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On Greek "Independence Day", Creditors Prepare To Seal Athens' Fate

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With The ECB banning Greek banks from continuing the GGB-buying ponzi scheme, the banking system in deposit outflow panic, cash running extremely dry, food shortages building, and bond/loan payments looming, Greek celebrations of Independence Day today are likely tempered by European officials coin-tossing over the nation's future (in or out of the EU). 196 years after winning their sovereignty from The Ottoman Empire, one wonders if The Greeks have the ability to fight their sovereignty back from "The Institutions."

As Bloomberg reports, while inspectors are gauging the case for continuing financial support for Europe’s most-indebted nation, many Athenians will be watching a parade of battle tanks and fighter jets to mark the beginning in 1821 of the war that won independence from the Ottoman Empire.

Greeks celebrate their independence Wednesday with a military parade and a folk-music festival sponsored by the Ministry of Defense, as European officials more than 1,000 miles away review the financial aid that will shape their future.

 

Euro-area finance ministry officials will have a discussion on the progress of the country’s economic policy program. Without access to capital markets, or the ECB’s normal financing operations, Greek banks rely on almost 70 billion euros ($76 billion) of ELA to cover a financing shortfall exacerbated by steep deposit withdrawals... which The ECB just upped to EUR71bn.

 

...

 

The government of George Papandreou scaled down military parades to cut costs after the Greek debt crisis erupted in 2010. Fighter jets made a comeback to the skies of Athens last year at a cost of about 500,000 euros, according to a defense ministry official from the previous administration.

 

With government cash supplies running out and negotiations on financial aid only inching forwards, European officials have said that Greece could default on its obligations within weeks unless there’s a breakthrough.

 

The government has to pay about 1.5 billion euros of salaries and pensions by the end of March and Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is at loggerheads with its creditors over the conditions attached to its emergency loans.

 

Revenue from taxes also missed budget targets by about 1 billion euros in the first two months of the year, the country’s Ministry of Finance said Tuesday, further depleting cash buffers.

*  *  *

As Keep Talking Greece reports, for the first time since 2011, Greeks celebrate Independence Day and enjoy the school students and military parades without barriers. The new Greek government decision to remove barriers and allow people to attend the parades at close range has a strong symbolism aiming to demonstrate that neither the government is afraid of protests nor the people feel the need to protest austerity.

 

 

Crowds were banned from coming close to parades and dignitaries, after angry anti-government and anti-austerity protesters had booed the President of the Republic Karolos Papoulias in Thessaloniki during the National Day parade in October 28th 2011.

 

After the parade, the President of the Republic, the Prime Minister and other dignitaries mingled with the people and showed that they were not afraid of the citizens, of angry crowds and anti-government demonstrators.

 

 

 

Police were there in “discrete presence” but certainly no riot police squads around.

*  *  *

Things appear to be gettng desperate as it is becoming increasingly clear there is very little cash in the Greek Banking system... ECB funding lines in February Here’s a timeline showing how the cap has gradually increased since Feb 5th when it was set at ~EU60b:

  •  Feb 5 Set at EU59.5b
  • Feb 12 Raised to EU65b
  • Feb 18 Raised to EU68.3b
  • Mar 5 Raised to EU68.8b
  • Mar 12 Raised by EU600m
  • Mar 18 Raised by EU400m
  • Mar 25 Raised to just over EU71b

All of which will be "Bailed In" courtesy of whatever depositors (and bondholders) are left after this ends and Th ECB grabs its cash back...

*  *  *

Perhaps, in the future, The Greeks will mourn "In Dependence" Day as opposed to celebrating "Independence" Day...

 

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Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:18 | 5926182 SethDealer
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in 1990 my first job out of college i worked for a company that sold paper and lumber into Greece. they didnt pay their bills then either. lol

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:21 | 5926195 TruthInSunshine
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Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy - average citizens all much, much worse off for being part of the EU, while their banks & elite are much, much better off.

