This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Worst Drop In Core Durable Goods Since December 2012

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Having missed expectations for 5 of the last 7 months, Durable Goods New Orders jumped 4% MoM in March - the biggest jump since the July Boeing aberration all driven by a 112% surge in defense Aircraft new orders. Not surprisingly the Department of Commerce tried to pull this trick off in late 2007 in a last gasp desperate attempt to mask the arrival of the US recession then.

Durable Goods New Orders (ex-Transports) fell 0.2% MoM (missing expectations of a 0.3% rise) for the biggest YoY drop since 2012, some -1/9%, and under the covers it is ugly - Capital Goods New Orders non-defense, ex-aircraft have now fallen for 7 straight months, missing expectatons dramatically (-0.5% vs +0.3% exp.). These numbers have never fallen for this long a period without a recession.

 

Durable Goods New Orders Ex-Transports... never fallen for this long witghout a recession...

 

 

and Capitakl Goods New Orders Ex Defense/Aircraft dropped yet another month...

 

Meanwhile, one can now add core durable goods to factory orders, wholesale sales, export growth, credit rejection and control retail sales as declining year over year.

 

... oh, and core capital goods orders as well.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:47 | 6025516 flacon
flacon's picture

Yep, and there goes the S&P, up on the news. 

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:52 | 6025539 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

People with QE cash have money to burn. People with 29.5 hr/wk jobs, not so much.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:59 | 6025563 negative rates
negative rates's picture

You know the end is near when more war machines are needed to boost the economy.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:06 | 6025586 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

S'okay. Billy Buiter said we shouldn't be allowed to think about that cash as ours anyway.

 

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:58 | 6025749 glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

That turd needs to slither back to that rock he crawled out from under.

With people start saying things as idiotic as banning cash it starts reading a lot like the stuff they were spewing back during Depression #1.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:16 | 6025811 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

If by "spewing" you mean "issued executive orders", then yes.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:23 | 6025638 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

" People with QE money ...."

 

Roger that.

The only folks remodelling, buying new BMWs, vacationing, etc are the QE recipients and/or gubmint workers. O&G people have now battened down the hatches and spend zilch except on necessities and join the millions of other private sector small business people and Middle Class private sector who have already been devastated or close to it by this "Robust Rekovery."

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:04 | 6025579 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Markets love layoffs, yes they do.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:55 | 6025741 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

When peaceful people won't buy your plastic $hit, then make fearful people buy your war $hit...

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:49 | 6025520 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Looks like another 100 points in the Dow.  This news is just what they wanted to ramp up the algos.  This will end in a disaster as everything this group in DC touches does.  Which one of the clowns will get on the news today about the impending rate hike!  

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:47 | 6025521 Quirkel
Quirkel's picture

LETS RAISE RATES!!!!!!!!

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:49 | 6025530 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

"C'mon everybody...do the Volcker!!"

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:53 | 6025546 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Mass suicide. Sounds fun.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:05 | 6025582 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

"Does your Kool-Aid taste funny?!"

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:14 | 6025612 Monetas
Monetas's picture

Jim Jones served grape Kool-Aid .... in his Guyana experiments .... curious, the grape is relatively unknown .... in central Africa ?

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:47 | 6025719 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

You're telling me there are black people who don't know the taste of a grape flavored beverage?

I don't believe you.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:19 | 6025825 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

You need to stop drinking NeHis and get into the inner city more, Honky. :p

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:17 | 6025819 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Also relatively unknown in Grape Kool-Aid. I think of it more as "The Flavor Purple", now with less Oprah.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:00 | 6025567 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Lets not and say we did.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:18 | 6025534 venturen
venturen's picture

Teribble is the new Awesome! If they keep destroying the middleclass it only gets better and better....till the shooting starts

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:51 | 6025536 nakki
nakki's picture

Don't worry just buy Amazon because someday they're going to make $3-4 a share and will actually have a PE. It will be in the hundreds but it will have a PE.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 08:54 | 6025549 cashtoash
cashtoash's picture

They need to start including share buy backs and corporations buying each other in durable goods.  After all stocks are "durable" and "good"

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:02 | 6025572 skbull44
skbull44's picture

Worst drop? Expect new market highs then...
http://olduvai.ca

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:06 | 6025589 undercover brother
undercover brother's picture

meaningless information in the current market environment.  see below:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-04-24/i%E2%80%99m-not-crazy-i%E2%80%9...

