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Commodities Crushed: WTI Plunges To $48 Handle, Copper Breaks Key Support

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Perhaps the world is beginning to realize that "it's the demand, stupid" as crude oil prices are collapsing this morning (not helped by "all out production" news from Oman). While 'markets' rallied peculiarly after last week's epic surge in inventories and production data, that has all been given back as one trader noted "the market got ahead of itself, even though the rig count has been falling it is not until mid-yr that we are going to see some impact on supply." WTI is back under $49.  To complete the gloom, Copper is probing lower, breaking key support with projections to 222.50 if this move takes shape.

 

As Bloomberg reports,

Oman, the biggest Middle Eastern oil producer that’s not a member of OPEC, is boosting crude output to as much as possible with the global price rout over, Salim Al Aufi, undersecretary of the oil and gas ministry, said.

 

Oman will produce 980,000 barrels a day this year, Al Aufi said in an interview in Muscat on Sunday. That would be 4 percent higher than in 2013, according to BP Plc data. Oman will provide 2014 production figures in April, Al Aufi said.

 

“It’s crucial that we continue executing the future projects,” Al Aufi said. “It’s crucial that we continue the seismic activities and the exploration activities because when the market turns around, we need to have these opportunities identified and ready to go.”

It appears the humans took over from the machines again...

 

 

And copper is breaking down...

 

Through key support levels...

 

h/t @TrueSinews

 

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Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:17 | 5817881 somecallmetimmah
somecallmetimmah's picture

Maybe we would have government buy up the slack in commodities, thereby precluding delflation? Once the economy recovers, we can sell them back at a profit.
Problem solved!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:19 | 5817884 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

These are the symptoms of bigger problems

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:24 | 5817903 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

Best comedy on TV is Kernen on CNBS trying to spin that people won't invest in the market.........the MARKET???? what market

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:28 | 5817915 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Forget real stuff......buy equities.....it's the only way out now.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:32 | 5817926 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Yeah, paper assets are where it's at.  Even the Chinese have woken up to that fact in recent months.  

By the way, could you use the help of a good investment advisor?  I'll make you a small fortune in no time.  You just need to start with a large fortune.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:36 | 5817932 Self-enslavement
Self-enslavement's picture

The author is an idiot if he thinks we believe him.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:46 | 5817965 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

If people want to know what is going to happen in the markets, and in the world in general months and even a few years in advance - simply go read the Brooking's Institute papers. .  For example in one finalized paper they stated that Ukraine required a $1 billion in funding to prevent UAV directed precision artillery strikes, and should receive equipment x,y,z.  News articles confirmed that the US government had approved $1 billion in funding and was going to supply equipment x,y,z...

You can't make this stuff up.  Their papers on Greece talked about how they would run out of money, there would be bank runs - temporary price controls, and after that the Greece government would back their banks with promissiary notes..  

Dripping with intelligence references it's basically CIA policy put to print.. 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:44 | 5818128 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

Oil prices are hovering near $50 a barrel in Texas — down more than 50 percent from last summer — and jobs are being slashed by the thousands.

Most of the energy sector is in for a painful 2015, but it's also affecting other Houston industries and the overall state economy.

 

http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/blog/drilling-down/2015/02/what-the-t...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:21 | 5818243 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

 

Oil and copper aren't silver and gold.

Silver was squeezed in London today.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:28 | 5818271 Zero_Head (not verified)
Zero_Head's picture

Silver and gold are both up, sadly

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:09 | 5818418 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

That will be the trend.

Over the long term gold and silver will increase in value vs other goods as money buys more goods during a deflation (and during a deflationary crash).

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:23 | 5818252 Paveway IV
Paveway IV's picture

The paper Brookings co-authored on Ukraine is Preserving Ukraine’s Independence, Resisting Russian Aggression: What the United States and NATO Must Do

"...Dripping with intelligence references it's basically CIA policy put to print..."

In other words, it's the U.S./Israeli Military-Industrial Complex's Bridal Registry.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:48 | 5818367 Lewshine
Lewshine's picture

WTI will bounce sometime during the day today, stocks will rally back, gold and silver will drop further - BECAUSE THE FED CARVES EVERY ASSET CLASS TO THEIR NEED, TO FIT THEIR NARRATIVE. 

 

SAME MOVIE DIFFERENT DAY.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:21 | 5817892 Majestic12
Majestic12's picture

" Once the economy recovers"

Hmmm, interesting concept....