Opa neckties for banksters.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:22 | 5926201 Looney
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In 540 b.c. they didn’t pay the IMF and ECB either. ;-)

Looney

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:48 | 5926251 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

They also had the balls to push the Persian representatives into the well, if they did that with the ECB reps earlier there would be no problem now.

Did someone consult the Oracle at Delphi?  I know my first downvote will be from Ghordius.  Ghordius for you a fall is too quick, I would impale you and the rest of the ECB EurobureauRATS

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:06 | 5926375 froze25
froze25's picture

The Debtor is always slave to the Creditor

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:36 | 5926487 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

I mark my votes. your's : = 0

so your advice to Greece is to default, now? just asking, I'm curious

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:50 | 5926530 COSMOS
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They should of defaulted a loooong time ago instead of taking the huge bailouts that went to creditors.  They have been led by corrupt and inept leaders.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 04:45 | 5928376 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

and who should decide that? me? you? or... the Greeks themselves?

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:26 | 5926730 Eirik Magnus Larssen
Eirik Magnus Larssen's picture

Greece has no good options now. Only less bad ones.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:33 | 5926252 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

They've been trained in the joy's of socialism. Unfortunately sooner or later the music will stop and the piper must be paid. Greece is going to be a disaster no matter what and a strong warning to the other debt-ridden EU countries.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:38 | 5926270 COSMOS
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It wasn't a piper that set them up, rather the Fiddlers saw an opportunity and gutted the place.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:37 | 5926267 ANestIOS
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...the president of the Republic, the Prime Minister and other dignitaries mingled with the people... 

and in greece at least it looks like the people still hope that their democratically elected representatives will deliver a better future 

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:33 | 5926768 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

+ Ireland

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:22 | 5926204 Ivanovich
Ivanovich's picture

As amusing as your comment is, this is the underlying problem in Greece.  You're going against centuries of culture and distrust for government (taxation).  It's in the nature of Greeks, (and Russians, Cypriots, a dozen or so other countries) to go "under the table".  What made the EU believe they could correct this with a Troika is beyond me.  The Greeks are better off going their own way.  They're used to inflation, and with a cheap drachma, tourism - which is the one asset they can rely on - will blossom.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:14 | 5926412 Jack Burton
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Yes, this is exactly it.  "What made the EU believe they could correct this with a Troika is beyond me"

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:23 | 5926446 HowdyDoody
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GS representatives whispered in the ears of Greek politicians that everything would be fine. And it is. GS alumni now run EU central banks.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:37 | 5926486 TruthInSunshine
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I haven't seen the latest, semi-accurate numbers, but at least as of December, it was estimated that approximately 77% of each euro loaned to Greece by Troika was essentially going directly to creditors as payment on debt service, so it really is all a banking backdoor bailout.

The mafia calls this "loan sharking."

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:52 | 5926535 Ghordius
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and most of it back to the IMF

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:02 | 5926591 Charlie M.
Charlie M.'s picture

From what I have read its more like 97%

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 19:37 | 5927375 Kirk2NCC1701
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Sounds like the IMF and ECB need Greece more than Greece needs them, in order to maintain their backdoor bailout of banksters/investors. 

In which case Greece just needs to pull the damn Rip-Cord.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:25 | 5926213 JRobby
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An offshore receivable is generally named: "Gift"

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:26 | 5926453 XqWretch
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Nigerian Prince

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:13 | 5926404 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Actually, that is a very good point! Greece has a culture that simply can not exist alonside competitive capitalist markets. Their basic corruption, and looking for free lunches, will always come back to bite them. As you point out, even decades ago the attempt to do trade with Greece was a failure. That failure ripples through business communities and they say NO to do trade in Greece. The EU accepted Greece when Greece had FAILED to meet the tests for membership. Once IN the EU, Greece was given any number of dubious loans, which amounted to Vendor Financing of exports to Greece. Just like your case, Greece was never intending to pay the loans. And now herre we are!

