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Almost $3 Trillion Of European Debt Has Negative Rates As German Yields Collapse Further

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As German yields hit fresh record lows (and continue to collapse/flatten dramatically) amid Draghi's monetary excess, the size of ineligible debt surges across Europe. As SocGen notes, before today, there was already a stunning EUR 2.17 trillion of negative yielding debt in Europe (dominated by Germany and France) and today's moves mean that number is growing rapidly as Germany is now negative to a 7.5 year maturity.

 

Since Q€ the curve has collapsed...

 

leaving at least EUR 2.2 Trillion of negative-yielding debt across Europe...

 

This won't end well...

Charts: Bloomberg and SocGen

 

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Tue, 03/31/2015 - 08:53 | 5944995 junction
junction's picture

The market is searching for a bottom.  Does one exist?

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 08:57 | 5945004 negative rates
negative rates's picture

How far can you walk into the forest?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A: Only half way, the other half you are coming out.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 08:59 | 5945009 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Tell you what. I'll take the ultimate logical step - the keynesian endgame.

If you buy 10-yr EscapeBonds right now, I will promise to pay you 0 upon maturity. That's right. I will pay you absolutely diddly-squat.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:02 | 5945020 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Time for another press conference.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:31 | 5945087 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

4 stages of terminal, structural economic disease:

1) ZIRP

2) NIRP

3) HERP

4) DERP

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:16 | 5945051 venturen
venturen's picture

"What is a Greek Bond?" Alex

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:53 | 5945305 Eeyores Enigma
Eeyores Enigma's picture

By God!!!! I believe we have a solution to the Global economic collapse situation thingy!!!!

All we have to do is re-define all outstanding debt at -10% interest and everyone starts getting paid enough to make their loan payments. Think about it!!!!

WoW that is a huge relief. 

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 08:55 | 5945001 Its Only Rock N Roll
Its Only Rock N Roll's picture

And to think the German's have destroyed their citizens life savings once before.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:03 | 5945024 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

The ECB is not headed by a German

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:27 | 5945236 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

The Germans negotiated this QE program to fit what they were comfortable with.  Without German support there would be no QE.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:45 | 5945279 sessinpo
sessinpo's picture

Whether ECB or German, it is governmental institutions. You guys are arguing semantics.

Either way, the result is the same. They are government endorsed institutions that are out of control and enslaving people. And that is what government wants.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 08:58 | 5945007 gcjohns1971
gcjohns1971's picture

DB must be ecstatic.

Their default risk is dropping with the rate curve.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:02 | 5945019 Confundido
Confundido's picture

This is going to have huge capital concentration impact on the private sector. As investors are pushed out of gov bonds, they park their monies in safe Euro IGs, usually conglomerates, leaving the small/medium businesses out of the loop. A lot of acquisitions of smaller businesses by big players that have access to the bond mkt will take place. In summary, the rich will get richer, the employed unemployed and the middle and poor will simply get poorer. We only need mainstream economists to provide evidence that concentration brings higher consumption and economic growth to win the next Nobel laureate award in Economics, so that this is all masked as good policy.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:06 | 5945028 dariomilano
dariomilano's picture

already flattened and QE is just begun

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:23 | 5945052 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

The Cherokee Nation rescinds the hit contract.......for now.

 

Go Redskins!

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:28 | 5945239 TheReplacement
TheReplacement's picture

You know what they say, "the devil you know..."

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:52 | 5945301 sessinpo
sessinpo's picture

If you are truly religious, then you would understand that ultimate calamity is destined to occur. Thus is the book of revelations or other religious teachings of end times. In other words, who cares about Warren not running. That doesn't change the projectory of humanity. It wouldn't change even if we had a real constitutionalist libertarian elected.

 

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:09 | 5945034 Goldenballs
Goldenballs's picture

1914,1939 , ?????????????????

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:13 | 5945046 agent default
agent default's picture

So what do these effectively negative rates mean for pension funds and insurance companies in the long run? 

Nothing to see here move along nobody is kicking the can here.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:27 | 5945077 katchum
katchum's picture

The only reason I would lend money at negative yields is because yields will go even more negative.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:09 | 5945183 eishund
eishund's picture

isnt that like saying the only reason i will buy a house is because housing prices will go even higher. hmm 08?

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 09:51 | 5945134 sunny
sunny's picture

"This won't end well..."

presumes it will end.  

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:46 | 5945282 TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

Actually, technically grammatically speaking, it doesn't presume that.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:46 | 5945283 TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

Actually, technically grammatically speaking, it doesn't presume that.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:58 | 5945317 sessinpo
sessinpo's picture

Everything man made ends. We are not Gods.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:15 | 5945200 martens50
martens50's picture

Does anyone have some euro denominated Cash Call backed bonds for sale?

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 10:33 | 5945251 MaxMax
MaxMax's picture

Big investors are willing to pay money to get their capital back.  They are worried about bank haircuts, sovoreign defaults, confiscations.  The money is trying to find a safe place to hide.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 11:00 | 5945324 sessinpo
sessinpo's picture

And some would think they would hide that money in PMs, but they aren't. That should tell you something. They didn't hide their money in PMs after 1929 either.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 12:38 | 5945644 Luckhasit
Luckhasit's picture

Look at Greece on that chart and that is the only country in the EU that is at a meltdown stage.  Compare Greece to the big three of France, Germany, Italy.  Greece is in better shape than those three, according to the charts. 

A bizzare world indeed.

Tue, 03/31/2015 - 14:58 | 5946122 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

When dealing with a manipulated market one never knows which way to look at a chart. Upright, side ways, upside down....take a pick and make a bet. Anything is possible.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!