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:30 | 5817924 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

What we need now is a king to be over the land...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:32 | 5818294 Karlus
Karlus's picture

>>What we need now is a king to be over the land...

 

But who is smart enough and charismatic enough to do this? We need a good speaker, maybe even a constitutional law professor. But we don't want to know too much about their background and where they are from....

 

Hmm.....

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:22 | 5817894 Which is worse ...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists's picture

This is obviously a terrible idea because then you would have something physical, like say gold, collateralizing the currency. Pure madness.

/sarc/ times 1 million

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:38 | 5818323 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Mental exercise for you: replace gold with something else physical, like say energy, that anyone can produce, but surely not in any way that would debase the currency (the laws of physics do a great job at conservation).

 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:23 | 5817897 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

sux demand is going to zero along with this economy. maybe more social programs will boost it

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:28 | 5817913 Which is worse ...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists's picture

Yes, more social programs and don't forget more money printing too. The only downside to this approach is explaning to our grandchildren why then-contemporary historians in 2050 compare a past phenomenon known as "Central Bankers" to the people who operated the gas chambers at Auschwitz and why so many Central Bankers by 2050 are buried in unmarked mass graves.  

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:47 | 5817972 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Clearly.....we need jobs for terrorists.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:03 | 5818017 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Stop it, you're making me go all misty with the unmarked mass graves.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:14 | 5818051 Which is worse ...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists's picture

We can bury them all in New Jersey. What a match made in heaven.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:25 | 5818260 markar
markar's picture

Makes sense. I believe Jimmy Hoffa is buried in a NJ unmarked grave. They could call it the Meadowlands Foundation--so appropriate for elite bankers.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:12 | 5818443 BraveSirRobin
BraveSirRobin's picture

"Once the economy recovers, we can sell them back at a profit.

Problem solved!"

It may be the economy will never recover. Demographics are destiny, and populations around the world are starting to roll over and contract, especially in the larger, heavily consuming countries. And it's worse, because children drive consumption. Fewer children, less economic growth. So on a per capita basis, the older the population, the less spending and consumption. If trends continue, there will be "Detroits" all over the Northern hemisphere. Russia is in especially dire demographic straits, which is too bad, because there are exceptionally hot women in Russia. 

As it now stands, though, Russia has the highest ratio of women to men in the world. So, if you need one, get 'em while they're hot because supplies are limited and dwindling.


Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:19 | 5817886 Which is worse ...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists's picture

MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:25 | 5817905 svayambhu108
svayambhu108's picture

Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar Woar

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:30 | 5817923 Which is worse ...
Which is worse - bankers or terrorists's picture

I think you are underestimating how profitable WOAR can be for certain monied elite, meaning they accordingly won't give a rats ass. 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:35 | 5817931 yogibear
yogibear's picture

They all have their secure compounds in the southern hemisphere to wait out a nuclear war. It's all about profits for these people. They could care less about humanity.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:46 | 5817968 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

If we locate those compounds, we could send the GPS specs to Vlad and Xi!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:32 | 5818097 svayambhu108
svayambhu108's picture

Secured compound, nice, so they can eat eachother inside without being able to escpae. I would pay for a movie like that. Where the elite eat each other in a secure compound, and a few people manage to live outside in happiness.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:37 | 5817934 svayambhu108
svayambhu108's picture

War is a racket, but sometimes a racketeer kills his victim. Not event parasites kill their guests.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:43 | 5817951 new game
new game's picture

it is printable, moar, qe 4, print food, war, growth, gov.org, print, print to prosperity. working just swell. print anything for an awesome tomorrow. it is working awesome.hey print an accadamy award, 3d print legos, print anything your heart desires, cause it will be awesome. print racial equality too...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:43 | 5817953 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

some parasites do kill their hosts.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:50 | 5817977 cnmcdee
cnmcdee's picture

Maybe it's like McDonald's coffee - if you pay for the first 7 wars, the 8th one's free!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:25 | 5817904 ThisIsBob
ThisIsBob's picture

Yeah, lets sell all that shit and buy the SnP.  How hard can it be?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:25 | 5817906 saints51
saints51's picture

I hope this black shit gets to $10 a barrel. But my soul tells me innocent people will die for no reason whatsoever should oil drop that low.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:28 | 5817917 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

And if it shoots back up to $100/bbl innocent people will die for no reason whatsoever, too.  Take any win you can.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:36 | 5817933 new game
new game's picture

i can't wait to die for a bankster. where do go next? i want to be a warrior...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:53 | 5817960 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Be patient! Clinton/Bush 2016 will make your wish come true!