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:40 | 5926492 walküre
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Ukraine has very similar problems. Try and do business with Ukraine... hopeless. Best thing would be that they at least develop Russian business ethics.

Now Ukraine took money from Rothschild's "IMF" and has to allow US tanks and troops (soon) on the ground. Clearly the Rothschild's are buying their way into Ukraine to wage war. Already have their puppets in Kiev in place.

Greece is not relevant enough and doesn't offer any "upside" to the Rothschilds. It was a cheap location for shipping profits but even that has faded with China overtaking more and more of the market.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:54 | 5926539 COSMOS
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They should hang the fiddlers and their Nazi henchmen.  Make examples of the oligarchs on Maidan square, hang all these aholes like they hanged Mussolini.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:28 | 5926745 Eirik Magnus Larssen
Eirik Magnus Larssen's picture

There is a great irony in seeing you mention the Nazi's in a negative light, given your history of virulent anti-semitism and your Aryan female avatar.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 18:00 | 5926759 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

http://www.algemeiner.com/2014/06/24/ukraine-jewish-billionaires-batalli...

come again...or are you just severly malinformed as you are malnourished and dumb?

http://tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/187217/borislav-bereza

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28329329

We all know who funds the Nazis just as they did in the past.  We are also well aware of the Holohoax.

I am just anticrime, and if that is anticeramic then fuck yeah.

What about your virulent anti-gentile policies blowing to bits gentile civilians in Donabass you schmuck.  Damn right I am anti crime and anti murdering parasite and virulent scum like you.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:56 | 5927985 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Yes, Ukraine was rated the most corrupt nation in Europe well before any of these orange revolutions or coups took place. In fact, Russians were even dubious about trade with Ukraine, because Ukraine seemed never to pay it's bills. It expected nearly free and unlimited Russian gas supplies. NOW, the Kiev Junta can forget about free Russian gas, and that burden alone will bankrupt Ukraine. The Jewish Oligharchs are feudal lords running parts of Ukraine as their personal lands. Indeed, Ukraine is hopeless, and historically it always has been. Even the idea of a Ukrainian state was a western construct, part of the centuries old plan to gain this land for western interests. Some times by invasion and war, other times by diplomatic means, others by rigged election and coups. This time around it is a Coup, followed by rigged election, and soon the military inavsion, as NATO troops arrive every day in bigger and bigger numbers.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:18 | 5926185 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

THIS is not Sparta...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:24 | 5926214 Looney
Looney's picture

No, it is not SPARTA, it is FETA cheese ;-)

Looney

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:35 | 5926261 KnuckleDragger-X
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Nope, Sparta defended the pass while Athens debated and delayed, now Sparta is gone but Athens is still debating and delaying.....

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:43 | 5926277 COSMOS
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Well the Athenians did get the navy set up in time.  The main point is the Ancient Greeks would be turning in their graves if they saw what had become of their progeny.  This is the shit people become after adopting the religions of the middle east.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:59 | 5926571 Ghordius
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Greece had once some 3'000 polities

They have tried everything out. All systems, all methods, all madnesses, follies, glorious experiments, currency wars, trade wars, wall wars, civil and religious arrangements and conflicts, and so on

you'd find the original thought there, among the ancestors

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:39 | 5926793 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

Not just the Greeks but all the ancient civilizations, the basic recipe for success regardless of the political system you choose, is hang the moneychangers and keep the rest out of your country.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 04:42 | 5928373 Ghordius
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that's a tad too simple. the "moneychangers" just peddle... credit. the real issue is credit, and it's ugly brother... debt

but lending, as such, is a spontaneous human action. a private affair... until, if unchecked and unregulated, it becomes a national problem

the real secret behind the success of capitalism is when and how to... default. capitalism, independently from how bastardized it becomes, is superiour because of it's early recognition of... unsustainable situations, and early acceptance of losses

Solon was given the ultimate power of setting a constitution, in Athens, because even the mighty and the super-rich recognized that selling debtors as slaves to foreigners was killing the nation

interestingly, he brought... Timocracy. Which is a recognition of class. And a recognition that each class should contribute according to it's capabilities

the kind of thinking that led later Temistocles to ask every and each member of the Pentacosiomedimni class to build and equip a warship for the war against Persia

now imagine a government today that asks something similar. imagine +75% of military expenses being paid exclusively by the upper 0.01%. Imagine a peacetime where the same super-rich are expected to support most of the government's expenses, and some additional social expenses, too

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 19:43 | 5927398 Kirk2NCC1701
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+42 for your last sentence. 

