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Copper Plunge Continues Despite Chinese Stimulus

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Since China unleashed its latest (and greatest since 2008) RRR cut, stock prices have surged amid the liquidity hype. However, perhaps more indicative of the underlying reality of just what good an RRR cut will do to a debt-saturated economy full of weak credits thanks to tumbling asset prices, copper prices have now plunged over 6% in the last 2 days...

 

 

But still BTFATH in Chinese stocks...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:26 | 6015564 Jonesy
Jonesy's picture

Copper will be free soon, only fiat paper has any value!

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:32 | 6015594 flacon
flacon's picture

> "only fiat paper has any value" --> Hey, don't forget about digital signals showing ownership of a four letter symbol "AAPL". Surely those will still have value in the coming era, no? ;)

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:36 | 6015609 random999
random999's picture

apples sure will have a value, but potatoes gives you a better weight/energy ratio.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:45 | 6015636 Budnacho
Budnacho's picture

Better Vodka too...

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:53 | 6015664 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Copper falling will lead to the coppers rising...

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:53 | 6015666 pods
pods's picture

They are doing this on purpose.  They need to keep the copper pipes in houses in the decaying cities of Amerika's former middle class to make room for all the Californians.

pods

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 16:25 | 6015826 Salah
Salah's picture

nobody uses copper in residential anymore

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:57 | 6015686 RobD
RobD's picture

Copper stills should be a bargain now.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 16:08 | 6015711 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Funny, I made the same discovery: All copper that I release, falls at the same speed as the WTC towers -- freefall.

Seriously... given that a Penny costs more to make than it's worth, Pennies become a target for hoarding -- as a Store of Value.  So, are TPTB dropping the price of Cu, to bring the price of Pennies closer to their metal value?

Of course if we look at the composition of modern Pennies, we learn that there's precious little Cu in them.  / They'll make them out of plastic pretty soon, I'm sure. /sarc

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 19:46 | 6016498 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

The markets can stay irrational much longer than anyone can stay solvent. If you think copper is cheap now, buy a warehouse full with your fiat and store it until the fiat collapses. Do you have enough funds set aside for the purchase and storage expenses?

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 23:17 | 6017012 golden torch
golden torch's picture

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... www.globe-report.com

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:33 | 6015599 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Damned tangible assets.  They'll be the death of us all.  You mark my words.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:50 | 6015656 mtl4
mtl4's picture

Seems like the emperor needs to put some tangible clothes back on again at some point.

 

Copper sure has made a great shorting opportunity this spring though.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:35 | 6015604 Weaponized Innocense
Weaponized Innocense's picture

Yea I've been seeing a few things that didn't buy into it.... Quite a few as I've been immediately after ticking them up in my head.... But can't remember them off my head at moment lots of things didn't buy all into it.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:41 | 6015622 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

The macros look so weak, this can't be right. 

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:40 | 6015623 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

i'm holding off on copper till they pay me to take it

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:44 | 6015634 HonkyShogun
HonkyShogun's picture

What is the price of Chinese Stimulus these days?

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:45 | 6015635 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

If this keeps up, then all my jars of pre-1982 pennies will go back to being worth -- a penny!

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:46 | 6015641 Magooo
Magooo's picture

Instead of China stockpiling copper or building more ghost cities with it, can't we just use the thousands of ships that are not being used because trade is collapsing, load the ore onto them and float them out to the Mariannas Trench --- and heave the copper ore into the ocean.

We could have daily reports on how much copper was heaved into the ocean and the markets could respond as if this were a growth indicator.

I can see Joe Kernen and Liesman high fiving each other 'Joe, the number of ships dumping copper into the Trench doubled last month --- isn't that great news!'   ---- 'Oh ya Stevey boy green shoots are FINALLY here!!!'   

 

Then they trot out the Toss Pot (aka Jack Welch) to tell us how all is well followed by the gimp (otherwise known as Andrew Ross Sorkin) who reaches under the table to massage Jack's inflamed protate gland eliciting barely audible whinnies of joy.

