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EURUSD Tumbles To 1.06 Handle, Swissy Slides To USD Parity

Tyler Durden's picture




 

When does the Euro become the Ruble?

 

This is the weakest for the Euro since April 2003...

 

And swissy is back at parity - *USD/CHF AT PARITY FOR FIRST TIME SINCE SNB REMOVED FRANC CAP

 

Year-to-date...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:09 | 5873486 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Um......you misspelled rubble.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:12 | 5873494 Burt Gummer
Burt Gummer's picture

It's a race to the bottom for all currencies. Jim Rogers was on RT telling everyone to buy gold because the dollar is fucked.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZCJBqxMlNNg

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:16 | 5873506 knukles
knukles's picture

Tee heeeh

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:19 | 5873517 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

Armstrong calls for the euro to break 80?

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:46 | 5873664 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Deflation then inflation.  

I hope you suckers have a nie fixed rate home loan, or maybe refi into one which pays you to borrow money.  Anything at a fixed rate would be great.

I just got a car loan at 3.99% fixed.  I could have gotten a lower AR note, but the dealer threw in a ton of stuff and over the life of the loan its 800€ out of pocket (Yes for you smartie pants I just told you how much I paid) and I just shifted inflation risk to the bank & loaded up on AG and AU from the sale of my old car.  

I think that will pay off well.  

 

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:02 | 5873769 malek
malek's picture

It always amazes me how ZH posters, who seem to have pretty good grip on things and abuses, still fall for the bait and take out any kind of loan which is not truly investment into productive things and don't even realize they are feeding the beast.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:21 | 5873895 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Its about opportunity cost.  

In an inflation scenario where people are scrambling to get into theoritically non-depreciating fixed assets -- I believe AG and AU will outperform used cars materially.  Thus, while I have the opportunity to get AG and AU while it is underperforming used cars, and hold until the USD finally follows the Reichsmark Rubicon -- it seems like a deal, when 4% p.A. is a small price to pay for a non-collateralized AG/AU loan.  

 

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:27 | 5873932 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

In the 30's and early 40's Schindler did well plying the local Nazi authorities with hard to find alcohol among other nice to have things.   One could do well in tampons today in Venezuela.   Toilet paper is too bulky to keep under a trenchcoat, and venezuela is kinda hot.  

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:41 | 5874009 malek
malek's picture

Two points:

You may believe you are smarter than all or at least most others, but statistically speaking you'll likely find out one day someone was smarter than you and your strategy turns out to have been a martingale scheme. I prefer a little more humbleness for an investment strategy.

No matter if the above is true or not, you have effectively decided to join the psychopaths in their game. That is your freedom of choice, but remember that things will only get better when then majority consciously rejects such offers even if something would be in it for them.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:01 | 5874124 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

I know.  You *are* correct.  TBF though, I am not running debt up sky high to make ends meet, but to acqurire AG and AU.  The lending institution nor the government are the wiser, and its a great way to get into some cool toys/properties if the time presents itself. 

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 15:57 | 5874736 Farqued Up
Farqued Up's picture

Do as you please, your advisors are going to die just as you and I, it really doesn't matter, just look to the upper right of this page for divine guidance. 

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:21 | 5873902 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

Or, at least, non depreciating assets/things, if not productive ones.   In various collapse scenarios all sorts of productive assets in today's market could have no customers, or be encumbered by heavy handed government action or threats thereof, as happens when in tough times the hordes demand bold and persistent experimentation from their demagogues, and the demagogues give it to them good and hard.  Take FDR and the depression he made Great.  Please also take Obama, Warren, Hillary, Boehner, McConnel, McCain(for his emergency get-back-to-DC-to-exploit-this-crisis instincts in 08, among other telling signs of a big government demagogue)    

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:22 | 5873909 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

You can always stop paying by relieving yourself of ownership, at whatever your breakeven point may be.  Point well taken though.  I paid cash for my car.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:00 | 5874108 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

I paid cash for my previous car.  

Do I want to do that again and "invest" $15k or so (I never ever ever ever ever ever ever ever buy new) in a depreciating asset, or acquire 10 oz + a CPO Lexus for 800€.  Principal would get paid out either way.  