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:18 | 5926187 Batman11
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The bankers, the purveyors of debt and whose business is debt, couldn’t manage their own debts back in 2008.

We all remember the onerous conditions placed on bankers after the bailouts in 2008.

We stopped them taking their bonuses after crashing the Western financial system.

We cleared out all those that had made big losses.

Those guilty of fraud were imprisoned.

The 1930s legislation that kept the bozos of Wall Street on the straight and narrow for six decades was restored.

Wait a minute; I don't remember any of those things because they never happened.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:19 | 5926189 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Looks to me like a lot of " Fates " are coming to fruition.

 

When Will China End the Dollar Peg

http://philosophyofmetrics.com/2015/03/25/when-will-china-end-the-dollar...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:53 | 5926193 Thirst Mutilator
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Looks like they're in desperate need of a FABER COLLEGE style parade...

 

Thank You GOD!

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:23 | 5926206 JRobby
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"fight their sovereignty back from "The Institutions.""

Isn't this really what every person needs to make the #1 world priority?

Building really cruel, spartan prisons for all of the financial criminals / cartels and the oligarchs would provide good jobs.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:26 | 5926218 Itchy and Scratchy
Itchy and Scratchy's picture

The Repo Rave!

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:31 | 5926245 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Nothing will happen for a while. Note: The Orthdox Easter is April 12, Catholic Easter is the week before.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:35 | 5926259 agNau
agNau's picture

BoozeAllen/Pentagon satellite mapping.
National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency.
http://www.wdbj7.com/news/local/virginia-woman-daughter-killed-in-french...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 14:57 | 5926335 f16hoser
f16hoser's picture

Greece has No government. Simple really.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:03 | 5926363 Prober
Prober's picture

SOLUTION IS TRIVIAL:

PAY BACK WHAT YOU BORROWED AND EVERYONE WILL LOVE YOU.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:06 | 5926616 Charlie M.
Charlie M.'s picture

You forgot zee 'plus interezt' part... 

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:20 | 5926430 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Greeks are now so totally fucked it is not even funny. They have backed themselves into a corner from which only total default and a reset can offer any hope for the future.

Russia underwent a paifnul default. I know, I was there during the worst of those times. I saw people living in conditions which I was too shocked to even bother filming, though I regret it now. Let me just say, default is not the end of the world. The next morning you at least have a chance to rebuild. As long as a Troika holds Greece in a death grip, it will be nothing by austerity and loans, loans and payment schedules. Until every Euro is beaten out of the people, and every asset in the country sold to western Bankers. Each German Banker will have his own family Island to call a summer home. while on the mainland, Euro Police beat down the people, and demand their money to pay bank loans.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:26 | 5926450 Seek_Truth
Seek_Truth's picture

Default for Greece is a given, followed by the rest of the PIIGS.

I for one look forward to watching_the_dominoes_tumble.

 

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:56 | 5926550 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

Just Hang the J-mafia Fiddlers in the public square or beat them to death in front of the crowds.  It works wonders for a country's economy.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 19:07 | 5927252 DaveA
DaveA's picture

It's not just the PIIGS. Every democratic social welfare state is bankrupt, but markets haven't yet forced them to admit it.

Do you think any modern democratic nation will ever do an Andrew Jackson and pay off its debt, with interest, in non-inflated currency? No, you just expect to fob those bonds off on some other sucker.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:34 | 5926474 walküre
walküre's picture

So broke, even the terrorists won't make an appearance (no barriers at parade). Oy feta.

