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Philly Fed Suffers Worst Run In 3 Years, All Sub-Indices Collapse

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Philly Fed hasn't missed for 4 months in a row since Feb 2012. Printing at 5 (against expectations of 7) the March Philly Fed data is the weakest since Feb 2014. Under the covers it was even uglier... Employees, Average Workweek, New Orders, Prices Received, and Shipments all plunged. Great news for the stock market bulls... yet another dismally bad data item to keep The Fed from hiking.

 

 

Every sub-index weakened dramatically...

 

  • Shipments lowest since Sept 2012
  • Average Workweek worst since March 2013

Prices Paid Collapse...

 

Prices received Collapse-er...

 

Not pretty!

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:10 | 5905798 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Patience is a virtue!

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:26 | 5905857 greyghost
greyghost's picture

just a heads up......northern california rice farmers idle land to sell water for $700 an acre foot to the metropolitan water dist. of so. california. lets see just how high the bidding goes once all the other huge water districts in california go in search of water. this happened with the water district in san diego in the 1990's. they needed water bad and ended up buying the water from farmers in the imperial valley to the east. one article i read said that the s.d. water district found it cheaper to buy the "land" along with the water rights that went with the "land". and so it starts

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:27 | 5905863 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Isn't the vix based out of there?

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:37 | 5905905 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Wow, it really leveled right out at zero, didn't it.  Almost like it hit an invsible floor or something.  Or something.

 

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 12:30 | 5906392 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

They apparently ran out of magic fairy dust at a bad time....

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:32 | 5905891 youngman
youngman's picture

That is what happened in Colorado..the cities and water companies bought up all the ranches and took the water rights......now its all dry land....

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:57 | 5906010 Chief Kessler
Chief Kessler's picture

all subindexes collapse!   Yeah and so Tylers?  not yet, been preaching this shit for years now,

but not because of the sub index ,   in redneck speak : ain no cowapse cummin dis sparing!

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 13:10 | 5906555 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

You need to bring your troll game up a couple of notches....

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:10 | 5905799 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

Yes! it's a Recovery!!!!

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:11 | 5905802 kowalli
kowalli's picture

it's so bad that they can't even cover it now

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:13 | 5905803 venturen
venturen's picture

good for 10 S&P points easy! And we are in the lesser worser part of the recovery! Market is going to implode in the part where they make profits and people get paid

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:12 | 5905807 B2u
B2u's picture

YES!!!  The FED will NEVER raise interest rates.   BTFD

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 21:21 | 5908417 Fox Moulder
Fox Moulder's picture

There was a dip?

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:13 | 5905812 ComplexCat
ComplexCat's picture

FUCKING BULLISH

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:13 | 5905813 ComplexCat
ComplexCat's picture

FUCKING BULLISH

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:13 | 5905814 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

DXY > 99

 

King Dollar - getting off the mat and rubbing his chin : "that all you got?"

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:16 | 5905827 youngman
youngman's picture

Must be the weather....

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:17 | 5905830 MATA HAIRY
MATA HAIRY's picture

Bullardish

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:24 | 5905835 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

My prediction is that the US turd follows Japan's turd down the toilet.

Russia will save the US economy, "with conditions".

Obozo will consult with <surrender to> Russia and China via the UN.

American supremacy is coming to a swift end.

It's in the Bible.

There will be some fireworks, but the US loses.

Sorry - Game Over.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:25 | 5905860 dexter_morgan
dexter_morgan's picture

did you used to play 2nd base for the Minnesota Twins?

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:29 | 5905873 Scoobywan
Scoobywan's picture

I have Chuck's hologram rookie card in the cd case thing...unopened!

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:35 | 5905902 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

We will all have a 3D hologram of Obozo in our homes.

Forced to worship it 3 times a day.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:22 | 5906114 dexter_morgan
dexter_morgan's picture

helluva ballplayer till he got the yips like old Saxsy got

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:33 | 5905876 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Do you think Russia and China will allow Americans to play baseball, football, and basketball after they win? The communist party of America doesn't like the NFL already. Will all contact sports be eliminated? Will you be forced to vote for Mr. Putin.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:46 | 5905945 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

Sports are the #1 distraction for American males, they will always be a part of the scenario.  They like the NFL to keep its non-profit status, the leader of which only makes $30M.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:59 | 5906014 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

After the surrender, Russians and Chinese will be moving into your neighborhoods.

Their tastes in sports will trump yours.

It's a component of being a dominated adversary.

You have no idea, do you, young fools?

You have no conception of absolute domination.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:15 | 5906088 dexter_morgan
dexter_morgan's picture

damn, gonna have to brush up on soccer and cricket, eh

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:23 | 5906107 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Russans may allow blacks to hunt white constitutionalists on enclosed farms.

You have to watch the movie The Naked Prey.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:55 | 5906244 ceilidh_trail
ceilidh_trail's picture

That was the one with lot's of boobies if I remember...