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:11 | 5873832 TBT or not TBT
TBT or not TBT's picture

A lot of folks went long on their house, car, boat...education using fixed rate debt.  Unlike you, most are swimming naked (not much Au, Ag, or other trade goods counterbalancing the encumbered assets).    Question is, what will a government do for the hordes of naked swimmers vs those few with bathing suits(food and housing and trade goods etc) when the tide goes out(inflationista scenario).   The naked swimmers eyes will be focused on the clothed.   It's a Venezuela Zimbabwe Argentina type of place to be.   Democracy of the type the founders warned about sets in fast and lawlessly.  

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:30 | 5873578 ...out of space
...out of space's picture

all currency fall right now against the usd

us go in a big defltion right now

but  thinking usd will be the last one to standing, king dollar to the last moment 

 

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:59 | 5873750 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

and when it goes,  holy shit.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:09 | 5873818 j0nx
j0nx's picture

I assure you there is no deflation here in the US. Even electronics are stable. Food and fuel are moving up as always but everything else seems stable. Electronics would show deflation almost immediately.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:27 | 5873931 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

"Tee heeh" is right. Long "Griswald European Vacation".

Long any foreign vacation, for that matter. Well, maybe not to MENA or Ukraine... but it's real cheap everywhere else.

London, Paris, Munich... talk about, pop music.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:19 | 5873520 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

When does the dollar become the German Mark of 1923???

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:22 | 5873538 kowalli
kowalli's picture

from born of federal reserve at 23 december 1913 year

ROFL

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:42 | 5873643 cossack55
cossack55's picture

When it has better art work and only printed on one side.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:11 | 5873491 Edward Morbius
Edward Morbius's picture

If the SNB would just go back to a Nestle's chocolate bar backed currency...

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:12 | 5873495 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

currencies are moving like fucking penny stocks ...

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:14 | 5873502 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Nothing to see here, move along.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:28 | 5873564 agent default
agent default's picture

True.  I am used to crashes by now.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:20 | 5873524 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

What, HFT Firms not allowed to make money too.   You are a silicon racist. 

/sarc in case you missed it

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:42 | 5873647 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Brilliant comment, pragmatic hobo.  Elucidating, compact, direct.  It makes me suddenly realize that currencies ARE "penny stocks".

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:16 | 5873505 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Things are just wonderful and Draghi has his magic money shovel ready to spread the sunshine and joy around even more......

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:24 | 5873551 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

... with plenty of megabankers already chanting "Q€ is doomed! Q€ will fail! They won't be able to do it all!!"

but in this financial world, the word and the apparent intent count "moar" then the act, thanks to the "power of discounting"

anyway, my late and lamented financial guru and mentor often told me that one day, the EUR, the USD and the CHF would align like planets of an eventful constellation

since this was usually after a few bottles of wine, I always put that as drunken silliness. instead of thinking that "in vino veritas" proper forecasting needs... fuel

and note, even the GBP is at a level that fits a certain bias!

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:29 | 5873572 agent default
agent default's picture

Did he elaborate further on the "eventful" part?

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:43 | 5873650 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

well, what he anticipated is that one of the parties involved might call for a truce, and a multi-peg would be announced, at USD 1.00 - EUR 1.00 - CHF 1.00 - GBP 1.50

as a kind of last attempt to save the weakest of the bunch. but he postulated that two other things would have to happen, for this, and we aren't there. but who knows, the planets might align again

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:55 | 5873725 walküre
walküre's picture

oh, please..

two other things would have to happen, for this

Putin needs to step down due to sex change operations and Kim Kardashian becomes first female PM of Iran

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:55 | 5874421 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

You're quickly becoming one of my favorite posters on this site.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:17 | 5873509 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

This is what happens when the banks aren't there to manipulate...wait a minute

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:19 | 5873518 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

euro monthly support didn't last long at 107.50

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/euro-monthly-closes-eighth-straight-mon...

 

92.50 possible longer term target

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:21 | 5873530 Tinky
Tinky's picture

For some perspective, take a look at the gold chart in Euros. The recent "smackdown" doesn't appear quite the same as does through a dollar lens. And then of course there are Hryvnias...

http://www.finanzen.net/rohstoffe/goldpreis/euro

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:06 | 5873803 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

When I checked, it was 14USD higher in Europe. So, there is a sale in the US.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:26 | 5873553 walküre
walküre's picture

The Dollar is way too expensive. Gonna kill what's left of American manufacturing.

