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Oil, S&P Futures Soar As Quad Witch Volatility Arrives

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Just as we warned not even two hours ago, things on quad-witching get exciting, and volatile.

And sure enough, after starting out the overnight session calmly and without much fanfare, US equity futures have proceeded to surge on absolutely no news, but merely what appears to be the latest market-wide stop hunt, or as the CME's central bank liquidity rebate program is being put to good use.

 

The target: taking out any and all stops since the post-FOMC highs.

 

As for oil... well, why not.

 

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Fri, 03/20/2015 - 08:58 | 5909333 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Dennis Gartman, once again the contrarian indicator!!!!  LOL!!!

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:03 | 5909352 bwh1214
bwh1214's picture

Great summary of how we got in this mess.

Starts slow but worth the read:

http://debtcrash.report/entry/history-and-introduction

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:09 | 5909368 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Oil Soar As Quad Witch Volatility Arrives

 

$100/barrel derivative contracts.....it had better spike....a lot.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:26 | 5909416 agNau
agNau's picture

Silver jumps back above supporting trend line.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:06 | 5909366 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

beat me to it

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:10 | 5909374 jump_mutha_fukah
jump_mutha_fukah's picture

I think Gartman is a Tyler....but a 3rd shift Tyler, and only after the toilets have been cleaned and the TPS reporting completed/ Bikini clickbait assymbled for the next shift.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:28 | 5909421 post turtle saver
post turtle saver's picture

spikes, dwells, witches, *quad* witches, VIXens, oh my

it's still bullshit daily action signifying nothing

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 13:07 | 5910291 ajax
ajax's picture

 

 

“Double, double, toil and trouble;
Fire burn, and cauldron bubble!” - Will Shakespeare, Macbeth Love that photo by the way... thanks Tylers
Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:42 | 5909462 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Denny taking a rhino most shorted horn?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:00 | 5909338 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

same as it ever was

same as it ever was

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:00 | 5909339 iofera
iofera's picture

Higgenbottom.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:02 | 5909344 jump_mutha_fukah
jump_mutha_fukah's picture

Warning was two hours ago...thanks for the heads up....futures were already pretty damn high then. Please just make sure to give us the BTFD Collapsing, Cratering etc pivot post if we get any 0.1% pull back from these levels.

TIA 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:03 | 5909348 vegas
vegas's picture

What I love about ZH; every up move is pure bullshit and every move down is obvious fun-derr-mentals. Keep up the good work.

 

www.traderzoo.mobi

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:06 | 5909363 DavidC
DavidC's picture

In fairness, there was a time when moves up WEREN'T pure bullshit. And it wasn't that long ago either.

DavidC

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:19 | 5909378 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

I think when you print damn near a trillion dollars a month to support every up move, there's a reason to be cynical.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:03 | 5909349 christiangustafson
christiangustafson's picture

YES.  LOVE THE MARKET ACTION.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:03 | 5909350 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Its Friday.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:03 | 5909351 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture

Once you've pushed the button bots never get tired.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:06 | 5909365 confederacy of ...
confederacy of the dunces's picture

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DR91Rj1ZN1M

 

Just think "Donnie Darko" and everything makes sense!!!

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:08 | 5909370 XqWretch
XqWretch's picture

What the fuck is Quad Witch?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:12 | 5909379 bcups
bcups's picture

Mr. Yellen, Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, Nancy Pelosi and Hidlebeast having tea.

 

or, expiration of futres, options on futures, equity futires, etc..

 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:14 | 5909382 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

in the old normal it meant the expiration of several different classes of options and futures (4).

