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S&P 500 Nears 2,100; Up 120 Points In Feb

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With earnings expectations collapsing, macro data disappointing across the board, Ukraine's truce failing, and Grexit looking ever more likely, is it any surprise that the S&P 500 (courtesy of yet another AAPL reacharound) is rapidly approaching the 2,100 level.

 

S&P 500...

 

AAPL...

 

It does seem like AAPL is having to do more of the heavy lifting to keep the S&P elevated in recent days.

*  *  *

It is different this year...

*  *  *

Come on... really...

 

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Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:22 | 5794396 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

They need to add 166 more companies to the S&P so it is the "S&P 666".

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:27 | 5794425 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

 

 

A week at the Fed:

Monday: Plan shenanigans or be on a legal holiday.

Tuesday:BTFATH

Wednesday - Friday: Watch for weaknesses, repeat Tuesday if necessary.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 04:55 | 5794495 Anasteus
Anasteus's picture

I personally suspect all those charts (and mainly gold & silver charts) are just a mere animation projected on displays. There is absolutely nothing behind it, not even naked shorts. Just a software generator on background with predefined or deliberately adjusted chart curves for each an additional day. Such charts, in fact, fabricate the market, they do not reflect it.

I indeed start believing it's all just dummy mystification; akin to Mystify screen saver animation pattern. Pure fiction.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:21 | 5794398 somecallmetimmah
somecallmetimmah's picture

Meh. Why not?

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:25 | 5794418 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

pufff, wimps.  Real traders would have taken it out by now.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:36 | 5794458 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

They are out to prove that the '29 crash and depression are the best case scenario......

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:21 | 5794401 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

I think that's what negative interest rates are all about.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:22 | 5794405 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Bang-zoom! To the moon, Alice!

This is just what I would expect before the crash. It has to happen when it is least expected but easily digested for those infested with the love.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:25 | 5794417 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

I just can not see them letting people keep their 401k gains. It is not in their DNA.  One day...kaboom. 

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:38 | 5794468 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

But it'll be for the sheeps own good when their retirement savings are appropriated for the good of the country.....

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:35 | 5794669 zeropain
zeropain's picture

lot boomers delayed retirement cus of 2008 crash,  but how much can they delay? when will they be forced into withdrawls.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:22 | 5794407 vegas
vegas's picture

BTFD: It works until it doesn't. BTW, no charge for this invaluable advice.

 

www.traderzoo.mobi

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:28 | 5794429 czarangelus
czarangelus's picture

These are the times that try men's souls.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:09 | 5794603 Seal
Seal's picture

These are tha Souls that try men's times

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:30 | 5794435 aliki
aliki's picture

have to re-visit the bullish fundamental points we just witnessed to understand the sling-shot higher:

1. ECB launches European style QE
2. bullard hinting at QE4
3. FOMC remaining "patient"
4. multiple fed, government officials stating the need to NOT raise interest rates
5. elizabeth warren of all people protecting the fed
6. earnings fell off a cliff, 85% of companies guided lower
7. CAT CEO basically pleading with fed offcials during CNBC interview to NOT raise rates
8. retail sales dropped, durables dropped, multiple analysts coming to grips with the fact that Q1 GDP estimates are coming lower
9. that baltic dry index that used to be so important is now not important because it continues to implode
10. global debt levels continue to explode with absolutely no plan or desire to ever repay them

with such STRONG economic, financial, & corporate data coming in, how could any one person conclude that the correction must be over and higher-hi's justified???

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:34 | 5794447 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

yes, yes, once again, watch the supply lines.  Once people start starving en mass, then something might change, not before.

same as it ever was.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:41 | 5794481 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

The CB's are now buying all government bonds so reality is completely disconnected and I figure they'll try buying the entire market next. The Soviets were rank amateurs compared to this bunch......

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:01 | 5794574 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

"FUN-damentals," with the emphasis on "FUN"! You know, sort of like base jumping without a parachute.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:18 | 5794631 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

About your comment # 5, elizabeth warren of all people protecting the fed: Apparently you're not all that familiar with Fauxahontas. This isn't the first time she's let her mask slip.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 15:38 | 5794964 Chupacabra-322
Chupacabra-322's picture

@ aliki,

+1,000. Spot on all ten points. However, I will add:

11. We've been in a manufactured Depression since 2008.

12. Everything is Awesome!

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:30 | 5794438 stant
stant's picture

The hindenberg Baltic snow index screams buy stawks

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:30 | 5794439 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Unfuckinreal....what can you even say?

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:31 | 5794443 nakki
nakki's picture

Just imagine what the EPS for the S&P 500 would look like if corporation weren't loading up their balance sheets with debt to repurchase stock. I just wonder why all those analcysts that point to record profits, fail to mention record debt? Oh never mind I know the answer to that.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:32 | 5794445 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Overlay the federal reserve's balance sheet and government debt of the U.S.S.A. and then it all makes some sense.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:32 | 5794446 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Backdoor qe until WWIII

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:35 | 5794450 ms8173
ms8173's picture

This is rediculous!   WHen is the S&P 500 going to catch up to it's real US macro chart?

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:35 | 5794453 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

I watched a show last night about the plague, "black death", of the 14th century.....the height of the death was in february through may of 1349.  EXACTLY 666 years ago!