Bullish for "Made in Germany".

Once Fed/IMF ditches the reserve currency thing, the US is allowed to go full on Japanesie

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:28 | 5873565 lawton2
lawton2's picture

I don't see the dollar dropping much as long as we have strong deflationary pressures.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:44 | 5873660 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Those corporate cash stockpiles are looking smaller and smaller, paradoxically.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:56 | 5873736 walküre
walküre's picture

Big stockpiles that soon won't buy anything? Weird times for sure.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:28 | 5873554 lawton2
lawton2's picture

Germany is really going to feel it on thier exports when the PIIGS start baling and they dont have an artificially low currency anymore.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:35 | 5874298 eurogold
eurogold's picture

Are you kidding ? Germany loves a low Euro to Dollar exchange. Exports are booming !

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:56 | 5874423 123dobryden
Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:33 | 5873600 Tjeff1
Tjeff1's picture

Make it rain, Mario, Make it rain!

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:40 | 5873634 mendigo
mendigo's picture

I sense a disturbance in the force.

What is driving the collapse of euro? Is the market running from dragis qe bazooka?

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:27 | 5873935 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

S.O.R.O.S.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:56 | 5873730 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Get in while those treasury yields are still positive....

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:56 | 5873733 Sofa King
Sofa King's picture

Being an Astronomy buff, I wanted to buy a German-made filter last week. I checked the price directly from the manufacturer in Germany and they wanted 215 euros for it. A distributor who had it in stock in California wanted 330 dollars for it. Then I realized the guy stocking them in Cali probably bought it and stocked it last year and added his vig. Went with direct from Germany cause the dude shipped three-day FedEx international for 10 dollars.

I'm sure this inventory assassination will play out on a larger scale through-out different industries.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:25 | 5873917 j0nx
j0nx's picture

A Baader CaK perhaps? I can't think of any other filter that expensive outside of a much more expensive Coronado HA. This does open up some possibilities for German made instruments though.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:33 | 5874289 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Bullish for Plattenbau in Jena.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 12:56 | 5873735 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

It's really quite incredible considering just a few years ago it was more than 1.50.  That's a 33% drop.  Simply incredible.   King Dollar -- the best currency in the Intensive Care Unit.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:05 | 5873796 Hohum
Hohum's picture

It's incredible, but then think that the dollar dropped 40% against the Euro in the first decade of this century.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:13 | 5873846 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Quite the roller coaster ride.  Megaphone movements.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:08 | 5873815 joego1
joego1's picture

I just bought a battery tester on ebay for $3.77 Hong Kong with free shipping. How can anyone make anything and sell it so cheap and ship it airmail half way accross the planet? Som ting wong.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:11 | 5873830 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Absolutely. I have bought all kinds of electronic tools overseas, that I would have preferred to buy locally. But what can I do, when the fees for crossing the US border, or shipping 200 miles cost more than the entire purchase price from China, or Hong Kong?

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:12 | 5873840 thamnosma
thamnosma's picture

Wait till you see how it works.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:33 | 5873968 Sandmann
Sandmann's picture

It has plastics which render you sterile so reducing the odds for Chinese battle groups

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:30 | 5873949 sidiji
sidiji's picture

Germany's 4th reich...if US doesnt act soon, US manufacturing base will go the way of swiss' cheese haha

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:31 | 5873951 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

<-- 2 yrs ago I agreed with ZH to "Go Long Gold" (Au at $1700)

<-- 2 yrs ago I agreed with MSM to "Go Long USD"

Don't be a pansy fence-sitter. C'mon, fess up and be counted, no matter if you were right or wrong.

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 14:32 | 5874277 Mayer Amschel R...
Mayer Amschel Rothschild's picture

Long USD, but not because of MSM.  If one believes in deflation, then one believes in the eventual scarcity of USD notes.  Eventually, gold will win the day, but not until the dollar cleans up first.  We'll see...

Tue, 03/10/2015 - 13:32 | 5873957 Sandmann
Sandmann's picture

I still favour Euro and CHF swaps with Roubles to undercut the US Dollar and buy more growth. Forcing the US Dollar higher and trading oil in Euros would help generate growth outside the US

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