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Spot The Odd "VIX" Out
US Equity volatility (VIX) is trading at its lowest since early December, as the schizophrenic swings continue. However, Rates, FX, and Oil "VIX" all remain notably high...
VIX back near cycle lows...
As the last few days have been anything but un-volatile...
One of these things is not like the other...
"Managed"... "Unrigged"
Charts: Bloomberg
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Bullish!
Listen to this blowhard for a change ;-)
Melodic interlude.....
https://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2015/04/23/sequence-01/
With VIX this low it's going to be hard for the market to maintain this upward push. They have to let VIX rise a bit so they can slam it down and pump equities, but it's too low right now. That means buy puts on SPY for the next couple of weeks.
On uvxy! I have 2500 and if they will in deciet take it to the 7 handle I would love to get more! I have a little bit of the vxx but just a nibble of about 60 or something .... It's been a great time lately to be nibbling on uvxy. But who knows maybe tptb can break it when all hell breaks lose... like its the new normal.
My mind is numb and in shock as to how ridiculously low UVXY is going!! It really boggles the mind.
I have a lot of it and my ass continues to hurt as I get bent over the barrel on it! :(
When she blows she will blow hard!
So in the middle of the night last night they showed a report how first quarter has always sucked throughout history.... So it wasn't sell in May and go away... It's sell on New Year's Eve and wait for spring.... It's not the weather this is normal and low and behold they just figured it out!
Gonna be five percent growth around the next corner! ~ they have been saying for how many years now????
UVXY and VXX are widow makers. Never buy-and-hold these instruments. It's better to buy puts on SPY. Look at long term chart.
That's not volatility, that's exuberance.....
At some point the market will stop responding to derivative side bet purchases and sales used to push them around.
How can these market makers keep losing money paying out profits from calls? I don't get it - don't understand this "market".
They are the same mother fuckers selling the puts by an large...at the end of the day their take is simply time premium on all the sells from both sides of the isle. Strike pinning/Max Pain all in their favor. Worst case they just step in and buy/sell the underlying for delivery with zero premium associated with it.
Only on those really good days when some shit in the global cog breaks unexpectedly when they have to scramble, but hey who gives a shit, when you are making money 90% of the time off the Muppets, you can afford a few give backs
On a long enough timeline, only the option sellers wind up consistently ahead. Played it both ways for 17 years and that is my conclusion....admitedly, those 10 and 20X gains when you get lucky are a rush, but in the end make 2000% or lose 100%, contrary to first glance, losing 100% is way worse.
It's about to change gears !!
Still waiting for single-digit VIX.
Time to reverse split the UVXY and TVIX... again
Every day is a new low for UVXY
The neckline in this H/S 5hr $usdx chart has been broken. Should be fun times in Asia.
What QE?
Have u seen the dollar today as it dives off a cliff. I think it is getting sold off this week when it rises so foreigners can roll over debt easier....
http://futures.tradingcharts.com/intraday/DXM5?anticache=1429656939
VIX just closed the Gap from 12/5/14 at 12
i'm getting smoked today
charts charts charts!!!