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Causation Or Correlation? How The Fed Killed All The Bears
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Did the Fed have a hunting license?
Did the Fed use a registered firearm?
There's still a few bears left. Time for QE4 and the Fed's scorched Earth monetary policy.
Ilook forward to the point of a negative bear percentage.
The reports of my demise are greatly exaggerated.
Not dead. Ornery, grouchy, slow to wake up after hibernation...yes.
Put spreads are fer cheap;)
Liar.
kaiserhoff is dead?
That's right. I'm a bear and I still have $10k left to throw against the Fed
I admit to still being short a lot of stocks from 2012 when I thought Europe was gonna go bust. The paper losses have piled up, but I see no point in throwing in the towel now.
If there is any semblance of a real stock market left, I figure with 6+ years of above average returns should lead to a few years of below average performance so I'll just keep waiting. I may never be right.
...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FcsXC2xFis4
Best bear killer ever. He hunts grizz
One point in time math succeeds over artifical pumping.
Nature seeks a golden ratio, equilibrium....the FED killed it for now, but not for long.........Nature abhors a vacuum
Enjoy your moment in the sun, my friend. The day a Keltner Channel or surfing article gets posted, I'm buying a fucking block of Powerball tickets.
Your silence speaks volume. Well played!
I can confirm that they killed me...
That's why I hate them so much. I want to see them dead. I want to see them terrified...
I am also angry after Zerohedge that keeps explaining us that this time the Fed and the Bulls are in a corner... Yet, they always manage to escape.
See today for example, the so called US Dollar shortage.
I am sure the fuckers will find a way. Kick the can is an art, when practiced at this level...
I hate them.
Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen : they even created a certain type of antisemitism in me...
If you're truly dead, then this is my signal to start shorting in ernest.
The FED is set to increase rates in June. They're fighting for USD reserve currency status survival against the RMB. It's not so much about their bullshit fundamentals which have supposedly improved. We all know that is not true. The truth is that their hand is being forced. The USD is a well sought after commodity when every other currency seems to collapse (cleanest shirt in the dirty hamper). Shifting billions of European or North and South American wealth into RMB isn't an option yet. USD is strong because of the flight into USD and the promise of a higher yield eventually. Truth is, even with 18 trillion in debt the FED can afford to raise rates as the demand for USD paper increases. All things being equal, who wouldn't trust the FED with their wealth.
When that happens, the stockbuybacks will slow down or stop completely. The market then looking for anyone with a pulse to buy the highly overvalued corporate papers will inevitably go down.
But then again, maybe you're not really dead yet....
I can confirm that they killed me...
That's why I hate them so much. I want to see them dead. I want to see them terrified...
I am also angry after Zerohedge that keeps explaining us that this time the Fed and the Bulls are in a corner... Yet, they always manage to escape.
See today for example, the so called US Dollar shortage.
I am sure the fuckers will find a way. Kick the can is an art, when practiced at this level...
I hate them.
Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen : they even created a certain type of antisemitism in me...
I can confirm that they killed me...
That's why I hate them so much. I want to see them dead. I want to see them terrified...
I am also angry after Zerohedge that keeps explaining us that this time the Fed and the Bulls are in a corner... Yet, they always manage to escape.
See today for example, the so called US Dollar shortage.
I am sure the fuckers will find a way. Kick the can is an art, when practiced at this level...
I hate them.
Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen : they even created a certain type of antisemitism in me...
The killed some people, we got it...
They've killed a few million and fully intend on killing millions more.
This isn't the 1960's anymore Dr. Evil. We use "billions" now not millions.
Boy, once you gett this guy talking... I liked the silent dead bear better, I think.
"He's alive, Jim"
In this case, while some may say correlation equals vituperation, it’s hard to comprehend how the Fed could hate creatures that are cute, cuddly, fuzzy, keep CHI football fans out of the playoffs, prevent forest fires and are dropping like the Fed’s sworn enemy, US Macro (?)