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:42 | 5905928 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Let me clarify.

Russia and China will "offer" to save America.

You will surrender your freedom in consideration.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:44 | 5906193 cornfritter
cornfritter's picture

for those of us who aren't successful thiefs like you, what freedom will we be trading?  other than the ability to call you an ass?  russia is no savior - you save yourself if your gonna be saved, whats with the theatre?

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:20 | 5905842 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell&#039;s 2 hearted's picture

CATastrophe continues

 

Caterpillar february sales out ... down year over year ... for the THIRD year in a row

http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/content/Caterpillar/C10085838

 

http://www.caterpillar.com/content/dam/caterpillarDotCom/retailStats/201...(December)%20Monthly%20History.pdf

http://www.caterpillar.com/content/dam/caterpillarDotCom/retailStats/201...(February)%20Monthly%20History.pdf

 

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:55 | 5905999 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

I know you think that matters...but...RECOVERY!  See...all better.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:20 | 5905843 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I remember way back in the day, 6 months ago, when all the clamor was 'Fed must raise rates, or Fed credibility will be lost and markets are getting very nervous about no rate rise and may throw a tantrum if they don't '.........BWAAA HAAA HAAA!

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:22 | 5905845 wmbz
wmbz's picture

DOW will go greeen on this info. Any "bad" print is seen as a positive due to the fact the un-fed will just get even deeper into the game. That is a given!

 

Word of the day...Semblance

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:22 | 5905846 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

I just took two seconds out of my day to look at the equity indices, merely to ensure that any fucking dip was being bought.

I was not disappointed.

Carry on.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:24 | 5905854 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell&#039;s 2 hearted's picture

ransquawk here sez russian retail sales february (month over month)

 

expected ... -2%

 

actual ... -4%

 

the "recovery" continues ...

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:27 | 5905864 Unix
Unix's picture

Who'd a thunk it, eh? Everything down, EXCEPT the rigged stawk market, PM's and other such things, imagine that?

O Jellin' with Yellin says they are gonna continue to accomodate and add to the $4.2 trillion balance sheet debt they have...

This shit is so rigged up, there is no discovery anymore, if you're in like Flynn - GET THE FUCK OUT while you can.

Things are gonna heat up Furgeson style all around the country very soon now. Buckle up for safety, and get those Chinese Chin Guards on people, the ride may get bumpy!!!!

Get right with God, as Jesus Christ is your ONLY salvation!! Your toaster will not save you!!

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 19:27 | 5908015 Unix
Unix's picture

Aww did I upset the God haters here? Too bad...

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:28 | 5905867 Renov8
Renov8's picture

I wonder how much the port labor issues are playing into these numbers......There has to be some latent fallout from the delay in inventory reaching customers and so forth.  Our company has shipped 50% of what should have gone out the door at this time. Playing catch up for the next couple of months now....

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:28 | 5905870 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Not only are they not going to hike, they are going to stop pretending it is an option.  Or, maybe Yellen is the kind of person that needs to be inside the refrigerator to make sure the lights really do go out when the door closes.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:31 | 5905885 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Spot-on and funny. And no reference to "joos" or offensive terms for them.

That's virtually unheard of any more here on ZH. Thank you.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:30 | 5905882 jump_mutha_fukah
jump_mutha_fukah's picture

They are going to test Nas 5000 one more fucking time for good measure, then this bitch is going south. 70/30 just my odds on it.

The Tech buble erra seemed tame compared to the idiocracy that is taking place at the moment. 

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:32 | 5905890 madcows
madcows's picture

I guess people just aren't buying Cheesesteaks anymore.  Must be the Moochelle Obama healthy food initiative.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:44 | 5905939 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

This is getting fun to watch. They're gonna raise rates- they never do, blah, blah, blah. How many years can this go on? I don't know for sure but Japan is in year 27- me thinks.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:52 | 5905982 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Japan has US support.

Who supports the US?

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:54 | 5905994 madcows
madcows's picture

Belgium.

 

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:10 | 5906071 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

IHOP will buy our waffles?

Good to know.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 10:54 | 5905991 madcows
madcows's picture

Well, I think the last time they raised rates in the US was about a decade ago.  So, we've got that going for us, which is nice.  Of Course, you realize, that they can still lower rates, right?  I mean, didn't the swiss just drop theirs to -0.25%?

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:36 | 5906170 Spungo
Spungo's picture

BTFD is a virtue. Also, Virtu is a virtue.

Thu, 03/19/2015 - 11:39 | 5906178 tecno242
tecno242's picture

At some point, there must be a come to jesus moment, where the collective market suddenly realizes that it doesn't matter what the FED does, the economy is going to keep sliding.  And that while money can be borrowed at ridiculously low rates...  maybe, just maybe, buying stocks isn't the best thing to do with that money.

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