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US Producer Prices Tumble Most Since 2009 (And It Wasn't All Energy-Related)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The drop in the price of energy will be initially blamed for the 0.8% MoM drop in Producer Prices Final Demand (far more than 0.4% drop expected) and the most on record. However, ex-food-and-energy, PPI also fell 0.1% (missing expectations of a 0.1% rise) and ex-food-and-energy-and-trade-services, PPI fell 0.3% - so it's not just the energy price drop (even though fuels and lubricants dropped 9.3% MoM). In fact the biggest MoM drop was in furnishings, computer hardware, and TV, video, and photo equipment.

 

PPI Final Demand saw its biggest MoM drop on record...

 

Perhaps just as problematic for The Fed... YoY PPI is unchanged - its worst level on record...

 

PPI Ex-food-and-energy also dropped - missing expectations of a 0.1% rise...

 

 

And while it will come as no surprise to anyone that final demand for goods cratered as a result of the tumble in crude prices which now appears to have reversed, it was a surprising drop of -0.2% in Final Demand Services that some may have a problem explaining:

Final demand services: The index for final demand services decreased 0.2 percent in January, the first
decline since falling 0.3 percent in September 2014. In January, prices for final demand services less trade,
transportation, and warehousing moved down 0.4 percent, and the index for final demand transportation and
warehousing services dropped 0.8 percent. In contrast, margins for final demand trade services advanced 0.5
percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.)

 

Product detail: In January, a major contributor to the decline in the index for final demand services was
prices for outpatient care (partial), which fell 0.7 percent. The indexes for automotive fuels and lubricants
retailing; securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services; television, video, and
photographic equipment and supplies retailing; mining services; and truck transportation of freight also
decreased. Conversely, margins for apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing advanced 3.6
percent. The indexes for machinery, equipment, parts, and supplies wholesaling and for loan services
(partial) also increased.

 

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Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:43 | 5798207 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

i remember saying when they stopped monthly bond buying to expect EVERY econ Indicator to be terrible to keep QE4 alive....voila'

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:43 | 5798214 wallstreetapost...
wallstreetaposteriori's picture

I swear Rick Santelli was told he would be fired from CNBC if he stayed as skeptical as he was before.  Now he seems brainwashed like every other idiot on the tele.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:47 | 5798225 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Pogue Colonel: Whose side are you on, son?

Private Joker: Our side, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Don't you love your country?

Private Joker: Yes, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Then how about getting with the program? Why don't you jump on the team and come on in for the big win?

Private Joker: Yes, sir.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:49 | 5798233 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

You can't eat fuel and lubricants (or iPads)!!!

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:50 | 5798241 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

29.5 hr/wk jobs and Obamacare premiums........it's pretty much a killer.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 11:07 | 5798580 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

Just part of the plan. At least 'the plan' is meeting or exceeding expectations, it seems.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:51 | 5798244 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

it's about the duality of man..its a Jungian thing sir.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:48 | 5798230 BrosephStiglitz
BrosephStiglitz's picture

Got to keep the wheels turning one way or another.  Even if those wheels pulp the plebians as they mow them down.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:55 | 5798266 d edwards
d edwards's picture

I agree. I, too had wondered how long he could tell the truth before being told to get with the narrative.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:42 | 5798208 Dungholio
Dungholio's picture

Bullish!

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:53 | 5798256 d edwards
d edwards's picture

Behold the stealth great depression 2.0

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:51 | 5798246 youngman
youngman's picture

For every action..there is a reaction....have Iphones dropped in price???

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:53 | 5798252 wmbz
wmbz's picture

Appears everything is on the right track, or better than expected. Next stop awesome-ville...All aboard! High 5!

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 09:57 | 5798280 Last of the Mid...
Last of the Middle Class's picture

Fact: You can only juggle so many chainsaws before you cut off an arm.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 10:16 | 5798293 mtl4
mtl4's picture

.......and now we are finally seeing the effect of that masked deflation, grab the popcorn.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 10:05 | 5798305 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Just greasing the skids for QEwhatever to be wheeled in.

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 10:20 | 5798358 MajorFall
MajorFall's picture

How much iCrap can you have?

Wed, 02/18/2015 - 13:10 | 5799333 SDShack
SDShack's picture

Don't worry, the lamestream media will proclaim it's all due to "brutal winter weather". Then this spring, it will be "extreme spring storms". Then this summer it will be "extreme summer heat due to global warming". Then this fall it will be "extreme hurricanes". All just in time for another "brutal winter". Because extreme weather has never happened before 2012.

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