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Furious "Plunge Protection" In Final Minutes Fails To Push Stocks Green For 2015

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The worst 2-week run of the year for stocks leave Dow, S&P, and Trannies red for 2015...

 

Yesterday's dead-cat-bounce died... and then the algos went berserk and ramped us above VWAP into the close... what a total joke.

 

Don't think it was the machines - then how did we end perfectly at VWAP!!?

 

And here is the lever... smash VIX 1 handle lower... (and note VIX higher and stocks lower after the close)

 

But in the day, small caps outperformed - what a joke!!!!! look at it

 

On the week,Trannies tested red but bounced, Nasdaq underperformed...

 

Leaving The Dow, S&P, and Trannies red year-to-date... the panic-buying idiocy into the close was all the machines trying to get S&P green YTD

 

This was the worst 2-week run for The Dow and S&P since early December... but Small Caps are green for March...

 

So let's take a look at the turmoil...

Crude was Carnage'd under $45...

 

The Euro Baumgartner'd below the crucial 1.05 and could not get back up...

 

Yields on the week dropped 11-14bps with the long-end erasing all the Jobs-data losses...

 

The US Dollar saw its biggest week since September 2011...

 

And biggest 2-weeks since Lehman!!

 

Commodities performed relatively well in the face of the USD explosion... all apart from Crude...

 

 

And finally... because it's all about fundamentals

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:09 | 5886608 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

oops, i forgot to btfd

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:11 | 5886618 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

Who cares what the Slop n Pee does? You're still in the market, you get what you deserve.

Cue ".....and it's gone!"

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:28 | 5886693 Serfs Up
Serfs Up's picture

Yeah..."""markets""" at work.

Or the tribe.

Either way, you are not among the chosen.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:17 | 5886902 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

watta joke.....LMFAO

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:27 | 5886949 max2205
max2205's picture

Lots of stress....gonna pop  or break hard 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 22:39 | 5887804 Urban Roman
Urban Roman's picture

Don't Baumgartner that Euro, my friend..

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:49 | 5887186 OLD YELLER
OLD YELLER's picture

How can you trade treacherous markets? It was clear after 2008, that the dice were loaded, the casino was corrupt. 

Stacking gold, silver, and lead.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:33 | 5886718 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

Why would you want to go into the weekend less than balls to the wall long?  With all the pent up de-escalation in the east, CB jawboning, and governmental deficit can kicking.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:03 | 5886861 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

This cat was feeling froggy so I jumped.  Picked up an April Put on the S&P 10 at 3:50 p.m.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 22:14 | 5887727 one_hundred
one_hundred's picture

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... www.globe-report.com

Sat, 03/14/2015 - 01:06 | 5888037 Buster Cherry
Buster Cherry's picture

Yer a fuckin coke whore.....fer now anyways.....

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:09 | 5886609 oldmanofthesee
oldmanofthesee's picture

Shorted ES at 4:05!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:12 | 5886620 kowalli
kowalli's picture

it will end bad

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:24 | 5886671 Crash Overide
Crash Overide's picture

I like that last bit about "fundamentals"...

Shit, I don't even need to put it in quotes but some people are slow.

Happy Friday, where's Putin?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:30 | 5886706 elegance
elegance's picture

Dead.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:07 | 5887061 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Paternity leave.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:33 | 5887143 kowalli
kowalli's picture

like always- working or don't talk to much.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:30 | 5886705 NoVa
NoVa's picture

VWAP

what the hell is VWAP?  

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:08 | 5886883 fooshorter
Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:29 | 5886953 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

A few years ago, while bored, I thought up a dozen or so, including:

Vacuuming Web-traders’ Abundant Pennies
Vortex Where Assholes Proliferate 

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:00 | 5887043 Automatic Choke
Automatic Choke's picture

Visualize Wonderbra Attachment Phail

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:53 | 5886816 ...out of space
...out of space's picture

usd rise against eur 0,50% a day this month

dollar lossing currency war

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:20 | 5886918 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

they got no ammo left. QE magazine - empty. Fed still waffling about tightening sometime, so a reversal to QE4 will utterly trash their reputation. Market therefore needs to totally crater to justify QE4 - but its so fragile, will they even be able to save the day like in 2008 ?

