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WTI Follows Algo-Idiot-Inventory Template: Slides Back Below $50

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Yesterday we exposed the deja vu-ness of the API vs DOE inventory price moves in WTI. Today we begin to get some confirmation as a growing divergence between excess supply (and weak demand) for WTI and rising demand for Brent push the spread over $11 and the contango above $2...

 

 

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Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:14 | 5830747 Thirst Mutilator
Thirst Mutilator's picture

The quadruple Evel Knievel is in the formulation phase.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:13 | 5830751 techstrategy
techstrategy's picture

Let them do whatever they want to the commodity.  Liquidate nearly infinite duration financial assets to raise cash and buy gold (both senior to their phantom and fraudulent fractional reserve banking claims) to them redeploy into commodity producers if/as they get pummeled from the engineered distress.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:15 | 5830758 Oracle 911
Oracle 911's picture

Yeah, talking about "markets".

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:15 | 5830757 venturen
venturen's picture

if they can take interest to zero or negative....they can take everything else with it.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:17 | 5830761 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

tee shirt seen at the crimex:

i got stuffed on the doe

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:17 | 5830762 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

The 15 million added to storage over the past 2 weeks simply BEGS the ? of WTF happens when Cushing is full?

Just BTFD!  Storage in empty milk jugs?  How many storage tankers can fit in Puget Sound?

 

And BTW - FUC* you Saudi assholes that think you can make yer not so subtle statements about everything is ok - demand is firming up.  Ass clowns. 

 

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=CL&p=h1

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:45 | 5830860 Karlus
Karlus's picture

Its like no one wants to talk about running out of storage

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 12:34 | 5831346 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Sure they do and they talked it up three years ago with NG and the people that said storage would be full by Nov in Feb were fools and paid with big losses in their foolish shorts by the end of September, it was a bloodbath for the shorts in Sep 2012, go check it out.  At the very least, more storage will become available that people were previously unaware of because it quit getting used.  A year ago oil was in backwardation and Cushing was barely used.   There is 85m bbl storage there but that's not really what matters anyway, people are just taking advantage of contango and when the storage fills, contango will drop.  Last year they were talking about how it would take scrapping storage for the market to get into contango again but no one counted on the dumping of oil by the ME which is what is causing the storage fill.  

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 11:23 | 5831258 wrs1
wrs1's picture

What happens is that the ships will be turned away and the spread between WTI and Brent will close, with either Brent falling or WTI rising.  What you people that continue to focus on storage fail to look at is that US production has risen way more than imports have fallen.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:19 | 5830765 adr
adr's picture

Hey, when you never use the commodity and make money from trading the same contract 10,000 times, fundamentals don't matter.

All that matters is that you can sell the contract for more than you bought it for, then short that same contract, then buy it again.

Everything is bullshit....

Everything is great when Yellen is part of your team...

Everything is bullshit...

Everything is yours when the middle class is set up to ream...

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:23 | 5830775 new game
new game's picture

markets are very confused about oil. turmOIL. it will sort itself out over next 3 months. after the largest and fastest drop EVER, yea things are choppy...

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:25 | 5830781 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

some perspective on yesterday's move

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/wti-oil-daily-moves-higher-supply-data-...

 

the reality is that pumping oil at $50 per bbl is still hugely profitable for many

 

historically, oil has moved between $15 and $30 per bbl and now that "peak oil" is now seen as a lie, this is where oil is headed

 

with oil at $50 per bbl, rig techs may not be getting paid $200K anymore

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 11:58 | 5831421 Hohum
Hohum's picture

orangegeek,

Pumping oil at $50 per bbl is hugely profitable for many.  Do you mean the USA?  Because if you do, I'd like to see some data and not just a press release from an executive talking his book.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:35 | 5830813 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

only idiot is who follows the nonesense on zerohedge with oil comments.....this has proven to me this siteis horiibly biased

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:39 | 5830833 MountainMan
MountainMan's picture

Now that this pattern has been conditioned into the market, risk reward in favour of a moonshot today.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:39 | 5830838 GFORCE
GFORCE's picture

Oil is going to $40. Forget all the noise. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J2AXtsnMjtc

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:41 | 5830841 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

the oil work here is horrible...any fool can see the inv build is seasonal made worse by strikes and strip....yet bozo keeps with sensational headlines

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 09:42 | 5830844 lbrecken
lbrecken's picture

facys is prd has been FLAT SINCE LATE DEC....does tyler pt this out? No/..... 

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 10:11 | 5830958 MountainMan
MountainMan's picture

Today crude goes to 52.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 10:30 | 5831046 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

lol at all you oil bugs.

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 10:32 | 5831054 ben_bernanke
ben_bernanke's picture

every time there is a little dip in crude we get to hear about it at Zero Hedge...why, because it's the only thing that has corrected of late and *could* be thought of as bearish, well, the big crash is probably finished or close to it, and stocks kept powering on, so obviously one of the two is wrong and it appears to be crude traders

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 10:39 | 5831077 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

The Saudi plan in action - this shows that it was not anti-Russian but rather anti-Fracking in the US. Now the Saudis get to sell THEIR oil at higher world prices while US frackers get squeezed even more. But this is just the 'free' market???

Thu, 02/26/2015 - 11:26 | 5831271 wrs1
wrs1's picture

When storage is full, all dumpers are fucked.  The pipeline system is what the refineries are tied to and ships can sit out and wait if there is no storage, they will be turned away and the oil that has been dumped on the market will have to be dumped somewhere else.   

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