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Presenting The Theater Of War; Who Controls Yemen?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Curious to learn more about Yemen, and why over just 24 hours it has become the location of the latest war in the middle east? Then the following brief summary on the balance of power, or lack thereof, in Yemen from Stratfor should provide some useful background information.

From Stratfor

Who controls Yemen?

While the al-Houthi movement struggles to manage multiple regional challenges in northern Yemen, its rise to power is a setback for Saudi Arabia. After the fall of the Yemeni government, Riyadh will have to capitalize on the al-Houthis' need for political and financial support to re-establish its influence in the country. But because Iran is trying to fill that support gap, too, Yemen has become another battlefront for the two sectarian rivals.

Since Yemen's president was driven from the capital of Sanaa in September, Yemen's government has been at war with itself. President Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi issued a statement March 19 denouncing the airstrikes on his compound in the southern port city of Aden as an attempted military coup by forces loyal to his predecessor and onetime ally, former President Ali Abdullah Saleh. Earlier that day, soldiers and militiamen loyal to Hadi battled their way into Aden's airport and stormed a nearby military base, both of which were under the control of Gen. Abdel-Hafez al-Saqqaf, a Saleh loyalist.

The al-Houthis represent a change in the balance of power in Yemen that has opened the door for Iran to become a major player in what was the exclusive domain of Saudi Arabia not long ago. While Saudi Arabia has long meddled in Yemen, Riyadh lost sight of developments in the country while focusing on other regional fights. It was not that Saudi Arabia was not paying attention to Yemen, it just was not expecting Iran to gain ground on its southern frontier via a movement that is not traditionally Shiite and, in fact, is theologically closer to Sunni Islam.

The Saudis see the al-Houthis as a possible threat from Iran. How the Saudis engage with the group and try to distance it from Iran will be a key factor to watch. Meanwhile, Yemen's deteriorating security situation has created another Saudi-Iranian geopolitical struggle that will last into the foreseeable future.

 

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Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:07 | 5927852 weburke
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finally some saudis get to die. they certainly have caused enough deaths of others.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:12 | 5927859 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Saudi Arabia/GCC control Al Qaeda.

Iran controls Houthis.

Qatar controls Obama.

Any further questions?

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:24 | 5927895 Timmay
Timmay's picture

Yes, who or what does Valerie Jarrett control?

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:40 | 5927940 Pool Shark
Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:58 | 5927994 y3maxx
y3maxx's picture

...The USSA conveniently dropped off $500 million in Arms to the HOuthoots in Yemen.....and since naturaally all Arabs love to wage war.....these Houthoots start shooting at their neighbours, Saudi Arabia.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:08 | 5928133 Harlequin001
Harlequin001's picture

I've just had a look at Yemen on Google earth, and it looks really nice.

Bit of a shit hole, but really nice...

Pity about the fucking toilet just to the north of 'em...

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 04:41 | 5928372 Muh Raf
Muh Raf's picture

So, no Arab spring for the Yemenis then? Seems like that concept is a no goer for Bahrain, Kuwait, UAE, Saudi and now Yemen, who have all very helpfully supplied illiterate tribal peasants by the shedload to act as proxy "jihaadis" for an on behalf of Israeli/US "independent battle groups" like Blackwater\XE.   

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 07:22 | 5928513 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

The north and west of the country are actually quite beautiful.  That's where the Queen of Sheba came from.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:08 | 5928097 Paveway IV
Paveway IV's picture

Here's the 30-second spiel for what you need to know about Yemen:

The corrupt U.S. puppet president, Hadi, was put in place in an Arab Spring uprising to ensure the U.S. had Yemeni permission to drone AQAP in Yemen. The Houthis were infuriated by this because so many Yemeni civilians were being killed in U.S. drone strikes on AQAP targets. Yes, even though Houthis and al Qaeda are mortal enemies.

I'll repeat it because its important - the truth is opposite the central lie, i.e, the Western MSM narrative/lie of Sunni/Shia conflict:

Shi'ite Houthis are pissed off because so many Sunni civilians are dying as a result of U.S. airstrikes. The Houthis don't want to rule Yemen, they just don't want the current U.S. puppet Hadi to keep getting rich from U.S. bribes while he permits U.S. drones in to kill Sunni civilians with impunity. Get it?

Shi'ites protecting Sunnis or at least protesting their unjust deaths at the hands of the U.S.

Houthis would love if the U.S. was doing what it said and taking out AQAP, but the U.S. are bumbling, incompetent fools that think nothing of trading a few dozen dead Sunnis for the opportunity to take out one maybe/kinda al Qaeda guy that was sort of suppose to be somewhere (they think) at around a certain time BUT THE DON'T KNOW ANY OF THIS FOR SURE. Hadi pretty much told the U.S. "Kill as many Yemeni Sunnis as you feel is necessary (or simply cause through incompetence) on a hunch if you think there might be an AQAP guy somewhere in the area."

