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The Long Road To Avoiding Grexit

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While Friday's 'agreement' to agree to agreeing a deal that would be agreeable between The Eurogroup (and its 'Institutions') and Greece was heralded by the markets as a success for avoiding a Greek Exit (Grexit), there are numerous hurdles left in the next few months that could derail this process and bring about the re-introduction of the Drachma. As Deutsche Bank concludes, Greece’s (reluctant) request for a bailout extension is the first step in what is likely to be a difficult path to compromise...

 

 

Perhaps we should just focus on getting through today without a "nein" from the Institutions...

 

Source: Deutsche Bank

 

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Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:47 | 5818575 KnuckleDragger-X
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They are offering Greece a suicide pact but Greece may just decide to take the EU with them.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:56 | 5818614 junction
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The Greeks needed a delay from the troika and they got one with vague conditions attached to it.  The four month delay means grexit does not come under the troika microscope until near the summer recess.  Wanna bet Greece does not wangle another delay?  The real problem is not Greece but Wall Street and Obummer's economic policies, policies which have protected the counterfeiters who have flooded world markets with close to 2 quadrillion dollars in overvalued or duplicate derivatives.  So everyone with a slight knowledge of economics is trying to buy up real property as a hedge against a spike in inflation next year.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:20 | 5818688 KnuckleDragger-X
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Just had a thought, how much of the Greek debt is tied up with derivatives? That could make for a nice fireworks display...

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 14:35 | 5819025 walktheline
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One desperately hopes that they will, painful though it is likely to be for most of us. However it's a bit like having a tooth extracted, once it's out, that's it and subsequently things get progressively better.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:53 | 5818598 RadioactiveRant
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I'll believe it when I see it. A compromise on austerity will split Syriza, and given the widespread support for the Euro a Grexit will split the country.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:07 | 5818647 zuuuueri
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tsipras and his ilk dont want to leave the euro, they want to keep the Free Shit flowing, so long as they control the flow- they will happily sell the country out to brussels as long as they and the nomenklatura get to continue the free ride in brussels. 

 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 14:37 | 5819032 walktheline
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There is not a shred of evidence for this fevered fantasy.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 12:53 | 5818597 Sizzurp
Sizzurp's picture

Bring out the riot dog.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 14:16 | 5818953 Nobody For President
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Sausage (Loukanikos) died 9 October 2014. His health was effected by all the tear gas he inhaled. But he was one of the greats. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-13802940

New dog needed.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:01 | 5818629 Max Cynical
Max Cynical's picture

At least the Greeks will get another 4 months to get their money out of the banks.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:33 | 5818726 Two dogs
Two dogs's picture

Only if the banks re-open tomorrow.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:03 | 5818632 bahaar
bahaar's picture

Whe does Spain go to polls?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:52 | 5818807 Two dogs
Two dogs's picture

Not till much later in the year (Oct/Nov probably). At least by then they should have a clear idea of what options they are voting for:

a) more austerity and debt slavery

b) more austerity and debt slavery

c) none of the above (ie: abject poverty and freedom)

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:12 | 5818663 SuperVinci
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How come no one talks about a third option for the Greeks?:

Default on Greek debt, stay in Euro just like Cyprus.

No grexit need occur, plus no one wants a grexit except socialist libertarians.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:19 | 5818687 Pullmyfinger
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'socilalists' and 'libertarians' are mutually exclusive concepts, my little neocon puppet.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:21 | 5818692 SuperVinci
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au contrair mon freir.

Any libertarian that desires a gold standard is really a socialist.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:42 | 5818729 Pullmyfinger
Pullmyfinger's picture

I'm all ears; just how does that work?

This ought to be good..

..and by the way, you misspelled "frere."

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:45 | 5818779 SuperVinci
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Gold standard requires central planning. Central planning is the realm of socialists. What is hard to understand?

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:47 | 5818790 SuperVinci
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and don't forget:

 

Never VOTE for another CLINTON or BUSH!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 14:25 | 5818990 SuperVinci
SuperVinci's picture

Shhh...if you are quiet, you can hear the cognitive dissonance festering in the minds of all the hard money socialists now.

You mean they can just default and stay in the Euro like Cyprus??? But, but, but....

 

You mean a gold standard is central planning which is simply socialism??? But, but, but, keynes and stuff?!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 23:41 | 5821089 WOAR
WOAR's picture

Central planning is completely legitimate as long as all parties agree to the terms.

Then it's just an agreement, a social contract.

Central planning only devolves into tyranny when one party makes all of the rules, and then forces the other to comply with the new rules.

Libertarian /= Anarchist.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:15 | 5818676 SpanishInquisition
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Schauebel is playing the role of Bruning thus empowering Golden Dawn. The Germans love to empower fascists.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 13:58 | 5818849 Freeman Tilden
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1. We are posterity.

2. We do not pay.

Posterity does not pay.

 

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 17:22 | 5819778 armageddon addahere
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Posterity is just around the corner.

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 14:01 | 5818871 Kraut
Kraut's picture

So far that didn't work.The far right just didn't promise enough Unicorns!

Mon, 02/23/2015 - 15:33 | 5819313 Nobody For President
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Schauble's sophisticated negotiating technique:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MLry6Cn_D4

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!