This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

WTI Crude Tops $60 (5 Month Highs) After Saudi's "Leave It To Allah" Comments

Tyler Durden's picture




 

WTI Crude is now up 43% from its mid-March lows (at $42), topping $60 for the first time since early December. This is a 25% retracement of the June to March drop. Despite near-record US production (rose last week WoW), record Saudi production, slowing global economies, and expectations that higher prices will bring a flood of new supply as cash-starved frackers start pumping again; it appears the squeeze combined with Middle East tensions is driving the resurgence (for now).

 

With yesterday's machine-plunge long forgotten - another machine-surge run-stop guaranteed tagging $60 stops...

 

Pushing 5-month highs and a 25% retracement of the drop...

 

With speculation rife over how long Saudi Arabia is content to see oil prices slump (as we noted the nation's record reserves plunge), the country's oil minister told CNBC that only Allah knows where prices are heading.

Influential Saudi Oil Minister, Ali Al-Naimi, told CNBC Tuesday that "no one can set the price of oil - it's up to Allah." The remark comes amid widespread speculation over how long Saudi Arabia will maintain its decision not to cut production - a move that could support prices.

Charts: Bloomberg

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:11 | 6061280 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

TOTAL BULLSHIT!!!!

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:13 | 6061288 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

but, but, but oil in the $20's

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:18 | 6061307 new game
new game's picture

alla baba fuck a duck said go take a shit, so i did...

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:19 | 6061311 Creepy A. Cracker
Creepy A. Cracker's picture

Are 72 virgins in this mix somewhere?...

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:24 | 6061321 new game
new game's picture

as mick says " i don't have that much jab" bedbugs uptown...

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:28 | 6061334 Stackers
Stackers's picture

It is written

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:42 | 6061376 tongue.stan
tongue.stan's picture

Allah fickt Schweine

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:49 | 6061404 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

You don't need us to tell you that gas prices are back on the rise.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAkxR9T01pw

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:28 | 6061567 BanksterSlayer
BanksterSlayer's picture

"Only Allah sets the oil price." Somewhere in Moscow, Putin is laughing his ass off.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:34 | 6061351 junction
junction's picture

Had those jihadist dopes in Garland, Texas succeeded in gunning down civilians, oil would be surging now and the CIA handlers of the ISIS killers would be getting promotions and bonuses.   Just one cop with real good aim and a smoking habit (which was why he was outside the building, lighting up first a cigarette, then some shooters) wrecked the Garland false flag operation.  Who says cigarettes are bad for your health?  Not always.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:14 | 6061292 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Now all those people who poopooed me back in Feb and March when I called $60 for the end of April ( ok I was off a week).... Can suck it! Chiching$$$

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:29 | 6061339 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I called "we've seen the lows for the year" in February.  And I was wrong.  Tested the bottom again in March and beat the old lows by... pennies, basically.  But wrong is still wrong.

Congrats on the good call.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:23 | 6061749 Wild Theories
Wild Theories's picture

timing's a bitch ain't it

Wed, 05/06/2015 - 02:49 | 6062171 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture
Thu, 04/23/2015 - 13:29 | 6022589 GoinFawr

Sure, for whatever reason, my original comment #5966823 has been removed (along with everyone else's)

but FWIW:

Tue, 04/07/2015 - 15:22 | 5966823 GoinFawr

"  if POBrent pops ~59.75  and WCS (Western Captured Supplier) discount holds <~13fiatscos..."

Witness it

 

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:16 | 6061301 ZoroAustrian
ZoroAustrian's picture

One reason above all.  The dollar is trash.  It'll be a lot higher soon, no matter what supply is.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:21 | 6061317 new game
new game's picture

if alla baba dolla depreciates 50 % oil will be 120/bbl - frack on baby, frack on.

never mind we need to drink water, what a fucking joke, the human race smacks the wall at full speed ahead...

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:26 | 6061326 new game
new game's picture

every hole drilled is just another asshole on the face of the earth...

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:55 | 6061878 Kaervek
Kaervek's picture

Meanwhile the rich are privatizing your water. Soon you gonna have to reach deep in those pockets of yours to quench that thirst.

