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New Home Sales & Prices Slip But Weather-Impacted Midwest Sales Surge

Tyler Durden's picture




 

When existing home sales missed expectations, the fault was laid squarely at the foot of the meteorological conditions (despite a rise in NorthEast sales). New Home Sales beat expectations in January, printing 481k vs 470k expectations (though very modestly lower than December's revised 482k) and - destroying the meme that weather is to blame - sales soared in The Midwest. Median prices dropped MoM to the lowest since September but remain up an impressive 9% YoY. Lack of inventory continues to be blamed for weak sales - but, we ask rhetorically, doesn't price rise when supply drops?

 

New Home Sales "recovery" in context...

 

And prices drops to September lows...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:21 | 5826903 junction
junction's picture

Obviously the fault of the Siberian Express/Polar vortex.  Blame bad weather, not bad people.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:22 | 5826914 Publicus
Publicus's picture

Canadian Express.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:32 | 5826955 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

All those graphs tell me is they don't build "regular guy" or "starter" homes any more.  Lot fewer, but a lot more expensive.

Want a "regular guy" home?  You're buying used.  And its best to bring cash.

 

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:52 | 5827041 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

This is exactly what I'm seeing. Also, people trying to sell existing "regular guy" homes are SOL unless they're willing to drop down to "fire sale" prices in order to attract the cash investor class.

I've gotten two unsolicited offers in the mail from these types for my "regular guy" house.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 12:18 | 5827127 Leopold B. Scotch
Leopold B. Scotch's picture

I blame Russia for everything. Therefore, it is Siberian Polar Express. 

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 14:19 | 5827800 steveharless
steveharless's picture

sometimes cash helps...we are seeing people pay over list price now in las vegas

http://www.ViewLasVegasRealEstate.com

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:24 | 5826926 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

higher prices on lower volume, just like the stock "market". when volume goes to zero the price naturally tends toward infinity.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:25 | 5826929 FrankieGoesToHo...
FrankieGoesToHollywood's picture

Any update on when Apple is going to start selling homes?

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:30 | 5826947 adr
adr's picture

You don't live in the iHome, the iHome lives in you and you pay a recurring $2000 monthly fee for the privilege of housing the genius of Jony Ive.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:33 | 5826958 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

That's fantastic.  I hope other people get that.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:31 | 5826950 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

The iCell will be out soon. Telescreen in every room. Live completely in the social medium/police monitoring state. Starting at only $8 mil. Financed with a 1,000 year duration and 0.1% rate.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:37 | 5826978 FrankieGoesToHo...
FrankieGoesToHollywood's picture

It makes sense why they launched iPay recently I guess.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:31 | 5826952 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Maybe when Foxconn starts making homes. 

Go long on suicide nets when that occurs.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:25 | 5826930 maskone909
maskone909's picture

When all else fails, revise!

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:28 | 5826942 adr
adr's picture

I'd love to buy a house since I had one before I moved for a new job. Problem is that I refuse to pay $200k for a 867sq ft one level shack in a decent town that needs to be condemned.

People are out of their fucking minds in New England. Who valued property here?

Well yeah it is on a swamp, the basement leaks, the schools suck, it looks like an 85 year old grandmother did the decorating, and there isn't any ammentities in the town. The house is five miles from the commuter rail to Boston so the asking price for the three bedroom 1200sq ft home is $365k.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 12:16 | 5827124 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

Paying more then $85/sf is a sure guarantee for a loss esp if the house is over $600k when the RE market finally reverts to the norm. Even MSM and Shiller are now claiming houses are overpriced relative to earnings. These higher end ones will feel the pinch first. And when more seniors want to downsize, they're going to want out of that 4,000sf lead weight around their ankle.

 

Plus, the costs of owning a house are skyrocketing--taxes, insurance, maintenance and repairs, and on and on. It never ends.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:35 | 5826970 yogibear
yogibear's picture

"People are out of their fucking minds in New England."

Reminds one of NJ. Outrageous taxes.

As long as people put up with it then expect it to continue.

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:39 | 5826987 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

weekly crude inventory out

 

+8.4 million barrels week over week

 

+19.8% year over year

 

http://ir.eia.gov/wpsr/overview.pdf

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:40 | 5826994 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

When everything in this world is either a lie, propaganda, or a combination of the two, what government release can you really believe?

Wed, 02/25/2015 - 11:53 | 5827047 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Snowden's

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