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Crude Spikes After First Cushing Inventory Draw Since November

Tyler Durden's picture




 

For the first time since November 2014, Cushing saw an inventory decline (-514k) last week. This has promopted a spike up to yesterday's highs in WTI Crude. The total inventgory build was 1.9mm bbl (less than the expected 3.2mm bbl) but continues the record streak to 16 weeks.

 

Cushing "Draw"...

 

But total inventories rose for the 16th week in a row...

 

WTI shot up to run yesterday's stops near $58...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:39 | 6042656 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Crude in the $20's.  Yea about that ......

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:47 | 6042701 Soph
Soph's picture

2500 S&P and $100 oil is the next stop.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 17:40 | 6044426 Laowei Gweilo
Laowei Gweilo's picture

lol what ever happened to $20 oil

 

how many ZH sheep bet on that?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:05 | 6042790 JRobby
JRobby's picture

All an illusion. Summer formulations, phoney demand numbers, please!

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 12:38 | 6043137 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Yep, Spring draw down, but they don't talk about refined inventory......

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:52 | 6042987 TheBoyPlunger
TheBoyPlunger's picture

Still waiting for that huge wave of defaults in the shale companies that ZH was predicting...

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 13:49 | 6043394 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Watch the bond market. There are geniuses who are still buying NEW bond floats but over the summer-early fall we'll start seeing payment defaults among the weak.....

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:41 | 6042667 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

If you can't fill it up anymore does it then have to draw down?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:42 | 6042676 RealistDuJour
RealistDuJour's picture

So what you're saying is that there was a draw because of the inevitable and predictable ramping up of refineries preparing for the summer driving season?  And we could quite easily extrapolate another large draw going into May?  Where's that "$47 handle" now?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:44 | 6042685 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

If you have an inground swimming pool, I will pay you fifty cents (USD) per barrel to store crude oil in your pool for 3 months.

Go to www.storecrudeinyourpool4cashmoney.com for details.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:07 | 6042796 JRobby
JRobby's picture

That is funny

 

except it is a bad link

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:45 | 6042691 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I expect drilling copmpanies to rehire everyone, take out more loans and begin punching holes in the ground again any minute now.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:57 | 6042698 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

It's going to stay low until the dollar is replaced.

Replaced by a NAU shit dollar.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:49 | 6042707 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

i don't think marginal oil producers are out of the woods yet. oil inventory is usually a lot lower this time of year.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:55 | 6042716 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Told ya so.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:50 | 6042718 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

But at least there is Aapl:

American Airlines planes grounded by iPad app error

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-32513066#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&ns_sour...

 

Tattoos may stop Apple Watch from working

http://money.cnn.com/2015/04/29/technology/apple-watch-tattoos/index.html

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:52 | 6042727 Bryan
Bryan's picture

I am confused on whether crude price is following supply/demand, the US Dollar index, or outright market manipulation?   I am short crude with a position in SCO, but it doesn't look like that will pay off in the near future.  Is there still contango in my favor?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:56 | 6042742 adr
adr's picture

The answer to your question is outright market manipulation. Do you really think the most important commodity in the world should have 20% monthly swings?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:40 | 6042938 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Did you buy SCO when GS released their report of lollargager cheap crude a few weeks ago?  That was actually a "short SCO" signal.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:50 | 6042979 Bryan
Bryan's picture

Yeah, I should have known.  No, I bought it when crude had come up from 42 to about 50 on the May futures contract.  So... I'm basically screwed.  What else is new?  :-)

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:55 | 6042739 adr
adr's picture

SO if a tiny little draw from an overflowing storage area can cause crude to spike $2, then the market manipulators will do all they can to move a few million barrels around to make it look like demand for oil is increasing thereby fooling the algos into pumping crude prices even higher.

The entire market is manipulated. The fundamentals put crude around $30 a barrel. BUT THAT JUST WON'T STAND IN JEW LAND. It is much easier to manipulate the paper contracts to make billions out of thin air than to let producers and consumers regulate the price.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 13:13 | 6043269 still kicking
still kicking's picture

Which fundamentals, specifically?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 10:58 | 6042748 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

What comes first?

1. north american union

2. new non-reserve shit dollar

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:20 | 6042858 Weaponized Innocense
Weaponized Innocense's picture

Saw a headline on Bloomberg like two days ago ~ orphaned crude tanker rejected at US ports heads to east wondering if it can unload there.

Oil will break from the dollar at one point or another and follow the strength of gold if the dollar is to lose its value due to actions we will have to see yet to occur.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:29 | 6042874 Weaponized Innocense
Weaponized Innocense's picture

U know if all actions were taken and the dollar was killed and the entire value was taken out of it at one point after all the other shit was pulled out of oil (dollar, economy and inventory~ which might even hold w higher stockpiles at later date if dollar totally worth nada)... Oil would begin to act as an item of value compared to the dollar and seperate from the dollar value of nada.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 13:14 | 6043271 still kicking
still kicking's picture

That tanker was full of some of the shittiest oil available, no one will refine it here because it will destroy their tanks and piping unless heavily mixed with better oil.

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:20 | 6042859 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Amazong that this made-up number for the inventory draw just happens to coincide with a thrashing of the US Dollar -- almost like it was PLANNED that way!

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 11:36 | 6042923 PoasterToaster
PoasterToaster's picture

Oil scumbags trying to keep people used to paying over 2.50 a gallon in the US.  Why all the talk about these "fundamentals" still?

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 12:56 | 6043211 Weaponized Innocense
Weaponized Innocense's picture

So in the economy right... america was making money in the oil economy and it crashed and with bad financing keeping it going via gov and the price rising while peeps spend all money on obamacare and higher price oil that will kill the economy and wouldn't be the first time our gov has made this mistake!
And next quarter is fucked as since channels all stuffed to have the GDP be a whopping .2% vs -2.6%

And what's next in the magic bag of tricks are more dangerous than stimulative!

Wed, 04/29/2015 - 13:02 | 6043227 Weaponized Innocense
Weaponized Innocense's picture

Oh oh oh and if prices of oil collapse and then all the bad financing comes tumbling there after of high yield... And quandary economics begins a life of its own.
As either way the economy be fucked...

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