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Initial Jobless Claims Surge To 10 Month Highs, Worst Start To A Year Since 2009

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following this morning's dire Challenger Job Cuts data, it appears the hard reality that lower oil prices are not unambiguously good for America is setting in. Initial Jobless Claims surged last week (after a big jump the week before) to 320k (far worse than the 295k expectation) to the highest since May 2014. Non-seasonally-0adjusted claims surged 29,361 to 310,000 making 2015 the worst start to the year for claims since 2009. Continuing Claims also rose. Since the end of QE3 and the end of the government's fiscal year, the trend of improvment has clearly ended and a new regime of weakening labor markets has begun.

 

The trend has changed...

 

This is the worst start to a year since 2009...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:44 | 5857154 lexluthor19
lexluthor19's picture

My country tis of thee? 

 

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:49 | 5857176 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

My country Did to thee!!

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:09 | 5857253 MarketAnarchist
MarketAnarchist's picture

Time to change the way they calculate the unemployment stats again...

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:36 | 5857357 plane jain
plane jain's picture

Ha. MSM ticker this morning "employment improves in all 50 states for the first time since 1984."

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:54 | 5857397 Metalredneck
Metalredneck's picture

How apropos that they give a nod to Orwell by mantioning their operator's manual...

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:59 | 5857415 froze25
froze25's picture

Are they telling us something with the 1984 year, is this "new speak"

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 12:39 | 5857765 giovanni_f
giovanni_f's picture

"employment improves in all 50 states for the first time since 1984 although some minor indicator was said to have come in a tad softer than some had expected."

Spun it for ya.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:06 | 5857435 Hulk
Hulk's picture

Sweet land of Poverty !!!

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:49 | 5857179 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Huh.......thought for sure Obamacare and Amnesty would fix this.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:50 | 5857181 Martial
Martial's picture

Sweet land of bullish greed.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:06 | 5857244 junction
junction's picture

Ah, the phrase "continuing claims," something I remember with disgust from many years ago.  Unemployment Insurance is all computerized now, no more need for the out of work to show up at their local UI office in person to sign up for benefits.  No more long lines as UI clerks validate punch cards for each claimant, cards used to prepare their UI checks mailed from Albany.  In 1976, the maximum UI benefit in New York was $95 a week, all untaxed income.  For $150 a month, you could rent an apartment.  50 cents got you a subway ride.  Assuming thieves did not swipe your mailed UI check from the mailbox.  Now, thanks to computerization, there are no jam packed UI offices, no EB (emergency benefits) or XB (extended benefits for weeks 39-65) or CETA benefits, nothing but total UI numbers that are pretty meaningless.  In New York, the guy who finally got rid of all local UI offices and moved the claim processing to a centralized office building in upstate New York (owned by a connected Republican) was Labor Commissioner John Sweeney, part of Governor Pataki's political elite.  Years later, just a lawyer, Sweeney accepted a sentence of several weekends in jail after being convicted of drunken wife-beating.  That figures, considering his track record.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:32 | 5857349 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

My country tis 'bout me

   - King Barack the One and Only

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:47 | 5857374 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

Walmart just gave out Raises so that should help with this...

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:45 | 5857159 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

It doesn't matter. Although weakening against every other currency the Dollar is "oddly" on fire against the JPY. "They" decided last night that they want the market to go up and nothing else matters

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:45 | 5857162 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

NSA has been trending up for a few months...just takes time for the SA to catch up. Seeing the labor costs spike and productivity plummet isnt a positive either. Looks like the next down cycle is in, and the Fed is fucked.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:55 | 5857194 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

the fed is always the fuck-er, never the fuck-ee

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:48 | 5857175 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

time to get to work mr yellen. congress should add a savings tax, which you pay on savings but are exempt if you invest in the market and keep the money invested (capital gains of course will apply)

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:52 | 5857186 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Seems we are in the more job cuts are bullish mode.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:55 | 5857199 JRobby
JRobby's picture

2009 was fun! Lots of people walking around with that WTF look on their faces. Sales of anti-depressants soared!

