This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Gold Dumped, Dollar Pumped As Algos Focus On Claims, Ignore Spending

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Because what really matters is not spending or incomes for the average American (which both missed dismally), the market appears convinced that the 2nd lowest jobless claims print in history is what matters and the "rate hike is coming" trade is on. Bond yields are higher, dollar is jumping, and gold (and silver) and dumping...

Gold dumped as dollar jumps...

 

And Silver spanked...

 

and stocks and bonds dumping...

 

It seems any job is a good job... even if it is to the detriment of incomes (because hey the government can always help out with that)

*  *  *

As Scotiabank's Guy Haselmann explains, it's about the wage growth...

It wasn't so long ago that Yellen and crew were talking about needing to see wage growth.  Well, the ECI wages and salaries increased from 2.3% to 2.6% in Q1 from year ago and 2.8% y/y in terms of private sector wages and compensation.  Also claims at lowest level since 4/14/2000 when Funds were 6%.

 

This is happening when Bunds are under strong pressure – something that has kept Treasury yield down.

 

Treasury technical charts might be beginning to break down and are something to watch.   Most importantly, all this is occurring one week before a payroll report (a 5 week period) – where the market will be afraid of a strong number.....makes it so Treasuries will have a difficult time gaining any traction.

 

Bottom line:   Risk/reward in the near term remains to the downside for Treasuries.  Month end may add a bit of volatility but is not nearly a powerful enough force to drive or keep the Treasury market up.  Fed fund future odds of a June Hike at 5% are much too low.

Charts: Bloomberg

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:04 | 6046488 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Same as it ever was....

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:09 | 6046505 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

last day of the month on thursday, first day of the month on friday.....you know the rest

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:17 | 6046539 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

What I said here yesterday!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:17 | 6046543 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

They must be counting "rioter" as an occupation.  They might be right.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:49 | 6046674 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

A little QE cash over here, a little QE cash over there.

 

 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 10:08 | 6046740 bigkahuna
bigkahuna's picture

provident. free shipping over 99. getch yer stack on.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:21 | 6046554 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Tylers, what are Gold (and Silver) and dumping doing? Is that the new troika?

GSD, BTFGSD.

Sorry, it just read really funny.

I'm jumping, does that count?

BTW, India is back to importing AU hand over fist, which means we are one of the BIS storehouses of ill-gotten gains courtsey one of th emost beholden central banks and central bankers in the world.

Count on AU staying $1300 till August 15th. Then........we'll see eh?

India is going to solve it's mal-nutrition issues with Gold biscuits....hah!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ewdDVOc3tcA

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:28 | 6046545 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture
Gold Dumped, Dollar Pumped

 

Then why wasn't yesterdays headline Gold Pumped, Dollar Dumped?? Oh yeah, gold didn't pump.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:11 | 6046517 Zirpedge
Zirpedge's picture

The long dollar trade is the only safe place to be. Debts aren't going to reconciled in gold, if your talking about this mornings activity as a "conspiracy" against gold. I am excited to see what Mayday will bring us tomorrow. Never been a more exciting time to be alive.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:21 | 6046557 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Debts will be settled in dollars because they are highly valued by Chinese day traders and gold is a barberic relic!  Long live Jamie Dimon!

Ha!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:21 | 6046559 Fukushima Fricassee
Fukushima Fricassee's picture

Suck Castro's old dryed up dick you little communist fagott.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 10:14 | 6046770 bigkahuna
bigkahuna's picture

Debts reconciled in USD until they're not. Then you can use em' for kindling.

:-)

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:16 | 6046534 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

Deflation as far as the eye can see.

 

Gold and silver will have another large beetdown and will not start rising untill all confidence has gone in Bonds and stocks

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:22 | 6046562 BoredRoom
BoredRoom's picture

The last 4 interday  lows  for silver have been followed by succesively higher end of day closings.

 

It looks like silver is creating a bottom.....

