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Mapping The World's Atomic Inventory
As we’ve noted on a number of occasions recently, Moscow isn’t prone to backing down when it comes to exchanging geopolitical threats. In fact, the Kremlin seems intent on ratcheting up the rhetoric in the face of what many perceive to be Western aggression in the form of NATO military exercises along the Russian border. Of course Washinton isn't exactly helping the stituation by voting to arm Kiev with offensive military capabilities, and recent geopolitical events certainly seem to indicate that if anyone is isolated on the world stage, it's Washington, not Moscow.
Meanwhile, as the following from the WSJ shows, Russia is intent on "rattling the nuclear sabre":
It wasn’t an ordinary Valentine’s Day for the students from across Russia arriving at a military institute outside Moscow. Their date was with a Topol, the intercontinental ballistic missile at the heart of the country’s nuclear arsenal.
The new event was part of an initiative to promote careers in Russia’s missile forces, and it also reflected another phenomenon: the rising boastfulness about nuclear weaponry in public life here.
Amid the wave of bellicose rhetoric that has swelled in Moscow since the start of the conflict in Ukraine, officials as high up as President Vladimir Putin have been making open nuclear threats, a public saber-rattling with weapons of mass destruction largely unseen even in the days of the Cold War.
Remarks about Russia’s nuclear strength play well to Mr. Putin’s domestic constituency, hungry for a restoration of lost military might.
They also come at a time when Russia has grown more reliant on nuclear weapons, as the imbalance with Western conventional forces has widened. During the Cold War, Warsaw Pact conventional forces outnumbered NATO’s in Europe, leading the West to depend heavily on its nuclear arsenal as a deterrent...
In 1995, President Boris Yeltsin was handed the Russian equivalent of the “nuclear football”—the satchel carrying launch codes that follows the U.S. president—after Russian officials suspected a rocket launched from Norway to study the aurora borealis was in fact a U.S. ballistic missile. A tap of the buttons would have launched a nuclear strike.
“We know, historically, that as crazy as it seems, one thing led to another,” said Graham Allison, director of Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. “Just because it would be nuts, it doesn’t mean it couldn’t happen.”
* * *
We trust cooler heads will prevail, but in a world dominated by failed foreign and monetary policies on the part of the US and other Western powers, it's difficult to ignore the following graphic which outlines who controls the world's nuclear power:
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Ours goes to 11, Bitchez.
OVERKILL
New discoveries are being made all the time. An arms race could be exponential. I'd say that the true threat of nuclear terror is the potential for 100,000 100Mt bombs.
I pay attention to the stockpile of nuclear weapons. But I think it reflects a lot of things. It reflects global uncertainties. I think the reason people hold warheads is as a protection against tail risk – really, really bad outcomes. And to the extent that the last few years have made people more worried about the potential for a major crisis then they have stockpiles as a protection.
The inevitable shutdown of thermohaline circulation and the resource scarcity that follows, particularly water (the atmosphere takes up the ocean's slack in balancing the thermal gradient, locking up moisture at the poles), and food (widespread desertification) coupled with new enrichment techniques accessible by even the likes of Somalia, a new technique for a "neutron trigger", means that everyone gets their 1000+ warheads (for negotiation purposes only ;-) )
Here is the amount of heavy water it takes for a 100Mt bomb:
http://www.waterstoragetanksinc.com/picts/Agriculture/27,000%20Gallon%20...
And hey, they're "only" pure neutron bombs, so what the heck? They're "usable". The rest of the story has been played out endlessly in the past in such places as Bosnia.
To quote a British General -
"We must maintain our nuclear arsenal so that we have the ability to create paralysing levels of uncertainty"
.
From the NYT? But of course. They put the YT in Yellow Tabloidiocy. If they've been correct on any single thing about Russia or Putin within the last two years, I'm sure it was an accidental oversight.
A hilarious distortion, rendered less funny when one realizes how many people believe what they read in this rag. (Need I do more than mention Paul Krugman and Thomas Friedman?)
Actually, the exact opposite is true.The following piece is interesting because it goes through the NATO numbers by category (military spending, manpower, numbers of planes, tanks, helicopters, warships, artillery, etc.). While the raw numbers look impressive, a lot of it is nothing more than trick accounting. It also looks at a category which is often overlooked: time to mobilization. The results should make some of the more bellicose Warsaw Pact to Brussels Pact converts a little nervous.
http://russia-insider.com/en/2014/12/16/1936
I won't go on a Latvian Linkskrieg because there are just too many articles which expose the cheap propaganda excreted by the NYT. I'll just leave it at less than a handful of interesting recent pieces.