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 09:58 | 5857208 mastersnark
mastersnark's picture

Why won't the government just give everyone a job? Isn't that why we elected them?!?!? Gee whiz, sometimes I think the government isn't as useful as the TV tells me...

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:05 | 5857241 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

something new in my area: bums on most street corners with signs asking for money for food - some where even out in a rain storm beating on car windows for cash..I'll give em that, they showed get up and go being out there in that weather..more stores closing more for sale signs , poorly maintained streets - more gang kids -more homeless shelters and still they are out on the street..and this is small town america not times sq.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:52 | 5857389 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

something even newer in my area is some young women with husband and 2-3 little kids behind her as she holds a sign begging for money. They're different every day--white, Mexican, even some Paki/Indian looking ones. The Blacks seem to have dibs on another intersection. None are ever aggressive; in fact, they all seem pretty subdued.

It's pretty sad to see so many fairly young people begging these days.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:01 | 5857419 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

Agreed, the demographic has changed here as well. I've seen construction worker types 25-40 olds and many younger women. Panhandling at gas stations is common too. I rarely go out in public now without someone asking me for cash in all age and social statuses and this is in regular areas in San diego.

How any one can believe the MSM there is nothing wrong is beyond me. You'd have to be a shut in not to see this.

Miffed

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 14:07 | 5858126 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture
Number Of Homeless Children In America Surges To All-Time High: Report (11/17/2014)

 

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/17/child-homelessless-us_n_6169994...

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:03 | 5857234 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Just more good news for the phoney market. Go Green you fools! 

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:22 | 5857283 Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper's picture

This is just a transition period as all of those newly unemployed retail sales clerks retrain to mix cocktails and wait tables in the new, booming service economy. Second half employment numbers will be gangbusters.
/sarc

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:09 | 5857251 Mr. Bones
Mr. Bones's picture

Did they finally add the Oil jobs, the Radioshack jobs (rolled by one Tuesday and it was already gutted), the Macy's jobs, etc?

I wonder if they keep them on the bookie's real file so that when a report coincides with something "good" (Drahgi) they can dump bad numbers.

 

When it gets bad, you have to lie.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:23 | 5857317 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

<sigh...> Bullish.

As Nancy Pelosi said: The more people we have on welfare the better it is for the economy!

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:27 | 5857333 ajkreider
ajkreider's picture

Yawn.

This is completely expected fallout from the oil patch.  Economy looks like it's in a strong enough position for a job washout in that sector, which was in bubble territory anyway.  Probably good long term to no be so reliant on the energy sector.

Color me worried if tomorrow's job numbers fall below 100K.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:38 | 5857360 Ms No
Ms No's picture

Just popped out to the Bakken for a brief trip, you haven't seen anything yet.  Equipment laying everywhere in yards, rig count down to 115 as of yesterday will be 100 by the end of next week.  The ripple effect is just beginning.  Even though I knew it was coming seeing the human toll is just sickening.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:53 | 5857394 wissen dass scheiBe
wissen dass scheiBe's picture

Its putin's fault

Or

Who is john gault?

(Help save russian jews, 

Collect valuable prizes)

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 10:58 | 5857412 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture
Banks bury proposed limit on credit-card transaction fees in Colorado

 

Banks and credit unions united Wednesday to squash a bill that would have limited credit-card transaction fees they can impose on Colorado businesses.

 

http://www.bizjournals.com/denver/blog/capitol_business/2015/03/banks-bu...

 

My advice: stay out of debt!

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:09 | 5857442 Hohum
Hohum's picture

NSA claims down 7K year over year. Not a problem...yet.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:23 | 5857496 q99x2
q99x2's picture

When the tough quit working the Q99X2 gets a going. Working and going to college full time. What do you do they ask. I try I say I try.

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:46 | 5857581 surfvin
surfvin's picture

Are we ever going to recover from this recovery?

Thu, 03/05/2015 - 11:55 | 5857613 DrNybble
DrNybble's picture

Good one.  You have a way with words. :)

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