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:32 | 6046595 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Agreed. The wise are doing what JPM is doing (buying silver hand over fist). So get out there and BUY and crush these bastards! Who's with us? Let's do it!!!!!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 10:00 | 6046727 BoredRoom
BoredRoom's picture

I'd think we'll see it down around $15.40 again soon. Last I bought was $15.35...$16.19 at my door

 

 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:26 | 6046568 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Another large beatdown like they got in 2008 when the bottomed in November but the rest of the market tanked until the Spring and bottoed in March?  Gold has been the safe haven this whole time but people like you only listen to the MSM.  Grow a pair.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:30 | 6046587 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

makes sense to me.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:35 | 6046606 iofera
iofera's picture

Please, Zeroes, say something profound to obscure the fact you dopes bought precious metals in the first place.

"Gold is manipulated!"

"Really, I am a good investor, except everyone is conspiring against me."

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:48 | 6046672 BoredRoom
BoredRoom's picture

That's Zionist jew Saul Alinsky Rules For Radicals 101 right there folks!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 10:03 | 6046735 YouThePeople
YouThePeople's picture

Upvoting yourself doesn't count. You are the consummate 'zero'.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 11:26 | 6047005 HowdyDoody
HowdyDoody's picture

Judging by the vote, he had to call his mom too.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 11:31 | 6047022 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

He's got a few accounts....he will be banned once Ukraine re-enters the news.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 11:30 | 6047016 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

You're a fuckin troll; nothing more nothing less.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:06 | 6046489 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Sucess again by Mr Yellen and her tribal banking cartel!  

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:27 | 6046576 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Owning gold and silver is not a daily play.  It is a way to guard wealth long term by owning a finite material with intrinsic wealth.  Oh but you know, BTFD in the stock market!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 12:12 | 6047171 GRDguy
GRDguy's picture

Absolutely!  Physical gold and silver is long-term money. Paper fiat promises is short-term "money" as long as people will trade goods for it.  Dollars represent half of a promise.  The person who traded goods or services for paper promises doesn't receive the other half of the promise until they trade it for goods or services.  Geez folks, it says "NOTE" right on the cover.  ALL paper transactions are promises, not substance.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:05 | 6046491 JBilyj
JBilyj's picture

ride the dragon

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:08 | 6046492 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Gold is a joke.  The dollar has dropped 5% in two weeks and gold went nowhere.  Now oil, that's another story, guess we will postpone the date for the overflowing tanks at Cushing.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:08 | 6046503 BeaverCream
BeaverCream's picture

Sarao is spoofing the gold market now????!!!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:15 | 6046526 agent default
agent default's picture

I give it six months before everyone starts spoofing everyone else.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:06 | 6046493 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Algos think a rate hike is coming? Dumbass machines.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:35 | 6046604 BoredRoom
BoredRoom's picture

machines are not dumb, people are dumb

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:43 | 6046647 Philo Beddoe
Philo Beddoe's picture

Perhaps I can interest you in a crypto currency and a Japanese fuck doll. 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:54 | 6046685 BoredRoom
BoredRoom's picture

oh yeah? well YOUR MOM

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:06 | 6046494 SWCroaker
SWCroaker's picture

My back has 3' calluses from prior beat downs.   Ugly, but we all gotta take pride in something.  Proceed.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:10 | 6046511 10mm
10mm's picture

Citibank buys 1 billion in Gold from Venezuela. Just a relic though. www.dailysheeple.com

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:16 | 6046537 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

Citi has the gold, JPM the silver....

Goldman are you covered, or are you the next 'immortal' to get beheaded?

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:35 | 6046607 Arnold
Arnold's picture

All reports of Goldman's death are premature.

 

September.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 11:02 | 6046910 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Citi = Saudis.

You figure out the rest.  They too hedge. Every way they csn.  You?

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:10 | 6046513 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

As expected, nothing new here.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:11 | 6046515 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

All pre-planned.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:14 | 6046524 agent default
agent default's picture

So much for the soaring silver sensationalism we got two days ago. 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:17 | 6046542 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Yeah because price action in a manipulated market is everything.

BAHAHAHA!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:16 | 6046532 moratar
moratar's picture

USD was not pumped!

USD_I + 0,24%

Silver -2.9%

Gold -1,2%

I would say someone manipulated silver market.