Thats why the Fed is sitting on its hands while the $US keeps rising

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:02 | 5887050 daveO
daveO's picture

Yes, because the banks are sitting pretty with trillions of counterfeit Bernanke bucks in reserve. They even gave the banksters permission for stock buybacks this week!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NZKLZmz4kA

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 19:00 | 5887214 Gambit
Gambit's picture

Yup... also, fuck the algos and the algorithms they rode in on.  Next week is going to be super wild, first Greece defaults, then the Fed increases the rates then shit starts hitting. But the Fed has a great scape-goat in the form of a Greek default. 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 23:11 | 5887861 JimBowie1958
JimBowie1958's picture

What kind of 'bad' do you expect?

Weimar inflation or Japanese eternal recession?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:39 | 5886622 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Regarding the crazy IWM bounce from ~20 DMA to almost Unch:  of course machines involved, though I also think fund managers reacted to the dollar by shifting money from large caps. We've seen this on big dollar move days.  So they sold early, and redeployed to avoid holding too much cash before the FOMC.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:13 | 5886626 mwrobe1
mwrobe1's picture

Fuck you Bernanke.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:36 | 5886735 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Pretty much sums it up.

 

I keep cutting back on the shopping because i see the prices here and then I go to the store.

 

"Bailout tycoons."

 

Got the axe at SA again for stinking up the joint.  That place makes the Vietnam War look honest and trustworthy.

 

They still fight it tho...wouldn't have it any other way for some totally insane reason.

 

Shooting up the Police Station in Ferguson? Really?

 

I've been in a race riot.  Food riot too.   That was on our side of "the pond" I might add.   These folks either don't understand or don't care.  The pictures out of Syria simply defy description.

 

Any who...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:15 | 5886629 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

Preview For Next Week

 

BOJ holds policy Sun Night

Fed surprises on the 18th with a rate range cut threat moving the range from -0.2% to 0.25%

 

Goldman released a lowered target range for Euro for par by Sept. Well it's March and we are at 1.04 - Yes, Goldman is covering the short Euro now and leading the muppets into slaughter for the Fed meeting Thursday.

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:14 | 5886631 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

"Algo WTF"  lmao...gawd I love Dr. Durdens incredulity..

 

It was fun to watch today.. almost as much as yesterdays farce.. fucking incredible to say the least, no rhyme no reason

 

There is no sannity clause, but wait...it IS the ten year anniversary of Jim Cramers show. Something to celebrate...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:21 | 5886658 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

This market is easy to game and make a fortune either way. If you use stop buys or stop sells they work almost as much as frontrunning the orders by HFT.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 23:12 | 5887862 JimBowie1958
JimBowie1958's picture

IF your pocket is deep enough to wait it out every time, sure.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:19 | 5886646 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

"Janet Don't Lose That Number"  by Steely Dan

We hear you're tightening, that's OK
I thought our wild market ride had just begun  
I guess somebody scared you - did Fisher pull a gun?
But you could have a change of heart

Janet, let's roll a number
Before you make a move you might regret
Meditate in the forest by yourself
Janet, let’s roll a number
It's the only drug you want
You can tell them you have glaucoma
If you get caught

I have a friend in town, he's cursed your name
We can hit your PING driver toward Plosser’s home
We could stay inside and read Keynes, I don't know
And you could have a change of heart

Janet, don’t lose that number
You won't want to smoke anything else
I'll teach you to roll them by yourself
Janet, don’t smoke two numbers
You’ll get more stoned than you want
You should get some barbecue Pringles
On your way home

You tell yourself “it takes all kinds”
But now you ask me where you can find it
What about that change of heart?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:19 | 5886647 random999
random999's picture

After all the QE I´m surprised there are still stocks to buy...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:24 | 5886673 Crash Overide
Crash Overide's picture

Endless just like the fiat money supply.

How much do you want?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:30 | 5886676 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Gotta keep those 401k statements looking bright or the herd may start getting nervous and asking questions instead of being a nice reliable and compliant crop of Coppertops.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:40 | 5886754 Rainman
Rainman's picture

12 trading days to paint the quarterly 2/20. Granma will say/not say the 'right' thing. That will be her instructions.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:25 | 5886681 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

Pffffft. there is no PPT...Art Cashin said so

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:41 | 5886760 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Did anyone aske about the ESF instead ?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:14 | 5886897 AGuy
AGuy's picture

FWIW: I believe the bounce back at the end of the day is short covering. Why risk your gains that something like FedSpeak or some other news that causes the market to rise back. Typically when I short the market I close all open shorts by Friday afternoon to lock in my gains and avoid losses, if the market soars on Monday on some fitiicous news.

