This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

"Market 1 - 0 Yellen/Gartman" Bonds & Stocks Bid As Crude Crumbles

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Only one clip seemed appropriate given the last two days...

This seemed to sum things up nicely...

But this morning's epic short squeeze provided the momentum for the rest of the move...

 

Gartman and Yellen were celebrating briefly (very briefly) this morning...then not so much

As we said this morning, "Will Yellen Capital Management LP be right, or will Gartman's uncanny ability to be always wrong at just the right time, provide the bounce the market so desperately needs?" It appears so - for now.

 

Cash indices managed briefly to get green *(Russell and Trannies only) for the week, but leaked lower into the close...

 

It appears there was some protection-buying ahead of tomorrow's "digital" payrolls number (VIX notably underperformed)

 

As did HY Credit...

 

Then there's YELP...

 

SHAK shook...

 

Bonds were the big movers today with Bunds & Treasuries massively roundtripping... (Bunds -18bps from overnight highs... and USTs -15bps!!)

This is the best day for 30Y TSYs since Jan 28th

On the week, Treasuries remain higher in yields but major bull flattening today (as perhaps AAPL rate locks were lifted)...

 

The Dollar rose notably, driven by buying during the US Session...

 

Commodities all weakened as the dollar strengthened...

 

As Crude crashed back to one-week lows...(despite tension rising in ME)

 

And Shale Stocks were slammed...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: Bears still absent...

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:08 | 6070299 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

What a shitshow of a day (including last night). Even the rubes must recognize how broken and rigged these "markets" are.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:10 | 6070311 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

The casino needs more debt to break out of this sideways shitshow...come on yellen you old fuck, you can do it.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:03 | 6070505 Diet Coke and F...
Diet Coke and Floozies's picture

The best way to not have your stops hit is to not enter stops like a boss! /s

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:13 | 6070320 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

No they don't. Read the Yahoo finance message boards. They think they are making "money"... When this behemoth does crash and burn, it will be epic.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:10 | 6070530 HopefulCynical
HopefulCynical's picture

They think they are making "money"... When this behemoth does crash and burn, it will be epic.

They ARE making "money." It is soaked in napalm, however...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_sY2rjxq6M

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 22:14 | 6071451 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

Heh.  Yeah, too many zombie fuckheads read the BTFD part, but forgot to read the part that says you ONLY make $$$ when you actually SELL.  This sidways shit though must drive the newbies nuts.  Actually it is driving me effing nuts.  At these levels I prefer thge Short side, but thw sideways shit forces me to Buy SPY calls.  Sell.  Buy SPY Puts.  Sell.  Complicated of course by the HFT Algos.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:10 | 6070307 Tin Hat Salesman
Tin Hat Salesman's picture

BUY BUY BUY

Fri, 05/08/2015 - 00:51 | 6071821 Joe Sixpack
Joe Sixpack's picture

You called?

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:11 | 6070313 FuzzyDunlop21
FuzzyDunlop21's picture

Im no expert on technical analysis, but it looks like GBPJPY is forming the stright-ascending-vertical-line formation

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:12 | 6070319 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

No clue what tomorrow will be like - but everyone and their hot dog vendor says a drop is coming soon.  So I sold my call today at lunch and bought a June Put - figure I'll sit on it for a couple of weeks this time.  Good luck guys.  Trading this has been exasperating.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:15 | 6070332 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I'm not as worried about a 2008-style crash as I am about this market chopping sideways for the next 5 years.  Or 25 years.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 20:16 | 6071081 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

If I knew it would do that I would be happy. Just buy dividend stocks

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:23 | 6070358 enforcer92677
enforcer92677's picture

Hmmm I've been downvoted.  Probably due to my forgetting to add breasts to my post.

 

( . )  ( . )

 

 

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:30 | 6070387 stant
stant's picture

+1 yeah that's better

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:08 | 6070527 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

Get some titties or ass in your avatar and you're all good, my friend.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 22:09 | 6071432 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

My post is bigger then yers...

 

(    .    )   (    .    )

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 22:01 | 6071403 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

Regardless of the jobs report - stawks WILL go up.  If > expected, that means GDP will go up which means earnings will go up.  BUY.  If < expected, that means interest rates will stay at ZERO for longer.  Since TINA - BUY.  If = expected, then OF course - BUY.

 

I heard spinheads on CNBS say exactly the above today.  Who listens to these dumb fucks?  I sometimes listen to amuse myself cause they are so absolutely full of shit.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:39 | 6070321 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

"fucking bullshit are these markets...."

-Yoda-

more Silver in cue for the fraudulent paper raid on the London Open tomorrow morn....

get some....

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:15 | 6070329 saints51
saints51's picture

Crude was a gap fill today @$59. Will be interesting if we get a pull back or will it drop to $57.50.

Doesn't matter as supply and demand do not exist to a robot.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:16 | 6070330 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

How is a joke like "Shake Shack" (or whatever it is) price at SIXTY-SIX DOLLARS++?????

 

Pays a dividend?  Let me guess.