Iran has nothing to do with the Houthis or why they're pissed off at their U.S. puppet president. Houthis are Zaydi Shia - completely different than Iranian Shia. In fact, Iran is also in favor of the U.S. taking out AQAP but not at the expense of innocent Yemenis. Iran might be pissed that the U.S. staged another coup d'etat (under the guise of the Yemeni Arab Spring) to put in a drone-free-for-all approving president, but they have no interest in getting involved militarily in Yemen. There is no secret Shia pact between Yemenis and Iranians - that's not how it works (except on CNN).

The U.S. wants continued, unfettered access to Yemeni airspace to randomly kill Sunni civilians with the hope of smoking a few al Qaeda somewhere in the crowd. If Sunni civilians are killed, the U.S. forks over a couple thousand bucks and an apology. The U.S. figures that justifies a few 'accidents'. Sunni and Shia Yemenis DON'T AGREE. They hate their U.S. puppet Hadi for allowing drone strikes to continue. They also hate him for enforcing the IMF austerity crap, but they can deal with that - that's not why they're rebelling.

Saudi Arabia wants the drone strikes to continue because AQAP and Yemen is right next door to them. The whole al Qaeda shit-show they created with the U.S. is going to be visiting them NEXT and they're peeing in their robes at the thought. The Saudis figure that no amount of Yemeni civilian casualties are too high if the drones occasionally hit an AQAP 'suspect' and keep them the hell out of Saudi Arabia. Likewise, the Saudis will kill as many Yemenis as they need to in order to ensure the U.S. drone-approving puppet Hadi remains in power. 

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 02:16 | 5928286 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

Is Obama Sunni or Shi'ite?

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 03:52 | 5928355 davsel
davsel's picture

Obama = Muslim Brotherhood = Sunni

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 05:39 | 5928400 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

Obama is Moron

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:12 | 5928429 winchester
winchester's picture

prior to anything, obama is ...obama, and sufficient as a description.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:25 | 5928439 Oracle 911
Oracle 911's picture

You are prising him, he is something worse. He is a moronic traitor and puppet. BTW I upvote you.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 04:56 | 5928375 Lore
Lore's picture

...So Stratfor gets another FAIL?

...In the interest of clarity, since at least some regional chapters of "Al Qaeda" reportedly take paycheques directly or by proxy from Uncle Sam, it would be appreciated if all members of AQAP (Al Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula) would wear Red Shirts, marking them as 'evil' and making them easier to distinguish from the 'good' Al Qaeda, aka AQEE (Al Qaeda Everywhere Else) who shall henceforth put on Blue Shirts. No changing shirts in mid-drone strike, please!  Thank y'all for your cooperation. 

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:15 | 5928157 Magooo
Magooo's picture

No quite. Israel controls central banking, the world's reserve currency - and Obama

 

Think about this - how powerful are you if you get to print USD - loan it at interest --- decide who gets it and at what price - or who doesn't get it.    And if a country falls out of line you threaten to fire up their bond rates and collapse them

 

Who owns the Fed - work that out and you will know who controls the world.

 

And get ready to live with it.  Because nodoby is going to stand against this.   Most have no idea or would not care.

 

And those that know are not stupid --- they understand that you do not rock the boat because if you stay in line you get well taken care of.

 

That goes from the likes of Clinton to Mubarak to the generals of every army on the planet.

 

Only an idiot would bite that hand.  

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 07:07 | 5928494 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

"Think about this - how powerful are you if you get to print USD - loan it at interest --- decide who gets it and at what price - or who doesn't get it.    And if a country falls out of line you threaten to fire up their bond rates and collapse them."

More realpolitic wisdom and insight in that short statement that you'd get in a dozen 'geostrategy' books.

In fact I'd go further and suggest that your overall post pretty well explains how the world works in practice.

A tour de force, my friend.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 01:02 | 5928226 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

Who controls, SA, Iran, and Qatar?

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:17 | 5927875 Chad_the_short_...
Chad_the_short_seller's picture

How are Saudis going to die? Does Yemen rebels have shit that can face airstrikes from the US-backed Saudis?