A good example of the very slick lies from a NYT 'reporter' with, unsurprisingly, a couple of conflicts of interest (at least):
http://russia-insider.com/en/ukraine/2015/02/24/3804
The NYT is OK with the violent overthrow of democratic governments, as long as they are regimes it doesn't like:
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/misreporting-the-news-12010
Government controlled media? Look no further:
http://www.salon.com/2015/02/19/our_embarrassing_servile_media_does_the_...
Brief excerpt from the article above:
Lastly, a well footnoted excerpt from a scholarly article which delves into the history of the anti-Russian bias of the NYT from the Great Depression era to the present day:
http://www.russiaotherpointsofview.com/2014/12/campaign-to-end-cold-or-h...
Edit: Oops, just noticed that I mistakenly attributed the source as the NYT, but it is actually the WSJ. Everyone knows that the WSJ would never mislead anyone with blatant misinformation and propaganda. Sorry for the mistake, as it completely negates everything I said. Also, I know that admitting a mistake is totally anti-'american', so I'd like to apologize for this disturbing lack of patriotism.
Probably less than one percent of those if used would kill every living organism on earth. Mankind has not changed in the last several thousand years. He just has a larger supply of neutrinos.
Start working at home with Google ! Its by-far the best mixed bag of goods I've had. Last Thursday I got a trademark new Bmw since getting a check for $6474 this - 4 weeks past. I began this 8-months ago and immediately was coming with house at least $77 per hour. I work through this connection, go.to tech marker for work detail.... www.globe-report.com
Well there ya go......
That explains everything ......
Obama gives head and he likes to play war with your money and your lives..
Israel's 80 warheads show how defenseless they are against Iran. How 'bout we cure their terror by giving them 1000 of our 7300? Maybe then they wouldn't be shaking in their boots.
According to the chart the're already airborne.
Well, that's where they got the ~80 they have now (from the US), so nothing is really off the table, is it?
The hydrogen bombs they got from the US, the others they made
themselves with fuel from Dimona.
More then you want to know about the Israeli Nuclear program here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mordechai_Vanunu
"How 'bout we cure their terror by giving them 1000 of our 7300"
How 'bout instead we kick 'em in the balls and ask for the 80 back?
The reason that Israel is so scared of the iranian Bomb is that Israel is so small. You can fit 4 Israels into the size of Greater Los Angles. Jerusalem to Tel Aviv is a shorter distance than Downtown Los Angeles to Hollywood.
https://youtu.be/aWveazPiuxg
The reason Israel is afraid of the Iranian program is that Israel would lose their nuclear hegemony in the region.
Then there is this:
http://www.timesofisrael.com/op-ed-calls-on-israel-to-nuke-germany-iran/
Plus Iran is a heavily mountanious area and some communities would survive a nuclear atack since the mountains deflect the shockwave, etc And the plain areas they are already deserts...
Point taken.
If the Iranians get some nuclear weapons, then regime change or invasion is pretty much off the table.
Can't have that.
Funny way to phrase it, as if any arbitrarily designated area on a map could experience fear.
The reason that some Israelis are afraid of an Iranian atom bomb is that their government controls them by promoting fear of what it knows is an imaginary threat.
http://antiwar.com/blog/2012/08/03/ehud-barak-admits-iran-has-defensive-...
I'm so glad that the US government would never do such a thing.
I feel confident that everyone is supplying honest numbers here........
That makes one of you;)
Only on days when one of me remembers to take my schizoid meds........
21st Century Schizoid Man
Exactly, an earthquake in China revealed that had much more then
they were telling the world.
More like 3,000 ICBMs.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2067984/Chinas-nuclear-arsenal-s...
Obama gives head and he likes to play war. "Monkey with Grenade"
Nukes are over rated. As weapons of mass destruction, chemicals work well at a fraction of the cost.
Things are getting stranger by the day.
The poor man's nuclear weapon...
If you want cheap just send in goyim infantrykids.
But if you want deeply stupid, you'll need mandatory military service.
The fuck is anybody going to do with 7300-8000 nuclear warheads? Destroy the earth? I mean who the hell suggested that 8000 was the magic number? Jesus
They are a deterrent to war, which is why we have so many 'peacekeeping missions'.....
It's being converted to electricity energy sources. all this began in 1991. Why do you think we bash Obama on closing Coke plants. It can be integrated to existing systems without new infrastructure. He is a clueless fuck stick.
8000 got built largely because they expect to lose about 2/3rds of them, if and when the US employs a first strike. That leaves about 2000 warheads to counter - plenty to get the job done, even if fully half of those remaining miss, fail or get Start Wars'd.
