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Sign Of The Times: Santander Floats First "Deep" Subprime Deal Since Crisis

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Last week, we took an in-depth look at several of Santander Consumer’s subprime auto ABS deals. Santander is the largest subprime auto lender in the country with more than $15 billion in outstanding loans to underqualified buyers. Not surprisingly, the company also dominates the subprime auto ABS space accounting for a disproportionate share of YTD issuance. We noted that Santander’s first deal of 2015 (SDART 2015-1) carried an average FICO of 595, an average APR of 16.20%, and an average term of 70 months…

We went on to detail how Santander was set to float a new deal that looked even worse called DRIVE 2015-A. As the NY Times reports, the securitization “sold out in a matter of hours,” with the highest rated tranche yielding just 1%, proving beyond a shadow of a doubt that artificially suppressed interest rates are driving investors to take bigger and bigger risks as they desperately search for any semblance of yield. 

More, via NY Times

Delinquencies on auto loans have been rising, more Americans are losing their cars to repossession, and inquiries have begun into the subprime auto industry’s lending practices.

 

Nevertheless, Santander Consumer USA had little trouble last week finding buyers for its latest bond deal made up of auto loans to borrowers with deeply tarnished credit.

 

Many of the loans bundled into the $712 million deal went to borrowers with significantly lower credit scores than in many of Santander’s past bond deals.

Moody’s Investors Service expects losses as high as 27 percent on the bond, much larger than the 17 percent loss that the ratings firm had projected on a bond that Santander sold last year.

 

It’s easy to see the attraction for investors. Yields on the highest rated slice of the Santander bond were 1.02 percent, compared with the equivalent Treasury bond yield of 0.12 percent, according to Empirasign Strategies, a market data firm. In short, investors could earn about eight times as much yield, while ostensibly taking the same amount of risk.

As a reminder, the average FICO on this deal is just 552, according to Structured Finance News and nearly 13% of the loans backing the paper were made to borrowers with no FICO score at all. The truly remarkable thing about this particular deal is the degree to which it represents a complete round trip to the conditions that persisted pre-crisis: 

For Santander, the latest bond represented a shift.


Santander has always made loans to borrowers with very tarnished credit. But the lender has usually financed those loans through private deals or held them on its books, instead of tapping the public market, according to a person briefed on the matter.

 

The latest bond deal was the first time that it has publicly sold securities backed by auto loans with such low credit quality since the financial crisis. The timing of the deal was driven by two factors: investor demand and a desire by Santander to free up more capital.

Put simply: the company wants the loans off its balance sheet so it can make yet more bad loans which it will also move off its balance sheet in order to make still more, and on and on. This is precisely the mentality that existed when the mortgage securitization machine was set on overdrive and it represents a dangerous turn of events at a time when even the market for highly-rated corporate paper is facing a liquidity crisis. 

Delinquencies in the subprime space are already on the rise and in a pinch just about the last thing anyone is going to want to buy is paper backed by used car loans to unemployed borrowers with no credit. But as long as $700 million deals are going off without a hitch thanks to the global proliferation of NIRP, you can expect things to get far worse before they get better especially now that CNBC has unleashed the car-stock arbitrage on the few viewers the network has left.

 

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Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:47 | 5894559 walküre
walküre's picture

NO CREDIT, BAD CREDIT, NO HEARTBEAT, NO PROBLEM!!!!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:52 | 5894579 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

America, chewing and feasting on its own right arm.

We are one sorry nation.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:01 | 5894608 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Just floating down the shit river inviting everybody in for a swim. After all, what could possibly go wrong.....

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:28 | 5894692 Deathrips
Deathrips's picture

The 550 fico special.

No money down. 5000 cash BACK at closing.

1200 month repayment plan. 3%....unless you take 15000 cash back then its 2.75%

*fine print. We own your family for the next 200 years. But who cares!!!

Loans of the future.

 

RIPS

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:51 | 5894803 JRobby
JRobby's picture

We crave YIELD! We must have YIELD! All we care about is YIELD! Oh, and a bailout if we don't get what we crave and must have.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 15:33 | 5895170 Sokhmate
Sokhmate's picture

We crave cowbell. We must have cowbell. All we care about is cowbell.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:22 | 5896755 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

investor demand and a desire by Santander to free up more capital.

This is called, "making shit up". 

Anyone "investing" in this really needs to be fired.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:56 | 5894831 grgy
grgy's picture

As soon as my student loans are forgiven, I'm going to sign a loan on a new F150 Limited!  God bless America!!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 15:50 | 5895221 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Dear Santander Loan Mgr,

I believe in Free Enterprise, and am a part-time blogger on ZH, but full time some days.