 

When you throw all logic out the window there is a simple solution for everything

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:46 | 6015644 kowalli
kowalli's picture

negative rates on copper next.

fuck this, im done

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:47 | 6015646 GoldenDonuts
GoldenDonuts's picture

Where is the GOLD POPS!  part of the headline?   You guys are slipping.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 15:52 | 6015661 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

time to play "spot the lies and contradictions...."

"Silver stockpiles in China surged this year as the country’s slowing economic growth weakened demand for the precious metal (CONTRADICTION), according to a state researcher.

Inventory monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange almost tripled to 341.5 metric tons April 9, the highest in a year, from 122.8 tons in the final week of 2014 (CONTRADICTION of weak demand), according to weekly bourse data compiled by Bloomberg. Stockpiles on the Shanghai Gold Exchange also more than doubled this year to 263.97 tons on April 3, exchange data show.

Chinese silver producers delivered the metal to exchange warehouses amid falling physical demand (CONTRADICTION of weak demand), said Jin Xiangyun, a senior precious metals analyst at Beijing Antaike Information Development Co. China’s economy expanded at the weakest pace since 2009 last quarter, indicating a deepening slowdown. The global benchmark price has fallen 17 percent in the past year.

“Silverware and jewelry makers said they wouldn’t produce much because of weak demand,” Jin said in a telephone interview April 22, citing their recent survey of producers. “Fabricators usually purchase large amounts of refined silver after Chinese New Year holidays. That didn’t happen for this year.” The break was from April 18-24 this year.

China’s gross domestic product rose 7 percent in the first quarter, while industrial production was weaker than estimated in a Bloomberg survey. About 50 percent of silver is used in industry to make everything from solar panels to batteries (LIE: 1 billion ounces produced annually of which 800million goes to industry - the remainder for investment demand), compared with 10 percent for gold, data from the Silver Institute and the World Gold Council show.

Silver for immediate delivery fell 0.2 percent to $16.2694 an ounce by 10:31 a.m. Shanghai time. Futures for June delivery on the SHFE lost 0.8 percent to 3,524 yuan a kilogram, down 13 percent in the past 12 months.

SHFE stockpiles fell to a two-year low in September as exporters stepped up overseas shipments to qualify for a tax rebate, draining inventory.(CONTRADICTION of wanning demand LIE)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-17/china-silver-stockpile...

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 18:09 | 6016197 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

Surges in warehouse inventory holdings sure seem like a classic indicator of slowing demand to me.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 19:21 | 6016423 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

depends on whose warehouse and on whose behave...

and im sure the producers will continue to mine it, process it, refine and deliver it to the SHFE at prices below the cost of production just so it can sit there and look pretty....

u r of course free to believe what u wish however....

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 16:24 | 6015818 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Dr. Copper I presume...

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 16:37 | 6015852 I Write Code
I Write Code's picture

Oh get a grip, it made an excursion up from February lows up towards the declining 200ma, now it's cancelled its upwards momentum before getting to the 200ma, but copper will probably go sideways for a month or three now until the 200ma comes down to meet it, and then we shall see.  Sideways is the (optimistic) theme for the year.  Yellen's legacy may be as The Sidewinder.

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 16:39 | 6015861 venturen
venturen's picture

can you eat it?

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 17:01 | 6015923 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

the spiked hair guy that talks like a Westchester Communiity College grad on CNBS said that the price of copper dropping was, like, a joke ... meaningless, etc. i would trust him over decades of correlation... most def

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 18:55 | 6016341 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

and since when did a liquidity pump have anything to do base metal prices?

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 19:02 | 6016364 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

This is going to bury the giant underground copper mine under development just 40 miles north of my town, out in the north woods. Planned as the world's largest underground copper mine, it is only just beginning to develop. This is likley to spook investors and make then run for the exits. Leaving only the junk bond market to finance development. All those 500 promised jobs are headed for the crapper!

Tue, 04/21/2015 - 19:14 | 6016409 Caveman93
Caveman93's picture

Paging Dr. Copper. Paging Dr. Copper. Deflation is on line 2.

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