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DAX Is The Most Overbought Since The Peak In 2000

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Th German DAX stock market index has only been this extended relative to its 200-day moving-average once in history... March 2000 - and that did not end well...

 

 

Thank you Mr. Draghi...

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:12 | 5921103 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

bullish

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:15 | 5921110 Harlequin001
Harlequin001's picture

yeah but now we're printing a shit load of money so it's ok...

MOAR!!!

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:18 | 5921116 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Fuller-er retardeder!

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 23:16 | 5923950 Againstthelie
Againstthelie's picture

You know, good numbers are not presented on ZH, for the whole picture additional sources are necessary. German and EU leading indicators indeed are looking stronger - it's the US leading indicators that have been weak.

Europe has implemented real reforms in the last three years - especially the PIGS countries did their best, but the discussion about Greece's misery is overshadowing the fact, that even in Greece structural reforms were made. Greece has a primary budget surplus, Germany's financial situation is improving even more than it's government expected, while in USA the trade deficit even has increased - in USA/Japan/UK no structural reforms were implemented and everything was done by QE. Therefore the quality of created jobs is so abysmal, while in Europe the reforms are beginning to show a broader improvement now.

Without the Ukrainian crisis, which has hit Europe and not the USA, I believe the improvements in Europe compared to the US/UK/Japan would be even better. I don't say that things are good in Europe. I just say, that compared to the rest, the outperformance of the DAX now is justified in my eyes.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 23:21 | 5923982 Againstthelie
Againstthelie's picture

What maybe should also be noted, that the DAX shown above is the performance index, which includes dividends. The "DAX Kursindex" without dividends just reached the 08 ATH now: www.boerse-go.de/Index/DAX-Kursindex/Zeitraum/10years/Handelsplatz/XETRA

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:17 | 5921111 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Overbought for a reason. 

And once again comparison made to pre 2008 charts when markets were just a little bit more free from CB's and HFT's.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:27 | 5921149 He_Who Carried ...
He_Who Carried The Sun's picture

ZH doesn't even know

the peculiarities that involve the DAX.

Its just pseudo technical blabla.

Go, get a real market technician!

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:17 | 5921114 css1971
css1971's picture

That's OK. BTFATH!

We know who to hang if the market goes down.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:18 | 5921115 observer007
observer007's picture

#Germanwings Crash

 

Latest News-Ticker HERE:

http://tersee.com/#!q=germanwings&t=text

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:21 | 5921123 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Photo of Germanwings crash??

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10155450116830393&set=p.10155450...

Looks like there could be survivors if it is.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:20 | 5921122 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:21 | 5921131 Thirst Mutilator
Thirst Mutilator's picture

They were saying that about bitcoin only a short while back...

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:21 | 5921127 JohnGaltUk
JohnGaltUk's picture

Everyone is piling in to German stocks because they think that the Euro will collapse and then they will end up with DM. Is self preservation.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:21 | 5921132 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Like Zimbabwe. 

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:23 | 5921139 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

If that were the case, then the IBEX and FTSE MIB would not see a similar rise. But they do.

It's another case of endless CB-provided liquidity lifting all boats (but the Greek, which is somewhat ironic).

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:21 | 5921128 yogibear
yogibear's picture

And the central banksters can make it grossly overbought to enrich their future employers. Just like Richard Fisher jumped at Pepsi's offer.

Central banksters are out to prove their powerful by stretching the markets well beyond their historical norms. 

 

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:27 | 5921148 JohnGaltUk
JohnGaltUk's picture

This could also be explained that the smart money is avoiding the bond bubble and stocks look like a safer bet. Pubic V Private

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:37 | 5921169 lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

Martin Armstrong says DAX will rally as equity buyers expect to get paid in Deutche Marks when the Eurpo collapses.

 

Its a flight out of the Euro you are seeing.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 08:49 | 5921192 londoncalling
londoncalling's picture

wonder how many people went broke calling top in the zimbabwean stock market during the currency collapse

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 09:24 | 5921287 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Peak Oil, Max Dax.... hype and stocks are hyper extended.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 09:46 | 5921353 multicam mountainman
multicam mountainman's picture

My virgin comment. Please be gentle.

Maybe this will explain. 

 

http://armstrongeconomics.com/2015/03/23/where-to-hide-public-v-private/

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 11:23 | 5921690 He_Who Carried ...
He_Who Carried The Sun's picture

Come in my arms, will feed and protect u... :-D

u say in that article "The rise in the DAX has absolutely NOTHING to do with traditional economic theory."

Are you sure you know a thing or two about economics or Germany for that matter?

How about digging a bit deeper in to FOREX and in to understanding German economy?

btw, if you want to learn about these things, you've come to the wrong place! ;-)

for starters: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/ed0eae0c-d204-11e4-a1a0-00144feab7de.html...

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 10:40 | 5921518 Hope Copy
Hope Copy's picture

Fear of the rigged goernment bond market, but in essence there is an over supply of money in relation to the real demand.  No one wants to get caught up in inflation with government bonds.

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 11:19 | 5921674 zilztrain
zilztrain's picture

Since peak 2000?!  I think you mean since Lehman...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!