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IBM Reports Worst Sales Since 2002; EPS Beats On Aggressive Buybacks, Cut In Tax Rate

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Moments ago IBM reported results that "beat" expectations, with non-GAAP EPS printing at $2.91 vs consensus looking for $2.80. Why did IBM "beat" expectations? Because this is what happened to expectations in the past few weeks: a desperate scramble to lower the bogey just so IBM could print at least a few cents above it.

 

If one ignores expectations, this is what happened to the overall business: revenues of $19.6 billion were the worst since Q1 of 2002!

 

The annual collapse in revenue is just shy of that recorded during the financial crisis, with another consecutive Y/Y 11.9% drop in a row.

 

A more detailed breakdown of what actually happened:

  • Revenue dropped by 11.9% to $19.6 billion
  • Net Income dropped by 2.4% to $2.3 billion

And yet... GAAP EPS rose by 2.6% to $2.36

How did this happen?

Simple: IBM's diluted shares outstanding plunged from 1041.8 billion to 992.3 billion in the past year due to a return in buybacks, as IBM repurchased $1.2 billion of its stock in Q1, after going on hiatus in Q4, and a total of $6.7 billion in the past year.

 

Why did IBM resume buybacks when several quarters ago it had no choice but to halt these once its debt was getting dangerously close to downgrade territory? The reason is that Net Debt declined substantially from $32.3 billion to $30.0 billion in the past quarter.

 

And how, one may ask, did IBM repay so much debt? Because a quick look at the current assets shows a $3.5 billion source of cash coming from short-term financing receivables which plunged from $19.8 billion to $16.3 billion, reducing total assets from $117.5 billion to $112 billion.

In other words, IBM is now in the aggressive collections business, just so it has the leeway to repurchase its own stock.

And finally, for good accounting gimmickry measure, IBM's effective tax rate dropped once again, from 20.5% to 19.5%, meaning its provision for income taxes tumbled 10.3%. This, as EPS rose if only on paper.

Taking all of the above together is why it took the algos to realize that earnings were quite a bit worse than the original kneejerk reaction higher suggested, and are now trading lower in the after hours.

 

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Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:40 | 6012100 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

Get those Nazi's back in business!  

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:47 | 6012152 Ruffmuff
Ruffmuff's picture

Big blue sings the blues in the key of F.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 18:24 | 6012554 max2205
max2205's picture

You know what they say, as IBM GOES so goes the hookers 

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 23:30 | 6013455 golden torch
golden torch's picture

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... www.globe-report.com

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:43 | 6012123 pods
pods's picture

Indians Blowing Money.

IBM is dead they just haven't realized it yet.  

And Microsoft is IBM 20 years ago.

If you see commercials for companies that talk about "business solutions" and other MBA buzzwords, you can just wait 10 years and they will be toast.

pods

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:48 | 6012163 813kml
813kml's picture

One should never use a Windows Phone to call the suicide hotline, just get it over with already.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:57 | 6012209 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Always thought the BM stood for Bowel Movement

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:28 | 6012352 BeerMe
BeerMe's picture

I prefer buzzwords for dumbasses.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:48 | 6012131 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Federal Reserve's cheap money means ever moar buybacks.

All you need is the CFO, board of directors, off-shore Indians for the software, Chinese for the hardware and loads of near 0% money for your own share repurchase.

Nirvana for CEOs.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6012135 Farmer Joe in B...
Farmer Joe in Brooklyn's picture

This buyback manipulation nonsense is getting more than a little long-in-the-tooth. Maybe even CNBC will pick up on it soon...

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:01 | 6012240 Rainman
Rainman's picture

don't hold your breath .... gross malinvestment never makes the news

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6012136 Rainman
Rainman's picture

They need to change the name from Big Blue to Big Red.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:45 | 6012137 Haager
Haager's picture

So, is IBM turning into a hedge-fund for it's own stocks, at least?

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:46 | 6012146 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

Revenue dropped 11.9%?

Bullz got their work cut out to explain

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:51 | 6012176 venturen
venturen's picture

are you kidding....just issue debt and buy up all your stock. They will get to Zero reevenue and just issue debt.....wait that is the FED

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 20:06 | 6012870 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

We have been relegated to a bunch of superstitious witch doctors, looking at everything around us as sign, as a message from the gods of economics. There is no message other than we are being manipulated. They have us running from this statistic to another divergent graph to another story of corruption, all while they carry on. We cannot see everything they are doing, we can only see the results, and even then, only the results they want us to see. Ultimately we are powerless to do anything because WE have been indoctrinated as a society to put consumption and the love of something for nothing above all other things. Even now people are madly trying to figure out if they should buy gold or the fucking dip or bonds or anything, that once their prognostications have been fulfilled, they will be richly rewarded. Not from working really hard to create something useful, but to simply profit from another's loss, as that is what the market does.

We are not SMART when we go out and work. WE are the dupes, the stooges.

We are smart when we invest, when we place bets, when we bet that we are so smart we won't have to work so hard anymore...if at all.