 

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:07 | 6025591 Savyindallas
Savyindallas's picture

We just "sold" a ton of F-35s to Israel. So the US taxpayer (or their children) add another couple billion to their debt to make the Jews more comfortable. A price we should all gladly pay for our role in the Holocaust. Wall Street bankers are still traumatized by that event. Besides Lockheed martin needs a few more billion too -they need extra cash and profit so they can figure oput how to make planes that really work. They better hurry up before the Russians start rolling out their new kickass fighter jet. 

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:48 | 6025985 Stormtrooper
Stormtrooper's picture

Thank God we are giving those flying coffins to the Israelis. Let their pilots go down instead of Americans.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 11:26 | 6026208 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

I don't think the F-35 fares too well against the Su-27/30/35 variants.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:09 | 6025596 yogibear
yogibear's picture

More IPOs and stock buybacks, problem solved. Infinite Federal Reserve money for this purpose.

 

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:09 | 6025598 spoonful
spoonful's picture

Why would anyone put their hard earned money into the stock market?  If the government doesn't rig it, the insiders running the company will.  

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:14 | 6025611 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Lol.... that's not money you are working for.... it's an IOU.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:18 | 6025621 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Fiat currency is not YOUR money bruh.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:28 | 6025660 pods
pods's picture

Fiat sucks so bad the bank don't even want it!

pods

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:43 | 6025957 Weaponized Innocense
Weaponized Innocense's picture

"fiat sucks so bad in the bank don't even want it." ~ Is that chase banks new motto?

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:10 | 6025601 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

As long as more bad news for the (middle modern day slave class) is abound, the market will continue to go higher. QE for the elite, crumbs for everyone else.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:10 | 6025603 Monetas
Monetas's picture

Durable .... good .... non-durable .... bad .... Harbor Freight .... so so !

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:13 | 6025608 Shitgum Suicide
Shitgum Suicide's picture

Biggest miss since Lehman?

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:14 | 6025609 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I miss the "worst since Lehman" headlines. :(

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:17 | 6025618 venturen
venturen's picture

it isn't a recession if you ignore the data!

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:19 | 6025626 Budnacho
Budnacho's picture

Govt sponsored Ragnarok anyone?....

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:21 | 6025631 JD59
JD59's picture

Barry Soetoro isn't selling as many guns in America, so the durable goods number is now droping. He can boost the number by another gun control psyops.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:37 | 6025686 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Another day, 20 more bearish articles from ZH and another all time high on the NASDAQ.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:50 | 6025713 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Better be a new high at damn near a trillion dollars a month.

 

Here, go play checkers.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 09:55 | 6025730 Blue Horshoe Lo...
Blue Horshoe Loves Annacott Steel's picture

The new dance craze sweeping the nation...

Create moral hazard, so no 1 has to earn
$30 trillion for bailouts, now the middle class is fucked...

People with QE cash have money to burn

Those with part-time McJobs, not so much

Come everybody
Do the Volcker!

Written by DJ Yellen,
produced by ZIRP/NIRP Productions,
co-produced by Helicopter Ben

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:20 | 6025834 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Better save some of that money-burning cash for bodyguard details, just sayin.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 16:41 | 6027740 Wait What
Wait What's picture

just make sure that those bodyguards aren't from the middle or lower classes, or have friends/family in those classes, they might just turn their guns on the bodies being guarded.

Fri, 04/24/2015 - 10:21 | 6025838 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Good orders down - AMZN up. Central planning works.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!