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:59 | 5927995 mrpxsytin
mrpxsytin's picture

Alan's snack bar...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:25 | 5927901 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

We've seen nothing yet. Once we pop the cork on this and get all of the militaries involved rather than just "extremists", the fur will fly.....and suddenly 20 trillion in debt will seem down right reasonable.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 07:01 | 5928488 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

Don't beton it. A guy I knew who was in the Oman military said the Saudi defence forces were the most useless and cowardly he had ever come across. They'll be like the American chicken hawks and get someone else to do the actual fighting.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:07 | 5927853 TeamDepends
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Stratfor is like an old friend, who stabs you in the back when it's time for him (her?) to pick up the tab.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:15 | 5927870 Bobportlandor
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WAR JUST BROKE OUT: Saudi Arabia In Unity With Gulf States And Egypt (The Sunni Coalition) Just Launched A WAR On Yemen

 

http://shoebat.com/2015/03/25/war-just-broke-out-saudi-arabia-in-unity-w...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:15 | 5927871 Omen IV
Omen IV's picture

More Obama chaos - Im sure another place to go in six months with troops and air bombing missions

 

Tunisia now in motion

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:52 | 5927973 Dollarmedes
Dollarmedes's picture

Yemen: Obama's success story.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 23:45 | 5928109 knukles
knukles's picture

Were words right out of his very own mouth.
Now just you fucking wait for MSNBC to support this shit being Bush's Fault

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:24 | 5928438 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Hillary's Success Story

 

Hopefully the press will get it.

 

NoVa

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 05:15 | 5928391 New Kid
New Kid's picture

Give the man another Peace prize..... and an Oscar as well....because ..Obama.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:20 | 5927882 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

A world in chaos as so many predicted, but of course they were all racists.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 09:06 | 5928919 FireBrander
FireBrander's picture

McCain would have ushered in an era of peace?

 

Mitt 'we need more battleships' Romney would have scaled back the US military?

 

I didn't call you folks racists; morons was more fitting.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:25 | 5927899 serotonindumptruck
serotonindumptruck's picture

"From Stratfor"

I stopped reading right there.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:26 | 5927905 world_debt_slave
world_debt_slave's picture

Blackhawk Down

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:26 | 5927906 nah
nah's picture

Saudi Arabia v Ukraine

.

Russia v Yemen

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:28 | 5927910 J Pancreas
J Pancreas's picture

New war = bullish. Military Industrial Complex, bitchez.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:29 | 5927913 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

The desert people can do whatever they want. It's not my concern.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:32 | 5927921 Prober
Prober's picture

Just kill them ALL and take over the entire country, would be an excellent full-service base.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 02:45 | 5928312 Money Boo Boo
Money Boo Boo's picture

yes

 

and you should be the first clown to be there with your little american flag waving your boys onto the beaches, please hurry before all the flights are cancelled

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 09:08 | 5928935 FireBrander
FireBrander's picture

Actually, that is how you fight a war...either you intend, and have the stomach to, kill everyone that needs to be killed in order to achieve total victory, OR YOU DON'T GO TO WAR.

Fri, 03/27/2015 - 02:32 | 5932755 Lore
Lore's picture

Here's a serious question that I hope you won't dismiss: What if you're misled into fighting the wrong war?  Is there no compunction upon you to use your God-given mental muscle and cut through the deep-programmed pharmaceutically-reinforced bullshit?  The gung-ho follower of orders went the way of the covered wagon, surely...

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:38 | 5927938 Usura
Usura's picture

Victoria Noodleman was seen recently in Aden

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:45 | 5928204 Rock On Roger
Rock On Roger's picture

Long time no see.

 

How's your trade?

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:02 | 5928415 CuttingEdge
CuttingEdge's picture

A shame some raghead didn't grease the cunt while she was there and do the not-so-free world a huge favour.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 07:45 | 5928553 Johnny Moscow
Johnny Moscow's picture

her neocon husband Kagan is probably sneaking around down there now too.....once one of 'em shows up the other is not too far away. Plenty of wars to be fought over there just need to keep the spice flowing!

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 22:54 | 5927979 Counterpunch
Counterpunch's picture

Nevermind Yemen.  Saudi Arabia's eastern, oil rich province is likely to soon be the more interesting development.

 

Well, that and the next Israeli false flag to keep the Oded Yinon plan rolling. 

 

Sooner or later, the hornets will stray from the nest.

 

 

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 23:03 | 5928013 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

Send McCain, Graham and Obobo to Aden wearing goat costumes.

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 23:47 | 5928114 knukles
knukles's picture

Bad idea WIlliam, what with the offspring ....

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 03:26 | 5928345 Rusty Shorts
Rusty Shorts's picture

lmao hell yeah! send them in to Abraham Springsteen Lincoln garden of Eden land; hahahahaaaa

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 10:15 | 5929288 Kickaha
Kickaha's picture

Why do you insult the noble goat?

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 23:20 | 5928048 Paracelsus
Paracelsus's picture

I would not want to be a drone mechanic caught by Yemenis.Beheading would seem merciful....