Hyperinflation, water shortage, real-estate bubble, looks like this is quickly turning rather ugly. May god have mercy on your souls.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 13:38 | 6062588 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

then prepare to dig ever deeper for fully privatized breathable air, and finally: visible light. Because those will be the only two 'commodities' left on this planet that haven't been wholly spoken for via odious debt.

But I'm assured it will all be delivered more efficiently, and Osch Kosh B'Goch natural lawfully.

Of course that sounds moon-batty, today; you know, like 'total surveillance' sounded a few  decades ago.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:53 | 6061862 CPL
CPL's picture

It's easier to think of the human race as past tense rather than the future.  The snow will eventually fly for 130000 years with the regularily occuring ice age coming up and by a process of unavoidable entropy the population is culled.  With the current socio-economic model it just speeds up the inevidable through poor planning and questionable ideologies that literally set the world back 1600 years.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glacial_period

Because the 12000 year inter-glacial is ending.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interglacial

Literally there is no where for people to run that's far enough or deep enough.  Earth will be "closed for renovations".  When the ice melts, new mountains will be carved, the water tables restored, it all grows back.  It'll be like eden.  Minus people and all their self created issues.  Just a pretty blue and green planet spinning through the milky way with the occassional visitor.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:17 | 6061530 CPL
CPL's picture

Partly, that.  Partly the fact the rest of the world actually has running economies and they are doing better where the business actually counts, mainstreet.  What the western world would have stated as 'the developing world' can now afford oil prices being higher after decades of industry cost cutting methods to ship business overseas. 

Eventually this led to the same industries just offering the business models and operational aspects outside of their sphere of influence.  Couple of decades later the foundation of anything uniquely offered as a business model once in the USA is now cheaper, faster and more effective than the original business model.  Literally the multinationals saved a nickle to lose a dollar, in ten years most of the multinationals will either be gone or striped.  The stock that comprises all those pension funds, trust funds and wall paper every western bank and insurance company just won't mean anything.

The stock market will however be at 36000, but the price of bread will be probably over 20 a loaf, but because the inflation will be ignored the average person's salary will just fall further and further behind.  In turn the taxes and fees to simply live somewhere will increase sharply, un-noticed though, because it'll be itemized into hundreds of little pockets of government 'revenue' (HA!).  The taxes and fees collected will only be put towards servicing the interest, until even that is no longer possible since the inflation will eclipse any GDP, real or imagined.

The price of oil is just a indicator of something else.  While oil after a certain price point is seemingly unaffordable to the western world, it isn't a consideration to the rest of the world anymore with their economies being capable of affording oil at X price.  Eventually the commodity price management will be ripped out of NYC and Chicago and the western world just doesn't get invited to the big table anymore unless someone is looking for disposable grunts.

Oil, runs the world btw.  Not banks.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:17 | 6061303 juggalo1
juggalo1's picture

You say economies are slowing?  Who is in recession?  In Europe growth is picking up.  Russia is growing.  China growth has slowed in percent terms, but is likely higher in absolute terms.   All major economies are experiencing increased economic activity.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:46 | 6061636 CPL
CPL's picture

If by increased economic activity you mean printing money from thin air to speed up inflation and service debt repayments, then yes, there is "economic activity".  But never mistake the decomposition of a body for life even though something is moving around.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:18 | 6061305 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Since the Saudis won't raise oil prices, then Goldman is doing Allah's work!

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:06 | 6061696 The man with po...
The man with pointy horns's picture

Oil, sorry Allah, moves in mysterious ways.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:18 | 6061306 NoIdea
NoIdea's picture

Why cut production when the price they get rises every day? PUMP MORE!

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:24 | 6061543 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Between 2003 and 2008, the amount of speculative money in commodities grew from $13 billion to $317 billion, an increase of 2,300 percent. By 2008, a barrel of oil was traded 27 times, on average, before it was actually delivered and consumed.

http://trueslant.com/justingardner/2009/07/03/matt-taibbi-blows-the-lid-off-oilgas-speculation-by-goldman-sachs/

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:20 | 6061313 Undecided
Undecided's picture

At least some of the Canadians are getting it right..