 

Kinross Gold - a profitable, $15-$18 stock, now goes for $2.93.  WHERE ARE THE VALUE INVESTORS????

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:17 | 6070335 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

You may hate it at 66, but how did you feel about it at 78? 

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:32 | 6070395 walküre
walküre's picture

mining is expensive and requires permanent capital investments

bullshitting with shak costs less and can pack in overnight

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:39 | 6070430 Osmium
Osmium's picture

I know things like fundermentals don't matter but WTF?

SHAK

Book Value Per Share (mrq): 1.05
Thu, 05/07/2015 - 20:18 | 6071086 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

It almost hit $80 yesterday and now it closed near $66. Wait until lockup period ends in June. There will be a mass exodus of insiders selling to the sheeple.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:16 | 6070334 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

“Short Squeeze”    from "Daydream" by The Lovin’ Spoonful

What a day for a short squeeze
Quite a day for a day-tradin’ boy
And I'm lost in a trade scheme
Reamin' ‘em out with their hedge fund toys

Since even the HFTs are on my side
It's one of those days for takin' an early ride
I’ll soak in the sun for the entire day
After dumping my whole account into TNA

I've been havin' a sweet day
It’s been green since I woke up today 
It's starrin' me and my sweet dream   
'Cause tickling shorts makes me feel this way  

And even if prices pass me by a lot
I couldn't care less about the crap you say I got
Tomorrow I'll pay the dues if I keep these cards
Though it’s in your face if we hear from that sneaky Bullard

And you can be sure if you're not positioned right
This pop could last along into the night
Tomorrow by breakfast you better cover your rear
Or they may be squeezin’ it for a thousand years 

What a day for a short squeeze ...

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:29 | 6070384 walküre
walküre's picture

limp dick market, dong is weak

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:30 | 6070393 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Once I read yesterday that 2080 was a key area for the S&P, and once it was breeched to the downside, I knew we'd rally like hell today.

I'm so smart. Perhaps I'll have a second Samuel Adams Summer Ale. And I'm at work!

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 18:13 | 6070752 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

MR. TSAR.

I will correct your post  YEAR 2180 is the key area for support in the Ponzi.   by 2180 a new generation of brainwashed serfs will be on board and grateful for a grain of GMO rice.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:32 | 6070398 polo007
polo007's picture

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/07/us-usa-fed-portfolio-idUSKBN0NS0BB20150507

Wary of bond 'cliff,' Fed plans cautious cuts to portfolio

(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve is sketching out plans to prevent an abrupt contraction in its massive balance sheet next year, when as much as $500 billion in bonds expire and risk disrupting markets and the U.S. economic recovery.

Though it ended a stimulative asset-purchase program last October, the Fed is still buying mortgage and Treasury bonds to replenish its $4.5-trillion portfolio as holdings mature. The central bank has said it will keep reinvesting until some time after it begins raising interest rates later this year.

Asked publicly and privately about the longer-term strategy, Fed policymakers say they are in no rush to shrink the portfolio, suggesting they will seek to avoid a "cliff" - a disruptive end to reinvestments that might come if bonds are simply allowed to run off through maturity or prepayment.

Economic analysis shows that shifting the end of reinvestments by several months in either direction would have "essentially no effect on the economic outlook," San Francisco Fed President John Williams told reporters last Friday.

"My view is this would happen organically," he added. But to avoid confusing investors with too many changes at once, he said, the Fed should give investors time to get used to rate increases before allowing the balance sheet to shrink. "You want enough separation in time just so that, once we get the (rate) normalization process going ... then this would be a decision that would be of second-order."

Six years of crisis-era purchases meant to boost economic growth quintupled the size of the Fed's balance sheet. The Fed predicts it will take until 2020 to shrink the portfolio back to normal.

The central bank can always sell bonds, but it said in September it will rely primarily on run-off to reduce holdings in a "gradual and predictable manner."

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:33 | 6070405 stant
stant's picture

Getting my beer and popcorn ready. It appears the bond vigilantes only come out at night now.boooooooooya

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:36 | 6070422 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Saw a news story about a bear goin' ape and tryin' to escape from a Japanese zoo.   Hmm ... could this be a market metaphor? 

Was he trying to join up with his short-selling friends, or was this a thinly-veiled suicide attempt?  Did he get advance Jobs data from an HFT feed ?

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:38 | 6070426 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

they’re coming…
first theyve destroyed the purchasing power of your debt coupon dollars…
then theyve paid u REAL negative interest on the debt coupon dollars for those stupid enough to leave them deposited in their insolvent institutions…
now they r setting the table to prevent u from taking them away from them and keeping at home outside of their system where theyve been stealing them from u via inflation…
they want total control over ur every act….and Silver and Gold stand in their way….not fiat dollars……

Danish government proposes getting rid of the obligation for certain retailers to accept payment in cash.

"The Danish government has proposed getting rid of the obligation for selected retailers to accept payment in cash, moving the country closer to a "cashless" economy. Nearly a third of the Danish population uses MobilePay, a smartphone application for transferring money to other phones and shops, and Sweden, Denmark and Finland lead the European Union in credit card payments per inhabitant.

