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US Producer Prices Tumble Most Since 2009 (And Don't Blame Oil)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

US Producer Price Index (ex food and energy) fell 0.5% MoM in February (against expectations of a 0.1% rise) - the biggest drop on record (since 2009).The great news for Americans is that the drop in overall producer prices was led by a 1.6% fall in food prices. Year-over-Year PPI Final Demand has fallen (-0.6%) for the first time on record.

 

Biggest MoM drop on record..

 

As YoY PPI Final Demand dropped for the first time on record...

 

The Full Breakdown

From the report:

Final demand services: Prices for final demand services fell 0.5 percent in February, the largest decline since the inception of the index in December 2009. Leading the decrease, margins for final demand trade services dropped 1.5 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) The index for final demand transportation and warehousing services also moved down 1.5 percent. In contrast, prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing rose 0.3 percent.

Product detail: In February, nearly 30 percent of the decline in the index for final demand services can be traced to margins for fuels and lubricants retailing, which fell 13.4 percent. The indexes for machinery, equipment, parts, and supplies wholesaling; food and alcohol retailing; apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing; truck transportation of freight; and wireless telecommunication services also moved lower. Conversely, prices for inpatient care advanced 0.6 percent. The indexes for outpatient care (partial) and for TV, video, and photographic equipment and supplies wholesaling also increased. (See table 4.)

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods moved down 0.4 percent in February, the eighth consecutive decrease. Over two-thirds of the decline in February can be attributed to prices for final demand foods, which fell 1.6 percent. The index for final demand goods less foods and energy inched down 0.1 percent, and prices for final demand energy were unchanged.

Product detail: About a quarter of the decline in prices for final demand goods can be traced to the index for fresh and dry vegetables, which dropped 17.1 percent. Prices for iron and steel scrap, meats, jet fuel, industrial chemicals, and processed poultry also moved lower. In contrast, the index for gasoline rose 1.5 percent. Prices for light motor trucks and chicken eggs also moved up.

Special grouping, Final demand less foods, energy, and trade: The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services was unchanged after falling 0.3 percent in January. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.7 percent.

*  *  *

And finally, perhaps it's time to rethink this whole "central banker" thing...

 

So much for QE helping The Fed meet its mandate... perhaps, as we have noted previously, The Fed is creating deflationary pressures by enabling mal-investment driven over-supply on a vast scale.

 

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Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:38 | 5884640 winflation
winflation's picture

print more

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:39 | 5884647 Stackers
Stackers's picture

I blame Friday the 13th .........

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:45 | 5884671 negative rates
negative rates's picture

There's a strange thing about fri 13th, every time it comes around, the month starts on a Sunday.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:47 | 5884681 philipat
philipat's picture

So, everything is awesome...should be another equity rally today

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:51 | 5884692 max2205
max2205's picture

They've done a great job so far QE4EVA and we'll all be wearing burlap 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:32 | 5884829 one_hundred
one_hundred's picture

After being fired from my old job 8 months ago, i've had luck to learn about this great company online that was a lifesaver for me... They offer online home-based work. My last month payment after working with them for 4 months was 16ooo bucks... Great thing about it was that only requirement for the job is basic typing and reliable internet...If you think this could be for you then find out more here... w­w­w.g­l­o­b­e-r­e­p­o­r­t.c­o­m

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:27 | 5885016 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Yes, but you left out how much dick you had to suck from the equation.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:27 | 5885014 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

If QE(n) didn't work, surely QE(n+1) will.

I should work for the Fed's PR department.  Simple job.

Function ButtonClick()

n

MakeStatement(n)

n = n + 1

End

 

Function MakeStatement(n)

Header = CStr(Date.Today)

Body = "Dear zombies, QE" & n & " wasn't large enough to sustain global markets and maintain our mandate. We need to impliment QE" & n+1 & " to prevent deflation from raping our children and killing our wives.  Thank you for your time.  Signed Your Overlords"

Email.Send

End Function

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:38 | 5884642 B2u
B2u's picture

Oh goody....

