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The Economy is Imploding at a 2008-Pace… and Investors Are Record BULLISH!
The global economic implosion continues to worsen.
China is growing at 3%... possibly even lower. One of the only remotely accurate Chinese economic data points is rail traffic. Well, Chinese rail freight has fallen at a pace not seen since the Asia Financial Crisis. In fact, it’s even worse today than it was in 2008.
(via RBS Economics)
This tells us that China’s economy is collapsing. China is an export economy… with much of it going to the US.
So it should be little surprise that the US’s import data just posted the worst collapse since Lehman Brothers.
Via ZeroHedge
If it is collapsing then global trade should be doing the same. And it is. The Baltic Dry index, which is a proxy for global trade, has fallen 80% in the last 18 months. It just recently hit an all-time low (even lower than during the 2008 collapse).
And the Fed's REAL GDP is tracking 0% growth for 1Q15.
And against this backdrop… investors are completely bullish. The Investors Intelligence Survey shows the lowest number of bears in history.
Via Not Jim Cramer
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Minister Ard van der Steur (waarheidsvinding en verzoening) is al begonnen om de Tweede Kamer te melden dat de stelling "geen privacy zonder veiligheid, en geen veiligheid zonder privacy" onderdeel wordt van het 'recht op waarheid'.
http://www.trouw.nl/tr/nl/4500/Politiek/article/detail/3943574/2015/04/0...
De Amerikaanse president Barack Obama heeft de Israëlische premier Benjamin Netanyahu geïnformeerd dat de 'Logica van de 1' het systeem 'Liegen om te Leven' heeft opgeblazen.
http://www.volkskrant.nl/dossier-akkoord-over-iran/netanyahu-herhaalt-de...
Netanyahu weet dus dat het 'voortbestaan van Israël' ten einde is, want de mensheid snakt naar het systeem 'Leven en Laten Leven' waarin de 'verdeling in landen' verleden tijd is. Immers 'Iedereen is van de wereld en de wereld is van iedereen'!
http://www.volkskrant.nl/dossier-akkoord-over-iran/feest-in-teheran-na-a...
In Teheran is 'het leven = 1 groot feest' al begonnen. Obama zei in zijn verklaring dat als er binnen een paar maanden een alomvattend akkoord komt, de VS, zijn bondgenoten en de wereld veiliger zullen zijn.
The $BDI is showing a trendline break - Woody's CCI style :P - Very Bulli$h.
"investors are completely bullish!"
And making a killing. When the Fed has your back, why wouldn't you be. Thanks to the Fed, I just sold my modest 6 bedroom, 6 bathroom home and bought something that will really turn heads. Never give up Phoenix, you'll get it right one day.
Netwerk @MinPres is bezig om de nieuwe beschavingsnorm 'waarheiddelen tussen rechtspersonen wordt gestimuleerd door tegengestelde geldstromen' in de VN te promoten.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-04-02/economy-imploding-2008-pace%E2%...
Daarbij gebruiken ze de Tweede Kamer als KanariePietje. Wanneer één van de kamerleden gaat piepen dat 'de cirkel' weer rond is, wordt het volgende script uit hotel GradjA gelekt aan een @CP_sME. Dit wordt gedeeld aan '0'-hedge die inmiddels de stelling "geen privacy zonder veiligheid, en geen veiligheid zonder privacy" heeft gedefinieerd als 'psychosegeloof'.
http://nos.nl/artikel/2027965-tuchtrecht-voor-bankiers-gaat-in.html
De voorzitter van het College van procureurs-generaal had zelfs het ID om het intiem waarheiddelen met TievendeFred stop te zetten, maar via een @CP_sME blijft één en ander toch rondspinnen.
http://www.nu.nl/weekend/4024279/abn-vs-dijsselbloem-reconstructie-van-s...
Het 'zogenaamde straatgevecht tussen minister Dijsselbloem en de ABN-top' wordt via VissendeGradjA ook gedeeld met de denktank van @DTL. Achteraf gezien heeft de Staat de ABN Amro gewoon gebruikt als een kathalysator om het SCHULD=H00P-principe ter discussie te kunnen stellen. Het is inmiddels een publiek geheim dat de 'uitstel van de beursgang' te maken heeft dat ook Jan Hommen (KPMG-topman) de bankierseed heeft ondertekend. Pas toen kreeg hij inzicht in de werking van het GELD=ZUURSTOF-paradigma en daarmee zou hij moeten kunnen weten wat de bankensector in de eurozone te wachten staat.
I am starting "Capital Phoenix".