The Danish government said as of next year, businesses such as clothing retailers, petrol stations and restaurants should no longer be legally-bound to accept cash. The proposal is part of a pre-election package of economic growth measures aimed at reducing costs and increasing productivity for businesses. It would need to be approved by parliament, although the timing of a vote is as yet unknown.

The proposal is unlikely to meet much opposition in Denmark, where it is common to use debit or credit cards for the smallest of payments. Financial institution lobbyist Finansraadet said going cashless would save shops money on security and time on managing change from tills. However, there are some fears that a complete move to electronic payment may increase the risk of fraud. In Sweden, for example, such cases have doubled in the past decade.

Denmark's biggest bank and owner of MobilePay, Danske Bank (Copenhagen: DANSKE.CO - news) , has taken steps to prevent fraud by linking the app to NemID, a digital signature linked to the Danish equivalent of individuals’ National Insurance number. Bill Gates, the founder and former chief executive of Microsoft (NasdaqGS: MSFT - news) , is a vocal supporter of the movement towards cashless societies and argues it would encourage banks to provide services to the world's poorest, due to the low marginal costs. (yeah sure mother fuckers:my emphasis)

However, German central banker Carl-Ludwig Thiele cited economic data, freedom of choice and even Russian novelist Fyodor Dostoyevsky in a passionate defence of banknotes and coins on Wednesday. "Abolishing cash would hurt consumer sovereignty - the free choice of citizens about their payment instruments," Mr Thiele, who oversees cash management and payment and settlement systems at the Bundesbank, said.

"Government agencies do not have the right to tell citizens how they should pay.” Mr Thiele said cash was still used in nearly 80pc of transactions, while the value of that cash accounted for 53pc of all money exchanged. "Each person chooses the instrument that best meets the requirements in their eyes. As Dostoyevsky said in 1861:

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/denmark-moves-step-closer-being-155548...

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 21:36 | 6070483 Salsipuedes
Salsipuedes's picture

Two words: Abandon ship motherfuckers! 

What? That's three? Not if you work at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, pleeb!

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 16:58 | 6070489 philosophers bone
philosophers bone's picture

It is a running joke, but it is truly amazing how the market moves against Gartman almost without exception and usually big.  It am not a statistician, but it must almost be mathematically impossible to be that inaccurate in predictions. 

Someone has to start an Inverse Gartman ETF.  Now here's a brain teaser:  What if Gartman himself started the Inverse Gartman ETF?  The whole financial system could come crashing down as it wouldn't know what to do.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:17 | 6070564 nosoeawe
nosoeawe's picture

The white haired, carp eyed, fed reserve piglet is one ugly cunt

If hitlery wasn't around, she would take the crown of Cunt of Cunts

If the title Queen of Cunts wasn't already occupied by the old senile useless as dog shit, british bitch, Yellen would take that too

Therefore, I nominate yellen as the Chairwoman presiding over the League of Sloppy and Depends Wearing Cunts

Cunt of Cunts - occupied

Queen of Cunts - occupied (although the old dementia ridden cunt is about 1 step ahead of that stroke)

Chairwoman of Cunts - occupied

Here's a joke for you, what does Yellen's cunt smell like .... depends

Hip, hip hooray for the Cunts that are taking this ship straight to the bottom of the abyss

 

 

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 18:23 | 6070771 WhackoWarner
WhackoWarner's picture

I do not disagree with your sentiments,  Just your overwhelming abuse of adjectives that relate to 50% of the human race (women).  Please refine your anger.  This insults all women. Your mothers, your sisters, your daughters, your wife.

 

I agree with your starting point of anger. Just not how you express it.  Think for a minute.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:22 | 6070571 Klemens
Klemens's picture

The silver bullet will bring the death of the system! Buy silver as much as you can!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e0Ds9K5fkyc

 

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:25 | 6070582 Chuck Knoblauch
Chuck Knoblauch's picture

What did the dollar do today?

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 17:44 | 6070634 knukles
knukles's picture

Multiplied mysteriously

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 20:38 | 6071151 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

The dollar is like a gremlin, it gets wet and multiplies.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 20:36 | 6071148 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Just because Yellen said stocks are overvalued on a P/E ratio doesn't mean she cut her bank's exposure.  She runs the world's largest Hedge Fund and likely still is very long stocks.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 21:47 | 6071369 JoWazzoo
JoWazzoo's picture

Effing Zombies paid just a quick attention to Fraudlien Yelling's comments today and forgot them by today.  Heh.  This time IS different.  In the old days, hell irrational exuberence was worth the equivalent of 1,000 dow points and the slide lasted days - not minutes.

Fri, 05/08/2015 - 02:09 | 6071886 polo007
polo007's picture

http://www.cbc.ca/player/News/Business/ID/2666703865/

The Exchange with Amanda Lang | May 7, 2015 | 18:40

The case against Bank of Canada

Rocco Galati is one of the country's leading lawyers with a taste for quixotic cases

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!