 

http://www.equedia.com/how-fast-is-high-frequency-trading/

 

 

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:25 | 6061325 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

they aren't worried. summer is almost here.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:30 | 6061341 adr
adr's picture

What they really mean is that they tried to set the price of oil but when you have Blankfein doing God's work, you can't fight the Jewish controlled manipulated market.

The day the first bankster is hung from a lamppost, oil goes to $20.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:30 | 6061342 blown income
blown income's picture

Do i just jump off this train cause either way i'm fucked.. so many others feel the same way...

 

how do you stay sane when the world is insane...

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:38 | 6061364 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

act crazy so you don't stand out. zombies don't bite one of their own.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:34 | 6061354 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Trade balance...ouches! Looks like Q1 might be negative GDP.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:51 | 6061409 KansasCrude
KansasCrude's picture

Trust me when you factor in 6-8% inflation we are and have been at negative  GDP for a couple of years at least

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:40 | 6061371 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

allah who?

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:46 | 6061392 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

that's some shit W would say

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 08:56 | 6061429 Calmyourself
Calmyourself's picture

But, but $20 oil is the new normal..  Cushing is filled to the brim salt mines full..  I guess Goldman did not get the memo or they ran out of tankers to fill..

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:00 | 6061444 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

Doesn't "let God sort it out" normally come after some sort of threat of death?

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:11 | 6061482 q99x2
q99x2's picture

FED will buy that oil. They'll buy everything.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:39 | 6061611 HenryHall
HenryHall's picture

Yes, it's no longer so much a future price of oil expressed in dollars. More a future price of dollars expressed in oil.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:12 | 6061488 venturen
venturen's picture

what hedgefund manager doesn't want a dump pump dump market! Waiting for the epic blow out when the streets of Cushing are awash in oil! 

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:43 | 6061629 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

So then Allah likes $60 oil? Folks, we've full-retarded and beyond....buckle up.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:43 | 6061631 Mike Honcho
Mike Honcho's picture

Religion: providing delusions since forever.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:39 | 6061788 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Religions sure do to share and recycle a lot of parables.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 14:00 | 6062628 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

some of them are worth recycling, because, despite being appropriated as religious inventions,  they have always been universally inherent to human nature.

  Eg. even some atheists and the secular humanists tell their kids the tale of the man who treated his neighbours with the same respect he expected from them for himself.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 09:49 | 6061649 Iam Yue2
Iam Yue2's picture

The Saudis are caught in a classic double bind. They are burning up foreign reserves in order to hold on to market share. However, the situation is becoming so bad that many believe that it is only a matter of time before they are forced to take steps to drive prices back up to $80.

The problem, with this theory, is that it does not take into account Iran. Per Commerzbank:

"If a binding agreement were to be signed with Iran in June – which we have not yet accounted for in our forecasts – this would push the oil price down by up to USD 10 per barrel in the short to medium-term as the oversupply would then be much greater and last for much longer than presently assumed."

As students of the double bind will know, it may take more than Allah to break the logjam.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 11:14 | 6061964 Bankster Kibble
Bankster Kibble's picture

I guess the Saudis decided it was too expensive to crash the USA shale industry AND invade Yemen.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:01 | 6061684 wrs1
wrs1's picture

Is Cushing full yet?  When is oil going to be $20?

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:08 | 6061705 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Allah is an HFT bot?

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 10:34 | 6061779 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Pay no attention to the electronic diety behind the curtain.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 11:31 | 6062054 HenryHall
HenryHall's picture

>> Allah is an HFT bot?

Unlikely since Allah has a phone number in the greater New Orleans area.

http://www.whois.com/whois/allah.com

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 12:42 | 6062372 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

I thought I saw him at Mardis Gras.

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 11:19 | 6061998 Jack Daniels Esq
Jack Daniels Esq's picture

All bullshit - Allah is real busy with his 72 virgin boys

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 13:39 | 6062595 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture

EOG Will Resume Major Oil Growth at ‘Stable’ $65 Price
5 May 2015, by Bradley Olson (Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-05-05/eog-resources-will-res...

Oil at $65 Could Free 500,000 Barrels From Shale ’Fracklog’
24 April 2015, by Lynn Doan and Dan Murtaugh (Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-24/oil-at-65-seen-freeing-half-million-barrels-from-shale-fracklog

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!