This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Oil Tumbles Under $43 As Key Support Breached; Fresh 6 Year Lows

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Moments ago, soothing words by Saudi Arabians notwithstanding, both Brent and WTI, had another step move lower, with Wext-Texas Intermediate sliding under $43, a fresh 6 year low, and well below the January lows of $44.37! What may be causing it: well, aside for "more sellers than buyers", and a rumor that Genscape reporting another major inventory build at Cushing, a breach of a key support line may be the reason. BofA explains.

CLJ5 has broken down overnight, breaking the Jan-29 lows at 44.37 (CLK5 needs to break 45.52, it's not there yet). This points to a continuation of the long term bear trend, exposing the confluence of long term support between 41.15/37.80. Into here we look for greater signs of basing. especially as Brent, Gasoil, RBOB and HO are not at risk of breaking their January lows, setting up the potential for bullish price divergences.

 

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:06 | 5894200 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

wonder if Greenspan was already short prior to talking oil down Friday.. on BBG

http://hedgeaccordingly.com/2015/03/alan-greenspan-to-bbg-oil-hasnt-hit-...

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:14 | 5894216 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

That chart seems to imply that something changed dramatically in the global economy in 2007/2008.

Huh.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:22 | 5894249 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Saudi Arabia is going to pump at warp speed until every Bakken Shale & Athabasca oil sands worker drowns in an ocean of SA light, sweet crude that's 3,000 feet deep and washes over every rig from ND to Alberta.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:39 | 5894315 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

k.. and put it where. .and sell it to whom? 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:48 | 5894337 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Sell it?

They'll end up giving it away for free if that's what it takes to accomplish their true end, permanent goal.

Look up Machiavelli.

You're not thinking long term enough in a world where high oil prices leads to lower & lower aggregate demand for oil, AND oil being squeezed from shale rock & cooked out of tar sands, AND an increasing (if belated) inclination by energy consumers AND producers to shift to a diversified and broad array of alternatives (hydro, natural gas, wind, solar, hydrogen...yikes, even that old dirty coal - to fuel more electricity production).

The Saudis are going to do whatever it takes to kill or forestall as much emergent competition as possible, no matter the cost to their former oligopoly moat.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:16 | 5894658 Publicus
Publicus's picture

We will never run out of oil as it is generated constantly inside the earth. Empty wells are in fact refilling themselves and becoming productive again.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:36 | 5894966 Hohum
Hohum's picture

You then have to ask yourself: at what rate?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 15:05 | 5895056 Mayer Amschel R...
Mayer Amschel Rothschild's picture

Judging by the down arrows, you didn't toe the party line. Why is it easier for the dumbasses to believe in fermenting dino graveyard juice than it is to believe empirically proven hypothesis?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 15:41 | 5895208 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Oh, highest banker, care to provide a link?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 17:10 | 5895539 Mayer Amschel R...
Mayer Amschel Rothschild's picture

Abiotic Oil -- Vladimir Kutcherov, et al

 

Scientific Publication

"Methane-derived hydrocarbons produced under upper-mantle conditions," Nature Geoscience, 2009

 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 21:13 | 5896246 Publicus
Publicus's picture

The Russians know this, hence the drilling of super deep wells to tap that sweet and boundless abiotic oil.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:22 | 5896735 MontgomeryScott
MontgomeryScott's picture

Meanwhile, back in the Home of 'the Control of the Price and Distribution of Oil', the pump prices are beginning to diverge ('gasoline' is rising to within 50 cents of diesel fuel).

British Petroleum knew the facts of the matter, as well (hence the illegal drilling of the USGS Mancondo Lease numbers 252 A, B, and C in the Gulf of Mexico, to an admitted depth of 30,260 feet below the seafloor before they fractured the Earth's crust and killed the Gulf Stream Conveyor that gives the needed warmth to the North Atlantic Conveyor via the coverup of the spill that used Corexit 9500/9527A to sink the oil to the seafloor; acting like a giant thermal insulator).

'Kola S.G' wells, the Russians called them, I think.

"B.K. Lim" was a good source of true information.

 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:07 | 5894202 saints51
saints51's picture

Still $43 too expensive. Keep dropping.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:19 | 5894242 NoVa
NoVa's picture

we will see 40 before 46.

bear in Oil = bull in Treasuries.

 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:26 | 5894261 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

so you are a bull on stocks and energy stocks as well.. and jobs in USA? makes sense 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:37 | 5894303 NoVa
NoVa's picture

no -  Oil and Treasuries have a strong inverse correlation for trading - 

a typical trade is short Oil and long Treasuries.

NoVa

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:44 | 5894330 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

and treasuries are typically inverse equity markets .. but with ECB QE lifting all boats with the tide.. stocks and bonds and dollar are all rising in unison .. and DX was down 1% this am and crude did not flinch. looks like this is forced liquidation CL on the Heels of Greenspan's "well timed" BBG appearance.. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:08 | 5894205 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

War is upon us, pentagram needs cheap oil.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:18 | 5894234 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

We have gone to DEFCON 3 yall yellow condition here we are I am guessing . Great news for stawks should be at a record by tomorrow

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:19 | 5894238 Money Boo Boo
Money Boo Boo's picture

virgins soon to be slayed at the alter of USD

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:41 | 5896834 MontgomeryScott
MontgomeryScott's picture

It'll be the end of the world, as we know it!

