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The Farce That Is The "Market" In One Chart

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This is what happened to the world's most valuable company in the last minutes of trading, when a few million shares in the last 10 minutes, and a volume slam in the last few seconds, sent the stock from just shy of $128 where it had been trading most of the day, to just over $125. A nearly $10 billion move in market cap in seconds.... on nothing. 

 

Zoomed in courtesy of Nanex:

 

And annotated:

 

Well, not nothing. Some market maker knew the would have a lot to pay if any of the 25,000 $127 calls, and 18,500 calls at $126 expired in the money. Oh, and those 57,000 $125 calls lost over $10 million thanks to the last second move.

And, alternatively, those who were short the calls, are deilghted as a result of this last minute stock manipulation.

Because this, in the new paranormal (and in the case of AAPL, almost literally) is the "market."

And, no, before you ask: the regulators won't lift a finger.

 

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Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:42 | 5911162 ted41776
ted41776's picture

queue everything is awesome

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=StTqXEQ2l-Y

 

because i'm happy happy happy happy

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y6Sxv-sUYtM

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:52 | 5911202 highandwired
highandwired's picture

Who needs a market when you have HFT's

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:53 | 5911210 aPlayer
aPlayer's picture

Tickmill guys again with small help from Goldman Sachs?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:58 | 5911224 ilion
ilion's picture

Goldman wouldn't even bother for this measly $10 million. I mean it is Friday evening so they are already out spending our money in some nice restaurant.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:03 | 5911239 highandwired
highandwired's picture

$10,000,000 in 5 seconds works out to what...$7.2Billion per hour?  That's not a bad wage I would say

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:17 | 5911287 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

 

Check silver.

There may be something at play in that market and all aapl's products need it - silver went up 4+% today at the peak.

we'll see in the weeks ahead.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:26 | 5911311 wee-weed up
wee-weed up's picture

Good observation!

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:31 | 5911323 lost money
lost money's picture

today was a qudruple withcing hour. 125 is the "round number" price where most option contacts expire worthless and I bet a lot more than 10 million in options were in play. wall street spent 10mill killing the price and made a 100 mill not having to  pay out on options. silver had nothing to do with it 

look at stock prices, you will see a lot of o,5, 2,5, 7.5 kind of numbers. nic roound numners or very closee to it. 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 19:48 | 5911691 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

 

I hear you lost money.

Still, follow silver, palladium and rare earths.

Somethings cooking.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:09 | 5911258 ah-ooog-ah
ah-ooog-ah's picture

10 million or 10 billion ?

 

then again what's a few zeroes between friends

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:16 | 5911286 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

$10B difference in market cap, $10M lost on the $125 calls (best as I can tell from the article).

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 18:36 | 5911504 ThirteenthFloor
ThirteenthFloor's picture

Highland wired-> Who needs HFTs when you have gold

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:41 | 5911353 Refuse-Resist
Refuse-Resist's picture

Clap along  if you know that happiness is for you!

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 19:04 | 5911571 glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

Correction, the regulators won't lift a fat finger...

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:43 | 5911167 Four chan
Four chan's picture

fancy fingers making that "market".

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:43 | 5911169 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Amber: Last season's winners.

Fireball: No. Last season's losers.

[/running man]

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:46 | 5911176 wmbz
wmbz's picture

I guess that's called a stinky finger!

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:29 | 5911317 wee-weed up
wee-weed up's picture

What does Kermit's middle finger smell like?

Miss Piggy

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:46 | 5911177 ChargingHandle
ChargingHandle's picture

Complete bullshit. 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:47 | 5911180 Wait What
Wait What's picture

the house always wins

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:48 | 5911187 manofthenorth
manofthenorth's picture

A little taste of things to come. UMMMMM.... Yummy !!

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:49 | 5911189 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

S.E.C. - "Looks like normal Friday market action to us."

D.O.J. - "The stock market is a market, not an insurance policy."

Insider shorts - "Hot damn!  Party weekend!  Reboot our algo's!"

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:50 | 5911190 happel
happel's picture

Guess Yellin Trading LLC must've had to liquidate her options position.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:50 | 5911192 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

First thought was: Holy Shit!

Second: Don't people get killed for shit like this? I mean don't they kill themselves with a nail gun from 10 feet for doing something like this?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:18 | 5911290 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I think that people only get killed when they refuse to do shit like this.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:19 | 5911293 BandGap
BandGap's picture

You're kidding, right?

