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This Is How The Third Largest Energy Deal In History Happened

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Curious how the third largest energy deal, and 14th largest corporate take over in history, happened? The answer, courtesy of Reuters, is simple: all it took was a phone call.

Sometimes it takes little more than five people to put together a $70 billion oil mega-merger. Shell's purchase of smaller rival BG, the third largest oil and gas merger ever, was prompted by a phone call on a Sunday in the middle of March between Shell's ambitious and acquisitive CEO Ben Van Beurden and BG's veteran chairman Andrew Gould.

 

Explaining how the deal came together in under a month, Van Beurden said on Wednesday: "I called Andrew (Gould) up and we had a very good and constructive discussion about the idea and it very quickly seemed to make sense to both of us".

 

That first call was made on March 15. "What has happened in the last month, apart from it being a logical deal it has also become a very compelling deal from a value perspective," Van Beurden said.

The rest is history. The winners from this blitzdeal, however, will not be shareholders. We reported why earlier, citing BMO:

From our valuation perspective for RDS the BG deal is significantly dilutive, both from a multiple and asset value perspective. Shell is paying a P/E of 66.6x for BG at the acquisition price, although RDSA was trading at only a 12.1x 2016 multiple pre-deal. On an EIT/DACF basis, Shell's 2016 multiple is 6.2x, whilst it will be paying 11.7x for BG. RDS would also be paying a premium of 26% of BG's asset value, we estimate, even after the synergies are accounted for. We estimate that our PDS NAV is diluted by 8% as a result of this the deal. For these reasons we think the market will be sceptical about this deal and we believe Shell will have to work very hard to convince shareholders that the strategic benefits outweigh the premium offered.

Basically, a deal of desperation, meant to give a few more non-GAAP quarters of breathing room before shareholders demanded Mr. Van Beurden's head on a metaphorical (one can't be too careful with ISIS running around these days) silver platter.

Still, one group will profit handsomely from the deal. The bankers:

Helping to make it happen were three bankers who have advised on some of the oil industry's biggest takeovers -- Alastair Maxwell from Goldman Sachs, Julian Mylchreest from Bank of America Merrill Lynch and former Morgan Stanley star deal maker Simon Robey, now with his own boutique firm Robey Warshaw.

 

* * * 

 

Less than two months ago, Goldman's Maxwell played down the prospect of mega-mergers as oil majors were more focused on cost cutting and maintaining dividends.

 

By March, he was advising BG on the deal together with Robey Warshaw. BAML is the sole adviser to Shell.

When historicans look back on the annals of impromtpu deal decisions, this will fall somewhere just shy of Warren Buffett's bathtub investment in Bank of America.

 

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Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:49 | 5970995 RU-GAY2
RU-GAY2's picture

That's a sweet POTS 500 fone there.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:22 | 5971222 junction
junction's picture

Yes, one phone call from Queen Elizabeth to the head of MI5, asking him to arrange for her to cash out at top dollar her position in BG, what with oil prices down.    She did not want to call Royal Dutch Shell directly, even though the House of Windsor is one of the largest shareholders in Shell. Too many wiretappers.  That explanation is as likely as the one put forward by Shell now to explain this godawful deal that profits only insiders. 

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:45 | 5971014 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

A $70 billion dollar deal when the energy market is getting the shit beat out of it, makes perfect sense in a drug addled kind of way. I see big bonuses for the guilty.....

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:55 | 5971064 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

oh yeah, it's bonus time all the way around. it is always bonus time. had they split the companies up that too would have been bonus time.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:47 | 5971022 madbraz
madbraz's picture

in other words, someone owed someone a lot of money (derivatives on oil price crash, petrobras) and the best solution was to buy the turd.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:49 | 5971035 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

We called some folks.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 14:29 | 5971958 WOAR
WOAR's picture

We bluffed some folks, too...

We were playing Texas Hold'Em.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:52 | 5971050 maskone909
maskone909's picture

back in my day, all they needed was a pen and a phone.  now just a phone.  crazy times

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 11:57 | 5971084 rpboxster
rpboxster's picture

BG CEO stands to net $48M.  I'd take that call.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:00 | 5971106 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

he could have made moar by driving it into the ground like lampert eel does.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 18:38 | 5971102 AE911Truth
AE911Truth's picture

Another energy "big deal".

http://youtube.com/watch?v=yjqkHhWUKOU

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:03 | 5971124 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

Corporate management are the same as government employees...they use other people's money to enrich themselves, their masters and their friends while the other people sleep

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:07 | 5971145 youngman
youngman's picture

This is how it should be...Shell is buying up inventory...for the next 30 years....and many people will lose their jobs....this is what should have happened to the banks 2008...the good ones buying the bad ones ...but we did not allow capitalism to work...so now its the shit...

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:22 | 5971221 withglee
withglee's picture

but we did not allow capitalism to work...so now its the shit...

Capitalism "is" two years. What's the big deal about allowing it to work?

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:12 | 5971173 GRDguy
GRDguy's picture

One phone call would do it. The BG guy didn't want to be "suicided."  

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 12:21 | 5971220 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Bullshit.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 13:57 | 5971757 Financial Paparazzi
Financial Paparazzi's picture

SHELL BUYS BG OUT OF BOREDOM

  

Shell CEO: “my dream was to buy a company called BJ. BG is close enough”

Source: www.financialpaparazzi.com

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 18:41 | 5973163 thecrud
thecrud's picture

The same guy who advise on come together 10 years later will advise to split.

Wed, 04/08/2015 - 18:44 | 5973170 thecrud
thecrud's picture

Did anyone who commented even read the article on why the buy out.

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