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:39 | 5884646 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

it was the snow drifts!!!!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:41 | 5884654 saints51
saints51's picture

Low gas prices and falling food prices are bad for the economy. This is what we will hear today if you watch your daily dosing of programming. Guess what luciferian's, according to my economy, thats a good indication.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:42 | 5884659 R19
R19's picture

FBI investigating Ackman's bro's. Stay tuned.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:44 | 5884663 R19
R19's picture

I HATE HERBALIFE.

SINCERELY,

BILL ACKMAN

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:51 | 5884685 Fishthatlived
Fishthatlived's picture

Since you mentioned HLF, do you remember those weird infomercials they used to run? That guy with the huge shouldered silk suits and the strange hair?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:56 | 5884723 R19
R19's picture

Missed those. I just know that every other day I watch Bloomberg TV, they have Ackman on there talking shit about HLF. LITERALLY.

Saw the news on Yahoo! Finance from WSJ article.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:42 | 5884660 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Since Lehman?

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:45 | 5884667 Fishthatlived
Fishthatlived's picture

Drink away!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:46 | 5884679 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Since when???

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:04 | 5884746 NoVa
NoVa's picture

to borrow a great line from American Pie movie- 

last Summer... at band camp - - - (my point is ZH tends to always refer to a major reference event)

 

Seriously, I just don't get it and I think of myself as an averagly smart guy.  

The economy is in a world of hurt, and sovereign yields reaffirms this - another article clearly stated that yields are at 300 year lows.  300 hundred year lows - 

Yet, equities are at all time highs - WTF?  

I've invested using my common sense and have lost lots of money in this rigged market.  I'm seriously considering to liquidate my and my kids trust funds and buy productive assets such as farm land or orchards.

 

NoVa

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:15 | 5884778 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Old Indian proverb, never trust a trust fund.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:30 | 5884821 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

You shouldn't think about it too long you are already way behind.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:31 | 5885028 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I've invested in spending as much cash on hookers and blow as I can before the tsunami of inflation hits.  Get in now, or be priced out forever.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:45 | 5884664 Quirkel
Quirkel's picture

Let the rate rising begin...we gotta slow down this runaway train

 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:45 | 5884665 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

If we can't blame oil, then the likely root problem is that it unexpectedly snowed in winter in the North and Northeast.

Whoodahthunk?

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:45 | 5884668 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

Was that the Index, the Core Index or the Edge Index?

My algorithm is programmed for all by-the-way.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:45 | 5884670 ZippyBananaPants
ZippyBananaPants's picture

Taylor Swift finally shows off what she's been hiding this whole time.

 

America wants this kind of news, and it wants it now.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:48 | 5884684 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Just don't have her take off her shirt, things could get ugly.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:51 | 5884694 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

The wizard's curtain is now a Kardasian ass.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:32 | 5885036 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I bet wizard cuffs are behind that wizard curtain.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:53 | 5884702 R19
R19's picture

Please provide to Kim's butt and she will be banging.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:57 | 5884728 R19
R19's picture

Let's talk Selena. That's a topic I can get into...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:05 | 5884752 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

Did you ever notice those sex dolls you can purchase for a nominal amount look a lot like Taylor Swift? I call mine " swifty"

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:52 | 5884699 MATA HAIRY
MATA HAIRY's picture

It was the Dukes!

It was the Dukes!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:54 | 5884711 R19
R19's picture

SP500 futures dropping. BUY MORTIMER, BUY. BTFD.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:54 | 5884708 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

I've got that QEasy feel'n.... Whoaaaa that QEasy feel'n...

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:34 | 5884837 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

Gonna need our Preezy to drop sum mo'QEasy!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:56 | 5884714 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Buying chicken feed today, my contribution to the roaring economy, and I will see if prices are down. Trading some eggs for spilt grain at the local brewery. A dozen eggs for 20 or 30 pounds of grain that spilt during the unloading/loading process. Once on the ground, no way to clean it so they sweep it into a small pile and I pick it up. Barley! A little dirt never hurt the hens. 