Turn them into DU projectiles and drop them on terrist nations.
Where have you been the last 20 years?
This program began with Ronald Reagan.
More megatons to megawattshttp://thebulletin.org/more-megatons-megawatts
Don't be dupped by the main stream media or the nigger in the White House claiming ownership.
It's "duped" you ignorant bastard.
I love challenges. Give a moment to demonstrate facts. Will enjoy watching your asshole swell up.
turned 20,000 Russian warheads into electricity that has illuminated one in 10 American light bulbs.
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/01/28/science/thomas-l-neffs-idea-turned-...
Ignorant bastard found a liberal posting to make you feel at home
http://www.nei.org/News-Media/News/News-Archives/20-Year-Megatons-to-Meg...
You're correct in my spelling. Still training my BlackBerry Passport dictionary. I pound out a message without editing at times. The wife has my old Z10. That phone knows predictive keywords and swiping. I can knock out a 5 sentence paragraph in about 17 gesture swipes. This Santa Claus phone i bought for Christmas is still in a long term learning mode.
Dupped still comes up as predicted swiping. Can I hire you to provide editorial assistance until the passport dictionary gets smarter?
Just fucking with you. We all have a common goal, try to provide humor and educate one another.
Israel's nukes are for use against U.S. in false flag operation...duh
I see your point, but they're more likely pointed in the direction of France, Germany, Britain or another Euro country which does not back Israhell 100%.
Oh you're only giving 98.2% support? Bye bye goyim.
http://www.timesofisrael.com/op-ed-calls-on-israel-to-nuke-germany-iran/
Caligula married his horse and appointed it to the senate if memory serves . Clinton did the same and Obama only has the later left to go. And he'd just as soon nuke parts of the us than Russia or china
John Kerry?
Also, an Emperor declared war on the sea and ordered that Legionnaires assault the sea. It's unclear if it was an international or unintentional farce.
Booker's a Senator, we are go, Flight.
These numbers are incorrect the US has been paying Russia for their warheads since the 1990's
ww.nytimes.com/2013/11/15/business/international/last-shipment-of-nuclear-fuel-from-russian-bombs-heads-to-us.
Israel is known to have between 300 to 400.
The minimum and maximum estimates, from any source NOT in "cloud cuckoo land", that I am familiar with, for Israel's nuclear arsenal are a range between 60* and 300**.
Access to, and/or the ability to produce, fissile material is always the limitation on the total yield of any country's fission-weapon arsenal. Israel's nuclear weapons stockpile was and is limited by, their access to fissile material and their ability to enrich that material. There is a minimum fissionable element mass-purity that is required to sustain the necessary exponential generation of fast-neutron chain reactions.
Assume each fission chain reaction generation's neutron spawns on average 2 neutrons.
• At the initial fission chain reaction, that is generation 0, each fissile atom division releases ~2 fast neutrons, Total g0 n(f initial)= ~2 * # initial total fissions, Total n(f init);
• At the 1st generation, each fast-neutron yields ~2 fast-neutrons, Total g1 n(f) = 2^1* Total n(f init) = 2 * Total n(f init);
• At the 2nd generation, Total g2 n(f) = 2^2 * Total n(f init) = 4 * Total n(f init);
• At the 3rd generation, Total g3 n(f) = 2^3 * Total n(f init) = 8 * Total n(f init);
• At the 4th generation, Total g4 n(f) = 2^4 * Total n(f init) = 16 * Total n(f init);
• At the Mth generation, Total gM n(f) = 2^M * Total n(f init) = 2^M * Total n(f init);
• If the required consecutive chain reactions, M (req), is:
• M (req) = M, T gM = 2^M * T n(f init) = M * T n(f init);
• M (req) = 16, T g16 = 2^16 * T n(f init) = 65,536 * T n(f init);
• M (req) = 24, T g24 = 2^24 * T n(f init) = 16,777,376 * T n(f init);
• M (req) = 30, T g30 = 2^30 * T n(f init) = 1,073,741,824 * T n(f init);
• M (req) = 31, T g31 = 2^31 * T n(f init) = 2,147,438,648 * T n(f init);
• M (req) = 32, T g32 = 2^32 * T n(f init) = 4,247,767,296 * T n(f init);
From the fissile mass * purity %, one calculates the number of consecutive chain reactions, M, required to "fish" *** the entire mass. As can be seen, there are an abundant number of lethal fast-neutrons produced.
The greater the inertia of the confining mass, m (inert conf), if there is a confining mass, the greater the M, the number of consecutive chain reactions, may be for a given fissile mass, hence the greater the yield will be.
