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Consumers Love Higher Gas Prices: UMich Confidence Rises To 2nd Highest In 8 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Having fallen for the last two months, with stock prices back near record highs, many expected an exuberant bounce in UMich Consumer Sentiment and were not disappointed. In the face of rising gas prices, Consumers were loving it - UMich printed 95.9, beating expectations of 94.0 by the most since August, for the 2nd most exuberance since 2007. Current and futures expectations rose notably as consumers believe now is a good time buy a home, vehicle, ore major appliance more than ever.

 

Confidence rebounds in April...

 

After an exuberant run up as gas prices dropped, Consumer Sentiment has now dropped as prices move back higher... (it seemed Gas prices trumped stock prices for 'confidence'... until this month)

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:08 | 6002772 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Talking about prices in the absence of price discovery...

LMFAO!!!

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:11 | 6002781 Stained Class
Stained Class's picture

"How confident are you that the Federal Reserve can keep rates low so your country can continue $Trillion dollar deficits for the rest of your life?"

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:11 | 6002786 847328_3527
847328_3527's picture

' Since Lehman? '

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:15 | 6002805 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Since Lehman tm 

there - said it.

 

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:44 | 6002918 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

That'll be $10 for having used our copyrighted material - RIAA/MPAA/Monstanto

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:12 | 6002791 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Michigan. Ain't that where Detroit is? Who they asken Zombies.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:14 | 6002798 BlowsAgainstthe...
BlowsAgainsttheEmpire's picture

Sentiment over time moves as a function of real average wages per worker . . .

 

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=187j

 

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:14 | 6002801 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

I feel alot moar konfident with higher gas prices. Now I can drive back and forth to Jack 'n Da Box and KFC frivilously eating some major fat groups followed by a geazy glazed Krispy Kream for dessert.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:19 | 6002821 Bryan
Bryan's picture

The investing public sheep are as stupid and malinformed as ever, I see.  We are doomed.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:58 | 6002962 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Large moves are AI / algo created, on behalf of large institutional investors.

Very few housewives are moving the market.

Most  equity contact that people have is pension and retirement funds, which are out of their direct control in the first place.

Calling them sheep is common, but uninvolved with their future is more accurate.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:20 | 6002825 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

This headline comes up with every market pull back. It is Kevin Bacon yelling remain calm in "Animal House" (before being trampled).

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:24 | 6002846 Loucleve
Loucleve's picture

It is totally and completely INVALID.

I called UMich.

The "national survey" is based on 500 families.

500 families.  They obviously exclude any of the 92 million dropped out of the labor force.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:50 | 6002934 nakki
nakki's picture

I would bet a majority of the households surveyed have a zip code starting with 0, 1, 2 and 9.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:23 | 6002840 Mr. Magoo
Mr. Magoo's picture

Only if your part of the .000001% and getting free fed money

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:27 | 6002855 cashtoash
cashtoash's picture

is the confidence seasonally adjusted? 

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:37 | 6002884 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Utter bullshit!

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:37 | 6002886 Bumbu Sauce
Bumbu Sauce's picture

Opinion making

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:46 | 6002921 Element 26
Element 26's picture

All statistics out of the State of Michigan are shameless lies.  Latest example, count of employed workers and unemployment rate:

http://rightmi.com/michigans-february-unemployment-rate-redux/

Michigan's payroll withholding remittances are actually declining MoM and YoY.

 

 

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 10:53 | 6002944 madbraz
madbraz's picture

the only thing UMich "interviews" is the algo-landlords who own them.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 11:00 | 6002963 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 lol, Yeah right...Consumer credit was in the shitter last time I looked, and the most recent auto sales numbers missed as well.

 BTFMUE = Buy The Fucking Made UP Euphoria...

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 11:22 | 6003051 silverer
silverer's picture

Now if they had just listened to Obama and put the price of gas at $8.00 a gallon in the first place...

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 11:42 | 6003119 Kprime
Kprime's picture

Bankruptcy is a confidence builder.

Fri, 04/17/2015 - 12:57 | 6003386 Dazman
Dazman's picture

The higher the better. Further to drop.

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