 

in the new normal it means lots of "volatility" all to the upside.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:20 | 5909403 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Its one of four days out of the year when "The Street" games 4 times as much loot as usuall.... end of Quarter piling on you might say.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:08 | 5909372 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

Bubble, bubble

Toil and trouble

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:16 | 5909394 madcows
madcows's picture

Oh what tagled webs we weave

when first we practice QE.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:10 | 5909375 Curious Gorge
Curious Gorge's picture

I don't know if you folks saw the article on Drudge about the Forest Service asking their employees to take an "unconscious bias" test, but I took the test and it is the biggest political pile of horsesh!t I have seen in a while (and that's saying a lot). I recommend taking it, but rather than give all of your data, use the middle ground to test out the test. I chose independent and neutral for everything and said that I was of more than two backgrounds racially (which we all are, we're fucking mutts). Anyway, the test "indicated" that I have a slightly more bias to liking BO - however, the only bias that I have for BO is the bias of waiting until he leaves the office. Anyway, take a look if you want, but man-oh-man it is a righteous pile of dookie!

 

https://implicit.harvard.edu/implicit/research/

 

Cheers, 

 

How many psychiatrists does it take to change a lightbulb?

 

One, but the lightbulb really has to want to change. 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:18 | 5909400 negative rates
negative rates's picture

How many Queens does it take to screw in a lightblub?

One, and the whole world revolves around her.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:31 | 5909439 Charming Anarchist
Charming Anarchist's picture

How many Pawns does it take to support a Queen? 

All of them and all of their children and all of their children's children....  

 

------ 

 

CGeorge, 

You are right to be skeptical of these tests.  They are online data collection tools.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:12 | 5909380 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Sell the rip and get out of Dodge.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:15 | 5909391 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

" Volatile" Ha haa, ...... doesn't something have to turn red first?

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:54 | 5909516 R19
R19's picture

2 RIP

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:19 | 5909401 monopoly
monopoly's picture

It is amazing how these markets seem to go higher and higher as the economic reports move lower and lower. But if you look at the majority of stocks, we really have not moved in either direction for months. Sure you can hit the lottery, but most of my scans are boring....Except of course for my miners, gold and silver which have not recovered at all.

It is what it is and at some point it will all stop. Till then, the slot machines are open.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:26 | 5909414 FPearl602
FPearl602's picture

Just think Zimbabwe...

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:40 | 5909433 Pitiful
Pitiful's picture

+1 ZH.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:30 | 5909437 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Call me a conspiracist (or is that empiricist), but hardly traded this week, as there was evidence of expiration strike pinning (which now, obviously, appears to be the higher strikes, using Yellen for short-bashing) and/or quarter-end performance painting, particularly in smaller caps.  “Why not just lg to sm cap reallocations based on the dollar?” you ask.  Well, seeing it minute-by-minute, it seemed less a sophisticated buy program, being more spiky and ham-fisted, brazen in its task.

 

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:54 | 5909475 R19
R19's picture

It's an options expiration fuckfest in currencies right now.  

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:46 | 5909474 R19
R19's picture

Trade fast. Some prices mean nothing.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:48 | 5909486 billybobtx
billybobtx's picture

We dead-cat bounced some folks.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 10:14 | 5909576 R19
R19's picture

I want bestest dead cat pic to add to my charts...

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 09:51 | 5909502 madbraz
madbraz's picture

at one point this morning, the biotech ETF was extremely overbought on a 1 min, 5 min, 10 min, 30 min, 1 hour, 2 hour, daily, weekly and monthly basis.  all of them had RSIs above 80.

 

incredible.  it's like winning a grand slam when there are 9 tournaments included.  statistically impossible, unless rigged.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 10:04 | 5909540 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Convenient time for Fed to inject money into equities as the injection can be disquised against the background of volatility normally seen in quad witching.

 

Now, what to do about those pesky PMs.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 10:50 | 5909704 adr
adr's picture

So oil will end the month right where it starred?

Proving manipulation beyond any doubt.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 10:59 | 5909745 starman
starman's picture

Bubble bubble on the wall (street) who's the muppets of them all.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 11:08 | 5909776 frankly scarlet
frankly scarlet's picture

too much debt in the system ?,inflating debt away reaching an end?  then its time to crash up equities to try to minimise the proportion of debt.

Fri, 03/20/2015 - 11:40 | 5909904 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

Bad visual. It wasn't women that created this fucking mess.

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