We can all see the whole scheme is a fabrication largely designed as a Ponzi, yet so many still stay in. They think they know what few others do, that they can pick the winners and time the fall. And some will. Not the majority by a long shot, but just enough to give others hope, to place another bet.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:48 | 6012155 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

The take away:  BUY MOAR STAWKS!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:48 | 6012160 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

buyback....Ha Ha.....more like.....fraud !!!!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:52 | 6012180 Al Capowned
Al Capowned's picture

Nobody wants US tech infrasructure since the Snowden revelations.

 

 

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:53 | 6012184 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

We fucked up and are doing really shitty.

 

Everything is awesome!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:56 | 6012207 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Ha. Anyone buying IBM since 2009 is a Nigtard by definition. Even then it was likely over-valued...

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 16:58 | 6012216 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

"Total revenues from continuing operations for the first quarter of 2015 of $19.6 billion were down 12 percent, flat year-to-year adjusting for currency and divested businesses, from the first quarter of 2014."

but but FOMC morons said King Dollar GOOD ...

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:00 | 6012224 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Good thing IBM doesn't make typewriters, cash registers, or computers anymore!

And just think how bad it would be if they hadn't screwed over their retirees!

Stock buybacks, kickbacks, and parasitizing what is left!

Forewurd!  Amurika!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:03 | 6012248 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

Maybe they need to re-invent themselves.  Maybe get into the wristwatch business?

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:09 | 6012276 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Healthcare man, healthcare!

Imagine how efficiently they could deny coverage and overcharge in premiums, co-pays, deductilbles, and Medicare supplemental plans!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 20:01 | 6012861 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

Hey, they already have experience with death panels.

Fire the ovens!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:02 | 6012241 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

One day these cloud servers full of Tradebots, NSA text sweeps and dated interracial porn will be all your's Elroy...

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:06 | 6012261 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

are berong ta us!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:05 | 6012256 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

IBM - It's Buyback Monday!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:09 | 6012279 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

It's really across the industry. HP, Dell, Oracle, Cisco, EMC...etc, have had China, Russia, and the rest of the BRICS cut them off. That's what happens when you stop selling technology and become a tool of Uncle Sam's NSA arm. No Trust, no sale, no revenue.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:25 | 6012341 cherry picker
cherry picker's picture

They have it coming to them.

Spies often spend life behind bars or are executed.

These guys got off easy losing some business.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:46 | 6012432 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

The Finance Processing Center appears to be outsourced to  take advantage of labor arbitrage. Cheap labor to undercut their European counterparts.They will be targeting transnational firms.

The BCS group selects IBM commerce: "BM Commerce to quickly and effectively conduct and execute personalized marketing campaigns for their banking clients."

- I always thought IBM sold computers, applications, and services. Looks like they also sell marketing campaigns. Who knew.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:10 | 6012282 nakki
nakki's picture

Only 2 quarters ago they were going to make $3.70 and during the current quarter $3.20 but they still beat. Hahahahahaha to funny. So a 22% haircut from 10-14 and a 9% haircut from 1-15 but they beat!!! People get paid for this, good money too. Hahahahahahahahahhah

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 19:52 | 6012826 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

IBM 5-year plan has ground much to cover. Reminds that goal of plan is grow earnings-per-share to $20 by 2015.

http://www.cringely.com/2012/04/18/not-your-fathers-ibm/

Seems IBM cognizance of current year lacks.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:28 | 6012300 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

IBM should check in the basement for any vintage Tabulating/Collating Machines that they could sell to the USSA-sponsored Nazis in Ukraine.

The repeat punched-card biz alone should boost the bottom-line...

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:23 | 6012334 wmbz
wmbz's picture

This is a super solid strong report in todays world. Just wait until they start losing money, that will be glorious, bonuses for everyone!

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 17:59 | 6012471 BoPeople
BoPeople's picture

I have to give IBM credit. At least they are trying manage GAAP earnings, unlike the multi-billion dollar fraud foo foo adjusted EBITDA companies.

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 19:57 | 6012840 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

.

I have to give IBM credit.

May not be wise, even as a speculative gamble. Might I suggest lottery tickets or Ukrainian government bonds instead?

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 18:14 | 6012521 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

Funny how a REAL company like Netflix is sky high but IBM is plunging. It's the new world of  Bubble Social Media Markets.

 

 

Mon, 04/20/2015 - 18:16 | 6012527 mtndds
mtndds's picture

Oh man, this means tomorrow the stock market will make a bull run.  Its kind of making my pants feel tight right about now.  Boing!!

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 04:07 | 6013753 IronForge
IronForge's picture

They've been buying up a good number of firms; but when they do, they try to glut the market (of the purchased firm) with neophytes and H-1Bs. 

I signed up as a Software Vendor years ago.  In my specialty, billing 100+/Hr was considered Normal.  Once IBM bought it, I had a hard time being a Vendor(Subcontractor) to IBM.  All I saw were H-1B Rates; and the funny part was - if it were in demand long enough, I'd get a call from a Tech recruiter (3-4 levels down the Food Chain) offering  "real" Market Rates.

Imagine what the Pass through for the 1st Tier Subs would have been.

Naturally, the demand for the product went down as the newbies flooded and FUBAR'd the Product Offering.  Back to the Drawing Board.

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