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German-Led Block Willing To Let Greece Leave Euro, ECB Prepares For Grexit

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This is what peak bluffing looks like.

Moments after there was much hope for a deal, suddenly ze Germans yanked the carpet from under any potential leverage Greece may have though it had when the Maltese foreign minister said:

  • GERMAN-LED BLOC WILLING TO LET GREECE LEAVE EURO, SCICLUNA SAYS
  • "I think they’ve now reached a point where they will tell Greece if you really want to leave, leave"

This in turns follows minutes after a Spigel article said that the ECB prepares for Greek euro exit. From the article, google-translated:

The European Central Bank (ECB) is preparing for a Greek exit from the monetary union. To that effect, Employees by information obtained by SPIEGEL, an internal simulation games by how the rest of the euro zone could be held together.

 

Despite all the denials to urge the European monetary authorities the Greeks to finally introduce capital controls. According to the findings of the ECB, the Greeks have a day more than one billion euros abroad.

 

The International Monetary Fund ( IMF ) holds a Greek exit from the monetary union for the rest of the euro zone manageable. The Europeans had pulled up in recent years firewalls that may prevent skipping the crisis to other countries, according to Washington.

 

For a Greece leaving the euro zone would be related to the IMF, with significantly higher costs than if the country would be free to pursue further reform.

The bluffs will continue until one or the other sides admits defeat.

 

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Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:18 | 5807154 kowalli
kowalli's picture

HOORAY.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:19 | 5807157 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Good.  Bring it on.  Your turn Mr. Tsipras.  Either do what you were elected to do, or be a bitch and bend over.  Your choice.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:24 | 5807172 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Issue arrest warrants......make them run.

 

To be fair......give them a 10 day head start.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:25 | 5807189 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Now the shit hits the fan..

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:28 | 5807203 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

Imagine a world where Greece leaves the Euro and the SP soars to 2250 within a month.  The fan eats shit for breakfast. 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:31 | 5807219 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Prep bitches, the end is near(ing).

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:40 | 5807264 SickDollar
SickDollar's picture

Let's get this thing rolling because we have a lot of work ahead of us before this illusion dies completely

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:45 | 5807286 new game
new game's picture

fucki a ducki, quack quack

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:06 | 5807347 Wolferl
Wolferl's picture

German led block? You mean everybody besides Greece?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:24 | 5807864 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

Everybody besides Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Ireland and France, to name a few...

Zee German-led block consists of Scheiseble, Dieselboom and Gollum.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:25 | 5807190 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

"ECB prepares for Grexit"? Give me a break. This is like "FED prepares for rate hike".

They will do ANYTHING in their power to keep Greece in the Euro. And Greece knows it. This is why this could be fun to watch.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:33 | 5807226 winchester
winchester's picture

nope, it ain't fun at all coz we all know what 's gonna happen. they cannot leave.... if they do so, it is explosion of fracking with independentism movements all around the map...

make an exemple if you want to keep others under control...

 

those betting on grexit are fool as fuck.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:42 | 5807275 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

let's see how far Greece will go. Tsipras and Varoufakis have nothing to lose. Only if they cave in.

I wouldn't bet on Grexit, but on loss of confidence in the Euro, the EU, and the Central banks "omnipotence"...

This could take a bit longer in the beginning, but could lead to an even bigger explosion at the end...

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:48 | 5807296 winchester
winchester's picture

caution, i'm not saying this will not be dangerous for euro, i'm just saying about that "grexit" that from a pur statment about population and anti euro people, if you let some go away, then you have to talk with bretagne, corse, prolly couple of zones in spain, italy, and this is domino effect.

i just place my point of view from the 1st of the column, if you do not want them to fall, prevent the 1st to touch the others.

and the way to achieve this, is...money... TADAAAAAA.... they will got physical threats or accidents in their famillies if they refuse, that's how it works.

