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Goldman Boosts AAPL Price Target To $145, Tells Clients To Buy (All It Has For Sale)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Remember: any time Goldman tells you to do something, do what it does, not what it tells you (thank you Tom Stolper for teaching us that lesson) and as the case may be, Goldman's prop, pardon, flow (because those are illegal under Volcker wink wink) traders have some AAPL shares to sell to you.

From Goldman:

Risk-reward more balanced, but upside persists

 

What's changed

 

We are updating our Apple scenario analysis and tactical map for 2015. The stock has appreciated by 20% versus a 6% increase in the S&P 500 since we published our last scenario analysis on December 16, and recent data points have changed our key assumptions since that report. Indeed, 4QCY15 iPhone units posted 12% upside to our prior bull case unit scenario, EPS exceeded by 8%, and operating cash flow exceeded by 31%. In addition, Tim Cook’s presentation at the Goldman Sachs Technology and Internet Conference has increased our confidence in Apple’s platform momentum (particularly on Apple Pay), the potential for the Apple Watch, and the prospects for sustained iPhone growth.

 

Implications

 

All of these factors and a powerful near-term catalyst set (April watch launch and capital allocation update as well as likely upside for the March quarter) lead us to increase our estimates and price target. Our scenario analysis reflects our increasingly bullish outlook, though the risk-reward has become somewhat less favorable. Given the current catalyst set and valuation, we still expect the stock to outperform; nevertheless, we could become more cautious on the stock if 1) our base case assumptions prove too aggressive; 2) the stock price reaches our new target price; or 3) we believe investor expectations have exceeded our base case. Our EPS estimates for FY15/16/17 move to $8.77/$10.45/$11.56 from $8.51/$9.87/$10.84.

 

Valuation

 

We increase our 12-month target price to $145 from $130 previously which is based on a 16X (up from 15X reflecting our increased confidence in Apple’s outlook) multiple applied to our CY2015 EPS estimate of $9.03 ($8.64 previously).

 

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Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:28 | 5807655 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

Kermit needs some Goldman lube

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:32 | 5807676 junction
junction's picture

People are lining up to join the Dead Muppet Society.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:33 | 5807683 waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

Are the about to introduce the i-muppet?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 12:33 | 5808167 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

If Apple stores sold green frog costumes, people would line up, buy them and then wear them everyday.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:28 | 5807656 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Is it just me or are a lot of bells ringing, again...

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:38 | 5807698 Cheduba
Cheduba's picture

This is kind of like how waiters start pushing the food that's about to go rank.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:28 | 5807660 Luckhasit
Luckhasit's picture

Well boys and girls it's official now.

Dump your AAPL stock, fast as you can!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:52 | 5807734 Thirst Mutilator
Thirst Mutilator's picture

Not so fast...

 

When it hits Goldman's target price, then they'll reconfigure the DOW and put AAPL in there [forcing 401k MOMO's to buy each month]. Then it'll get whacked as Goldman offloads its shares.

Pennies in front of the steamroller I realize, buy WTF, I don't run this shitshow.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:29 | 5807667 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

Nice of them to call the top for us

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:30 | 5807668 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Apple can round trip $130-$145 and back to $130 in 10 minutes here in the shitshow market conditions....big deal.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:30 | 5807669 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

come now, I'm sure the icar will be a hit.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:31 | 5807674 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

never go full retard

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:37 | 5807689 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Step right up, folks.  Opportunity of a lifetime, don't want anyone else to know.  But, 'cause you have an honest face, let me tell you about it ...

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:37 | 5807690 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Based on upcoming Apple watch flop?  What will this watch do that you really need? 
Guess the isheeple will be happy to tell us.  

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:41 | 5807708 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

maybe they'll put a two bit strap on thr back of the latest iphone, that would add another $100B to the market cap.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:43 | 5807714 Rainman
Rainman's picture

take a good look down Kermit's bunghole ... you'll see an iWatch down there. 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:51 | 5807733 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

The iWatch will allow for drone targeting within 3 meters.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:37 | 5807694 Divine Wind
Divine Wind's picture

 

 

That picture of Kermit cracks me up.

Amidst all of the talk of pending DOOM, you really brightened my morning.

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:38 | 5807696 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

The sell signal is in...SELL SELL SELL

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:40 | 5807702 eyesofpelosi
eyesofpelosi's picture

Wide receiver.

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:45 | 5807721 Monetas
Monetas's picture

AIDS alert:  The rectum is for outgo .... not INCOME !   Courtesy of The Thirsty Rectum Society

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:47 | 5807725 adr
adr's picture

Apple can't bring its cash hoard home, but I'm sure they can use cash from oveseas to pay for product development. That is what the iCar is all about. Apple spends $100 billion on parts and research from suppliers and consultants, all of which really cost almost nothing because it is all about an accounting fudge filtering through holding companies, voilà overseas cash winds up at home.

If Apple says they spent $100 billion on iCar development nobody will question it. In fact Apple would probably add $100 billion in market cap within a day of the announcement, BECAUSE APPLE!!!

You know those great Chinese numbers. All based on shipments, not sales. Xiaomi is eating Apple's breakfast, lunch, and dinner in China. No rational Chinese person would pay three times as much for an inferior iPhone over a Xiaomi. The little fruit logo doesn't carry much weight in China. Neither does the name Elon Musk.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:55 | 5807750 stant
stant's picture

The icar will have a NSA approved hard drive

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 10:57 | 5807757 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 All aboard the Dennis Gartman express...

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:20 | 5807855 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Yes . To reaffirm GS's buy recommendation, be sure Gartman is signaling a "buy".

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:16 | 5807789 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

AAPL is the most heavily weighted issue on the NASDAQ100.

 

Yellen/GS go long AAPL to keep this index up.  NDX supports S&P500, because DJI is falling apart and leaning on S&P500 (over 20% of Dow is failing crap)

 

Normally this is a "buy GS's book" exercise, but the Fed may have run out of momentum to run these markets higher.

 

Next step?  Recruit MOAR buying sheeple.

 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:16 | 5807835 freedogger
freedogger's picture

I'm going to buy apple trees this spring.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:18 | 5807844 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

The more ZH bashes Goldman Sachs, the more I love ZH. Investors /consumers have taken it up the ass from Goldman.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 11:18 | 5807846 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

Ever notice how THEY give you back what they took from you and you're supposed to think you actually GOT SOMETHING?  Examples: rebate on credit cards, cash back on car purchases, tax refund...it's called "giving you the sleeves off of our vest"

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!