FED? Their mission of devaluing the dollar is working. The penny is dead as their is nothing that I know of to be bought for one cent. What can you buy for a nickel? I think it is dead as well. Dime? You can buy some candy, perhaps?

Still working on being decentralized. 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:59 | 5884731 R19
R19's picture

Careful if you play with your cock.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:01 | 5884740 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Save all 1982 and earlier pennies for copper content.  Save all nickels.  Save all 2009 dimes (about $1 each). Good luck finding any pre 65 dimes and quarters.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:05 | 5884748 Usurious
Usurious's picture

 

 

2009 dimes? please explain

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:17 | 5884784 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

I just looked it up on Ixquick.

There were very low mintages.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:06 | 5884749 R19
R19's picture

Thanks for the pro tip on 2009 dimes. I'm on the warpath looking this weekend. HA

 

I remember a story about a hedge fund that did nothing but stamps and I bet there are some that do coins.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:56 | 5884719 fed_depression
fed_depression's picture

"The Fed is creating deflationary pressures by enabling mal-investment driven over-supply on a vast scale."

 

Yes.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 08:59 | 5884732 kowalli
kowalli's picture

we Lehmaned some folks

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:00 | 5884733 wmbz
wmbz's picture

"And finally, perhaps it's time to rethink this whole "central banker" thing...

 

   "The U.S. has a $210 trillion fiscal gap and may well be in worse fiscal shape than any developed country, including Greece.” 

 ~Laurence Kotlikoff (Economist) 

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:13 | 5884773 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Yes, Our Flounders, notably Jefferson, warned about Private Banks.

Can't say we were not warned.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:00 | 5884736 sTls7
sTls7's picture

It's Bush's fault.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:02 | 5884738 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

Damn it !!! I missed out on those low food prices. WTF my food bill has an increasing inverse relationship to my income.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:03 | 5884744 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

I'd buy GMO foods but I am afraid of cancer.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:23 | 5884794 khakuda
khakuda's picture

Thank God.  Only central bankers think it is cool to purposefully and relentlessly raise the cost of living year after year when wages don't keep up and there is no income from savings or bonds.

The more they keep warping the system with zero to negative interest rates and currency debasement, the more deflation we will get as excess capacity continues to be built and the populace continues to be starved of income.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:35 | 5884850 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

They are simply trying to starve the pesky peasants.  Look on the bright side.  It may assist with the world's overpopulation problem.  There are simply too many 99%ers out there.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 09:57 | 5884912 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Find it interesting all the ag folks screaming high dudgeon over the dollar now.

How else will they export their product again? Plus we have food stamps, crop insurance, ethanol.

Give it up. "I have the forty acres, you bring the mule."

Now no money for you Argentina! You owe that guy ONE DOLLAR and YOU WILL PAY!

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:00 | 5884920 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

A few words of advice from me, an avowed cheapskate and ardent supporter of deflation:

Steer clear of Shake Shack.

Buy food at Aldi's (fair warning, they do not accept credit cards. Debit cards yes.)

BTW: if you are buying food on a credit card - unless it's 0% interest - you're doing something wrong.

Time to start some seeds for those in the NE. Elsewhere, you should be planting.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:16 | 5884961 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Pretty soon we'll be able to purchase American cheese again. Maybe a market will open up for LSD and we'll be able to get some decent acid too.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 12:50 | 5885594 besnook
besnook's picture

there is good clean acid around. the kids are rediscovering it.

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 10:42 | 5885104 econprof70
econprof70's picture

Nice chart here showing the crash in PPI: http://www.macrotrends.net/chart/1336/cpi-vs-ppi-last-five-years

Fri, 03/13/2015 - 15:22 | 5886414 redc1c4
redc1c4's picture

what bullshit!

every time i go to the grocery store, prices have gone up again...

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