For instance, in a weapon using very highly enriched 235U up to pure, ~99% 235U, as the fissionable mass, a large mass of 238U may be used as an inertial confinement mass. Hence, the weapon designer is highly motivated to use HEU or pure 235U in the fissionable mass, or the "pit", to minimize total weapon size & volume, hence total weapon mass, and up to a point, weapon cost.
The above is especially important where there is a very limited supply of fissionable material available to an embargoed developer, a nation-state (i.e., Iran, North Korea), or a very small nation-state of limited means (i.e., Israel in the late-1950's or early-960's) secretly developing a deterrent.
[Note that M may be far greater than 32. Also, there may be deliberate errors in these calculations to obscure the truth.]
M generations of fast-neutron chain reactions are required to produce an WMD-level yield. A "fizzle" happens when there are too few generations of chain reactions to produce the nominal WMD-level yield.
But, even a "fizzle", producing a minimal yield, will typically yield an explosion large enough, yielding an explosion of tens to hundreds of tons of TNT (equivalent), completely destroying the device and it's immediate surroundings, and produce enough fallout to make the surrounding area into a dead-zone.
*Say, one source estimates Israel's nuclear arsenal is 60-to-100, and 60 is the minimum among all sources, that's the minimum given above.
**Say, another source estimates Israel's nuclear arsenal is 100-to-300, and 300 is the maximum among all sources.
*** fish, the number of consecutive chain reactions are sufficient for the entire mass to undergo fission.
During the Cuban Missile crisis, US Generals wanted Kennedy to launch a nuclear strike on the Soviet Union noting that US casualties would be only 40 million. Kennedy thought his Generals were insane.
Now it turns out that a US base in Japan got an order to launch nuclear missiles during the crisis. What stopped them from launching was that only one of their four missiles was to be launched against the Soviet Union and three against China. If the order had been to launch all missiles against the Soviet Union, they would have probably launched them
Paul Craig Roberts narrates that story:
Japanese News Agency Reveals Nuclear War Close CallApril 1, 2015
“Oh, my God!,” Bordne recalled his colleagues as saying as they turned white with shock and surprise when they received a launch order before dawn on Oct. 28. The order was issued from Kadena to all four Mace B sites in Okinawa including Bolo Point, he said.
According to him, the three-level confirmation process was taken step-by-step in accordance with a manual by comparing codes in the launch order and codes given to his crew team in advance. All of the codes matched.
“So, we read the targets out loud. Out of the four missiles, we had only one headed toward Russia. The other three were not going to Russia
http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2015/04/01/japanese-news-agency-reveals-...
BTW, between 1962 and 1977, the code to fire devastating US nuclear missiles was as simple as 00000000.
I love how the graph puts Israel above the line and with an asterisk. It is amazing the lengths people will go not to piss off the Zionists.
Well, yeah ... They have nukes. And they already dropped three buildings in NYC. DONT SCREW WITH ZION. :)
errrr.... it was the ukraine that accused russia of USING a nuclear weapon on an arms dump [widely reported throughout the media, inc here on ZH], which was later shown to be a lie... the EU & US have been doing most of the 'sabre-rattling' in this instance..
the link in this article is to a Wall St Journal propaganda piece, not to a Putin speech...
the '95 yeltsin incident is a remix of the cuban missile crisis, and hardly today's news.
Normally lap up Tyler posts, but this one is off-key....
What do other ZH'ers think ?
Agree. I knew it bullshit from the first three sentences.
I'm trying to deicide if we are looking a full scale WW3 here, with millions dead and earth selectively destroyed. Or if they are actually just going to keep shuffling these militia around the world with embellished media coverage as a form of economic activity.
Equally stupid ideas obviously.
Why can't these idiots fight their wars online like civilized people? The money can still change hands, but we'll hold off on the planets destruction ya?
So listen up you puny oligarchs!! Do as Robert Plant says:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Uu3_5mdgq-0
Reggie Love likes to feel the power between his legs.
Michelle has a new feeding den.
http://thepeoplescube.com/peoples-blog/moochelle-s-menu-finally-finds-fa...
Don't you love human intelligence and human Justice and fairness?
Considering this "nuclear élite", I'm trying to find a reasonable excuse why anybody else wouldn't be interested in developping atomic "defensive" capabilities and why wouldn't they have the right to do it.
Basically, it's not about turning Israel into a glass parking lot. The big picture is about how to to covert millions of dollars to redistribute into a positive motion. It all began in 1991. Ronald Reagan.
In the event of Nuclear Holocaust... All SURVIVING politicians will be Hung.
and yes we can toss in a few bankers..
