guess what happens tomorrow.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:12 | 5777586 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Fuck sales, fuck deals--just BTFD.  

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:15 | 5777601 prefan4200
prefan4200's picture

It's all good.  Except when it's bad.  But even then, it's still all good - if you're the US stock markets.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:37 | 5777733 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

I think we need to realize that the world economy, shipping indexs, supplies of gold, job reports, or *anything else* attached to REALITY - have ZERO to do with the  US market.

I purpose the value of the DOW be linked to Wandium - a element that sheds off from tooth fairy wands and from their rectums when they shit - or get sick and puke.. 

So judging by how well the market did I think a  couple tooth fairies <at least> have the shits, because the market is great!

 

Fri, 02/13/2015 - 00:31 | 5779301 JethroBodien
JethroBodien's picture

what dip??

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:18 | 5777625 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

America... Fuck Yeah!! America... Fuck Yeah!!!!!!!! watch out you bad ISIS.. HOOFYS and Any other BAD PEOPLE! HAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:49 | 5777814 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

So lick my butt and suck on my balls!  America!  Fuck Yeah!

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 19:52 | 5778368 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Ha. Ha! The 'Bad People' are right here in America.

Yep. Them that RUINED this once FREE & PROSPEROUS nation. Who are these 'Bad People'?

Why our 'leaders'---from corporate to political to financial. They have runined this country.

I cannot wait for 'Justice' to 'correct' this abberation...

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 18:23 | 5777992 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

30 yr yield is collapsing to 2.5%

10 yr yield has rallied from 1.6% to 2%

 

could we be headed to an inverted bond yield curve?

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:11 | 5777582 ZoroAustrian
ZoroAustrian's picture

Just another day of epic bullshit and bankster bliss

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:12 | 5777588 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Now that oil has been smashed it has become the new USDJPY.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:12 | 5777589 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

we are free and clear to sell our PM and go buy till we drop. happy days are here again sheeple lets party. I need a dealer

sarc

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:14 | 5777599 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Hell ... I'll take 89 moar oil sucker rallies over the next 6 months, Alex.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:15 | 5777603 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

pure and utter bullshit...

and nonetheless economic and societal doom WILL NOT BE AVERTED.

DEATH TO THE MONEYCHANGERS.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:15 | 5777606 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

I was kinda figuring it topped out today.  Bought some SPXU.  I'm crazy maybe?

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:19 | 5777627 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

It you like that SPXU at thirty something dollars you are going to love it later this year at thirteen.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:18 | 5777622 Automatic Choke
Automatic Choke's picture

BTFD   (VIX calls, that is...)

 

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:22 | 5777641 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

‘Yellen’s Army’ w/ music by Elvis Costello

Don't start me trading, I could trade all night
My mind went jaywalking
While I was putting up the fight:
Called careers information
Day Trading’s not considered an occupation

Yellen's army is here to stay
Draghi's armies are on their way
And I would rather be anywhere else
Than in these markets today

There was a Plosser, Charlie
He didn't crack a smile
But it's no laughing party
When the doves are all lined up for miles

Only takes one inflation trigger
But central banks don’t have much rigor

But there's no danger
It’s no ’professional career’
Though it could be arranged
By taking the Skittles from Ms. Yellen’s beer

If you're out of luck or out of work
Just access NYSE from the suburbs

Yellen's army is here to stay
Draghi's armies are on their way
And I would rather do anything else
Than trade these markets today

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:22 | 5777642 homebody
homebody's picture

The markets are not affected by domestic economic activity or the job market - it is all about off-shore holdings.  F**K globilization if that's even a word. 

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:25 | 5777667 wmbz
wmbz's picture

Certainly by now even a 3rd grader knows that the DOW only goes up. With the occasional dip of course.

The un-fed will always be the buyer of last resort or as needed. What the hell is a few trillion or even a quadrillion in the scheme of things, when it's make believe.

Since none of this conjured up debt can be repaid you just say fuck it and let it rip!

 

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 19:56 | 5778375 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

It is 3rd grade 'intelligence' that is buying this 'market'. See TheRideNeverEnds for confirmation..

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:33 | 5777708 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Wake me up when the VIX is under 13

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:33 | 5777709 fremannx
fremannx's picture

As the global economy slows, prices will continue to fall. Oil isn’t just used for gasoline. It is used in the manufacturing of practically everything today from automobile tires to composites to plastics and so much more including the specialized fuels to transport them around the globe. If prices are falling then the consumption of those things is also declining which means the GDP of the nations producing and shipping them is declining. Analysts are trying to spin the lower fuel prices as “good deflation”, saying things like lower income families will have more money to spend from gas price savings. But the reality is that deflation depresses wages, shrinks the tax base, and creates unemployment. Nothing good comes from deflation.

Oil should be finding a temporary bottom shortly around (3) and the dollar is poised to correct for a few months.

Oil 

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/oil-light-sweet-crudeelliott-wave-upd...

Dollar

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/u-s-dollar-indexelliott-wave-update-f...

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:34 | 5777712 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Watch out EVIL DOERS...we BTFD.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:40 | 5777754 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Don't Think ! We will do all the thinking for you.. - The Fed,

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:42 | 5777772 khakuda
khakuda's picture

On the way to the mandated +30% S&P for this year.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 19:24 | 5777793 gswifty
gswifty's picture

I keep thinking that I woke up only to find I'm still in a dream.

 

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:47 | 5777803 European American
European American's picture

"everything is awesome and confidence is maintained.."

This is why I got out of the stock market "mind fields" ages ago, and with what little winnings I had left, bought a few ounces of precious metals. My stress level index looked like the VIX Futs chart.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:50 | 5777822 stvitus
stvitus's picture

"On the week - everything is awesome..."

 

Thank you, Tyler. I needed that.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 17:50 | 5777828 Duck and Cover
Duck and Cover's picture

This will not end.....

We Zero Hedger's might have to steel ourselves to the fact that until 2016-2017 nothing will change.

Wall street is already counting on it ....... nothing will happen till the plump grandmother running the FED is shown the door.

Then only if the new sheriff looks tough with a hard-on for Wall Street.

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 18:22 | 5777987 gmak
gmak's picture

I still haven't seen anyone exp;ain this clearly. How does hammering the VIC lead to equities moving up strong?  What is the exact instrument to instrument / asset class to asset class link?

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 18:36 | 5778071 spinone
spinone's picture

everything is awesome

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 18:45 | 5778110 City_Of_Champyinz
City_Of_Champyinz's picture

Good lord, we are living in a fantasy land where up is down, and left is right...Has everyone lost their mind??  It is only a matter of time until...

https://www.google.com/search?q=game+over&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=...

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 19:14 | 5778216 noben
noben's picture

This market is so easy, even a sheep can do it: Just BTFD.

Ignore TD's chart porn and ZH Austrian economics. "The Trend is your Friend". If or when there's a "Correction", BTFC. In the meantime, BTFD. And tell your friends and family.

p.s. Keep dancing, but stay close to the door.
pps. Can I just put the tip in, as a good faith gesture?

Thu, 02/12/2015 - 19:23 | 5778265 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

Just like Krokodil

The junkie will inject even as the flesh is rotting.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!