 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:18 | 6046549 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

just because its gone from $5 under production cost to $6 under production cost does not mean the price is out of whack with supply/demand fundamentals. Or something...?

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:16 | 6046533 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Buy some gold, kill a bank.  Leverage is a butch.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:17 | 6046538 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

Yeah, silver just became 3% less valuable a few minutes ago.

Riiiiiiight.

Nope, no blatant manipulation here.  No sirree.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:31 | 6046590 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Yeah JPM doesn't loot the Treasury or nothing....

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-02/why-jpmorgans-gold-vault-larges...

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:18 | 6046546 bustdrs
bustdrs's picture

this is freakishly fucked up.

Everything is soooo manipulated its just fucked up.

we have a major economic power in decline, aiming to finance all military, NSA, Black ops, FBi,Homeland Sec, National G, and all other shit from freshly printed fucking confett, with the background of rapily declining tax reciepts. What a farking farce.

Laws of nature can be fought to a point, beyond what we understand as natural, until it folds, and it will. 

Where will you be when it does is irrelevant, its happening now. 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:32 | 6046592 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

What do you expect from the money changers?  Cookies and cream?

HA!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:18 | 6046548 venturen
venturen's picture

just waiting for a FED spokesperson to annouce....interest rate will be on hold for the foreseeable future or till the middle class wakes up and revokes....which ever comes first!

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:43 | 6046648 BoredRoom
BoredRoom's picture

?????What middle class is going to revoke what?

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:21 | 6046558 madbraz
madbraz's picture

so horrendous jobs report last month had no positive impact on treasuries and a potentially stronger one could be very negative.

 

you know, in this turd of a manipulated world putting any words or logic to explain this madness is plain silly or just trying to justify the unjustifiable.  every bad data point doesn't ever affect risk, every mildly positive one is great news.  when will it end.  will dudley ever allow it?

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:25 | 6046569 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Lows for the 2011-2015 on the way.  Those stops at around all-in costs are too juicy for the bots to pass by.  A lot of true believers will wail and gnash their teeth in these days.  Recall how the citizens of Pompeii cried out in the streets that the Gods had abandoned them.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:25 | 6046570 taketheredpill
taketheredpill's picture

 

 

Any analysis on the ECI data? My feeling is if Employment Cost includes Healthcare then it is artificially skewed higher, and doesn't represent true wage gains.  If Participation Rate remains depressed, there is tons of slack in labor market, so why would wages rise?  makes absolutely zero sense, unless Yellen gloms onto ECI as more cover for "normalization".

 

 

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:27 | 6046577 donupstream
donupstream's picture

Do you really think it's the algos? Hahaha hahaha #Central Planning #Collusion

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:40 | 6046634 JohnGaltsChild
JohnGaltsChild's picture

Another silver smack-down. Thanks. I can now buy more.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 10:03 | 6046686 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

Sell in may and go away... (well it's kicking off a little earlier this year).

Also they may be thinking along the lines of taking gold down BEFORE a possible Greek default and contain any knee jerk bounce higher.

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 09:55 | 6046710 GFORCE
GFORCE's picture

As bonds fall to negative, the time for gold is almost here but will only happen when investors lose faith in governments to service. Notice how gold fell when worst of Euro crisis ended? If the time was right for gold the rush to buy would overwhelm any algo... www.market-guru.co.uk

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 14:08 | 6047593 Overflow-admin
Overflow-admin's picture

Wake me up when there's a 100$ move or so...

Thu, 04/30/2015 - 15:47 | 6047972 jharry
jharry's picture

I'm not an expert, but if the Chinese control the prices of gold and silver (as Jim Willie has commented), then it is to their advantage to make those prices as cheap as possible as long as they can in terms of the dollar.  Thus they can devour all precious metal surplus from the U.S. (which is real money) and maintain the purchasing power of all their accumulated Treasury notes and U.S. currency reserves.  Thus they enrich themselves on the cheap, and eventually can put the U.S. economy into the doldrums which will make everything in the U.S. worth much less and cheaper to buy as well.  Heads China wins: tails U.S. loses.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!