Welcome to "normal".

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:51 | 5911195 davidalan1
davidalan1's picture

Per ZH's relevant, funny southpark youtube video.. "AND ITS GONE"

 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:52 | 5911204 sapioplex
sapioplex's picture

Hey...that's two charts.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:11 | 5911268 ah-ooog-ah
ah-ooog-ah's picture

finally, some inflation

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:54 | 5911212 Rehab Willie
Rehab Willie's picture

May the Farce be with you.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 16:54 | 5911216 p00k1e
p00k1e's picture

Jordan Belfort: I fucked her brains out... for eleven seconds.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:04 | 5911245 Falconsixone
Falconsixone's picture

Is that an ambulance siren?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 18:10 | 5911251 The Bell Rang
The Bell Rang's picture

 

 

This is only a test.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:15 | 5911280 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

And I thought it was just Friday profit-taking...

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:19 | 5911295 adr
adr's picture

AAPL is still $100 overvalued. 

Haven't seen much about the iWatch lately. It was on the cover of fashion magazines and then the price came out and the world collectively went WTF.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:28 | 5911315 NDXTrader
NDXTrader's picture

...or the fact that you have to recharge it every 2 to 4 hours lol

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:34 | 5911330 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

i'm never on the right side of these moves, need to find a new synagogue i guess

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 23:43 | 5912193 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

Don't try to figure out which stock is going to move in which direction.  Figure out bank positions and look for points of interest where they will need to manipulate to make their numbers.  It has nothing to do with value so stop investing.  Start betting on sure things (if you must gamble).  The house always wins so always bet on the house.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:46 | 5911369 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

scalping is bullish for the ecomony

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 17:58 | 5911410 R19
R19's picture

Easy to job stock...

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 18:21 | 5911466 starman
starman's picture

Wait till the same robots will control your....life.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 18:35 | 5911500 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Who leaves an option open up to the expiration? Morons?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 19:02 | 5911563 TruthBeforeAll
TruthBeforeAll's picture

If I had one chart for every chart that explains everything in just one chart, I'd have a lot of charts.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 19:48 | 5911611 razorthin
razorthin's picture

_

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 19:47 | 5911689 phoenixdark
phoenixdark's picture

will any industry/gov't ever have oversight, checks and ballances, fair play again? . or is crony capitilism / fascism. here to stay?   I think here to stay

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 23:45 | 5912196 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

This can only go one of two ways if it changes.  Either a lot of people die and it gets better or it gets worse and a lot of people die. 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 23:10 | 5912139 alexromanl
alexromanl's picture

Very simple reason: rebalancing of portfolios.  Since AAPL is so widely owned and has appreciated this quarter, today is the day when many of these funds have to rebalance in order to keep the target weights they are mandated to abide by.  In doing so, many had to sell AAPL to balance back to target.  Usually that rebalancing is done exactly at close, so that is what we just saw... It is good to know when these dates happen, so many traders had this in their radar screens and tried to profit with derivatives -- I don't think this is anything out of the ordinary.  

Sat, 03/21/2015 - 17:33 | 5913778 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Clearly you know nothing about institutional trading. Any decent shop will work the sell during the day, i.e. vwap or twap even, to have as least minimum impact on price as possible.

Sat, 03/21/2015 - 01:06 | 5912295 ItsDanger
ItsDanger's picture

I learned the hard way trading AMZN options yrs ago.  My position got decimated on the reverse situation off the open.  Never again.

Sat, 03/21/2015 - 11:50 | 5912926 22winmag
22winmag's picture

And, no, before you ask: the regulators won't lift a finger.

 

And know before you ask: the regulators won't lift a finger.

 

We could debate this all day long.

Sat, 03/21/2015 - 12:18 | 5913000 iofera
iofera's picture

Zeroes, investing is easy. Short gold and long equities.

When are you going to get it through your thick heads?

Sat, 03/21/2015 - 14:27 | 5913234 Crash Overide
Crash Overide's picture

Fundamentals are gone, only gambling left...

Good luck.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:48 | 5926527 thecrud
thecrud's picture

The problem I see with this is the same applys to everything. There is nothing nothing at all that is not a farce

From everything is. The Pope the Hospital no matter what business or company political office you name it once on the inside it is not straight everything is a corrupt farce.

But this fact changes nothing, because it is all we will ever have.

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