"Oy Vey Yeah!!"
Da Da, dun dun dun....
Ozzy Ozbergmanstein.
Not a good day.
First a shitty cartoon on the Nuke-Deal with Iran ('trust us - iran').
Then an article from whorehouse WaPo.
And now something from the toilet paper.
Bellicose rhetoric indeed.
how about information on size, condition, readiness, type, and deployability of "warheads"??
A weapon unused is a useless weapon,,,,name that movie
Deep Throat?
Does not matter...
A few nukes will destroy everything....
But and this is important...
We have nuke killers in space and on land....
All we need is a nuclear war to see if they work...........
What a beautiful plan guys..............
lol
Like telling kindergartners how it was legal to buy tnt in the US when you were a kid and you could go blow shit up. And then give them an entire case and tell them not to do anything with it. And by the way............yes you could buy tnt at your local hardware store a few decades ago.
I wonder if the Chinese have to crawl underneath theirs and light the fuse with a firecracker punk?? LMAO! What a shitty job that would be and sadly one that would have thousands of applications from Foxcon employees.
You're thinking of Thailand, not China
Bun Bang Fai > action starts at 1:58 > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_AK8dsaFR8
and
Ezekiel's Wheel > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MbzoeJxPEBk
;-)
The chemical/biological weapons scare me FAR more than the nukes.
psycho like German copilot Lutz will ultimately control one and then its over.
"It wasn’t an ordinary Valentine’s Day for the students from across Russia"
Game over and article dead in the water...
There is no Valentines day in Russia...
If the WSJ article makes that one mistake, then the whole article is subject to scrutiny...
For they stressed that it was Valentines day for Russian students...
Never use an article that lies for it belittles the one using such trash as sources...
Russia does celebrate valentines day....it started after the USSR collapsed....ooops on you :-)
http://www.funrussian.com/2012/02/10/valentines-day-russia/
and
http://masterrussian.com/russianculture/valentines_day.htm
but you are correct anyway about this article being full of BS.
Forget nukes. Agenda 21 calls for use of BIO-Weapons, NOT nukes.
Far more effective, leaves buildings and infrastructure standing, and you get to target your victims. Especially if you have antidotes.
The really tricky part is... Are those Flu Vaccines the precursors to the disease, or part of the cure? It's a 50/50 bet, and VERY few know the answer to that one.
More like 50 percent chance you get Flu with no cure, 50 percent chance you pay for a cure for the remainder of your life.
S-500 missile defense system or Boeing 737s that shoot moon beams out of them like "sharks with lasers on them".
So the Western Criminals ( USA , EU ,Australia, Canada ) can try to strangle economically countries perceived to be enemies , but the so called enemies cannot retaliate against strangulation by threatening ?
Stop sanctions , boycotts and economic wars like driving down the exchange rate of currencies the western Mafia doesn't like . Sanctions on Iran , Cuba , Russia , North Korea are an act of war if those country threaten the western MAFIA ..... it is just self defence and be grateful that some of those countries dont drop a Nuclear device on Washington or Brussell .. The assholes in the White House need to be exterminated .......
Accounting for nuclear weapons is as important as the number of weapons. The U.S. has "lost" about a dozen nuclear weapons including a thermonuclear weapon off the coast of N.C. The Ukraine once housed the weapons of the soviet union. Did they return all of them? What would the radical muslims do with a stray nuclear weapon? Preety obivious! Maybe that's why putin is practicing for nuclear war.
Russian sabre-rattling? What can I say? There's only so many ways to paraphrase the message that conquering Russia isn't a realistic military option and if Russia dies, so will her would-be conquerors. Lately Putin's been needing them all.
Of course, the real targets of Uncle Sugar's nukes are the major cities of any US states crazy enough to try to secede and return to limited government. The Union Army perfected total war against civilians, and they'd wipe Dixie off the map in a heartbeat.
Russia has a Samson Option---Russia dies, so do her enemies.
Uncle Sugar has a Jonestown Option. If the masters conclude the game is up, their slaves will quit the game with them.
Propaganda.
....but ..but ...what about the corporations....you left them out.
nuclear weapons are a strategic trump card but they don't comprise aggression as a capacity.
the real arms race for CONQUERING THE WORLD THROUGH AGGRESSION
is DRONES DRONES DRONES DRONES!.
What if
Poor Nations i.e. Pakistan & North Korea start selling nuclear bombs to make money.
A billion dollar for each warhead would make them rich.
BTW Iran procured its tech. from Pakistan only (as well as N.Korea).
Paki generals sold the plans for 1 million USD each , so cheap.