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:33 | 5887144 stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

i remember back in the good old days of 08 when you wanted to be short on the weekend, so the "good" news could come out over the weekend and open with a 20 point down or even lld.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:38 | 5887158 Pareto
Pareto's picture

He is Steve Liesman's Jiminy Cricket.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:25 | 5886682 tommylicious
tommylicious's picture

Hey why haven't you guys written anything about Putin & Kremlin telling reporters to stick around?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:26 | 5886685 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

The FED owns the algos. That is all.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:32 | 5886714 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

The Fed is the algo.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:58 | 5887035 Ginsengbull
Ginsengbull's picture

Amen to that.

 

No computer tries to manipulate anything.

 

Computers are just the curtain that the people pulling the strings and levers hide behind.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:32 | 5886691 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

Unfortunately, the Fed is going to blow the shorts out of the water again next week. If they don't remove "patient" we will be at new ATHs by Friday as ridiculous as that may be

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:28 | 5886692 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

The yellow dog is getting a little pissed me thinks...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:28 | 5886698 Flying Wombat
Flying Wombat's picture

Rob Kirby on Who’s Behind Rigged Markets: Shadow of Truth Episode #10

http://thenewsdoctors.com/?p=296502

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:31 | 5886711 R19
R19's picture

HLF led the way. Missed Bloomberg TV today, but wonder if they had Bill on...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:32 | 5886716 wmbz
wmbz's picture

Soon by decree the un-fed will just publish the fact that the markets are under their direct control for the good of the peoples!

No longer will any wild swings be tolerated, it will be a nice smooth ride to DOW 50,000 on the way to never-never land.

It's best that people understand a true free market is harmfull for them. It must be controlled!

Cuddle up to the breast of your overlords...Serfs!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:33 | 5886720 rycK
rycK's picture

What can we expect then the Fed 'solved' the problem of the Depression of 2006 [that is when house prices started to tank costing the US some 8-12 trillion dollars]?

 

Debt is astronomical, interest rates are zero or less, government spending is out of control, social programs are funded almost entirely on debt [into deficit!] and unemployment [U6 of about 11%] is too high.

 

This means that nearly ALL the key financial metrics of the US government are warped. And, Jingo Janet is wiling to hike interest rates and sink the bond market?!!  Read this:  http://www.bis.org/publ/work483.pdf

 

Global dollar credit: links to US monetary policy and leverage Robert N McCauley,1 Patrick McGuire2 and Vladyslav Sushko3,4 Abstract Since the global financial crisis, banks and bond investors have increased the outstanding US dollar credit to non-bank borrowers outside the United States from $6 trillion to $9 trillion. This increase has implications for understanding global liquidity and monetary policy transmission. We analyse the links between US monetary policy, leverage and flows into bond funds, on the one hand, and dollar credit extended to non-US borrowers, on the other. Prior to the crisis, global banks drew on low US dollar funding rates and easy leveraging to extend dollar credit to non-US borrowers. After the Federal Reserve announced its large-scale bond purchases in 2008, however, investors responded to compressed longterm US Treasury rates by buying higher yielding dollar bonds from non-US issuers. Thus, US unconventional monetary policy contributed to shifting the balance of dollar credit transmission from global banks to global bond investors.

 

Somebody has more debt than they can now handle if rates rise.

 

jmnsho  ryc

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:37 | 5886740 CitizenPete
CitizenPete's picture

FYI:

 

CFTC’s Market Risk Advisory Committee to Meet on April 2, 2015

 

(not on April fools day?)

 

 

CFTC Commissioner Sharon Bowen is the sponsor of this Advisory Committee.

The MRAC will discuss issues related to: Current risk management techniques employed by Derivatives Clearing Organizations (DCOs) to ensure that the appropriate measures are in place to address the potential default of a significant clearing member; and the evolving structure of the derivatives markets, particularly with respect to Swap Execution Facilities (SEFs).

The meeting is open to the public with seating on a first-come, first-served basis. Members of the public may also listen to the meeting via conference call using a domestic toll-free telephone or international toll or toll-free number to connect to a live, listen-only audio feed. Persons requiring special accommodations to attend the meeting because of a disability should notify Petal Walker at (202) 418–5794.

What:

Market Risk Advisory Committee Meeting

Location:

CFTC Headquarters lobby-level Hearing Room
1155 21st Street, NW, Washington, DC 20581

Date:

Thursday, April 2, 2014

Time:

10:00 a.m. to 1:30 p.m.