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:38 | 5807479 DavidC
DavidC's picture

Greece doesn't HAVE to leave the Euro to default on the debt - see David Stockman's piece on ZH earlier.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-02-19/today%E2%80%99s-financial-therm...

DavidC

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:22 | 5807174 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The Germans are so.......German.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:27 | 5807198 GastonTJ
GastonTJ's picture

jealous?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:32 | 5807221 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

This would be correct, save for Bündnis 90/die Grünen, who give us all a bad name.   

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 13:28 | 5808369 malek
malek's picture

So reading between the lines you mean Bündnis 90/die Grünen will save Germany?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:31 | 5807215 Nussi34
Nussi34's picture

Jajajajajaja!

 

Raus mit den Pofickern!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:31 | 5807218 Brazen Heist
Brazen Heist's picture

Beware of German intransigence and stubbornness. It lead to a few world wars.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:37 | 5807245 Arius
Arius's picture

hopefully not more in the future ... at least lets hope

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:13 | 5807373 Wolferl
Wolferl's picture

Nah, lesson learned. It´s much easier to rule Europe by sending a few accountants than sending a few Panzer divisions.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:12 | 5807608 msamour
msamour's picture

Next time Germany starts a world war, I hope somone is smart enough to let fly a few nuclear missiles towards the capitol cities. German hubris and arrogance is unlimited!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:37 | 5807921 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

All wars are bankers wars.  Wake the fuck up.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 14:14 | 5808571 NihilistZero
NihilistZero's picture

To be fair Germany has played foil to those bankers in a huge way. Twice.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 16:15 | 5809103 nicxios
nicxios's picture

Your average German family shouldn't have to pay the price. Just a few good snipers to take out the Shaubles and wolferls of the world.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:19 | 5807155 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

double post

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:19 | 5807156 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

I'l huff, and I'll puff.....

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:23 | 5807165 Anasteus
Anasteus's picture

...yet another bluff!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:19 | 5807158 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

I double dutch dare ya to step over that line, dare ya. (it come down to kids in the school yard now does it)

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:20 | 5807166 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

Yer yella!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:23 | 5807178 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Penis jousting.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:44 | 5807283 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Yeah those German's are in such denial these days. 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:20 | 5807163 ifishivote
ifishivote's picture

Yawn.. 2 stories down has the EUR and Greece working out a deal.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:24 | 5807186 Thirst Mutilator
Thirst Mutilator's picture

You've heard of pennies, steamrollers, & jawboning haven't you?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:20 | 5807164 Arius
Arius's picture

goddamn nazis ... fuck them

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:29 | 5807208 Midas
Midas's picture

They were nazis, dude?  Oh come on Donny, they were threatening castration.  Are we going to split hairs here?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:32 | 5807224 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

greece, hope you printed billions of euro's ready to go when germany shoots it self in the foot.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:48 | 5807508 rpc
rpc's picture

As long as they gave you lots of cash, they were your best friends. Now that they stopped, they are "nazis".

The Euro, the greatest peace project of all the time!

End the Euro, End the ECB, End the FED.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:57 | 5807543 DavidC
DavidC's picture

It takes two hands to clap - the Germans were quite willing to lend to Greece when it mean selling Porsches, Mercedes and the rest of German goods to them at low interest rates.

DavidC

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:21 | 5807169 Spooky Polish
Spooky Polish's picture

Balls of Steel

Game of Chicken

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:21 | 5807170 ShortTheUS
ShortTheUS's picture

Squeaky wheel gets the Greece:

img846.imageshack.us/img846/8647/tsirpasxgdftw0hedge.jpg

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:21 | 5807173 ZippyBananaPants
ZippyBananaPants's picture

Being half Greek, I know what it's like when you enter from the back door, and the girl is not expecting it.
She wanted a quick exit too!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:39 | 5807257 sheikurbootie
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That's why the Greek girls called it "going Greek".   Hellenica!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:22 | 5807176 O Tempora O Morons
O Tempora O Morons's picture

Babality

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:59 | 5807329 winchester
winchester's picture

sub zero, wins, flawless victory.