Instead, are we seeing nascent signs of correlation equals crustacean – bears as barnacles, about to be encrusted on the Fed’s behind, taking markets further south on the data-dependent express than Bullard’s bull can rescue? Will be interesting to see the post-FOMC reaction in two weeks after “patient” is replaced by “exhausted.”
where do you channel surf?
I've surfed since I was 12 yr old - or about 40 years
Sounds like fun. We're exactly the same age but, alas, I never learned swim. The handle is a pun on TV channel 'surf' vs. water surfing via Keltner volatility envelopes vs. trading 'serf', etc.
Who are you, who Is so Wise to the ways of science? Excellent wordplay! Bravo!
Thanks, but despite wordsmithing attempts, it seems a dead bear got 13X the number of upvotes, which is precisely why Kafka wrote at night, but kept working at that insurance company during the day :)
A casino house that prints its own money ad infinitum....
v
Bears
Uh,...
Forever bearish.
In the end it won't matter anyways, they will void all (non tribal) trades regardless when the casino burns down, it will be a "matter of National Security". You think I'm kidding?
No, you are not kidding.
Good a chance as any for the final washout.
i had to explain the tribe to a young man today. relatively bright. still young enough to 'serve'. serves him right to be so stupid.
Bears are expensive
Fuck National Security. It's Homeland Security that will kill us all.
Don't fret. The Calvary is on its way.
"Obama is trying to expand progressive control by attaching more conditions to federal funding of state and local law-enforcement efforts. “We can expand the [federally-funded] COPS program… to see if we can get more incentives for local communities to apply some of the best practices and lessons that are embodied in this report,” he said."
" Obama’s strategy matches the progressive playbook, which continuously expands progressives’ power by gradually adding more conditions to federal aid. That same strategy is implemented in education via the “Common Core” education plan, in the health-sector via Obamacare, in the banking industry via the mortgage rules that caused the damaging property bubble and in housing via Obama’s “regionalism” plan. "
http://dailycaller.com/2015/03/02/obama-unveils-national-obamalaw-plan/
an absolute end run around the constitution's state's rights. As long as the government is the only one that can fund through debt they will take the Alinsky path to hell. Entitlement mandates in a bankrupt society totally dependent on debt by a single hand...tyranny.
You can go over 100% bullish consensus if the bulls are on margin..............
"Time for QE4 and the Fed's scorched Earth monetary policy."
QE 4 later this year. Bigger than ever before. It will make Krugman smile. Like his does when he passes gas bombs or dumps a a large one while on the toilet admiring his economics papers.
didn't get this bear
long seals
short the rest
I am still out in the woods....doing something.
Of course the bears are dead; who would be stupid enough to short the market when the FED has publicly stated many many times in no uncertain terms that their sole purpose is to take prices higher into perpetuity.
Seriously now, the shareholders of the FED are balls to the wall long. US.gov who on paper controls the FED is balls to the wall long.
The entire financial system is predicated on rising prices and every body that has any influence on anything is working to make asset prices increase. From a straight mathematical perspective, either asset prices increase or the whole system goes to zero.
The only reason to sell the S&P would be to buy moar NASDAQ cause while the S&P has some companies which require actual demand and the production of physical products with intrinsic value the NQ is mostly speculative tech things which need no more than the promise of free money and chance of potentially being profitable in your lifetime to surge well past a billion dollars in market cap.
Let me try and count the number of times statements like these have been made near all market bubble tops. Have the central banks truly discovered the fountain of youth, where there are never any more consequences for un-natural acts of financial engineering? When again in history was this ever been successful in the long term? Oh yeah, never. Yes it could go on longer, and yes no one should be trying to short this thing. But, it doesn't mean anyone should be plowing new money in at this point. The market trajectory and been leveling off for a while now. As we know, markets never sit still. So, it will either take off again, or start to roll over. I think the rubber band is stretched nearer it's breaking point than ready to rocket off further into the stratosphere. We'll see.
I am a mouse but will bite the FED in the ass.