I've been at it for >2 years, make $0.00 from ZH, but have a 700+ score. What rate do I qualify for?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 18:09 | 5895731 Al Tinfoil
Al Tinfoil's picture

Finally, some Green Shoots!!!!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:58 | 5896899 chilli sauce
chilli sauce's picture

my roomate's step-mother makes $79 hourly on the laptop . She has been fired for 10 months but last month her pay was $18694 just working on the laptop for a few hours. see here... www.globe-report.com

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:48 | 5894564 SethDealer
SethDealer's picture

wow, a FICO score of 552 is just pathetic. Hello sir, we checked and found that you have perfect credit... youve never paid anyone !!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:02 | 5894611 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

There will be Obamacash pretty soon.....

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:08 | 5894634 Ward cleaver
Ward cleaver's picture

Like student loans, all will be forgiven via a
pen stroke from King O. Only requirement is
to show your D voter registration card and the loan
vanishes. The new normal.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:03 | 5894620 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

A system that requires credit scores to the degree that ours does is pathetic to begin with.  We're all fucking sheep.  Baaaaaaa!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:52 | 5894808 walküre
walküre's picture

Whatever happened to a solid handshake and a man's word?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:03 | 5894870 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

That only works with local economies and people that you know.  Otherwise, it was a myth.  Most people will try to do right, but even in the mythical US 1950s, I guarantee that there were scam artists.  Don't get butthurt if you are dosing business with somebody who believes in "trust but verify."  That's just self preservation. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:49 | 5895006 Hohum
Hohum's picture

And a down payment.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:51 | 5895007 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Dupe.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:50 | 5894573 booboo
booboo's picture

Congress and the head butler at the Whorehouse are no doubt working on the 2015 Wall Street bailout right now but are waiting for the legislation to be written by Black Rock and Yank Paulson.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:50 | 5894574 resaci
resaci's picture

unicorns, toothfairys and 70 months @ 16.2%

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:05 | 5894624 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

Could be 100 months at 100% and it makes no difference they won't be paying it. You and I will.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:53 | 5894581 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

16.2% for 70 months for something that will lose most of it's value the moment they sign the deal. People are fucking stupid trained debt monkeys.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:57 | 5894595 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

It explains all the Mercedes and BMWs driving around the bad areas of town. And I just thought that represented the lucrative side of drug dealing.

Miffed

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:52 | 5894810 JRobby
JRobby's picture

HEY! Those are "Certified Pre-Owned" Vehicles thank you!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:28 | 5896780 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

Over in my father's neighborhood they have yards that are a foot tall... and Certified Pre-Owned cars.... everywhere.  Kindof goes with all the syringes laying around.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:59 | 5894602 Snoopy the Economist
Snoopy the Economist's picture

Do gangbangers/deadbeats really plan to make payments?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:13 | 5894645 PresidentCamacho
PresidentCamacho's picture

Once had an identity thief steal parents id to open a line of credit to buy a computer. The ID thief was actually making the payments and this credit line went unnoticed until he went to jail on unrelated charges.

So most of the time no, but there are always exceptions to the rule.

 

 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:21 | 5894672 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Yes, and the war on drugs is what makes their business model profitable. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:47 | 5894780 Charming Anarchist
Charming Anarchist's picture

Whose business model? 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:04 | 5894873 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Gangbangers. And a few others, but gangbangers in this specific case. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 21:31 | 5896316 lost money
lost money's picture

Liquor is legal and so is bootlegging so that kind of messes up your war on drugs argument

oh right, you just want to legalize pot so yo can toke without looking out for the po po

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:32 | 5896800 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

Liquor is legal.  Making home beer is legal, but making ethanol for anything other than fuel is illegal.  For those interested, the bureau of alcohol tobacco and firearms will issue a permit for FREE.  How honest one chooses to be is up to them. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:00 | 5894605 kowalli
kowalli's picture

don't worry it's just worst since Lehman

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:01 | 5894609 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

yep

 

ALL about the monthly nut

 

can't afford $xxx for 60 months?

 

how about

 

$xxx - y for 84 months?

 

Sold!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:03 | 5894622 Scoobywan
Scoobywan's picture

And their existence makes mine all the more easier.

It's pretty easy to be the smartest guy in the room lately.

I look at it as cannon-fodder, and there is lots of it.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:36 | 5896811 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

It's pretty easy to be the smartest guy in the room lately.

+1

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 12:58 | 5894600 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

and remember Fair Isaac (FICO) about a year ago made credit scores easier (eliminated health associated debt from scoring)

crazy

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:03 | 5894623 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Yeah, death can be a real buzzkill....

