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US Services Confusion: Good (PMI 7 Mo Highs), Bad (ISM 9 Mo Lows), & Ugly (Business Activity 12 Mo Lows)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Amid collapsing macro data and earnings expectations, Markit's US Services PMI smashed expectations and surged to 59.2 (its highest in 7 months) - just like Markit's Manufacturing PMI 'surprised'. Against the worst payrolls data in over 2 years, Markit's employment index rose by most since June. Furthermore, the business outlook tumbled to 8-month lows. And then following ISM Manufacturing's miss and tumble to near 2-year lows, ISM Services met expectations at its lowest since June... as Business Activity tumbled to one-year lows.

 

Mass confusion...

Markit PMI "Soft" survey vs "hard" macro data...

 

 

But ISM was more 'sensible' - hovering at its lowest since June

 

And business activity tmbled to one-yearlows...

 

In summary:

 

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Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:14 | 5963173 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Prices popped though. Fed had better be very careful. They will get their inflationary wish in the wrong place.

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 13:04 | 5963743 rejected
rejected's picture

lol,,, like they can do anything worthwhile...

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:16 | 5963185 aliki
aliki's picture

no confusion - the economy sucks and needed to hear dudley come out and shit himself. they can't, won't raise rates until its too late and by that time they will absolutely break things. dudley's best line of the morning:

DUDLEY SEES `NOTHING LIKE' THE RISK TAKING OF 2005-2006

at least i agree with him on this comment.  margin debt is way higher this time around. they continue to force people into assets that they would not otherwise be-in. longer this goes-on, the harder the pain will be felt.

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:17 | 5963194 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

just like old times. Hadn't seen a good silver smackdown in a while.

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:34 | 5963264 froze25
froze25's picture

Yeah I am waiting for it to come back down to the upper 15's for a buying op.

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:43 | 5963285 Jason T
Jason T's picture

i'm with mugatu 

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:45 | 5963294 KansasCrude
KansasCrude's picture

I don't know what they put in the water/coffee/ventilation system over at Markit but it must be the best mind altering drug known (or previously unknown) to mankind. Seriously these FOLKS are either on the gumbmint payroll or dyslexic when looking at statistics.

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 10:51 | 5963307 FrankDieter
FrankDieter's picture

Hey Cub fans:

 

That's not beer in that cup !!!

Mon, 04/06/2015 - 12:52 | 5963680 Bear
Bear's picture

Macro bad ... market steams up, fastest move up in a year

Tue, 04/07/2015 - 04:30 | 5965966 osgard
osgard's picture

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