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Fed Policy For Dummies (In 2 Simple Charts)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Keep It Simple, Stupid...

 

ZIRP...

QE...

 

Welcome To The New ParaNormal!!

 

h/t @RudyHavenstein

 

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Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:40 | 5851837 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Hopium, it's what's for dinner.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:42 | 5851847 J Pancreas
J Pancreas's picture

So THATS what Yellen's been baking in her bagina!

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:54 | 5851878 philipat
philipat's picture

Sorry to be pedantic but shouldn't the X and Y axes be reversed and on log scale so that fuckedupedness reaches infinity on the X-axis whilst the Fed balance sheet continues to increase?

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:05 | 5851894 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Methodology is hard,

  but I think that's what they've got.  Fuckupedness increases exponentially with expanding Fed Ass Hats;)

Wed, 03/04/2015 - 04:20 | 5853077 Self-enslavement
Self-enslavement's picture

Fucking criminals.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:33 | 5852030 Dave Thomas
Dave Thomas's picture

No, just get a crayon and make X and Y a whooooooole lot longer.

Wed, 03/04/2015 - 00:12 | 5852755 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

That's cocktail napkin charting. we're lucky it's even readable.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:02 | 5851890 sunaJ
sunaJ's picture

I hate to be technical but "Fuckedupness" and "Fed Assets" are the same thing.  You need a constant - eg. time - to plot a graph.  Otherwise, the more vertical that graph goes, the less fed asset per fuckedupness there is, until eventually at vertical, there would be no more gain in fed assets, when that is not the belief system of Keynesian economists.

Wait, is that graph drawn in crayon? 

 

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:41 | 5851841 Dr Benway
Dr Benway's picture

Don't forget tipping off insiders so they can front run. In Australia, the markets moved a minute before the central bank rate announcement yesterday.

http://www.smh.com.au/business/comment-and-analysis/markets-moved-ahead-...

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:00 | 5851887 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   @Dr Benway,

  The RBA decision wasn't "front run". Quit listening to the BS.

 Smart traders shorted the crosses (3-5 mnutes) before the RBA announcement. There wasn't any "front running". The A- Hole aglos got caught short, before they saw the cross bids!

 Thank the SNB for another mess. (aud/chf). The RBA was golden, and the release was perfect!

 Ask Art Cashin, if you don't believe me.

 I'll bet you're long aud/jpy right now?

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 21:11 | 5852169 Dr Benway
Dr Benway's picture

Well that's certainly reassuring news, my faith in the markets is hereby officially restored. Until the next ABS stat leak that is.

I have to take umbrage at using the words "RBA" and "golden" in the same sentence though. Also not long the aud/jpy.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:42 | 5851845 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

EXACTLY!

 

Forget over thinking the problem....DO NOT THINK AT ALL AND YOU WILL BE FINE.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:43 | 5851848 Jethro
Jethro's picture

Fuckeduppedness is in what units?  Bernankes?

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:37 | 5852044 JohnG
JohnG's picture

Destitute Homeless Beggars.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 21:50 | 5852327 timmeh
timmeh's picture

bps - Bullard per second

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:45 | 5851856 screw face
screw face's picture

home brew chart porn...nice

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:51 | 5851869 Mi Naem
Mi Naem's picture

Yeah, looks like they even got the kids involved. 

Eww, does that make it child porn? 

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:57 | 5851889 The man with po...
The man with pointy horns's picture

Now extra strong to numb the pain of observed mass delusion.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 19:53 | 5851877 blindman
blindman's picture

that makes sense of the non sense,
= sovereignty/printing.
question, for whom does the process
benefit and promote? at what "cost"
loss or detriment?

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:02 | 5851905 yogibear
yogibear's picture

What do you expect from PhD economist smoking crack cocain?

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2974029/Top-economist-advised-Ge...

Keep doing drugs until the charts look normal.

 

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:06 | 5851919 ThirdCoastSurfer
ThirdCoastSurfer's picture

Good thing I'm not in Congress and able to question the Chairman. I'd ask:

1. What is more predicatble, the economy or the weather?

2. To read or listen to your statement, why do I not hear or read one declarative statement?

Is trust or faith in a prediction really just a matter of the proper use of adverbs; and if so, what do you really contribute to the conversation if you are too afraid to make an educated guess? 

3. What is the total amount of stimulus injected into the economy since 2008?

4. What is that in per capita terms?

5. Who has benefited most from these capital injections? The banks? What has providing them with 7 years of free money produced? 

6. Are you familiar with "r>g"? Applied to banks, what would this formula produce?

5. Would you say the QE experiment is complete? What % towards completion would you assign it? If it fails, what will your (the Feds) mia culpa sound like?

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:16 | 5851948 Conax
Conax's picture

Call the burn clinic- that first chart really stings.  They love when you guys do this, no doubt.

"Now go away and let us be independent."

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:15 | 5851950 Bemused Observer
Bemused Observer's picture

That chart at bottom was probably the clearest I've seen in decades...gets right down to the heart of it.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:19 | 5851974 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

And here's the 3 month T-Bill Rate

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/monthly-3-month-tbill-remains-flat-pers...

 

The Fed Funds rate is taken from the 3-month T-bill rate - kinda like copying someone's homework and calling it your own.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:20 | 5851978 lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

looks Bullish to me!

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:28 | 5852007 SillySalesmanQu...
SillySalesmanQuestion's picture

My wife and daughters are still laughing at Daddy for trying to pronounce fuckupedness with my head tilted at 90 degrees.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 20:32 | 5852024 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

I’m calling JPM tomorrow to see if they’ll make me an offer on a ‘Fuckupedness Index Call Option”. Hopefully I can lift the offer before Goldman or some algo front runs me.

Tue, 03/03/2015 - 21:39 | 5852283 MagicMoney
MagicMoney's picture

They don't want a full recession, so they keep easing. The Great Moderation is a failure. Large parts of the economy are addicted to cheap money and only exist because of the cheap money. It's interesting how the Fed treats interest rates as a method to stimulate growth and guide the economy. Slash rates to create growth, raise them to fight inflation. Has it not occured to them that low rates don't necessariy generate real growth? Growth as in investing in more capital goods. Interesting how they turned interest rates as lever than a real atrribute of a market economy.

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