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:36 | 5894728 corporatewhore
corporatewhore's picture

if you go to the emergency room iirc you don't pay anything.  for this crowd that deletion probably was insignificant

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:46 | 5894775 Hohum
Hohum's picture

You don't recall correctly.  Your ass will be billed for it.  That's why so many bankruptcies are related to medical costs.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:00 | 5894603 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

So we have a PIIG bank making shitty loans to shitty borrowers in the US. And then reselling the shit to shiity deal buyers...

One way or another Bailout BOHICA...

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:05 | 5894625 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

This is why we have CDS, bigger fools will be found....

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:18 | 5894921 Anglo Hondo
Anglo Hondo's picture

First ex-wife has Santander stock.  Bought with MY money!  I can't win for losing....

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 23:37 | 5896817 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

Q: Why are divorces soooo expensive?

A: Because they are worth it.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:00 | 5894607 DrData02
DrData02's picture

Santander's ticker symbol used to be STD.  Truth in advertising (for a change).  They shouldn't have changed it.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 16:14 | 5895327 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

Even if that's not true, I'd wanna believe that it was true.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 18:13 | 5895740 Al Tinfoil
Al Tinfoil's picture

Is there some risk of contagion?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:03 | 5894617 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

Deep sub-prime = no pulse loans

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:07 | 5894629 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

Are we talkin' Marianas Trench deep?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:05 | 5894626 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Does this mean people with good credit will be paid to take out another car loan?

Nice.  I need a new truck anyway.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:09 | 5894635 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

Nope. Means you get to make your payments AND somebody else's payments.  Kinda like bonus payments.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:11 | 5894640 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

It is recomended you refinance the equity appreciation of your vehicle with a second vehicle improvement loan. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:19 | 5894667 ersatz007
ersatz007's picture

i actually received an offer from Wells Fargo not too long ago to refinance my car loan ... 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:56 | 5894836 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Wells is leading the sub prime auto parade. At least until about 2 weeks ago.

They were leading the sub prime mortgage parade too. But Countrywide and some of the other shit house smoes took the bad press on that "event".

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:14 | 5894652 ersatz007
ersatz007's picture

It's our patriotic duty as middle class americans to pay for bankers' and subprime borrowers' mistakes.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:25 | 5894689 inevitablecollapse
inevitablecollapse's picture

a mistake is unintentional - this on the other hand...

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:22 | 5894678 Honey Badger
Honey Badger's picture

Next up, car equity line of credit. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:24 | 5894682 ersatz007
ersatz007's picture

how else you gonna get that Holly 4 barrel and those nice rims?  as an Amercian consumer, i am entitled to the most life has to offer.  TV commercials say so.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:54 | 5894818 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

You are dating yourself.  It's all about cams, turbos, and superchargers nowadays, along with an ECU flash/tune.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:38 | 5894740 rejected
rejected's picture

Sorta, Kinda, Maybe Already got it,,, What do you think those $2000 cash back is.... Only difference is it's in front of the loan.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:27 | 5894690 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

oofaa...

Santander is my bank here in Jersey..

Iv'e asked many times of its health, and was told repeatedly (by the branch manager, that ive a good relationship with) that the N American operation is great..

Guess I need to ask again

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:55 | 5894821 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

Don't ask.  Transfer.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:29 | 5894700 inevitablecollapse
inevitablecollapse's picture

i drive a piece of shit 1996 toyota camry and will until the fucking wheels fall off - the issue is vehicles being seen as a status symbol - escallades on dubs probably make up 75% of these bad loans

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:30 | 5894707 Itchy and Scratchy
Itchy and Scratchy's picture

Time for Tom Vu's 'Look at Me Now' No-Money Down Real Estate Program for all the couch potatoes!

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:39 | 5894744 aqualech
aqualech's picture

Buyers with good credit scores don't NEED car loans.  What's a lender to do?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:40 | 5894749 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

FICO is irrelevant these days, why its even being used today is a fallacy. The money that is floating around is printed money, just give the dam garbage away the sheep will spend it.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:53 | 5894813 walküre
walküre's picture

Which bank is carrying the dealer loans on inventory that will never get sold?

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:54 | 5894820 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'Deep subprime lenders'.....ohhhh they mean the TBTF bailed out Wall St banks.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 13:55 | 5894826 buzzy_the_pirate_dog
buzzy_the_pirate_dog's picture

Looks full retard to me.  Such fucking short attention spans. 

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 14:02 | 5894863 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

S&P AAAA

Moody's AAAA

Fitch AAAA

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 15:54 | 5895249 The Econ Ideal
The Econ Ideal's picture

Notable that former FDIC chair Sheila Bair is on Santander's board.

Mon, 03/16/2015 - 22:08 | 5896465 Playtime's Over
Playtime's Over's picture

Gonna be ugly when all dem Escalades get popped and uncle sugar ain't a mullatto.

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