Seriously though, this is a pretty sad chapter in the nation's history. As much as I symphathize with their lack of funding and financial constraints, my advice to a nation would be the same as to anyone. They have to stop asking for money and start pulling themselves up. Whatever it takes.

If public salaries can't be paid for a while, so what? Does a nation cease to exist because of unpaid bureaucrats? What is payment anyway? Where are the patriots that would give their lives to serve the nation? If they don't exist, then this whole exercise including the parade is good for NOTHING.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 19:13 | 5927277 DaveA
DaveA's picture

"patriots that would give their lives to serve the nation?"

Somehow an unpaid bureaucrat toiling at her desk until she drops dead of hunger doesn't seem quite as heroic as a soldier getting shot to pieces on the battlefield...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:49 | 5926526 AbbeBrel
AbbeBrel's picture

If indeed the TARGET2 balance owed by Greece is > 90B Euros (mostly to Deutschland naturlich) then it is:

Happy Co-dependence Day, Greekies and Kumpels

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:57 | 5926564 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 What a haberdashery, the Greek debacle has become. There's so many moving parts, that even attempting find some sort of amicable solution is virtually impossible.

 We all know what happens when politicians lose control... The Oligarchs declare war on each other, and make very~very bad decisions. The outcome of these decisions is generally to the detriment of Mankind, and all life in general.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:34 | 5926770 directaction
directaction's picture

I thought the Greeks just elected a bunch of cool commies who promised to stand up to the Mean Old Big Bankers.

Guess not. Looks like they folded, begged for more money, just like all the non-commie governments before them.  

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 16:58 | 5926839 atthelake
atthelake's picture

The question is WHY.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 17:37 | 5926986 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

There is a difference between principle and practicality.

In her current weakened state, demoralised population, a Turkish neighbour waiting to pounce and a hostile Europe there is not much to go on.

And while Greece may be tempted to cuddle up to Russia, she might also be worried about the USA causing her grief for making such a move.

I doubt the government has even tried to have a new currency printed because the central bank of Greece is full of New World Order underlings who will report everything going on.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 17:32 | 5926965 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

We can all make some smart ass comments about Greece but the fact remains that two of the longest periods of sound money originated in the Greek world.....the silver drachma of the Athenian period and the Byzantine coinage subsequently. Both of these ran for CENTURIES.

And we can all make fun of Greece not paying her bills but the American government has not paid her bills since the early 1980's because since that date the American government has borroweed to pay her interest bills in every single year and has stripped the social security fund to make ends meet.

And we can all gloat about Greece not paying but the reality is that wherever Greece went in ancient times it established cities and culture and left behind monuments that indicate civilization. But can someone tell me what America has left behind in the countless countries it has invaded? Sadly it has left behind countless dead and destruction.

And we can all savour the moment that Greece will go belly up but the reality is that we are all in the same queue just waiting our turn.

 

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 18:06 | 5927102 COSMOS
COSMOS's picture

Spot on and Brilliant surmise of the status quo.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 19:18 | 5927306 Financial Paparazzi
Financial Paparazzi's picture

BRUSSELS GIVES GREECE 5 DAYS TO PRESENT STRUCTURAL REFORMS FOR THE NEXT 800 YEARS

 
Germany opposes the European demand, claiming that "a plan for 8 centuries lacks strategic vision".

 

Source: www.financialpaparazzi.com

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 18:06 | 5931379 much obliged
much obliged's picture

scenario:

Greece will sign the memorandum originally signed by U.S.A., France and U.K. that absolves Germany of World War II debts. In exchange, the IMF, the ECB and the European Commission, collectively the "troika" will write off all Greece's external debt. Greece will be left in the Eurozone to independently institute reforms and will not receive further loans until Greece's credit rating rises above junk status with a positive outlook that would depend on reform success.

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