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Paging Bill Gross: Bund Yields Spike By Most In 6 Months

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Coincidence? Maybe. But since Bill Gross called Bunds "the short of a lifetime," the last two days have seen German 10Y Bund yields rise (on a percentage basis) by the most on record. On an absolute basis, this is the biggest yield increase since Oct 2014... Who would dare to sell when Draghi has promised moar...

Quite a reaction in Bunds...

 

This is the biggest 2 day jump in 6 months... (or ever in percentage terms)

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:52 | 6018047 Lady Jessica
Lady Jessica's picture

Thanks to TM, Mr Gross-ly erratic got his mojo back?

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:57 | 6018062 Burt Gummer
Burt Gummer's picture

Remind me to fade Bill henceforth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B4UpmgGJ3o

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:03 | 6018094 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

OMG!!!!

Bund yields are all the way back to where they were a whole WEEK ago.

 

[meh...]

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:18 | 6018160 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

exactly.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:23 | 6018184 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

Plenty of ignorance in the comments here.

 

For future reference please note: WHEN THE YIELD RISES THE PRICE FALLS.

 

SO BILL GROSS WAS CORRECT.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:27 | 6018201 LawsofPhysics
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Yes, in the short term.  Now, go ahead and let's see these bankrupt western governments raise rates significantly.  Go ahead motherfuckers, I triple dog dare you.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:33 | 6018235 Occident Mortal
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So on Tuesday Bill Gross calls it "the short of a lifetime" then on Wednesday the yields moves in his direction by "the largest move in percentage terms ever" and yet...

 

You still suggest he is wrong?

 

Erm Okay.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:48 | 6018267 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Where do I say "Bill is wrong"?

I am suggesting that I don't give a flying fuck either way, not a bond trader.  I am also suggesting that rates cannot rise significantly for the foreseeable future, period.

Reading comprehension isn't your strong suit I take it.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 14:07 | 6018926 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Biggest percentage move ever. Haha. 0.06 to 0.155. Can't wait for when it goes from 0.01 to 0.05. Biggest percentage change ever. Bill Gross is a genius!

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:59 | 6018066 Aknownymouse
Aknownymouse's picture

what if Draghi is losing control of the rates?

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:00 | 6018078 Haus-Targaryen
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If he was to close control of rates, he'd lose the PIIGS first, not Germany. 

 

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:02 | 6018083 Aknownymouse
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Hinflation spreads like wild fire. They will all lose control.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:05 | 6018104 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Not when you can print,.. er,... digitize an endless supply of fiat currency to purchase every bond in existence.

 

[QE forever (Bitches!)]

 

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 17:10 | 6019725 golden torch
golden torch's picture

I freelance over th? internet and earn about 80-85$ an hour. I was without a job for 7 months but last month my paycheck with big fat bonus was $15000 just working on my computer from my home for 5-6 hours. Here's what i have been doing... www.globe-report.com

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:54 | 6018050 Glass Seagull
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Will only get worse as German employment, IP, domestic consumption, infla, etc., all begin to creep higher.  Recall, in most of Fed's QE's...yields rose along with the shares.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:31 | 6018218 Haus-Targaryen
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The most damning thing Germany will be fighting against the next 30 years is its demographic problems.  

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:55 | 6018052 ZH Snob
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nice call, bill.  

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:59 | 6018070 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Easy to make good calls when you know whats going to happen beforehand.

I wonder how Pimpco is doing now that hes gone...

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:13 | 6018135 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Here's your answer, Bay:

http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/PFORX/quote.html

(Note that PFORX is up 5.72% since Gross left PIMCO in October)

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:15 | 6018145 scrappy
Wed, 04/22/2015 - 10:57 | 6018061 SethDealer
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was Gundloch short too?

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:00 | 6018072 Glass Seagull
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Gundlach = Bund-lock?

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:00 | 6018073 q99x2
q99x2's picture

The only reason I consider Bill Gross and ok was that he lived in Newport Beach.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:06 | 6018107 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

he was also a line officer in the navy

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:00 | 6018074 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

all the way up to .16% on a 10 year loan to the german gov't?  thats craziness right there.  time to buy some of dem cheap bunds.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:15 | 6018143 Amish Hacker
Amish Hacker's picture

Yup, all the way to .16%, but when you start around .10%, that represents a 53% move. Not a bad day's "work" if you were positioned correctly. i.e. you know the right people.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:02 | 6018088 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Im positive that Bill went all in long, not short.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:03 | 6018089 johny2
johny2's picture

I am quite sure well stored 1 oz of silver is going to weight 1 oz of silver in 10 years time. Just thought I would mention it. The trouble will be staying alive as I am also quite sure the proverbial can kicking has served its purpose and now they are ready to pull this house of cards down, just like wt7. 

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:18 | 6018157 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

I am also sure that people will always accept that ounce is exchange for the products of the labor.

So fucking what?  At this point I have no doubt that  "officially" everything will be awesome, forever...

at least until essential commodities become unavailable...

the we eat the rich.

same as it ever was...

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:03 | 6018092 Iam Yue2
Iam Yue2's picture

Did his call constitiute investment advice?

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:07 | 6018114 Confundido
Confundido's picture

In case you are wondering...if the powers that be ever feel cornered with negative yield sovereign debt at the G-10 level, then rest assured that it will be decreed that all G-10 sovereign debt henceforth will be legal tender and therefore as good as currency.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:16 | 6018122 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

So what?  How relevant is this bullshit paper?  I'll be impressed when this yield "spikes" back to historical averages...

tick tock motherfuckers...

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 11:36 | 6018243 praps
praps's picture

and it's not just germany.  UK gilts going the same way.

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 12:51 | 6018512 Big Brother
Big Brother's picture

I cannot seem to locate an ETF that would allow me to short the bund.  Does anyone know of one?

I currently hold DTYS; waiting for the same thing to happen here... Anyday now...

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 13:48 | 6018830 Glasater55
Glasater55's picture

Gross is right...and wrong. http://yragharris.com/2015/04/21/grossright/

Wed, 04/22/2015 - 14:51 | 6019133 mtl4
mtl4's picture

Seems common sense now but doesn't everyone know when these bigwigs start flapping their gums iin the media it means they are about to take a pump and dump position in the other direction?!

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