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US Macro Crashes Near 1-Year Lows, February Running At 90% Data Miss Rate

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Despite this morning's US Services PMI rise, US macro data is running at a 90% miss rate in February and Richmond Fed's tumble from 6 to 0 (11mo lows) along with The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence dropping the most since Oct 2013 merely confirm this trend. This is the biggest 4-month slump in Richmond Fed since 2010 as practically every sub index deteriorated. California, Florida and New York saw over consumer confidence collapse and Texas saw 'present situation' plunge. US Macro data is now nearing its lowest in a year...

 

Consumer Confidence slumps...

 

and Richmond Fed sees biggest 4 month drop since 2010

 

February...

MISS

  • Personal Spending
  • Construction Spending
  • ISM New York
  • Factory Orders
  • Ward's Domestic Vehicle Sales
  • ADP Employment
  • Challenger Job Cuts
  • Initial Jobless Claims
  • Nonfarm Productivity
  • Trade Balance
  • Unemployment Rate
  • Labor Market Conditions Index
  • NFIB Small Business Optimism
  • Wholesale Inventories
  • Wholesale Sales
  • IBD Economic Optimism
  • Mortgage Apps
  • Retail Sales
  • Bloomberg Consumer Comfort
  • Business Inventories
  • UMich Consumer Sentiment
  • Empire Manufacturing
  • NAHB Homebuilder Confidence
  • Housing Starts
  • Building Permits
  • PPI
  • Industrial Production
  • Capacity Utilization
  • Manufacturing Production
  • Dallas Fed
  • Chicago Fed NAI
  • Existing Home Sales
  • Consumer Confidence
  • Richmond Fed

BEAT

  • Personal Income
  • Nonfarm Payrolls
  • JOLTS
  • Markit Services PMI
  • Case-Shiller Home Price

*  *  *

But apart from that, everything is awesome.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:48 | 5822560 praps
praps's picture

And lumber being taken to the woodshed today.  Down 3% and near 2 year lows.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:50 | 5822572 madcows
madcows's picture

lumber is still ridiculously expensive.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:25 | 5822620 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Zero Hedge has recovered from a serious error.  Would you like to report the problem to Microsoft?

Site went bye-bye for about 15 minutes.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:27 | 5822627 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I think we need a  congressional hearing to get to the root of the problem.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 15:59 | 5823567 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

I think we need a discussion to explore the possiblity of a sub commite being formed to advise on whether a meet and great can be held to gauge opinions on what font should be used on the name cards at a gathering to agree on the date to propose a congressional hearing.

 

There fixed it for you.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:49 | 5822717 StupidEarthlings
StupidEarthlings's picture

I get this..well..more often than any other site i visit.

Errors..or 'down for maintenance'... then comes back to life 2 seconds later. That's alot of maintenance. .and quick too..

:/

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 14:07 | 5823000 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

The forum software is written in Fedspeak, minor errors like the site crashing are features not bugs...

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:26 | 5822625 froze25
froze25's picture

Lumber has been high since, Iraq Freedom under Bush 2.0.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 13:03 | 5822752 clade7
clade7's picture

That news will make Pete Nelson happy...tree houses for everybody!

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:48 | 5822562 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

"Everything is AWESOME...."

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:50 | 5822570 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

No worries.  The mysterious Michigan CC index will soon be out to tell us that consumer exuberance is at an unprecedented all time high not seen since the fall of Rome.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:50 | 5822571 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It's not slumping.  It's just.... resting.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 14:08 | 5823005 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Its pining for the fjords....

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 14:17 | 5823042 MisterMousePotato
MisterMousePotato's picture

It's an ex-economy.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:52 | 5822577 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

Rally!

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:52 | 5822578 Spungo
Spungo's picture

Consumers are racist. They should BTFD and stop questioning Obamanomics.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 11:59 | 5822608 annabelleballow
annabelleballow's picture

I still want to know why the US Consumer was so Confident in January? 

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:24 | 5822618 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Doesn't matter as the market will continue to be talked up and bad news will be good news.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:25 | 5822619 The_Virginian
The_Virginian's picture

What's the source of the US Macro chart? Not doubting the validity, just wondering what you plug in to find it? 

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:25 | 5822621 katchum
katchum's picture

Something magical must have happened in second half 2014.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:28 | 5822633 froze25
froze25's picture

Yellen farted out some fairy dust all over the NY Stock exchange.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:26 | 5822622 Racer
Racer's picture

In October the "market" was taking notice of reality.

But that can never be allowed to happen so the Frauderal Conservers for Rich stepped in yet again

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:32 | 5822646 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

Everything is so fucking awesome I can barley stand it....(Howard Dean Scream)

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 12:59 | 5822744 sunny
sunny's picture

I'm not altogether sure why this type of information continues to be published since it is irrelevant.  No matter how ugly it gets, nothing in the markets will change.  Long Live the BTFATH!!   Don't you folks realize that everyone who thinks the markets will crash have been writing the same sort of comments now for 3 or 4 years?  The markets will not crash as long as the Fed maintains a ZIRP position.  There will be no meaningful change in that position since it would instantly destroy the facade of a recovery, therefore there will be no crash.  The only thing that will change that is a total overthrow of the US government and a removal of the Fed starting over from scratch.  The sheeple won't do that.  

Relax, go long on vaseline.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 15:33 | 5823371 Kprime
Kprime's picture

yep.  The only chart with an upward trend equal to the stock market is the enforcer violence scale. 

The number of innocents shot by cops. murder by cop, taser by cop, bitch slaps, beatings, thuggery, theft by badge, prostitutes in judicial quarters, drunken coke snorting cunt licking parties in congress, and more laws and regulations passed by the real tyrant leaders of amerika, bankers and corporations.

Yep, that chart is tracking right along with the S&P, unabated and ever upward.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 13:09 | 5822771 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

My confidence has crashed to an all week low and despite self induced heavy sedation still find myself 10 fold more alert than MAIN STREET.

How does one arrive at this permanent comatose plateau that the plebs appear to enjoy?

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 13:13 | 5822783 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Macro massacre - and Yellen wants to rise rates?

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 13:23 | 5822818 sunny
sunny's picture

Yellen will raise the rates shortly after the Vatican announces that the pope is pregnant.

Don't hold your breath.

Tue, 02/24/2015 - 13:55 | 5822950 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

This absolutely confirms Yellen knows what she's doing

Now let's all just relax

 

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