*****

Hillary: Jeb and I would like to thank all of you for being here at the WH tonight!
Jeb: And, we have a special guest, Harry Connick, Jr, who will be doing a new song!
Hillary: "That 'Ol Neocon Crowd of Mine!"
Jeb: Take it away, piano player!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:11 | 5818044 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

More like Jedidiah Bush would seem right now....

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:50 | 5817978 saints51
saints51's picture

Can't argue with that. +1

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:26 | 5817908 Stained Class
Stained Class's picture

Where are they gonna store all the excess oil?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:29 | 5817922 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I woke up this morning and there was a huge tank farm a mile down the street from my house.  

(Of course, that's been true every morning since I've lived here, so I wouldn't read too much into that)

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:43 | 5817955 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

I got a call from some guy in cushing early asking about my 250-gal tank out back...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:28 | 5817916 HoleIn1
HoleIn1's picture

Sure I would like to believe supply and demand have something to do with it...but I feel like this is more manipulation than supply and demand at work. Whatever happens I am certain it BULLISH. Keep BTMFATH suckers. What could possibly go wrong?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:42 | 5817945 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Good comment: we no longer know what is  or is not manipulated to what extent!!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:38 | 5817939 new game
new game's picture

store the oil in the ground where they were fracking. reverse the process. simple, problem solved. now it is here for that day of 100/bbl oil. think about it...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:46 | 5817967 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

Selective deflation, you have to love it.

Classic Crimex options expiry take down.     

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 09:47 | 5817970 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

Demand? HAHAHAHA!  What's that?

. . . "It's the PRINTING, stupid!"

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:03 | 5818018 SmokinMonkey
SmokinMonkey's picture
Scotiabank Commodity Price Index Falls Below April-2009 Recessionary Low

 

 

TORONTO, ON--(Marketwired - February 23, 2015) - Scotiabank's Commodity Price Index plunged again in January, -8.6% month-over-month (m/m) or -27.9% year-over-year (yr/yr), dropping below the April-2009 low during the 'Great Recession.' Commodity prices are now at levels last seen in January 2007.

 

http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/scotiabank-commodity-price-inde...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:25 | 5818071 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

All those oil contracts are  worth, well...zero.

 

Can't even give the oil away...let alone pay the cost of storage.

 

What's that?  You've levered the tank farm too?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:06 | 5818033 khaproperty
khaproperty's picture

Its the offer - as Austrians say since nearly hundred years. Not only but mainly Keynes said the opposit - an was wrong what he recogniced by himself publicly at the end of his life. But most people - because they were (and are) socialists or something similar - couldn´t  see that.

Also there is a lack of demand because of recessional signs all over the world, surely. For that the offer of energy from OPEC, US and Russia is too much:  So in the end it is the big offer that drives prices south. Question is, how long producers will be happy with their actual production and offer.

 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:18 | 5818048 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture

Oil would have to stay between $30 and $35 a barrel for at least six months before wells and mines are shut, according to the Canadian Energy Research Institute http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-20/canadian-oil-sands-output-growth-defies-plunge-in-prices-energy

February 21, 2015 I wrote: So let's get it there I hear the Arabs thinking. IAW expect lower oil prices soon. And here we are, Brent crude $58.69 and U.S. crude $48.84 A Barrel.

Brent crude $58.96 and U.S. crude $49.12 A Barrel Now http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/

WTF! Do we have a PPT on oil now?


Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:12 | 5818049 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Is that a Soviet boomer in New York Harbor?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 10:27 | 5818079 falga
falga's picture

Collapse? Come on, a bit more nerve. Any move of more than 4% in one trading session could be called a volatile sell off but we are not even near minus 2%!!!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:31 | 5818287 Chad_the_short_...
Chad_the_short_seller's picture

If oil goes down and at least retests the lows, the play is to short the fuck out of WLL, OAS, BOKF and get long RUSS. If oil breaks through new lows then you double/triple up on those positions.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:40 | 5818329 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

"It’s crucial that we continue executing the future projects"

My life quite literally depends on it...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 11:49 | 5818376 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Bullish,Quick, buy Biotech... They won't stay up here forever, just until Nasdaq 5000.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:52 | 5818595 Dragon HAwk
Dragon HAwk's picture

Hey that's a great idea, pull it out of the ground, count it and pump it back in... Known reserves. sit on it till the price goes back up.. and rehypothacate it a zillion times to somebody, punch out and disappear before they catch on.  /s ( i think )

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:09 | 5818651 CHX
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