 

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:22 | 5807177 O Tempora O Morons
O Tempora O Morons's picture

double post..

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:24 | 5807181 Cripkuwy
Cripkuwy's picture

Firewalls aka Capital controls ala Cyprus

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:24 | 5807182 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Ze beatings will continue until moral hazard improves.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:24 | 5807183 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

"the Greeks have a day more than one billion euros abroad."

Indeed.  Thank you Google Translate.  That's poetic at least, if not at all clear what it means.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:34 | 5807233 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

My guess is this refers to some "news" I read somewhere else that the Greeks cashed out another 2 billion Euros from their bank accounts over the last two days (="a day more than one billion euros" and then they put them "abroad"??). well whatever...

In any case, it is so ironic that the Greeks

1) currently seem the only ones in the eurozone worried enough to pick up their cash from the banks

2) are given plenty of time to pick up their cash, courtesy of Super-Mario and his ELA

3) might be the ones ending up holding the most Euro bills per person when the shit will finally hit the fan (who will they give a haircut to?)

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:02 | 5807340 forwardho
forwardho's picture

True irony is that this whole "show" is a tragedy/comedy.

Some things never change.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:48 | 5807293 blindchicken
blindchicken's picture

in German: "Nach Erkenntnissen der EZB überweisen die Griechen täglich mehr als eine Milliarde Euro ins Ausland"

(rough) translation:

"According to findings of the ECB the Greek each day transfer more than 1 billion Euros abroad"

[with 11,5 million inhabitants this would amount to about 900€ per Greek per day]

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:25 | 5807188 Jonesy
Jonesy's picture

It's a poker stare battle to see who will get to print worthless paper money in the end.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:27 | 5807195 Bilderberg Member
Bilderberg Member's picture

NASDAQ 5000!....Europe will have to wait

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:41 | 5807267 winchester
winchester's picture

cac40 too... insane levels

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:34 | 5807230 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Everything is ' Manageable ', even i'm managing not to throw up this projectile of vomit bedded in the pits of my stomach.

Fuck the EU

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:36 | 5807237 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Algos melting down now. Smoke seen coming out of the windows of the Citadel building.

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:40 | 5807265 Arius
Arius's picture

these guys are going to exercise up and down until they going to throw up everything they have made so far and most of their capital ... unless ....

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:38 | 5807252 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

ALL news is good news until further notice O K A Y.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO-mSLxih-c

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:39 | 5807254 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Maybe it would be best if Germany left the Euro!

Let all the rest of the deadbeats waddle in their own BS.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:41 | 5807266 2muchtax
2muchtax's picture

How bad would things have to be if you're desperate to keep Greece in your club?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:47 | 5807291 Bernoulli
Bernoulli's picture

It's not about Greece. It's about "we're all in this together and nobody ever leaves the building!"

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:50 | 5807305 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Yes because if one party leaves and the illusion is destroyed, it's destroyed for everyone else as well...

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:03 | 5807342 winchester
winchester's picture

lets rewrite the titanic: after iceberg hit, glurp glurp  the crew members get rifles and seek for anyone swimming in the ocean, it is a fire at will to prevent anyone to flee and later tell the reel story.

 

the ship is sinking and glurp glurp glurp nobody is allowed to survive glurp glurp

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 08:53 | 5807309 Infinite QE
Infinite QE's picture

Time for Greece to leave and join the Anti-Bolshevik Russian Federation. Bring to light the truth of the war on humanity the zionists have perpetrated for the last few hundred years, including but certainly not exclusive to 9/11, the world wars, the holohoax, the war on terror, and it goes on and on and on.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:01 | 5807334 john.smith
john.smith's picture

Perhaps the ECB truly believes that a GREXIT will not cause choas, because the ECB's money printing will mean yields on euro bonds will remain low regardless, and that's all that matters to the Brussels elite.