Listening Instructions: To listen to the live audio feed, call the toll or toll-free numbers listed under Related Links. Call-in participants should be prepared to provide their first name, last name and affiliation.

Conference call information:

 

Domestic Toll Free:

800-779-9086

International Toll Numbers:

International Numbers

Conference Passcode:

CFTC

 

Members of the public who wish to submit written statements in connection with the meeting should submit them by April 9, 2015. Written statements should be submitted by mail to: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Three Lafayette Centre, 1155 21st Street, NW, Washington, DC 20581, Attention: Office of the Secretary, or by electronic mail to: secretary@cftc.gov. Please use the title "Market Risk Advisory Committee" on any written statement you submit. Any statements submitted in connection with the committee meeting will be made available to the public, including publication on the CFTC website, www.cftc.gov.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:39 | 5886745 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Wake me up before you go go

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:39 | 5886747 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Hyperactive sector rotation and buy/sell HFT flock of Starlings!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:43 | 5886769 Fun Facts
Fun Facts's picture

protocol #20

Replace sound investment with speculation

done

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:46 | 5886778 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Bitcoin on the week. $270 up to $289

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 16:59 | 5886843 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Wow, at 7% per week, it will double in 10 weeks.  So $600 by June 1, 2015.  $1200 by August 15th.  $2400 by November 1st.  Over $4000 at Xmas.  Yahoo!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:00 | 5886847 Spectre
Spectre's picture

Some real bad Karma is going to bite the Feds,Algo's,Investment Banks and others Ass real soon.

Sat, 03/14/2015 - 00:40 | 5888017 Buster Cherry
Buster Cherry's picture

Thinking along those lines too.....for a few years now...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:17 | 5886906 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I stayed out of the casino today. I watched the Nikkei, DAX and the relentless $usd buying through the Asia & London open. It's obvious the $usd cow is getting milked for all she's got before the Fed. on the 18th. One thing that I did notice, is that there was a lot of short covering in F/X about 10 minutes before the markets closed.

  Bond yields didn't move much, which indicates that traders aren't afraid to jump back in after the Fed. next Wednesday.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:04 | 5886977 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

What an excellent day for an exorcism.

Get the Holy water ready.

To hell with the unicorns Tyler.

We need to see the devil puke on the fundamentalists.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:51 | 5887009 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

my favorite part of fridays , is when they have that douchebag david durist from morgan stanley on cnbc at days end.

 

its comical listening him talk about ''fundementals'' that will move the market the following week. its as if he has been living under a rock for the past 6 years and still does not realize that the only thing that moves the ''market'' is the fed.

 

btw, nice fucking ppt buying at days end. 

 

they couldnt have made it more obvious

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 17:59 | 5887041 Bobportlandor
Bobportlandor's picture

I think I just heard on FRANCE 2, that Belgium is planing to issue currency for use in state only. Kinda like Disney dollars

 

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:09 | 5887066 besnook
besnook's picture

this is 401k distribution month. it will take something extraordinary to take the market down this month. april, may is going to be the bitch this year if the market is to really tank.

so far, everything is pretty orderly but the market really wants to go down but where will the money go? bonds? push them to negative? get paid to own your home?

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:29 | 5887126 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

The DAX went absolutely mental this week. There's a new bubble in German stocks being inflated with this index up over 20% YTD. Because there's zero risk in owning stocks with a heavy exposure to Europe, isn't there?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 18:31 | 5887134 FSFT
FSFT's picture

No soup for you

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 20:06 | 5887411 goldenbuddha454
goldenbuddha454's picture

I have full confidence in the plunge protection team, all in!!!

Sat, 03/14/2015 - 00:47 | 5888024 damicol
damicol's picture

Believe it or not you can buy relatively cheaply portfolio insurance that  pays out as you investments fall.

If they dont fall you can even cash in your insurance and get  in the region of 80% cash back and if your portfolio rises, then you can add to your insurance on an incr3emental basis  as the stocks keep rising.

Anyone without it in this market is an idiot  and  most have some stocks or bonds  even if its in thier employers  or their own 401 or even a life policy or endowment

Sat, 03/14/2015 - 15:15 | 5889196 fremannx
fremannx's picture

After two weeks of falling, it seems safe enough to assume the long awaited market collapse has begun. The Dow and the S&P 500 have made clear five wave declines, the first step necessary to identify a long-term trend change...

Dow

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/dow-jones-industrial-averageelliott-w...

S&P 500

http://www.globaldeflationnews.com/sp-500-indexelliott-wave-update-for-w...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!