Guns, and tanks, and firetrucks...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx73vTi5aFo

 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:10 | 5894209 Chad_the_short_...
Chad_the_short_seller's picture

Get it down to $20

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:20 | 5894244 heisenberg991
heisenberg991's picture

Get it down to ZERO

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:12 | 5894212 spinone
spinone's picture

sum ting wong, we too low

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:28 | 5894268 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

rofl 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:34 | 5894291 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

C'mon brush up on your Mandarin. It's Wi Tu Lo. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:45 | 5894331 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

ROFL

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:14 | 5894220 Sages wife
Sages wife's picture

What...wait, no "since Lehman"?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:18 | 5894233 NoVa
NoVa's picture

can't say it anymore - NoDebt slapped a Trademark on the phrase.  Would have to pay royalties - 

 

Tue, 03/17/2015 - 00:06 | 5896872 MontgomeryScott
MontgomeryScott's picture

This has NEVER HAPPENED since the Lehman Collapse and Entropy Event of 200*...

(Larry Kudlow, and I am expecting royalty payments)

Buy and hold Lehman Brothers! You are STUPID if you sell, Meshuginahs!

(Jim Cramer, and I am ALSO expecting royalty payments; especially after my award-winning Bear Sterns rant in '08)

As a 'Mile-high Club' member, I expect that these two guys that liked to fuck me over and over again will take good care of me! STOP it, Henry! You can't even get a hard-on anymore!

(Maria Bartilomo, getting older and saggier, but still attractive to guys with pot-bellies, asking with desparate honesty for HER credit, as well)

 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:15 | 5894221 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

If Janet loses her "patience", nail-gun sales should surge in fracking country.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:18 | 5894232 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Don't worry folks, there is no depression. It's a figment of your imagination. Economic times have never been better. Go back to watching teevee..... maybe buy some iCrap so we can keep an eye on ya.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:24 | 5894256 TalkToLind
TalkToLind's picture

Or take a "pilgrimage" to Disney World!  I hear the lines are short and the food and lodging are inexpensive (LOL). 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:39 | 5894310 StupidEarthlings
StupidEarthlings's picture

+1

 

Dows up 195+.. nothing to see here.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:19 | 5894240 Jaguar Zero
Jaguar Zero's picture

Pity the poor Maduro´s Venezuela. The lowest the price the more diatribes and instability.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:20 | 5894245 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Is oil inversely correlated with printer ink? 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:39 | 5894312 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

SPY soars 20 points on hope and weak economic data... Surely the Fed will remain "patient" and data dependant a few moar years. Nobody has patience like Grandmother Janet.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:53 | 5894359 Farmer Joe in B...
Farmer Joe in Brooklyn's picture

Bad news is good news.

This won't end well.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:26 | 5894264 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Just in case you missed it on Friday:

https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/stats/statisticsvw.asp

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:29 | 5894271 Paul451
Paul451's picture

Is it possible that those evil speculators (who have been keeping the price UP, not down) are about to kick oil to the curb cause they know what's coming?

$35/bbl bitches. Get used to it.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:33 | 5894284 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

 "What may be causing it: well, aside for "more sellers than buyers", and a rumor that Genscape reporting another major inventory build at Cushing, a breach of a key support line may be the reason."

 

Do these guys ever give up?

 

"What may be causing it" ... also taking out CRB (commodity basket) down almost 3% today ... hitting multi multi year lows

 

It is the global economy, stoopid

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:33 | 5894285 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Dust off those DOW 20k hats, here we come!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:35 | 5894295 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Do I hear $39 ????

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:45 | 5894334 Be_Optimistic
Be_Optimistic's picture

Until North American supply stops increasing every damn week expect it to keep on dropping.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:47 | 5894340 dscott8186
dscott8186's picture

Excellent, I'm looking forward to WTI being shipped to East Coast refiners...  First it was trains, then it will be ships, and then will we be hearing of a pipeline deal to connect up the East Coast?  Oil Independence here we come.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:54 | 5894366 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

funny gas is actually going up in bizarro world

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:55 | 5894590 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Gasoline inventories aren't as super high as crude.  Check EIA report on Wednesday morning.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 11:58 | 5894383 permarig
permarig's picture

I speculate, it has not much to do with the actual stuff being sold, but that the obvious safer bet at this point is to go long, and so the casino operators/participants are pushing it lower with their algos to whack the weak accounts and match new buy order flow with that and earn the spreads on it.

It's also similar to the theater in USTs leading up to the September 2013 FOMC where they pumped the taper story in the media and then of course there was no taper announcement and USTs reversed. ...and kept rallying ever since despite the taper later. Based on this simple 'follow the rigging' kind of an analogy the USD might be topping.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:16 | 5894450 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

BofA- Go fuck yaself, bailed out losers.

Tue, 03/17/2015 - 00:33 | 5896980 MontgomeryScott
MontgomeryScott's picture

Those fucks ('Bank Of America') still have $5.00 of mine that they 'withheld' when they were bought by Sumitomo Bank, back in the 1980's. I tried to close the account, but these fucks told me that they couldn't. For all I know, I am STILL drawing 'interest'.

It's not the amount that I lost that is the matter: It's the principle of the thing.

GO FUCK YOURSELVES, B of A!

Fukushima Dai-Ichi General Electric BWR MK.1 radiation bothering you, much, you thieving fucks?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:27 | 5894488 TuPhat
TuPhat's picture

What?  And gas prices are increasing.  Just drove through the Permian basin this weekend.  Rigs are drilling and mud trucks back and forth on the road going everywhere.  This must be unequivocally good or at least sort of good.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:44 | 5894973 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Either the data that shows rigs dropping is wrong or your drive-by observation is wrong.  Wonder which?

 

http://www.bizjournals.com/houston/morning_call/2015/03/crude-oil-tumble...

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 15:24 | 5895134 In.Sip.ient
In.Sip.ient's picture

Are we shills for the PTBs around here???

 

We all know very well oil prices are set on the WORLD MARKET,

not the US market, and world wide supply and demand are NOT

out of balance anymore today than at any time in the last

5 years.

 

...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!