 

On the other hand, maybe they will be surprised the same way the fed was surprised when the fed didn't save Lehman and the world almost fell apart. Well, at least I hope they will

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:09 | 5807348 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

You had it right at the start.  This is nothing that a printing press can't solve for the bankers.  In the end the ECB will buy up all the sovereign debt in Europe.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:10 | 5807358 nathan1234
nathan1234's picture

The Great Standoff

Will it be Grexit

OR

Gerexit!! ( Germany presenting a facade while planning to do the exit from the Euro)

a small typo can be can turn out to be true

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:11 | 5807365 Sid James
Sid James's picture

"This is what peak bluffing looks like."

The Germans ain't bluffing. They've looked at their bank account 10 years from now if Greece stays. It reads ZERO. It's a big fat Greek armageddon.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:19 | 5807392 Platypus
Platypus's picture

Funny how Tyler Turden posts an earth shaking headline ( in capital and bold letters) just to follow with some small print saying " thats what it looks like" meaning that what he think will happen. In the absence of another 2008 like crash, permabear websites like ZH come up with BS headlines to try to increase traffic. Thats why most of the serious posters are all gone. ZH each day looks more and more like CNBC.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 09:21 | 5807401 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

There is no exit formula.

 

Time is not on the side of Greece, unless they have figured out how to meet next month's payroll without money.

 

And screaming bold font headlines hasn't worked for a long time.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:28 | 5807661 sidiji
sidiji's picture

EU is becoming Napoleon's dream of a unified europe...greece notwithstanding, interesting that states continue to line up to join, that Russia is becoming nervous at the new behemoth on its borders.

People forgetting how Germany was itself created from a hundred bickering princedoms.  Merkel is doing a Bismark and bringing to birth the 4th Reich, and little greece had better be careful who it pisses off, because it really does not want to be on the wrong side of the border when EU turns Prussian.

The single biggest geopol move in the century and most people missed it.  You can already see the power dynamics of the new behemoth,  Germany is first among equals and starting to flex its muscle.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 12:54 | 5808225 gcjohns1971
gcjohns1971's picture

Not a bluff.

Germans just realized that $340Billion in Greek liabilities today will be $400Billion or more later, and choseto take a large loss now rather than a catastrophic one later.

The signal to other Euro countries is to get their acts together and be heroes not zeroes.   Zeroes have nothing to add but negatives. 

Empty promises, threats, and guile are not acceptable in exchange for concrete products produced through the expenditure of intelligence, blood, sweat and tears.

Those lamenting the loss of such countries don't get it.  The loss is already actual, just not realized.   Any other course chains productive working Germans to unproductive others.  

Moral Hazard resulting in the corrosion of the work force is the INEVITABLE result - as seen in the US.  When those who do not work have comparable lifestyles - given that free time is also a value - to those who do work, people will stop working.

It is the Zeroes who have not reconciled themselves to reality...  100 Trillion Drachma backed by nothing is worth...nothing.   It is the Greek Oligarchs who defrauded Europe to enter with Goldman Sachs help.  It is the Greek Oligarchs who spent the money on bread and circuses rather than productive self-sustaining business investments.  It is the Greek Oligarchs who continued to defraud and spend, deny and lie, throughout the revelations of the real status of Greece's fiscal status.  And it is the Greek Oligarchs who are now withdrawing money from Greek banks...explicitly trying to get their own money out, breaking the banks in the process, at the expense of ordinary working Greeks in the process.

This is not about banking.  The Rothschilds benefit most by retaining a weak and divided Euro that allows them to scrape unlimited amounts of wealth off the top through money-printing.    The banking cartel prefers losses to be unrealized, rather than realized.   The bankers universally want to 'extend and pretend'. 

Telling the Greek government to take a hike is not 'extend and pretend', it is an explicit capitulation on the necessity of realizing a loss.

Any Euro area banks that can still be broken on Greece five years after it became obvious they would and must default deserves to be bankrupt.

The only real question of substance is how to prevent contagion.

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