I thought that was interesting and maybe an omen of the SHTF....

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:28 | 5794641 permarig
permarig's picture

Nice, I would add that the black plague wasn't just a medieval ebola popping up to kill every people.

The 1340s was the decade of probably the worst financial and economic collapse in human history. Starting off with Florentine banks going under and culminating in an economic meltdown which led to famines which are obviously breeding grounds for epidemics.

Just some quick Google finds:

"Euro Crisis Echoed in Renaissance History"

"Excessive debt accumulation, structural weakness and poor management were responsible for economic crashes and collapses since the medieval invention of banking by the Italians, who came up with the deposit account, double entry bookkeeping and the line of credit."

http://news.discovery.com/history/medieval-banks-lessons-euro-111208.htm

"How Venice Rigged The First, and Worst, Global Financial Collapse"

http://www.schillerinstitute.org/fid_91-96/954_Gallagher_Venice_rig.html

And note that for examplethe Warburg family is originating from Venice.
Paul Warburg is considered to be "the father of the Federal Reserve".

Meanwhile, at the ECB there's this Italian Goldman guy.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:39 | 5794472 RealityCheque
RealityCheque's picture

"Come on though why worry, what is reality really anyway?"

- Overheard at the Fed breakfast club, everyday.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:39 | 5794474 JohnReese111
JohnReese111's picture

still no luck in forecasting sp500 crash huh? 

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:41 | 5794479 wmbz
wmbz's picture

Yet there are people out their that still don't understand that the un-fed IS the market and has been for a long time.

Every company on every index could post a loss and the stawk market would rise.

On "unexpected expectations"! This shit would be funny if it wasn't so pathetic!

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:42 | 5794482 permarig
permarig's picture

"Ironically, America has never been as powerful financially as it is now"

Ambrose Evan-Pritchard, August 2014

So the West is demonstrating its strength by desperately rigging numbers on the screen while they're actually selling?

(http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-17/david-tepper-dumps-40-us-equity...)

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:42 | 5794485 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

Apple is worth 100 billion more than a few days ago, because Carl Iconn said so

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:13 | 5794616 rccalhoun
rccalhoun's picture

apple is worth 1.5 times the entire russian stock market

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:22 | 5794642 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

Well, I did read that Apple is considering going into the electric car business. iCar, anyone? Probably it will be controlled via your iPhone.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:52 | 5794506 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

(1) It is the implicit or explicit goal of every major central bank in the world to boost their individual stock markets to supposedly provide a wealth effect

(2) The central banks have unlimited fiat currency

(3) Stock markets are measured in fiat currency

 

= Stock markets go up regardless of any other external factors, metrics, or common sense. It's been the same since 2009 when the Fed made it perfectly clear that the stock market was now a policy tool. Just sit back, enjoy the ride and use your profits to buy things that are really valuable. It's not ending next week, next month or next year and will likely only end when there is rioting in the streets over inflation in some distant future. The market is going to hit numbers none of us could have believed even a year ago

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 13:56 | 5794546 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

Them bulls do loves them methamphetamines. Whoever ther dealer is -- Fed, BOJ, EUB -- don't matter. Just give the rock stars their drugs, and they'll keep the music playing. All the way up to when they don't...

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:02 | 5794570 fremannx
fremannx's picture

The S&P 500 has fulfilled all the requirements for an ending diagonal and is inside the projected reversal zone. One of the characteristics of an ending diagonal is that, once complete, it quickly retraces the entire diagonal in an extremely short period of time, an almost vertical collapse of the gains since the beginning. The diagonal began at 1737.92 on the 5th of February, 2014. That means when the reversal begins in the S&P 500, an entire year of gains will be wiped out in a matter of weeks, a few months at the most.

 

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/sp-500-indexelliott-wave-update-for-w...

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:01 | 5794575 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

The US isn't in the business of making things any longer- our primary business is the churning of money, which is in a bull market.  Plan accordingly.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:06 | 5794594 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

So long as that "money" is still accepted, yes.  Hedge accordingly.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:03 | 5794586 rwinslow
rwinslow's picture

What exactly is the "US Macro" chart I keep seeing in these posts? It is definitely an interesting chart, but there is no source or description for it.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:18 | 5794626 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

The S&P has reached escape velocity; broke free of its earthly bonds of yesteryear. No longer beholden to such paltry things as macro data and earnings expectations.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:21 | 5794638 Who was that ma...
Who was that masked man's picture

Remember the space shuttle Columbia........

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:43 | 5794691 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

The Texas lisence plate at the time had a Space Shuttle on it, ironically since the smoke trail of the doomed craft was visible over the state. For some reason people didn't think it was funny when I painted little flames on mine. Go figure...

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 14:44 | 5794694 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Markit is forward looking

Keep pushing everything forward and you can't go wrong

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 15:09 | 5794811 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

We all know it is the beholden duty of still-well-to-do Americans to invest their savings in the US Stock Markets, which are single handedly keeping America from the land fill of history.

These Americans are nobody's fools and are wisely putting their money in the S&P at 2100 and not the DJIA at 18,000.

Makes sense to me.

Tue, 02/17/2015 - 15:55 | 5795045 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

It's just crazy, mind you I said that when it first hit 2000.

I guess there is something to said for using unlimited amounts of free money to buy back your own stock lol.

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