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"China is an export economy… with much of it going to the US."
Look, I understand that it's really easy to believe this, but it's simply not true.
% of Chinese GDP from exports: 26.40%
This is down considerably and has been falling for quite a while. Exports are still important, but not as much as they once were. The US is at 13.5% or so.
China exported some 400b to the US in 2013, so we're looking at 4.3%. That's what the US is to China in GDP terms.. 4.3%. And the sad part of it is that the importers who spent that $400b, saw benefit from jacking up the price by a few hundred percent. Meaning that some multiple of that $400b is being included in US GPD. Dropping exports to the US mean that the leveraged number falls faster.
Hey "Old Pretty", I understand your point on the export side, but the freight data is not looking good in China...
Imploding? Like Building 7? And that wasn't rigged either, I guess.
So rigging can make things collapse, or keep things from collapsing. Got it.
Sooooooo.............when?
Just print more gold. Jesus, do I have to think of everything?
Not sure I beleive the % Bears survey. Bears have had their asses handed to them for over 6 years. Who is going to admit to being bearish?
Hmm. I think that is not it. The bears have taken what they have remaining and left the game. All that are left to take the surveys are the bulls. Something about feedback loops and stuff like that.
Collapses happen about 1.5 years after the bears give up. So there is still 6-9 months of good investing still available. (Just remember to GET OUT in 6 months.)
It's not imploding....yet, but it is staggering around from the beating it's taking.
Hey Ray. I never went down Ray, Ya never got me down Ray, Ya never got me down.
The 888th The World Is Ending & Markets Will Fall 99% article/headline by Phoenix Capital in the last 4 1/2 years!
Dive! Dive! Dive!
So with tomorrow being Friday and all, BTFD and ride the afternoon ramp and get out for a happy weekend. We cannot have bad news going into a weekend now can we?
Yeah well, I'll sit out. It is the principle you see. I aim to keep it.
All true on the charts, but the 50 Billion a month the ECB is now prining instead of the FED will keep this thing going another year or so.
so what your saying is........we have a chance of all this working out??????????
BULLISH! BULLISH! BULLSHITISH! O will keep up the farse till the end
bullish
The guy who gets to dance with the prom queen is always happiest just before he finds out she's got a dick.
Wonder if we could invent a Trans Index that shows the higher number of Trans people, sales of Trans Products, observations of Trans people in typical night out on the town or in the Mall...
Perhaps this would indicate a failing Economy.
any sheeple still grazing in the stock market will deserve the epic shearing coming to them.
The lowest number of bears? If you're as bearish as I am you haven't been in the market since the crash of '08. There'd be no population to survey.
I thought I was the only one out of the markets since 2008, nice to have company. So when it comes who are they going to sell to?
What's the problem, the printing press is still working.
How long can Phoenix Capital be 100% right economically and 100% wrong financially? Seems the folks in the financial industry can't admit that what they sell is now based on fraud. How hard it is for some folks to let go of the idea of "markets" for the new reality we inhabit...centrally controlled digits devoid of economic attachment. The economic crash is ongoing...the financial crash is unlikely to occur because if it were allowed, it would only exacerbate the economic crash.
We all know QE is the Fed’s stated vehicle to artificially rig interest rates lower and artificially maintain a market for Treasury’s and MBS…and in the following link, pretty well establish there is a backdoor QE of similar size going on to maintain the rigged US Treasury “market” in the current absence of formal QE…
http://econimica.blogspot.com/2015/03/brics-blink-or-more-correctly-wink-and.html
So, if it’s clear the biggest “market” is out and out rigged…if multiple CB’s now openly advertise their equity purchasing (alongside bonds) with funny money, if the CME has an incentive program specifically for CB’s purchasing equity’s, why would we think otherwise for the Fed and US equities??? Let's stop pretending to look at charts, or long term averages, or any other hocus pocus. CB's are driving the bus now. Which leaves us with this…
http://econimica.blogspot.com/2015_04_01_archive.html
Up'd ya. Ham I like your latest, well written for the masses, I enjoyed it. Of course I have to straddle the fence and bet on both but I add a third option equally weighted. Invest in yourself, learn to live a life of self sufficiency. The third will be the hardest but this is what we did 200 years ago. Doesn't mean you have to haul your water and heat it over the fire to take a bath with a bottle of whiskey, but know how and have the means.
+1 and well said
All of these Phoenix articles are only 'half' articles. They usually hit a home run in describing a problem, then give you a link that hints they might reveal a solution or recommendation. Of course, we never learn the 'how to prepare' - and likely, what they recommend is not working!