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Goldman Crushes The "Low Gas Prices Are Unequivocally Good" Meme (In 1 Simple Number)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The retail sales data proved it... The Fed admitted it... and now Goldman Sachs has proved it... there is no 'economic stimulus' benefit from low gas prices for the US consumer (it is, simply put, merely a transfer of consumption from one good to another - or worse, it is saved or used to pay for healthcare or debt). As Goldman explains so clearly in its analysis of WalMart's results, the correlation between gas prices and WalMart same-store-sales "is nearly zero."

 

As Goldman shows... the R^2 between WalMart sales growth and gas prices is negligible at best...

 

Not exactly the "unequivocally good" meme confirming data that so many have rested their careers (and their client's money) on...

 

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Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:06 | 5808798 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Upping personnel expense will correct this problem...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LOL!!!

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:08 | 5808811 Leopold B. Scotch
Leopold B. Scotch's picture

Anybody else feeling gassy?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:20 | 5808871 localsavage
localsavage's picture

I am glad that they can justify it to themswlves. 

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:11 | 5808819 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

OT: just incase you arent incensed yet today.

 

Jefferson City Parks and Recreation director Bill Lockwood said sledding safety is often a topic broached after a serious injury, though city officials haven’t yet moved to ban sleds.

“Unfortunately, we can’t protect people from themselves all the time,” he said.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 16:57 | 5809449 Arnold
Arnold's picture

We're going to try Ice Skating in a public park for the first time in thirty years .

Western PA.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:14 | 5808831 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Hmmmmm..... I wonder where GS has their bets......

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:34 | 5808918 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

  Deflation my ass, everything has gone up and is still going up. My gas savings is going to the butcher... moo ;)

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 17:00 | 5809462 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Ours is going right back into liquid dinosaur to keep us warm in this sneaky russian winter out east.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 15:38 | 5808942 Money_for_Nothing
Money_for_Nothing's picture

In one way these low gas prices were caused by too high gas prices. People betting QE capital on oil as something that never goes lower in price. They lost. Oversupply was caused by QE capital flowing into fracking. They lost. Destroyed too many businesses. Good luck getting those businesses back.

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 16:30 | 5809250 authorized user
authorized user's picture

Whatever GS says, don't believe it.

Where are theier massive shorts this week?

Fri, 02/20/2015 - 16:47 | 5809381 prudent_investor
prudent_investor's picture

Its is explained by low income elasticity of the food, so why anybody should expect the big surge in WMT sales if gas prices went down?

 

 

Here is a fair value estimates for some US stocks: http://prudentvalueinvestor.blogspot.com

 

Sat, 02/21/2015 - 06:54 | 5811511 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

Walmart shoppers all arrive on foot?

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!