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 23:26 | 5928054 pocomotion
pocomotion's picture

I had a dream about this poop in Yemen.  It is a ball buster to thrust news about these desert bums in Saudi Arabia.  This sucks like an oasis full of clitorises.  Weaken Iran why don't you.  Hell, they are like the French,,, They never truly fight.

Lawrence of Arabia say so.....  Correction, LOLBAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHH"AHHAHAHAHA

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 23:40 | 5928092 QQQBall
QQQBall's picture

Who controls Yemen? Who gives a damn?

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:02 | 5928137 rpboxster
rpboxster's picture

I came into this late.  Why are the saudi's attacking hootie and the blowfish?

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:14 | 5928154 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

"Who Run Bartertown?"

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:16 | 5928155 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:56 | 5928477 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

Can't disagree with that!

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 00:20 | 5928167 Jack Daniels Esq
Jack Daniels Esq's picture

Bush41 is another USG moron - hit Iraq instead of Iran

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 01:01 | 5928225 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

The enemy of my enemies enemy is my enemy except when my friends enemy is the friend of my enemies friend on my mother's side twice removed.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 01:18 | 5928240 IronForge
IronForge's picture

STRATFOR:

Whose founder erroneously predicted in 1991 of an upcoming War btwn JPN and the USA in a flop of a book.

This was before the bursting of JPN's Bubble Economy (and forced USD/JPY Currency Float - funny how KOR, SGP, HKG, and later CHN were spared); but gee golly gosh - when a Country starts getting prosperous and more independent from the GHQ all of a sudden becomes a future War Opponent for the USA.

Sound familiar? 

So, does this mean that Countries independent from the USA's Grip is a War Opponent?  Sounds like a ZioCon Worldview; and taking a look at the CEO/Founder who(not only is a member of the Tribe) just taught at 3rd rate Liberal Arts Schools for most of his Career - one can easily come to a conclusion that STRATFOR doesn't have the Caliber to make it as an Intel/Strategy Advisory.

Sorry.  Beltway Bandits carry so much more weight in these matters.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:49 | 5928462 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

Thanks for that info on Stratfor. The stuff I've read from them could have been acquired by way of a quick internet search. Always amazed me that they could wangle themselves into the very innards of policy-making. What did they bring to the table that the multitude of British and American foreign and intelligence services could not?  Now that I see the Tribal connection much is explained.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 02:56 | 5928316 atomicwasted
atomicwasted's picture

Stratfor = regime disinfo.  So dislike.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 04:55 | 5928385 css1971
css1971's picture

Jordan, UAE and Oman.

Iraq and Syria are already on fire, now Yemen. Wouldn't take much for bits of Saudi to start bursting into flames. Perhaps America would like to supply arms to any dissidents in Saudi.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:44 | 5928459 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

Oman is a lovely country with very agreeable people. It's peacable and well run.  But under the surface tribal rivalries seethe. It's really kept together by the Sultan - word has it he's fond of the down low - who is ageing and has no offspring. 

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 05:02 | 5928386 ThankYouSirMayI...
ThankYouSirMayIHaveAnother's picture

Don't bomb the coffee plants please

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 05:11 | 5928389 Yakhont
Yakhont's picture

Did the Saudis really think they could destabilise an Iranian ally like Syria without payback? Yemen is just south of Saudi Arabia's shi'ite majority Eastern province and where 90% of SA's most valuable oil wells are located. If Yemen falls to the shi'ite houthis, then it becomes a staging ground for insurrection in Saudi Arabia itself, with the added consequence of driving up oil prices to spectacular levels and probably breaking up Opec after Saudi Arabia used the oil price to stage economic sabotage on both Iran and Russia on the US's behalf, not to mention financing ISIS. Karma is a biatch.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:41 | 5928455 Monty Burns
Monty Burns's picture

Let's hope you're right. Seems to me the Saudis have been getting away with a lot of interference for a long time without suffering any blowback. I'd pay ten times the current price of fuel to see the bloated savages of SA swinging from lamp posts.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:42 | 5928456 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Well now we know the additional US Naval presence was to keep Iran from attacking S.A., not bring Iran to the nuclear barganing table.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:52 | 5928466 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

Stratfor = Crap for

For morons, mostly. Unreliable, unsubstantiated, mostly speculation and innuendo.

Like this piece of tripe:

While Saudi Arabia has long meddled in Yemen, Riyadh lost sight of developments in the country while focusing on other regional fights.

Sure, we're supposed to believe that the Saudis simply weren't paying attention to what was happening right on their border.

Yeah, sure. And the moon is made of cheese.

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 09:07 | 5928921 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

Yemen is a Rotchild creation post WW2.

Suniis control nothing.

ZWO controls Yemen.

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